(UAN) CVR Partners - Ratings and Ratios
Ammonia, Urea, Nitrogen Fertilizer
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 12.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 170.04% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 12.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 55.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 99.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.54 |
| Alpha | 35.96 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.54 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.558 |
| Beta | 0.491 |
| Beta Downside | 0.743 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.64% |
| Mean DD | 10.03% |
| Median DD | 9.51% |
Description: UAN CVR Partners November 18, 2025
CVR Partners, LP (NYSE: UAN) and its subsidiaries manufacture and market nitrogen-based fertilizers-primarily ammonia and urea-ammonium nitrate-in the United States, serving both agricultural and industrial end-users. The firm was incorporated in 2007, is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, and operates as a subsidiary of CVR Energy, Inc.
Key operational metrics that investors watch include its annual ammonia production capacity of roughly 2.5 million metric tons, a gross margin that typically ranges between 7-9 % (highly sensitive to natural-gas input costs), and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.0× as of the latest quarter. Recent earnings releases show a free-cash-flow conversion of about 30 % of net income, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of fertilizer plants.
The sector’s performance is driven by three macro-level forces: (1) global nitrogen demand tied to corn and soybean planting acreage, (2) natural-gas price volatility-which accounts for roughly 70 % of fertilizer production cost-and (3) regulatory trends around nitrogen runoff and emissions that can affect both supply constraints and pricing power. Seasonal weather patterns and USDA crop-price outlooks further amplify earnings swings.
For a deeper quantitative view of UAN’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (127.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 36.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 29.42% (prev 23.03%; Δ 6.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 184.0m > Net Income 127.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (428.7m) to EBITDA (271.1m) ratio: 1.58 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (10.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.91% (prev 20.89%; Δ 6.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 60.73% (prev 53.45%; Δ 7.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.09 (EBITDA TTM 271.1m / Interest Expense TTM 60.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 74.50
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.46% |
| 3. FCF Margin 22.53% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.84 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.58 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.65)% |
| 7. RoE 41.38% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -62.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend -20.12% |
What is the price of UAN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.08%, over one month by -2.01%, over three months by +10.17% and over the past year by +45.10%.
Is UAN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the UAN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.5 | -90.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | -90.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 125.6 | 31.5% |
UAN Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.1271
P/S = 1.6424
P/B = 3.1689
P/EG = -1.3
Beta = 0.843
Revenue TTM = 614.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 188.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 271.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 548.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 584.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 428.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.46b USD (1.03b + Debt 584.9m - CCE 156.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.09 (Ebit TTM 188.2m / Interest Expense TTM 60.9m)
FCF Yield = 9.46% (FCF TTM 138.4m / Enterprise Value 1.46b)
FCF Margin = 22.53% (FCF TTM 138.4m / Revenue TTM 614.5m)
Net Margin = 20.70% (Net Income TTM 127.2m / Revenue TTM 614.5m)
Gross Margin = 26.91% ((Revenue TTM 614.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 449.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.48% (prev 32.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 1.46b / Total Assets 1.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.53% (Interest Expense 38.2m / Debt 584.9m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 43.1m)
NOPAT = 188.2m (EBIT 188.2m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.68 (Total Current Assets 288.6m / Total Current Liabilities 107.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.84 (Debt 584.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 318.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.58 (Net Debt 428.7m / EBITDA 271.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.10 (Net Debt 428.7m / FCF TTM 138.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 307.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.27% (Net Income 127.2m / Total Assets 1.04b)
RoE = 41.38% (Net Income TTM 127.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 307.4m)
RoCE = 21.99% (EBIT 188.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 307.4m + L.T.Debt 548.3m))
RoIC = 22.00% (NOPAT 188.2m / Invested Capital 855.5m)
WACC = 7.35% (E(1.03b)/V(1.62b) * Re(7.82%) + D(584.9m)/V(1.62b) * Rd(6.53%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 7.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.82% ; FCFE base≈119.4m ; Y1≈91.8m ; Y5≈57.6m
Fair Price DCF = 102.3 (DCF Value 1.08b / Shares Outstanding 10.6m; 5y FCF grow -27.44% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -20.12 | EPS CAGR: -8.82% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -62.33 | Revenue CAGR: -3.77% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for UAN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle