(TSN) Tyson Foods - Ratings and Ratios
Beef, Pork, Chicken, Processed, Frozen
TSN EPS (Earnings per Share)
TSN Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -17.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.519 |
| Beta | 0.239 |
| Beta Downside | 0.121 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.64% |
| Mean DD | 12.60% |
| Median DD | 11.99% |
Description: TSN Tyson Foods October 16, 2025
Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) is a global food company organized into four primary segments-Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods-covering the entire value chain from live animal processing to finished, ready-to-eat products.
In the Beef and Pork segments, Tyson transforms live cattle and hogs into primal and sub-primal cuts, case-ready meat, and fully cooked items; the Chicken segment handles everything from breeding stock to fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products such as breaded strips and nuggets; the Prepared Foods segment manufactures a broad portfolio of frozen and refrigerated items-including sandwiches, burgers, breakfast meats, and ethnic dishes-under brands like Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, and Ball Park.
Distribution is diversified across grocery retailers, wholesalers, warehouse clubs, military commissaries, food-service operators (restaurants, schools, hospitals), and international export markets, with sales also supported by independent brokers and trading firms.
Key performance indicators to watch include Tyson’s 2023 net sales of roughly $13.2 billion, an EBITDA margin hovering near 7 %, and its pork segment’s sensitivity to feed-cost volatility-a major driver in the packaged meats sector. Additionally, the company’s exposure to consumer trends toward protein alternatives and value-added convenience foods can materially affect growth prospects.
For a data-rich, quantitative deep-dive on Tyson’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers tools that can help you model these drivers more precisely.
TSN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 19,030m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 1986-07-09 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -23.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.57 of 5 |
TSN Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.63% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.48% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.5% |
TSN Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -3.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.24 |
| Current Volume | 3318.2k |
| Average Volume | 2601.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (485.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.27b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.48% (prev 9.31%; Δ -2.83pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.24b > Net Income 485.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.60b) to EBITDA (2.23b) ratio: 3.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.55 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (NaN) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 6.54% (prev 6.80%; Δ -0.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 147.6% (prev 143.7%; Δ 3.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.33 (EBITDA TTM 2.23b / Interest Expense TTM 449.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.52
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 9.92b - Total Current Liabilities 6.39b) / Total Assets 36.66b |
| (B) 0.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.65b / Total Assets 36.66b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 1.04b / Avg Total Assets 36.88b |
| (D) 0.99 = Book Value of Equity 18.46b / Total Liabilities 18.57b |
| Total Rating: 3.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.78
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.87% = 2.44 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.38% = 0.60 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.49 = 2.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.41 = -2.23 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.81)% = -2.26 |
| 7. RoE 2.65% = 0.22 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 66.92% = 5.02 |
| 9. EPS Trend 72.36% = 3.62 |
What is the price of TSN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.47%, over one month by +2.14%, over three months by -3.26% and over the past year by -12.76%.
Is Tyson Foods a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TSN is around 50.88 USD . This means that TSN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.74%.
Is TSN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TSN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 61.8 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 61.8 | 14.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55 | 1.8% |
TSN Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.5
P/E Forward = 13.0548
P/S = 0.3515
P/B = 1.022
P/EG = 0.428
Beta = 0.476
Revenue TTM = 54.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.18b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 909.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.63b USD (19.03b + Debt 8.83b - CCE 1.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.33 (Ebit TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 449.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.87% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Enterprise Value 26.63b)
FCF Margin = 2.38% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Revenue TTM 54.44b)
Net Margin = 0.89% (Net Income TTM 485.0m / Revenue TTM 54.44b)
Gross Margin = 6.54% ((Revenue TTM 54.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 50.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.24% (prev 8.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 26.63b / Total Assets 36.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.20% (Interest Expense 106.0m / Debt 8.83b)
Taxrate = 14.71% (10.0m / 68.0m)
NOPAT = 890.5m (EBIT 1.04b * (1 - 14.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.55 (Total Current Assets 9.92b / Total Current Liabilities 6.39b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 8.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.41 (Net Debt 7.60b / EBITDA 2.23b)
Debt / FCF = 5.86 (Net Debt 7.60b / FCF TTM 1.30b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.32% (Net Income 485.0m / Total Assets 36.66b)
RoE = 2.65% (Net Income TTM 485.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 18.33b)
RoCE = 3.94% (EBIT 1.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.33b + L.T.Debt 8.18b))
RoIC = 3.21% (NOPAT 890.5m / Invested Capital 27.73b)
WACC = 5.02% (E(19.03b)/V(27.86b) * Re(6.87%) + D(8.83b)/V(27.86b) * Rd(1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 6.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈1.19b ; Y1≈783.7m ; Y5≈358.4m
Fair Price DCF = 24.65 (DCF Value 7.04b / Shares Outstanding 285.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 72.36 | EPS CAGR: 11.62% | SUE: 3.66 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 66.92 | Revenue CAGR: 1.62% | SUE: -1.65 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TSN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle