(TXT) Textron - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft, Helicopters, Drones, Vehicles, Fuel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.16% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.58 |
| Alpha | 2.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.476 |
| Beta | 0.959 |
| Beta Downside | 1.080 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.33% |
| Mean DD | 11.24% |
| Median DD | 10.82% |
Description: TXT Textron January 02, 2026
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) operates across five core business lines-Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and eAviation-plus a Finance segment that provides aircraft and helicopter leasing. The Aviation unit builds business jets, turboprops, and military trainers; Bell supplies helicopters and tilt-rotor platforms; Systems focuses on unmanned aircraft, electronic warfare, and specialty vehicles; Industrial produces plastic fuel tanks, EV battery housings, and turf-care equipment; while eAviation develops electric-propulsion light aircraft and related sustainability R&D. The Finance arm underwrites purchases of new and pre-owned aircraft and Bell helicopters.
Key macro drivers include the rebound in commercial jet demand after the pandemic, which lifted Textron Aviation’s jet backlog to roughly $7 billion in Q4 2024, and sustained U.S. defense spending that supports Bell and Systems contracts. Additionally, the rapid growth of electric-propulsion and EV-related components aligns with the Industrial segment’s push into battery housings for automotive OEMs, a market projected to expand at a 10% CAGR through 2030.
Textron reported FY 2024 revenue of $13.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.10, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase driven largely by higher defense shipments and a modest recovery in business-jet deliveries. For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore the company’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (892.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 849.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.87% (prev 27.04%; Δ -10.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.12b > Net Income 892.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.62b) to EBITDA (1.57b) ratio: 1.67 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (188.9m) change vs 12m ago -5.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.09% (prev 16.30%; Δ 0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 83.68% (prev 81.61%; Δ 2.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.34 (EBITDA TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.21
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 6.97b - Total Current Liabilities 4.58b) / Total Assets 17.38b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.28b / Total Assets 17.38b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 16.92b |
| (D) 0.62 = Book Value of Equity 6.13b / Total Liabilities 9.89b |
| Total Rating: 3.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.08
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.75% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.14% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.67 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.39)% |
| 7. RoE 12.13% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 42.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend -4.57% |
What is the price of TXT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.36%, over one month by +2.51%, over three months by +13.08% and over the past year by +14.84%.
Is TXT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TXT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 98.4 | 5.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 98.4 | 5.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 100.9 | 8.3% |
TXT Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 13.5501
P/S = 1.1795
P/B = 2.2161
P/EG = 0.9548
Revenue TTM = 14.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 413.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.42b USD (16.79b + Debt 4.15b - CCE 1.52b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.34 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.67x (Enterprise Value 19.42b / FCF TTM 728.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.75% (FCF TTM 728.0m / Enterprise Value 19.42b)
FCF Margin = 5.14% (FCF TTM 728.0m / Revenue TTM 14.16b)
Net Margin = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 892.0m / Revenue TTM 14.16b)
Gross Margin = 17.09% ((Revenue TTM 14.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.52% (prev 16.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 19.42b / Total Assets 17.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 4.15b)
Taxrate = 25.63% (81.0m / 316.0m)
NOPAT = 892.4m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 6.97b / Total Current Liabilities 4.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 4.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.67 (Net Debt 2.62b / EBITDA 1.57b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Net Debt 2.62b / FCF TTM 728.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.27% (Net Income 892.0m / Total Assets 17.38b)
RoE = 12.13% (Net Income TTM 892.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.35b)
RoCE = 11.18% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.35b + L.T.Debt 3.38b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 892.4m / Invested Capital 11.05b)
WACC = 7.69% (E(16.79b)/V(20.94b) * Re(9.45%) + D(4.15b)/V(20.94b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.88% ; FCFF base≈780.0m ; Y1≈668.0m ; Y5≈518.8m
Fair Price DCF = 41.98 (EV 10.02b - Net Debt 2.62b = Equity 7.40b / Shares 176.2m; r=7.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -17.44% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -4.57 | EPS CAGR: -42.01% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.05 | Revenue CAGR: -0.48% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.42 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.84 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
Additional Sources for TXT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle