(UAN) CVR Partners - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Agricultural Inputs | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.369m USD | Total Return: 70.9% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +18.3
Avg Turnover: 9.56M
EPS Trend: -12.1%
Rev. Trend: -45.5%
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
CVR Partners, LP (NYSE: UAN) is a Sugar Land, Texas-based limited partnership focused on the manufacturing and distribution of nitrogen fertilizer products, specifically ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). The company operates production facilities that serve a diverse client base across the agricultural and industrial sectors in the United States.
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is characterized by its sensitivity to natural gas and anthracite coal prices, which serve as the primary raw material feedstocks for production. Unlike phosphate or potash, nitrogen-based fertilizers must be applied annually by farmers to maintain crop yields, creating a recurring demand cycle tied to the corn and wheat planting seasons. Investors interested in deeper fundamental metrics should evaluate the company’s performance data on ValueRay.
- High natural gas input costs reduce nitrogen fertilizer production profit margins
- Corn and wheat planting acreage fluctuates driving seasonal demand for UAN
- Ammonia pricing volatility impacts revenue realization across agricultural and industrial segments
- Domestic nitrogen supply balances shift based on global urea import volumes
- EPA carbon emission regulations increase operational overhead at nitrogen manufacturing facilities
| Net Income: 121.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.29 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.84% < 20% (prev 27.41%; Δ -0.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 170.0m > Net Income 121.5m |
| Net Debt (451.3m) to EBITDA (266.4m): 1.69 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (10.6m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.34% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 2.51k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.30% > 50% (prev 53.31%; Δ 10.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.38 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 266.4m / Interest Expense TTM 76.8m) |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 52.8m/41.6m, Revenue 643.2m/540.5m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 25.34% / 24.78%) |
| AQI: 1.48 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 643.2m / 540.5m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 121.5m - CFO 170.0m) / TA 1.02b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.47%, over one month by +6.60%, over three months by +22.30% and over the past year by +70.88%.
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | -92.5% |
P/E Forward = 10.2041
P/S = 2.128
P/B = 4.2798
P/EG = -1.3
Revenue TTM = 643.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 182.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 266.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 548.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.59m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 579.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 451.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (1.37b + Debt 579.4m - CCE 128.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 182.6m / Interest Expense TTM 76.8m)
EV/FCF = 16.24x (Enterprise Value 1.82b / FCF TTM 112.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.16% (FCF TTM 112.0m / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = 17.42% (FCF TTM 112.0m / Revenue TTM 643.2m)
Net Margin = 18.89% (Net Income TTM 121.5m / Revenue TTM 643.2m)
Gross Margin = 25.34% ((Revenue TTM 643.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 480.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.47% (prev 4.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 1.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 7.85m / Debt 579.4m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 49.9m)
NOPAT = 182.6m (EBIT 182.6m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.75 (Total Current Assets 271.2m / Total Current Liabilities 98.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.86 (Debt 579.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 311.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.69 (Net Debt 451.3m / EBITDA 266.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.03 (Net Debt 451.3m / FCF TTM 112.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 303.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.96% (Net Income 121.5m / Total Assets 1.02b)
RoE = 40.08% (Net Income TTM 121.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 303.1m)
RoCE = 21.44% (EBIT 182.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 303.1m + L.T.Debt 548.6m))
RoIC = 21.45% (NOPAT 182.6m / Invested Capital 851.5m)
WACC = 4.91% (E(1.37b)/V(1.95b) * Re(6.42%) + D(579.4m)/V(1.95b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 6.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 84.08% ; FCFF base≈117.1m ; Y1≈95.9m ; Y5≈68.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 154.3 (EV 2.08b - Net Debt 451.3m = Equity 1.63b / Shares 10.6m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -21.78% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -12.11 | EPS CAGR: -20.42% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -45.54 | Revenue CAGR: -7.79% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0