UAN Stock Analysis: CVR | NYSE

Agricultural Inputs | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.157m USD | 12M Return: 25.3% | US1266332055 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Nitrogen Fertilizer, Ammonia, Urea Ammonium Nitrate
Total Rating 59
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.53
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Sub-Industry Rotation: -3.4
Market Cap: 1.16B
Avg Turnover: 3.01M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.1%
VaR 5th Pctl4.73%
VaR vs Median-11.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.66
Rel. Str. IBD52.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group77.3 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.061
Beta Downside-0.141
Hurst Exponent0.537
Choppyness43.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.07%
CAGR/Max DD1.14
CAGR/Mean DD3.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UAN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3.28, "2021-12": 5.76, "2022-03": 8.78, "2022-06": 11.12, "2022-09": -1.87, "2022-12": 9.02, "2023-03": 9.64, "2023-06": 5.66, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.9437, "2024-03": 1.1901, "2024-06": 2.4805, "2024-09": 0.3602, "2024-12": 1.7308, "2025-03": 2.5627, "2025-06": 3.67, "2025-09": 4.0749, "2025-12": -0.97, "2026-03": 4.7221, "2026-06": 7.33, "2026-09": -1.02,
EPS CAGR: 18.92%
EPS Trend: 38.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of UAN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 144.715, 2021-12: 188.921, 2022-03: 222.873, 2022-06: 244, 2022-09: 156.478, 2022-12: 212.233, 2023-03: 226.261, 2023-06: 183.005, 2023-09: 130.592, 2023-12: 141.619, 2024-03: 127.665, 2024-06: 132.901, 2024-09: 125.203, 2024-12: 139.555, 2025-03: 142.866, 2025-06: 168.559, 2025-09: 163.549, 2025-12: 131.065, 2026-03: 180.048, 2026-06: 202.194, 2026-09: 146.152,
Rev. CAGR: 5.06%
Rev. Trend: 45.4%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb -0.8% 0
Mar -0.3% 4
Apr +1.3% 28
May +1.1% 14
Jun -3.8% 14
Jul +3.3% 14
Aug -5.9% 28
Sep -2.7% 14
Oct +0.1% 0
Nov -1.4% 0
Dec -1.1% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: UAN CVR

CVR Partners, LP (NYSE: UAN) is a U.S.-based limited partnership that produces and sells nitrogen fertilizer, primarily offering ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) products to agricultural and industrial customers. As a master limited partnership (MLP), it is structured to pass through cash flows to unitholders, a common arrangement in the energy and commodity processing sectors. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. It trades as a small-cap stock in the Materials sector under the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sub-industry, with an IPO date of April 2011.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Natural gas prices compress ammonia production margins
  • Spring planting demand drives nitrogen fertilizer volumes
  • Corn acreage outlook fuels farmer nitrogen purchasing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 106.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 17.78% < 20% (prev 29.42%; Δ -11.64% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 236.8m > Net Income 106.4m
Net Debt (437.4m) to EBITDA (194.9m): 2.24 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (10.6m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 26.52% > 18% (prev 26.91%; Δ -0.38% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 62.99% > 50% (prev 59.25%; Δ 3.74% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 106.5m / Interest Expense TTM 45.6m)
Beneish M -2.53
DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 53.8m/47.8m, Revenue 659.5m/614.5m)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 26.91% / 26.52%)
AQI: 1.68 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 659.5m / 614.5m)
TATA: -0.12 (NI 106.4m - CFO 236.8m) / TA 1.06b)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of UAN shares?

As of November 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 112.60 with a total of 13,197 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.85%, over one month by -10.78%, over three months by -5.24% and over the past year by +25.30%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 103.70 (which is 7.9% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is UAN a buy, sell or hold?

CVR has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the UAN price?
Analysts Target Price 117 3.9%
CVR (UAN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.16b (1.16b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.0706
P/E Forward = 10.2041
P/S = 1.785
P/B = 4.2548
P/EG = -1.3
Revenue TTM = 659.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 106.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 194.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 548.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 847k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 595.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.8m
Net Debt = 437.4m USD (calculated: Debt 595.5m - CCE 158.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.59b USD (1.16b + Debt 595.5m - CCE 158.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.33 (Ebit TTM 106.5m / Interest Expense TTM 45.6m)
EV/FCF = 10.72x (Enterprise Value 1.59b / FCF TTM 148.7m)
FCF Yield = 9.33% (FCF TTM 148.7m / Enterprise Value 1.59b)
FCF Margin = 22.55% (FCF TTM 148.7m / Revenue TTM 659.5m)
Net Margin = 16.14% (Net Income TTM 106.4m / Revenue TTM 659.5m)
Gross Margin = 26.52% ((Revenue TTM 659.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 484.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.79% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.51 (Enterprise Value 1.59b / Total Assets 1.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.66% (Interest Expense 45.6m / Debt 595.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 84.1m (EBIT 106.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 298.7m / Total Current Liabilities 181.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.19 (Debt 595.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.24 (Net Debt 437.4m / EBITDA 194.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.94 (Net Debt 437.4m / FCF TTM 148.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 299.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.16% (Net Income 106.4m / Total Assets 1.06b)
RoE = 35.58% (Net Income TTM 106.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 299.1m)
RoCE = 12.55% (EBIT 106.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 299.1m + L.T.Debt 548.9m))
RoIC = 9.98% (NOPAT 84.1m / Invested Capital 843.0m)
WACC = 5.92% (E(1.16b)/V(1.75b) * Re(5.86%) + D(595.5m)/V(1.75b) * Rd(7.66%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.37% ; FCFF base≈144.6m ; Y1≈154.1m ; Y5≈183.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 226.0 (EV 2.83b - Net Debt 437.4m = Equity 2.39b / Shares 10.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 7.41% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 38.30 | EPS CAGR: 18.92% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.36 | Revenue CAGR: 5.06% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.79 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1