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(TX) Ternium - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Luxembourg • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8808901081

TX: Steel, Iron Ore, Energy

Ternium S.A., operating through its subsidiaries, is a leading producer and distributor of steel products, serving markets in Mexico, the Southern Region, Brazil, and internationally. The companys operations are divided into two primary segments: Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers a diverse range of products, including slabs, heavy plates, hot- and cold-rolled products, coated items, stamped steel components for automotive applications, roll-formed and tubular products, billets, bars, and energy sales. The Mining segment focuses on the production and sale of iron ore and pellets. Additionally, Ternium provides an array of services such as medical and social programs, scrap management, renewable energy solutions, engineering services, and operates as a distribution company. The firm is also engaged in the exploration, exploitation, and pelletizing of iron ore. Established in 1961, Ternium S.A. is headquartered in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg, and functions as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l. For more information, visit their website at https://www.ternium.com.

Ticker Symbol: TX Exchange: NYSE Type: common stock Country Origin: Luxembourg GICS Sub Industry: Steel Based on the provided data, Ternium SA ADR (TX) is expected to experience the following trends over the next three months: - Technical Outlook: The stock is currently trading at $28.51, slightly above its 20-day SMA of $28.09 but below the 50-day SMA of $29.79 and 200-day SMA of $31.93. This indicates potential short-term weakness with a possible test of support near the 20-day SMA. The ATR of 1.11 suggests moderate volatility, with expected price fluctuations within a $1.11 range over the next month. - Fundamental Outlook: With a market cap of $5.37 billion, Ternium is positioned as a mid-sized player in the steel industry. The forward P/E of 5.05 indicates undervaluation relative to future earnings expectations, while the P/B ratio of 0.45 suggests undervaluation relative to book value. The P/S ratio of 0.30 reflects modest revenue multiples. However, the negative RoE of -0.39 raises concerns about profitability and efficiency in capital utilization. - Expected Price Movement: Over the next three months, TX is likely to face headwinds from the steel industrys cyclical nature and global economic conditions. The stock may struggle to break above the 50-day SMA of $29.79, with potential resistance around that level. Support is expected to hold around the 20-day SMA of $28.09, with a possible downside target of $27.00 if support fails. The fundamental undervaluation metrics may attract value investors, potentially providing a floor for the stock price. - Volatility and Risk: The ATR of 1.11 indicates that the stock is expected to experience moderate volatility, with daily price swings of approximately 3.9%. Investors should be cautious of potential downside risks from weakening steel demand and rising input costs, which could further pressure margins and profitability. - Strategic Outlook: Terniums diversified product offerings and presence in growing markets in Latin America provide a strategic advantage. However, the companys profitability, as indicated by the negative RoE, will need to improve to sustain long-term growth and investor confidence. Managements ability to optimize operations and reduce costs will be critical in navigating the challenging industry environment. - Investment Consideration: Investors should closely monitor Terniums upcoming earnings reports and industry trends. The stocks valuation metrics suggest potential upside, but the negative profitability and industry headwinds pose significant risks. A cautious approach is recommended, with a focus on technical support levels and fundamental improvements as key indicators for investment decisions.

Additional Sources for TX Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma Stockcircle

TX Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 5,373m
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Steel
GiC Sub-Industry Steel
IPO / Inception 2006-02-01

TX Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 33.8
Fundamental -4.0
Dividend Rating 79.8
Rel. Strength -23.1
Analysts 3.62/5
Fair Price Momentum 33.52 USD
Fair Price DCF 4.15 USD

TX Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 15.80%
Yield on Cost 5y 50.05%
Annual Growth 5y 20.90%
Payout Consistency 87.1%

TX Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -36.9%
Growth Correlation 12m -86%
Growth Correlation 5y 50.6%
CAGR 5y 24.14%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 0.49
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.24
Alpha -33.78
Beta 0.496
Volatility 37.64%
Current Volume 353.8k
Average Volume 20d 202.7k
What is the price of TX stocks?
As of May 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 28.86 with a total of 353,784 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.77%, over one month by -7.38%, over three months by -3.80% and over the past year by -25.77%.
Is Ternium a good stock to buy?
Neither. Based on ValueRay Fundamental Analyses, Ternium is currently (May 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of -4.00 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of TX as of May 2025 is 33.52. This means that TX is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +16.15% (Margin of Safety).
Is TX a buy, sell or hold?
Ternium has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TX.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecast for TX stock price target?
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, TX Ternium will be worth about 36.3 in May 2026. The stock is currently trading at 28.86. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +25.81%.
Issuer Forecast Upside
Wallstreet Target Price 37.5 29.9%
Analysts Target Price 37.5 29.9%
ValueRay Target Price 36.3 25.8%