TRN Stock Analysis: Trinity Industries | NYSE
Railroads | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.729m USD | 12M Return: 19.4% | US8965221091 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 25.8M
EPS Trend: 62.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -83.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Trinity Industries, Inc. (NYSE: TRN) is a North American provider of railcar products and services operating under the TrinityRail brand through two core segments. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group leases freight and tank railcars, manages third-party investor lease portfolios, and offers fleet management, maintenance, modification, and logistics services. The Rail Products Group manufactures freight and tank railcars along with related parts and components for transporting liquids, gases, and dry cargo. As of December 31, 2025, the leasing segments fleet totaled 101,485 railcars. Customers include railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers across the refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products markets, with sales conducted through in-house personnel and independent representatives. The company was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
The company sits within the Industrials sector (Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry), and its business model combines an asset-heavy railcar leasing platform that generates recurring rental income with a manufacturing operation whose order volumes are closely tied to broader North American freight rail demand and shipper capital expenditure cycles.
- Lease utilization and renewal rates drive services group revenue
- Raw steel costs and order pricing pressure rail products margins
- Section 45G tax credit renewal impacts short-line rail profits
| Net Income: 343.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 36.82% < 20% (prev 25.11%; Δ 11.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 394.0m > Net Income 343.3m |
| Net Debt (5.40b) to EBITDA (1.04b): 5.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (81.6m) vs 12m ago -1.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.04% > 18% (prev 24.08%; Δ 1.97% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 23.97% > 50% (prev 28.60%; Δ -4.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 744.0m / Interest Expense TTM 261.9m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.03b - Total Current Liabilities 276.5m) / Total Assets 8.23b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 1.14b / Total Assets 8.23b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 744.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.52b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 1.15b / Total Liabilities 7.08b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.81 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 339.2m/344.3m, Revenue 2.04b/2.52b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 24.08% / 26.04%) |
| AQI: 12.12 (AQ_t 0.83 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 2.04b / 2.52b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 343.3m - CFO 394.0m) / TA 8.23b) |
| Beneish M = 3.54 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 30.97 with a total of 384,883 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.76%, over one month by -12.16%, over three months by -13.83% and over the past year by +19.38%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 29.00 (which is 6.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Trinity Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TRN.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 35 | 13% |
P/E Trailing = 11.5556
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 1.3223
P/B = 2.7047
P/EG = 0.692
Revenue TTM = 2.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 744.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 111.5m
Net Debt = 5.40b USD (calculated: Debt 5.55b - CCE 155.7m)
Enterprise Value = 8.13b USD (2.73b + Debt 5.55b - CCE 155.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.84 (Ebit TTM 744.0m / Interest Expense TTM 261.9m)
EV/FCF = -93.09x (Enterprise Value 8.13b / FCF TTM -87.3m)
FCF Yield = -1.07% (FCF TTM -87.3m / Enterprise Value 8.13b)
FCF Margin = -4.27% (FCF TTM -87.3m / Revenue TTM 2.04b)
Net Margin = 16.81% (Net Income TTM 343.3m / Revenue TTM 2.04b)
Gross Margin = 26.04% ((Revenue TTM 2.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.66% (prev 26.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 8.13b / Total Assets 8.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.72% (Interest Expense 261.9m / Debt 5.55b)
Taxrate = 24.83% (119.7m / 482.1m)
NOPAT = 559.3m (EBIT 744.0m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 3.72 (Total Current Assets 1.03b / Total Current Liabilities 276.5m)
Debt / Equity = 4.85 (Debt 5.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.17 (Net Debt 5.40b / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = -61.84 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.40b / FCF TTM -87.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.03% (Net Income 343.3m / Total Assets 8.23b)
RoE = 31.91% (Net Income TTM 343.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.08b)
RoCE = 11.41% (EBIT 744.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.08b + L.T.Debt 5.44b))
RoIC = 7.12% (NOPAT 559.3m / Invested Capital 7.85b)
WACC = 5.28% (E(2.73b)/V(8.28b) * Re(8.81%) + D(5.55b)/V(8.28b) * Rd(4.72%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.68 | Cagr: -1.02%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -87.3m)
EPS Correlation: 62.56 | EPS CAGR: 29.83% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -83.56 | Revenue CAGR: -15.72% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-11.11% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=-2.15% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-27.6% | GrowthRev=-3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-3.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+1.1% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)