(UAN) CVR Partners - Ratings and Ratios
Nitrogen,Fertilizer,Urea,Ammonium,Nitrate
UAN EPS (Earnings per Share)
UAN Revenue
Description: UAN CVR Partners
UAN operates as a publicly traded U.S. fertilizer and agricultural chemicals producer, classified under the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sub‑industry. Its market capitalization hovers around $950 million, positioning it as a mid‑cap player with a price‑to‑earnings multiple near 11, reflecting modest valuation relative to peers.
Return on equity stands at roughly 29 %, indicating efficient capital utilization, while the company sustains a dividend yield in the high‑single‑digit range, supported by free cash flow generation exceeding $150 million annually. Net profit margins consistently exceed 10 %, and EBITDA margins are anchored above 20 % due to scale in nitrogen‑based product lines.
Key economic drivers include global grain demand, which fuels fertilizer consumption, and the price of natural gas, the primary feedstock for nitrogen production. Seasonal planting cycles, weather anomalies, and geopolitical tensions affecting gas supply materially impact cost structures and pricing power. UAN’s exposure to North American corn and soy markets aligns revenue with commodity price trends.
Risk vectors comprise commodity price volatility, reflected in a beta slightly above 1, and leverage levels that remain moderate with a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 0.6. Regulatory scrutiny over nitrogen emissions and potential shifts in agricultural policy represent additional downside considerations.
UAN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 930m |
| Sub-Industry | Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-04-08 |
UAN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 59.7% |
| Fundamental | 67.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 67.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 23.3% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
UAN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 11.46% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 215.40% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.52% |
| Payout Consistency | 55.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 109.2% |
UAN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 58.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 70.9% |
| CAGR 5y | 5.84% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.33 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.45 |
| Alpha | 31.61 |
| Beta | 0.779 |
| Volatility | 26.66% |
| Current Volume | 15.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 14.1k |
| Stop Loss | 85.3 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.56 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (88.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 34.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.66% (prev 23.30%; Δ -15.64pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 179.0m > Net Income 88.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-114.4m) to EBITDA (205.7m) ratio: -0.56 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (10.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.31% (prev 20.40%; Δ -5.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.87% (prev 55.53%; Δ 3.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.94 (EBITDA TTM 205.7m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.49
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 114.4m - Total Current Liabilities 70.3m) / Total Assets 998.0m |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 286.8m / Total Assets 998.0m |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 118.0m / Avg Total Assets 978.7m |
| (D) 0.43 = Book Value of Equity 293.1m / Total Liabilities 681.5m |
| Total Rating: 2.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.40
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.87% = 2.43 |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.60% = 2.90 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.76 = 1.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.71 = -1.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 7.83% = 9.79 |
| 7. RoE 29.35% = 2.45 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -51.00% = -2.55 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 2.74% = 0.34 |
| 10. EPS Trend 9.34% = 0.23 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of UAN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.03%, over one month by -2.09%, over three months by +11.71% and over the past year by +46.80%.
Is CVR Partners a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UAN is around 96.75 USD . This means that UAN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 9.93%.
Is UAN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the UAN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.5 | -89.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | -89.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 105.5 | 19.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-09 04:49
UAN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 114.4m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 10.5745
P/S = 1.6139
P/B = 2.9377
P/EG = -1.3
Beta = 1.165
Revenue TTM = 576.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 118.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 205.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 548.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.88m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 557.0m USD (Calculated: Short Term 8.88m + Long Term 548.1m)
Net Debt = -114.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.37b USD (929.9m + Debt 557.0m - CCE 114.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.94 (Ebit TTM 118.0m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.87% (FCF TTM 66.8m / Enterprise Value 1.37b)
FCF Margin = 11.60% (FCF TTM 66.8m / Revenue TTM 576.2m)
Net Margin = 15.27% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Revenue TTM 576.2m)
Gross Margin = 15.31% ((Revenue TTM 576.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 487.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.68 (Enterprise Value 1.37b / Book Value Of Equity 293.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.36% (Interest Expense 7.58m / Debt 557.0m)
Taxrate = 0.13% (77.0k / 61.0m)
NOPAT = 117.8m (EBIT 118.0m * (1 - 0.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 114.4m / Total Current Liabilities 70.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.76 (Debt 557.0m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 316.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.71 (Net Debt -114.4m / EBITDA 205.7m)
Debt / FCF = 8.33 (Debt 557.0m / FCF TTM 66.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 299.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 8.81% (Net Income 88.0m, Total Assets 998.0m )
RoE = 29.35% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 299.7m)
RoCE = 13.92% (Ebit 118.0m / (Equity 299.7m + L.T.Debt 548.1m))
RoIC = 13.90% (NOPAT 117.8m / Invested Capital 847.6m)
WACC = 6.07% (E(929.9m)/V(1.49b) * Re(8.89%)) + (D(557.0m)/V(1.49b) * Rd(1.36%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Discount Rate = 8.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.32% ; FCFE base≈69.3m ; Y1≈53.2m ; Y5≈33.3m
Fair Price DCF = 51.14 (DCF Value 540.6m / Shares Outstanding 10.6m; 5y FCF grow -27.59% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -51.00 | Revenue CAGR: 2.74%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 35.14
EPS Correlation: 9.34 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 43.10
Additional Sources for UAN Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle