(TXT) Textron - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft, Helicopters, Vehicles, Systems, Finance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.78% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -16.45 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.507 |
| Beta | 0.960 |
| Beta Downside | 1.101 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.33% |
| Mean DD | 10.95% |
| Median DD | 10.53% |
Description: TXT Textron October 30, 2025
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) is a diversified industrial conglomerate operating across aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses, organized into six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance.
Textron Aviation builds and services business jets, turboprops, piston aircraft, and military trainers, while also selling commercial parts and providing MRO (maintenance, repair, overhaul) services. Bell supplies military and commercial helicopters and tilt-rotor aircraft, complemented by spare-part and support offerings.
Texcot Systems delivers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic warfare solutions, advanced marine craft, live-fire training, weapons, and armored vehicles. The Industrial segment produces blow-molded fuel tanks (including pressurized tanks for hybrid vehicles), clear-vision systems, battery housings for EVs, and a range of ground-support and turf-care equipment.
Textron eAviation focuses on light aircraft and gliders powered by electric or combustion engines, pursuing R&D for sustainable aviation. The Finance segment provides financing for new and pre-owned aircraft and Bell helicopters.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $13.5 billion, with the Aviation segment contributing roughly 55 % of total sales; operating cash flow exceeded $1.2 billion, supporting ongoing R&D in electric propulsion. The defense-spending environment remains a tailwind, as U.S. and allied budgets are projected to grow 3-4 % annually through 2028, bolstering demand for Bell’s rotary-wing platforms and Textron Systems’ unmanned solutions. Meanwhile, the electric-aviation market is expected to expand at a CAGR of ~15 % over the next decade, positioning Texcot eAviation to capture early-stage growth.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful for tracking Textron’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
TXT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 14,353m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-10-24 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -13.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.78 of 5 |
TXT Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.22% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.4% |
TXT Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 3.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.34 |
| Current Volume | 913k |
| Average Volume | 1328.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (892.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 849.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.87% (prev 27.04%; Δ -10.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.12b > Net Income 892.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.62b) to EBITDA (1.57b) ratio: 1.67 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (188.9m) change vs 12m ago -5.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.09% (prev 16.30%; Δ 0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 83.68% (prev 81.61%; Δ 2.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.34 (EBITDA TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.21
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 6.97b - Total Current Liabilities 4.58b) / Total Assets 17.38b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.28b / Total Assets 17.38b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 16.92b |
| (D) 0.62 = Book Value of Equity 6.13b / Total Liabilities 9.89b |
| Total Rating: 3.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.03
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.29% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.14% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.67 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.55)% |
| 7. RoE 12.13% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 51.03% |
| 9. EPS Trend 51.67% |
What is the price of TXT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.36%, over one month by -3.48%, over three months by +0.33% and over the past year by -2.75%.
Is TXT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TXT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 92.5 | 16.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 92.5 | 16.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 81.1 | 2% |
TXT Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.663
P/E Forward = 11.6144
P/S = 1.0082
P/B = 1.8984
P/EG = 0.8179
Beta = 1.016
Revenue TTM = 14.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 413.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.98b USD (14.35b + Debt 4.15b - CCE 1.52b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.34 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.29% (FCF TTM 728.0m / Enterprise Value 16.98b)
FCF Margin = 5.14% (FCF TTM 728.0m / Revenue TTM 14.16b)
Net Margin = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 892.0m / Revenue TTM 14.16b)
Gross Margin = 17.09% ((Revenue TTM 14.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.52% (prev 16.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 16.98b / Total Assets 17.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 4.15b)
Taxrate = 25.63% (81.0m / 316.0m)
NOPAT = 892.4m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 6.97b / Total Current Liabilities 4.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 4.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.67 (Net Debt 2.62b / EBITDA 1.57b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Net Debt 2.62b / FCF TTM 728.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.13% (Net Income 892.0m / Total Assets 17.38b)
RoE = 12.13% (Net Income TTM 892.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.35b)
RoCE = 11.18% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.35b + L.T.Debt 3.38b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 892.4m / Invested Capital 11.05b)
WACC = 7.53% (E(14.35b)/V(18.50b) * Re(9.55%) + D(4.15b)/V(18.50b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.07% ; FCFE base≈780.0m ; Y1≈668.1m ; Y5≈520.1m
Fair Price DCF = 41.98 (DCF Value 7.40b / Shares Outstanding 176.2m; 5y FCF grow -17.44% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 51.67 | EPS CAGR: 14.43% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 51.03 | Revenue CAGR: 2.99% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for TXT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle