(UAA) Under Armour - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.53 |
| Alpha | -73.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.455 |
| Beta | 1.189 |
| Beta Downside | 1.223 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.37% |
| Mean DD | 40.81% |
| Median DD | 42.61% |
Description: UAA Under Armour November 08, 2025
Under Armour Inc. (NYSE: UAA) designs, markets and distributes performance-focused apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth across a broad fit spectrum (compression, fitted, loose). Its product portfolio spans sport-specific shoes (running, training, basketball, cleated sports, recovery, outdoor) and a suite of accessories (gloves, bags, headwear, socks), while also monetizing brand licensing, digital subscriptions and advertising. The company sells through wholesale partners (national and regional sporting-goods chains, specialty retailers, department stores, institutional athletic departments, leagues and teams) and directly via its own retail stores, factory-outlet locations and e-commerce platforms, operating in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, APAC and Latin America.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $5.9 billion, a 2 % YoY increase driven largely by a 12 % rise in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales, which now represent roughly 30 % of total revenue; gross margin held at 48 % despite higher freight and input costs; and inventory turnover improved to 3.1×, reflecting better demand forecasting after the 2022 supply-chain disruptions. The brand’s “Connected Fitness” subscription service (including the UA Record platform) added approximately 1.2 million active users, contributing incremental recurring revenue.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect UAA include: (1) the macro-economic health of discretionary consumer spending, where a 1 % change in US consumer confidence historically correlates with a 0.3 % swing in athleisure sales; (2) the ongoing shift toward DTC and digital channels, which typically yields higher contribution margins (≈ 5-7 % premium) but requires sustained investment in logistics and technology; and (3) raw-material price volatility (e.g., polyester and rubber), which can compress margins if not hedged effectively. Monitoring these variables helps isolate the portion of Under Armour’s performance attributable to broader industry dynamics versus company-specific execution.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Under Armour’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it useful to explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-87.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 302.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.90% (prev 25.71%; Δ -1.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 137.0m > Net Income -87.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (793.2m) to EBITDA (86.5m) ratio: 9.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (423.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.40% (prev 46.82%; Δ 0.57pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 107.5% (prev 120.2%; Δ -12.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.19 (EBITDA TTM 86.5m / Interest Expense TTM 10.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.30
| (A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 1.74b) / Total Assets 4.90b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 692.1m / Total Assets 4.90b |
| (C) -0.00 = EBIT TTM -12.7m / Avg Total Assets 4.70b |
| (D) 0.23 = Book Value of Equity 692.3m / Total Liabilities 3.04b |
| Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 33.22
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.70 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.17 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.57)% |
| 7. RoE -4.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -54.20% |
| 9. EPS Trend -16.98% |
What is the price of UAA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.84%, over one month by -9.98%, over three months by -10.72% and over the past year by -54.85%.
Is UAA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the UAA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6 | 37.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6 | 37.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.2 | -26.6% |
UAA Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Forward = 144.9275
P/S = 0.366
P/B = 1.0393
P/EG = 2.225
Beta = 1.828
Revenue TTM = 5.05b USD
EBIT TTM = -12.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 86.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 589.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 599.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 793.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.75b USD (1.85b + Debt 1.30b - CCE 396.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.19 (Ebit TTM -12.7m / Interest Expense TTM 10.7m)
FCF Yield = -1.63% (FCF TTM -44.9m / Enterprise Value 2.75b)
FCF Margin = -0.89% (FCF TTM -44.9m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Net Margin = -1.74% (Net Income TTM -87.6m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Gross Margin = 47.40% ((Revenue TTM 5.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.66b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.29% (prev 48.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 2.75b / Total Assets 4.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 4.04m / Debt 1.30b)
Taxrate = 345.9% (out of range, set to none) (25.9m / 7.50m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.69 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 1.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 1.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.17 (Net Debt 793.2m / EBITDA 86.5m)
Debt / FCF = -17.66 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 793.2m / FCF TTM -44.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.79% (Net Income -87.6m / Total Assets 4.90b)
RoE = -4.61% (Net Income TTM -87.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.90b)
RoCE = -0.51% (EBIT -12.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.90b + L.T.Debt 589.8m))
RoIC = -0.46% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -12.7m / (Assets 4.90b - Curr.Liab 1.74b - Cash 396.0m))
WACC = 6.11% (E(1.85b)/V(3.15b) * Re(10.40%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.79%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -44.9m)
EPS Correlation: -16.98 | EPS CAGR: -28.40% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -54.20 | Revenue CAGR: -3.59% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-84.8% | Growth Revenue=-4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+335.6% | Growth Revenue=+1.7%
Additional Sources for UAA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle