(TXT) Textron - Overview
Stock: Aircraft, Helicopters, Drones, Vehicles, Fuel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.16% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.23% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.83 |
| Alpha | 12.86 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.969 |
| Beta Downside | 1.046 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.25 |
Description: TXT Textron January 02, 2026
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) operates across five core business lines-Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and eAviation-plus a Finance segment that provides aircraft and helicopter leasing. The Aviation unit builds business jets, turboprops, and military trainers; Bell supplies helicopters and tilt-rotor platforms; Systems focuses on unmanned aircraft, electronic warfare, and specialty vehicles; Industrial produces plastic fuel tanks, EV battery housings, and turf-care equipment; while eAviation develops electric-propulsion light aircraft and related sustainability R&D. The Finance arm underwrites purchases of new and pre-owned aircraft and Bell helicopters.
Key macro drivers include the rebound in commercial jet demand after the pandemic, which lifted Textron Aviation’s jet backlog to roughly $7 billion in Q4 2024, and sustained U.S. defense spending that supports Bell and Systems contracts. Additionally, the rapid growth of electric-propulsion and EV-related components aligns with the Industrial segment’s push into battery housings for automotive OEMs, a market projected to expand at a 10% CAGR through 2030.
Textron reported FY 2024 revenue of $13.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.10, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase driven largely by higher defense shipments and a modest recovery in business-jet deliveries. For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore the company’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 827.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 41.13% < 20% (prev 24.53%; Δ 16.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 827.0m |
| Net Debt (1.59b) to EBITDA (1.49b): 1.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (177.1m) vs 12m ago -10.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.36% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 2019 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.43% > 50% (prev 81.26%; Δ 0.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.53 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m) |
Altman Z'' 4.48
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 7.04b - Total Current Liabilities 1.19b) / Total Assets 18.13b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 6.28b / Total Assets 18.13b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.10b / Avg Total Assets 17.48b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 7.88b / Total Liabilities 10.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.48 = AA |
Beneish M -3.47
| DSRI: 0.51 (Receivables 823.0m/1.55b, Revenue 14.24b/13.68b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 20.36% / 16.65%) |
| AQI: 1.20 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 14.24b / 13.68b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 827.0m - CFO 1.27b) / TA 18.13b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.47 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TXT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.38%, over one month by +5.96%, over three months by +18.69% and over the past year by +26.94%.
Is TXT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TXT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 97.9 | 2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 97.9 | 2.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 104.9 | 9.9% |
TXT Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.6422
P/S = 1.0544
P/B = 1.9652
P/EG = 0.8899
Revenue TTM = 14.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.49b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.38b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.59b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.20b USD (15.60b + Debt 3.53b - CCE 1.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.53 (Ebit TTM 1.10b / Interest Expense TTM 116.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.46x (Enterprise Value 17.20b / FCF TTM 884.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 884.0m / Enterprise Value 17.20b)
FCF Margin = 6.21% (FCF TTM 884.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Net Margin = 5.81% (Net Income TTM 827.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Gross Margin = 20.36% ((Revenue TTM 14.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.94% (prev 18.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 17.20b / Total Assets 18.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 3.53b)
Taxrate = 12.51% (118.0m / 943.0m)
NOPAT = 966.7m (EBIT 1.10b * (1 - 12.51%))
Current Ratio = 5.94 (Total Current Assets 7.04b / Total Current Liabilities 1.19b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 3.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.07 (Net Debt 1.59b / EBITDA 1.49b)
Debt / FCF = 1.80 (Net Debt 1.59b / FCF TTM 884.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.73% (Net Income 827.0m / Total Assets 18.13b)
RoE = 11.00% (Net Income TTM 827.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.52b)
RoCE = 10.14% (EBIT 1.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.52b + L.T.Debt 3.38b))
RoIC = 8.68% (NOPAT 966.7m / Invested Capital 11.13b)
WACC = 7.86% (E(15.60b)/V(19.14b) * Re(9.49%) + D(3.53b)/V(19.14b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 9.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -8.27%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.18% ; FCFF base≈876.0m ; Y1≈750.2m ; Y5≈582.7m
Fair Price DCF = 52.69 (EV 10.88b - Net Debt 1.59b = Equity 9.29b / Shares 176.2m; r=7.86% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -17.44% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 79.85 | EPS CAGR: 19.75% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.69 | Revenue CAGR: 6.24% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=-0.087 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.52 | Chg30d=-0.327 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+6.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.44 | Chg30d=-0.180 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%