TX Stock Analysis: Ternium | NYSE
Steel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.669m USD | 12M Return: 75.5% | US8808901081 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 32.0M
EPS Trend: -57.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -65.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ternium S.A. (NYSE: TX) is a Luxembourg-based steel manufacturer with operations primarily across Mexico, the broader Southern Region, Brazil, and other international markets. The company operates through two core segments: Steel, which produces a wide range of products including slabs, heavy plates, hot and cold rolled steel, coated products, automotive stamped parts, and tubular goods; and Mining, which focuses on iron ore extraction and pellet production. Ternium also provides related services in medical/social, scrap, and engineering fields, and is controlled by Techint Holdings S.à r.l. as its parent company.
As a vertically integrated steel producer, Ternium benefits from its in-house iron ore mining and pelletizing operations, which helps insulate it from raw material price volatility-a structural advantage common to large integrated mills in the Materials sector. The automotive industry is a particularly important end market for the company, given its production of stamped steel parts and roll-formed products that supply vehicle manufacturers throughout Latin America.
- HRC steel price declines pressure consolidated margins
- Mexican automotive and construction demand drives Steel segment volumes
- Iron ore pricing recovery supports Mining segment profitability
| Net Income: 698.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 37.84% < 20% (prev 39.94%; Δ -2.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.54b > Net Income 698.5m |
| Net Debt (479.6m) to EBITDA (1.94b): 0.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.58 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (196.3m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.38% > 18% (prev 13.36%; Δ 4.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.90% > 50% (prev 67.88%; Δ -1.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.70 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 203.9m) |
| A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 9.87b - Total Current Liabilities 3.82b) / Total Assets 24.6b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 13.1b / Total Assets 24.6b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Avg Total Assets 24.2b) |
| D: 1.57 (Book Value of Equity 12.3b / Total Liabilities 7.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.34 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 2.65b/2.64b, Revenue 16.0b/16.2b) |
| GMI: 0.77 (GM 13.36% / 17.38%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 16.0b / 16.2b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 698.5m - CFO 1.54b) / TA 24.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.13 with a total of 330,719 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.09%, over one month by +15.48%, over three months by +11.58% and over the past year by +75.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.70 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Ternium has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TX.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 56.7 | 2.8% |
P/E Trailing = 15.1239
P/E Forward = 9.1743
P/S = 0.6667
P/B = 0.8675
P/EG = 0.1283
Revenue TTM = 16.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 638.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 207.0m
Net Debt = 479.6m USD (calculated: Debt 3.21b - CCE 2.73b)
Enterprise Value = 11.1b USD (10.7b + Debt 3.21b - CCE 2.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.70 (Ebit TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 203.9m)
EV/FCF = -23.54x (Enterprise Value 11.1b / FCF TTM -473.7m)
FCF Yield = -4.25% (FCF TTM -473.7m / Enterprise Value 11.1b)
FCF Margin = -2.97% (FCF TTM -473.7m / Revenue TTM 16.0b)
Net Margin = 4.37% (Net Income TTM 698.5m / Revenue TTM 16.0b)
Gross Margin = 17.38% ((Revenue TTM 16.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.68% (prev 17.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 11.1b / Total Assets 24.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.35% (Interest Expense 203.9m / Debt 3.21b)
Taxrate = 32.63% (356.9m / 1.09b)
NOPAT = 782.9m (EBIT 1.16b * (1 - 32.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.58 (Total Current Assets 9.87b / Total Current Liabilities 3.82b)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 3.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.25 (Net Debt 479.6m / EBITDA 1.94b)
Debt / FCF = -1.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 479.6m / FCF TTM -473.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.88% (Net Income 698.5m / Total Assets 24.6b)
RoE = 5.77% (Net Income TTM 698.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.1b)
RoCE = 8.12% (EBIT 1.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.1b + L.T.Debt 2.21b))
RoIC = 3.81% (NOPAT 782.9m / Invested Capital 20.6b)
WACC = 7.95% (E(10.7b)/V(13.9b) * Re(9.05%) + D(3.21b)/V(13.9b) * Rd(6.35%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -473.7m)
EPS Correlation: -57.09 | EPS CAGR: -40.00% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -65.50 | Revenue CAGR: -5.59% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=+24.94% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.91 | Chg30d=+29.66% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+96.5% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.60 | Chg30d=+4.02% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-4.5% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=4, down=0)