TXT Stock Analysis: Textron | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.028m USD | 12M Return: -15% | US8832031012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 145M
EPS Trend: 76.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 90.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Textron Inc. is a diversified industrial conglomerate headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, operating across six business segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The company manufactures business jets, turboprop and piston aircraft, military helicopters, tiltrotor aircraft, unmanned aerial systems, and armored vehicles, while also producing industrial products such as fuel tanks, battery systems for electric vehicles, golf cars, and turf-maintenance equipment. Its Finance segment provides financing solutions for aviation aircraft and Bell helicopters, complementing the companys manufacturing operations with captive lending services.
As an Aerospace & Defense company within the Industrials sector, Textron benefits from long product lifecycles and multi-year defense contracts, particularly through its Bell and Textron Systems segments, which supply rotorcraft and military platforms to governments worldwide. The companys diversification across commercial aviation, defense, industrial manufacturing, and financial services provides revenue stability across varying economic cycles.
- Bell wins FLRAA contract, boosting long-term defense backlog
- Business jet demand softens on weak corporate spending outlook
- Kautex margin pressure rises as EV transition reduces fuel tank demand
| Net Income: 937.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.30 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.23% < 20% (prev 21.80%; Δ 4.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.24b > Net Income 937.0m |
| Net Debt (2.20b) to EBITDA (1.68b): 1.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (171.9m) vs 12m ago -3.49% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.50% > 18% (prev 20.35%; Δ -3.85% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 86.90% > 50% (prev 82.35%; Δ 4.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 104.0m) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 8.68b - Total Current Liabilities 4.66b) / Total Assets 18.1b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 6.25b / Total Assets 18.1b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.28b / Avg Total Assets 17.6b) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 8.05b / Total Liabilities 10.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.90 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.51 (Receivables 1.44b/877.0m, Revenue 15.3b/14.1b) |
| GMI: 1.23 (GM 20.35% / 16.50%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 15.3b / 14.1b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 937.0m - CFO 1.24b) / TA 18.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.36 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 73.22 with a total of 2,056,260 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.12%, over one month by -7.92%, over three months by -18.47% and over the past year by -15.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 70.80 (which is 3.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Textron has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.81. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TXT.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 101.5 | 38.6% |
P/E Trailing = 14.2655
P/E Forward = 10.395
P/S = 0.8516
P/B = 1.6402
P/EG = 0.896
Revenue TTM = 15.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.68b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 355.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.20b USD (calculated: Debt 3.81b - CCE 1.61b)
Enterprise Value = 15.2b USD (13.0b + Debt 3.81b - CCE 1.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.32 (Ebit TTM 1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 104.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.06x (Enterprise Value 15.2b / FCF TTM 759.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.98% (FCF TTM 759.0m / Enterprise Value 15.2b)
FCF Margin = 4.96% (FCF TTM 759.0m / Revenue TTM 15.3b)
Net Margin = 6.12% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Revenue TTM 15.3b)
Gross Margin = 16.50% ((Revenue TTM 15.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.13% (prev 18.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 15.2b / Total Assets 18.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.73% (Interest Expense 104.0m / Debt 3.81b)
Taxrate = 19.47% (227.0m / 1.17b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.28b * (1 - 19.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.86 (Total Current Assets 8.68b / Total Current Liabilities 4.66b)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 3.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt 2.20b / EBITDA 1.68b)
Debt / FCF = 2.90 (Net Debt 2.20b / FCF TTM 759.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.32% (Net Income 937.0m / Total Assets 18.1b)
RoE = 11.93% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.86b)
RoCE = 11.33% (EBIT 1.28b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.86b + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 13.1b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(13.0b)/V(16.8b) * Re(9.01%) + D(3.81b)/V(16.8b) * Rd(2.73%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.94 | Cagr: -5.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.86% ; FCFF base≈721.0m ; Y1≈821.7m ; Y5≈1.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 91.58 (EV 17.9b - Net Debt 2.20b = Equity 15.8b / Shares 172.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.31% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 76.28 | EPS CAGR: 5.40% | SUE: 1.27 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 90.09 | Revenue CAGR: 4.31% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=-0.97% | Revisions=-83% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.46 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=-53% | GrowthEPS=+5.9% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.27 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=-24% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -61% (up=7, down=34)