(TRN) Trinity Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Railcars,Hoppers,Tanks,Barges,Road Barrier
Description: TRN Trinity Industries August 10, 2025
Trinity Industries Inc (NYSE:TRN) is a US-based company operating in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry. To understand its financial health, we need to examine its income tax expense on a yearly basis, which can significantly impact its net income.
The companys market capitalization stands at approximately $1.99 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.23 and a forward P/E of 20.08, indicating moderate valuation relative to its earnings. The return on equity (RoE) is 7.46%, suggesting that Trinity Industries generates a relatively modest return for its shareholders.
To further analyze TRNs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating margin, and debt-to-equity ratio should be considered. Revenue growth is a crucial driver, as it indicates the companys ability to expand its operations. Operating margin is also vital, as it reflects the companys pricing power and cost management. A lower debt-to-equity ratio generally suggests a healthier balance sheet and reduced financial risk.
Economic drivers that could impact TRNs performance include infrastructure spending, as government investments in roads, bridges, and other construction projects can boost demand for its products. Additionally, trends in the rail and leasing industries, where Trinity operates, can influence its revenue. The companys beta of 1.491 indicates that its stock price is relatively volatile compared to the broader market, suggesting that investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations.
To make informed investment decisions, its essential to monitor Trinity Industries ability to manage its income tax expense, maintain a healthy balance sheet, and adapt to changes in the economic landscape. By focusing on these factors, investors can better understand the companys potential for long-term growth and returns.
TRN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,213m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-12-30 |
TRN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -16.5% |
| Fundamental | 53.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 74.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -36.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
TRN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 4.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.57% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 10.18% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 95.7% |
TRN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -36.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -56.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 51.9% |
| CAGR 5y | -1.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.03 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.06 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.38 |
| Alpha | -45.73 |
| Beta | 1.521 |
| Volatility | 34.22% |
| Current Volume | 658.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 385.5k |
| Stop Loss | 24.8 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | -0.93 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (65.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 103.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.26% (prev 21.69%; Δ -14.43pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 386.9m > Net Income 65.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-66.3m) to EBITDA (575.3m) ratio: -0.12 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (81.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.62% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.02% (prev 20.61%; Δ 4.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.37% (prev 36.73%; Δ -17.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.15 (EBITDA TTM 575.3m / Interest Expense TTM 270.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.84
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 378.0m - Total Current Liabilities 253.1m) / Total Assets 8.93b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.02b / Total Assets 8.93b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 310.6m / Avg Total Assets 8.89b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 1.02b / Total Liabilities 7.68b |
| Total Rating: 0.84 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.87
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.09% = 1.04 |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.51% = 2.38 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.55 = -2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.12 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.35)% = 0.44 |
| 7. RoE 5.99% = 0.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -27.15% = -2.04 |
| 9. EPS Trend 18.91% = 0.95 |
What is the price of TRN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.28%, over one month by -5.93%, over three months by -5.13% and over the past year by -27.46%.
Is Trinity Industries a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TRN is around 24.53 USD . This means that TRN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.37%.
Is TRN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TRN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30 | 17% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30 | 17% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.1 | 1.6% |
TRN Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.252
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 1.0172
P/B = 2.2246
P/EG = 2.78
Beta = 1.521
Revenue TTM = 1.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 310.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 575.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 23.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.69b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -66.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.84b USD (2.21b + Debt 5.69b - CCE 66.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.15 (Ebit TTM 310.6m / Interest Expense TTM 270.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.09% (FCF TTM 163.7m / Enterprise Value 7.84b)
FCF Margin = 9.51% (FCF TTM 163.7m / Revenue TTM 1.72b)
Net Margin = 3.80% (Net Income TTM 65.5m / Revenue TTM 1.72b)
Gross Margin = 25.02% ((Revenue TTM 1.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 26.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 7.84b / Total Assets 8.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 69.8m / Debt 5.69b)
Taxrate = 99.23% (out of range, set to none) (47.8m / 48.2m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.49 (Total Current Assets 378.0m / Total Current Liabilities 253.1m)
Debt / Equity = 4.55 (Debt 5.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.12 (Net Debt -66.3m / EBITDA 575.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.41 (Net Debt -66.3m / FCF TTM 163.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.73% (Net Income 65.5m / Total Assets 8.93b)
RoE = 5.99% (Net Income TTM 65.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.09b)
RoCE = 4.58% (EBIT 310.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.09b + L.T.Debt 5.69b))
RoIC = 3.61% (EBIT 310.6m / (Assets 8.93b - Curr.Liab 253.1m - Cash 66.3m))
WACC = 3.25% (E(2.21b)/V(7.90b) * Re(11.62%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.22% ; FCFE base≈163.7m ; Y1≈107.5m ; Y5≈49.1m
Fair Price DCF = 7.46 (DCF Value 602.9m / Shares Outstanding 80.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 18.91 | EPS CAGR: -4.88% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.15 | Revenue CAGR: -6.02% | SUE: -1.56 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TRN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle