(TX) Ternium - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Luxembourg • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8808901081

Steel Slabs, Plates, Coils, Bars, Pellets

TX EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of TX over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": 0.74, "2020-12-31": 2.11, "2021-03-31": 3.07, "2021-06-30": 5.21, "2021-09-30": 6.12, "2021-12-31": 5.08, "2022-03-31": 3.95, "2022-06-30": 4.07, "2022-09-30": 0.78, "2022-12-31": 0.2, "2023-03-31": 1.91, "2023-06-30": 3.19, "2023-09-30": 1.38, "2023-12-31": 2.11, "2024-03-31": 1.84, "2024-06-30": -0.11, "2024-09-30": 0.16, "2024-12-31": -0.42, "2025-03-31": 0.34, "2025-06-30": 1.28,

TX Revenue

Revenue of TX over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 2138.644, 2020-12-31: 2579.7, 2021-03-31: 3249.296, 2021-06-30: 3919.764, 2021-09-30: 4592.007, 2021-12-31: 4329.7, 2022-03-31: 4304.829, 2022-06-30: 4437.676, 2022-09-30: 4125.478, 2022-12-31: 3546, 2023-03-31: 3623, 2023-06-30: 3871.272, 2023-09-30: 5184.71, 2023-12-31: 4947.511385, 2024-03-31: 4742.35294, 2024-06-30: 4476.953905, 2024-09-30: 4426.090922, 2024-12-31: 3876.255, 2025-03-31: 3933, 2025-06-30: 3947,

Description: TX Ternium

Ternium S.A. is a steel manufacturing and distribution company operating globally, with a presence in Mexico, Southern Region, Brazil, and other international markets. The companys diversified product portfolio includes a range of steel products, such as slabs, heavy plates, and coated products, as well as iron ore and pellets through its Mining segment.

From a business perspective, Terniums revenue streams are likely influenced by the demand for steel products from various industries, including construction, automotive, and energy. The companys ability to generate cash flows is closely tied to the global steel market dynamics, including supply and demand imbalances, raw material costs, and trade policies.

Analyzing Terniums financials, we can observe that the company has a market capitalization of approximately $6 billion USD. The forward P/E ratio of 6.32 suggests that the company is relatively undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -2.85% indicates that the company has faced challenges in generating profits for its shareholders. To further assess the companys financial health, we can examine other KPIs such as Debt-to-Equity ratio, Interest Coverage ratio, and Operating Margin.

Some additional KPIs that can provide insights into Terniums performance include: - Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA ratio, which can help assess the companys valuation relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. - Steel production volumes and capacity utilization rates, which can indicate the companys operational efficiency and ability to meet demand. - Revenue breakdown by geography and product segment, which can help identify areas of strength and weakness. By examining these metrics, we can gain a more comprehensive understanding of Terniums financial and operational performance.

TX Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 6,594m
Sub-Industry Steel
IPO / Inception 2006-02-01

TX Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 35.1%
Fundamental 47.8%
Dividend Rating 78.8%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -6.21%
Analyst Rating 3.62 of 5

TX Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 8.35%
Yield on Cost 5y 20.63%
Annual Growth 5y 20.90%
Payout Consistency 87.1%
Payout Ratio 2.0%

TX Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 84.6%
Growth Correlation 12m 4.8%
Growth Correlation 5y 33.3%
CAGR 5y 15.22%
CAGR/Max DD 3y 0.36
CAGR/Mean DD 3y 1.21
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.59
Alpha 0.93
Beta 0.983
Volatility 28.09%
Current Volume 109.2k
Average Volume 20d 162.8k
Stop Loss 33.7 (-3.1%)
Signal 0.07

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (594.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 970.9m TTM)
FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 40.07% (prev 38.97%; Δ 1.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.91b > Net Income 594.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (716.0m) to EBITDA (1.87b) ratio: 0.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 2.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (196.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 13.36% (prev 19.14%; Δ -5.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 67.91% (prev 81.52%; Δ -13.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 5.23 (EBITDA TTM 1.87b / Interest Expense TTM 214.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.45

(A) 0.27 = (Total Current Assets 10.34b - Total Current Liabilities 3.86b) / Total Assets 23.92b
(B) 0.61 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.54b / Total Assets 23.92b
(C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.12b / Avg Total Assets 23.83b
(D) 2.26 = Book Value of Equity 16.55b / Total Liabilities 7.34b
Total Rating: 6.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.83

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50
2. FCF Yield 0.57% = 0.29
3. FCF Margin 0.25% = 0.06
4. Debt/Equity 0.20 = 2.48
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.28 = 1.33
6. ROIC - WACC -5.31% = -6.64
7. RoE 4.95% = 0.41
8. Rev. Trend 11.39% = 0.57
9. Rev. CAGR -1.60% = -0.27
10. EPS Trend -34.86% = -0.87
11. EPS CAGR 19.74% = 1.97

What is the price of TX shares?

As of September 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 34.79 with a total of 109,207 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.40%, over one month by +7.21%, over three months by +16.51% and over the past year by +11.50%.

Is Ternium a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Ternium (NYSE:TX) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 47.83 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TX is around 35.79 USD . This means that TX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.87%.

Is TX a buy, sell or hold?

Ternium has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TX.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TX price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 34.7 -0.3%
Analysts Target Price 34.7 -0.3%
ValueRay Target Price 39.4 13.4%

Last update: 2025-09-11 04:51

TX Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 6.59b (6.59b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.86b USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 11.1967
P/E Forward = 8.0972
P/S = 0.4061
P/B = 0.5493
P/EG = 4.03
Beta = 1.409
Revenue TTM = 16.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 597.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.41b USD (Calculated: Short Term 597.0m + Long Term 1.81b)
Net Debt = 716.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.14b USD (6.59b + Debt 2.41b - CCE 1.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.23 (Ebit TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 214.8m)
FCF Yield = 0.57% (FCF TTM 40.7m / Enterprise Value 7.14b)
FCF Margin = 0.25% (FCF TTM 40.7m / Revenue TTM 16.18b)
Net Margin = 3.68% (Net Income TTM 594.9m / Revenue TTM 16.18b)
Gross Margin = 13.36% ((Revenue TTM 16.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.43 (Enterprise Value 7.14b / Book Value Of Equity 16.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.32% (Interest Expense 56.0m / Debt 2.41b)
Taxrate = 76.13% (554.2m / 728.0m)
NOPAT = 268.1m (EBIT 1.12b * (1 - 76.13%))
Current Ratio = 2.68 (Total Current Assets 10.34b / Total Current Liabilities 3.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 2.41b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 12.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.28 (Net Debt 716.0m / EBITDA 1.87b)
Debt / FCF = 59.13 (Debt 2.41b / FCF TTM 40.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.01b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.49% (Net Income 594.9m, Total Assets 23.92b )
RoE = 4.95% (Net Income TTM 594.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.01b)
RoCE = 8.13% (Ebit 1.12b / (Equity 12.01b + L.T.Debt 1.81b))
RoIC = 1.89% (NOPAT 268.1m / Invested Capital 14.16b)
WACC = 7.21% (E(6.59b)/V(9.00b) * Re(9.64%)) + (D(2.41b)/V(9.00b) * Rd(2.32%) * (1-Tc(0.76)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.60% ; FCFE base≈494.8m ; Y1≈324.9m ; Y5≈148.6m
Fair Price DCF = 11.65 (DCF Value 2.29b / Shares Outstanding 196.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -34.86 | EPS CAGR: 19.74% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: False
Revenue Correlation: 11.39 | Revenue CAGR: -1.60%

Additional Sources for TX Stock

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