Overview Dividends

(TX) Ternium - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Luxembourg • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8808901081

Slabs, Plates, Coated, Bars, Pellets

Steel
Market Cap in USD: 7,130m

IPO / Inception: 2006-02-01
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 23.4%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -64.56%
EPS Trend: -68.5%

Last SUE: -0.92
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -2.39%
Rev. Trend: -6.8%

Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	7.02%
Yield on Cost 5y	13.15%
Yield CAGR 5y	26.78%
Payout Consistency	87.1%
Payout Ratio	2.8%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	27.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	44.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-2.42%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.14
Alpha	26.97
CAGR/Max DD	0.41

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.477
Beta	0.697
Beta Downside	0.798

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	42.04%
Mean DD	14.36%
Median DD	12.96%

Description: TX Ternium November 05, 2025

Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) is a Luxembourg-based steelmaker operating through two segments-Steel and Mining-across Mexico, the Southern Region of Brazil, and export markets. The Steel segment produces a broad product slate (slabs, heavy plates, hot- and cold-rolled, coated, automotive stamped parts, roll-formed, tubular, billets, and bars) and also sells energy, while the Mining segment focuses on iron-ore extraction and pelletizing.

Key operational metrics (2023) show roughly 12 Mt of steel production capacity and an EBITDA margin near 12 %, reflecting the company’s integrated cost structure. Ternium’s performance is tightly linked to regional construction activity and automotive demand, both of which are sensitive to Brazil’s and Mexico’s GDP growth rates (≈2 %-3 % YoY in 2023) and to global iron-ore price movements, which have averaged $115/ton in the past year.

Given the cyclical nature of the steel industry, a primary risk is the volatility of raw-material costs and potential trade-policy shifts in North America that could affect export margins. For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed valuation models and peer comparisons useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (583.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 942.6m TTM)

FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 37.03% (prev 41.24%; Δ -4.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.51b > Net Income 583.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (935.5m) to EBITDA (1.87b) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (196.3m) change vs 12m ago -0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 14.00% (prev 17.81%; Δ -3.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 66.28% (prev 78.13%; Δ -11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 5.15 (EBITDA TTM 1.87b / Interest Expense TTM 214.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.89

(A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 9.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.99b) / Total Assets 23.47b

(B) 0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 13.20b / Total Assets 23.47b

(D) 2.02 = Book Value of Equity 14.47b / Total Liabilities 7.17b

Total Rating: 5.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.29

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield -4.24%

3. FCF Margin -2.18%

4. Debt/Equity 0.19

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.43)%

7. RoE 4.86%

8. Rev. Trend -6.83%

9. EPS Trend -68.50%

What is the price of TX shares?

As of December 19, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 38.47 with a total of 134,540 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.92%, over one month by +6.59%, over three months by +11.28% and over the past year by +38.74%.

Is TX a buy, sell or hold?

Ternium has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TX.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 5
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TX price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	36	-6.5%
Analysts Target Price	36	-6.5%
ValueRay Target Price	46.2	20.1%

TX Fundamental Data Overview December 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 7.13b (7.13b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.5241
P/E Forward = 9.1996
P/S = 0.4769
P/B = 0.6257
P/EG = 4.03
Beta = 1.296
Revenue TTM = 15.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 602.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 935.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.07b USD (7.13b + Debt 2.26b - CCE 1.32b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.15 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 214.9m)
FCF Yield = -4.24% (FCF TTM -341.7m / Enterprise Value 8.07b)
FCF Margin = -2.18% (FCF TTM -341.7m / Revenue TTM 15.71b)
Net Margin = 3.72% (Net Income TTM 583.9m / Revenue TTM 15.71b)
Gross Margin = 14.00% ((Revenue TTM 15.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.38% (prev 15.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 8.07b / Total Assets 23.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.36% (Interest Expense 53.3m / Debt 2.26b)
Taxrate = 255.3% (out of range, set to none) (443.6m / 173.7m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 2.46 (Total Current Assets 9.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 2.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 935.5m / EBITDA 1.87b)
Debt / FCF = -2.74 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 935.5m / FCF TTM -341.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.49% (Net Income 583.9m / Total Assets 23.47b)
RoE = 4.86% (Net Income TTM 583.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.01b)
RoCE = 8.19% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.01b + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 6.09% (EBIT 1.11b / (Assets 23.47b - Curr.Liab 3.99b - Cash 1.32b))
WACC = 6.52% (E(7.13b)/V(9.39b) * Re(8.59%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -341.7m)
EPS Correlation: -68.50 | EPS CAGR: -64.56% | SUE: -0.92 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.83 | Revenue CAGR: -2.39% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-0.200 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.39 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-0.5% | Growth Revenue=+9.1%

Additional Sources for TX Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle