UAN Stock Analysis: CVR | NYSE

Agricultural Inputs | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.331m USD | 12M Return: 67.8% | US1266332055 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Nitrogen Fertilizer, Ammonia, Urea Ammonium Nitrate
Total Rating 66
Safety 72
Buy Signal 1.28
Agricultural Inputs
Industry Rotation: +21.0
Market Cap: 1.33B
Avg Turnover: 5.96M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.81%
VaR vs Median-10.8%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.38
Rel. Str. IBD86.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group87.5
Character TTM
Beta0.071
Beta Downside-0.195
Hurst Exponent0.539
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.07%
CAGR/Max DD1.31
CAGR/Mean DD3.91
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UAN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 3.28, "2021-12": 5.76, "2022-03": 8.78, "2022-06": 11.12, "2022-09": -1.87, "2022-12": 9.02, "2023-03": 9.64, "2023-06": 5.66, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.9437, "2024-03": 1.1901, "2024-06": 2.4805, "2024-09": 0.3602, "2024-12": 1.7308, "2025-03": 2.5627, "2025-06": 3.67, "2025-09": 4.0749, "2025-12": -0.97, "2026-03": 4.7221, "2026-06": 7.33,
EPS CAGR: -0.98%
EPS Trend: -1.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of UAN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 144.715, 2021-12: 188.921, 2022-03: 222.873, 2022-06: 244, 2022-09: 156.478, 2022-12: 212.233, 2023-03: 226.261, 2023-06: 183.005, 2023-09: 130.592, 2023-12: 141.619, 2024-03: 127.665, 2024-06: 132.901, 2024-09: 125.203, 2024-12: 139.555, 2025-03: 142.866, 2025-06: 168.559, 2025-09: 163.549, 2025-12: 131.065, 2026-03: 180.048, 2026-06: 202.194,
Rev. CAGR: -0.56%
Rev. Trend: -4.3%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.9% 18
Feb -1.1% 10
Mar +0.1% 10
Apr +2.1% 29
May +0.8% 8
Jun -2.6% 11
Jul +4.1% 33
Aug -7.3% 32
Sep +0.8% 0
Oct -2.0% 28
Nov -3.1% 0
Dec +0.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UAN CVR

CVR Partners, LP (NYSE: UAN) is a U.S.-based limited partnership that produces and sells nitrogen fertilizer, primarily offering ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) products to agricultural and industrial customers. As a master limited partnership (MLP), it is structured to pass through cash flows to unitholders, a common arrangement in the energy and commodity processing sectors. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. It trades as a small-cap stock in the Materials sector under the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sub-industry, with an IPO date of April 2011.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Natural gas prices compress ammonia production margins
  • Spring planting demand drives nitrogen fertilizer volumes
  • Corn acreage outlook fuels farmer nitrogen purchasing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 160.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 31.08% < 20% (prev 29.84%; Δ 1.24% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 211.8m > Net Income 160.2m
Net Debt (457.5m) to EBITDA (276.4m): 1.66 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (10.6m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.78% > 18% (prev 25.80%; Δ 3.98% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 65.87% > 50% (prev 57.73%; Δ 8.13% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.50 > 6 (EBIT TTM 191.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.6m)
Beneish M -2.45
DSRI: 1.38 (Receivables 81.7m/50.5m, Revenue 676.9m/576.2m)
GMI: 0.87 (GM 25.80% / 29.78%)
AQI: 1.45 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 676.9m / 576.2m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 160.2m - CFO 211.8m) / TA 1.06b)
Beneish M = -2.45 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of UAN shares?

As of September 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 130.80 with a total of 10,185 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.41%, over one month by +8.97%, over three months by +13.86% and over the past year by +67.77%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 127.00 (which is 2.9% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).

Is UAN a buy, sell or hold?

CVR has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the UAN price?
Analysts Target Price 9.5 -92.7%
CVR (UAN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.33b (1.33b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.5908
P/E Forward = 10.2041
P/S = 2.0914
P/B = 3.9678
P/EG = -1.3
Revenue TTM = 676.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 191.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 276.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 548.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.04m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 594.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.0m
Net Debt = 457.5m USD (calculated: Debt 594.9m - CCE 137.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.79b USD (1.33b + Debt 594.9m - CCE 137.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.50 (Ebit TTM 191.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.6m)
EV/FCF = 12.37x (Enterprise Value 1.79b / FCF TTM 144.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.09% (FCF TTM 144.6m / Enterprise Value 1.79b)
FCF Margin = 21.36% (FCF TTM 144.6m / Revenue TTM 676.9m)
Net Margin = 23.67% (Net Income TTM 160.2m / Revenue TTM 676.9m)
Gross Margin = 29.78% ((Revenue TTM 676.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 475.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.10% (prev 37.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 1.79b / Total Assets 1.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.88% (Interest Expense 76.6m / Debt 594.9m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 77.5m)
NOPAT = 191.3m (EBIT 191.3m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 3.01 (Total Current Assets 315.0m / Total Current Liabilities 104.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.71 (Debt 594.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 347.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.66 (Net Debt 457.5m / EBITDA 276.4m)
Debt / FCF = 3.16 (Net Debt 457.5m / FCF TTM 144.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 310.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.59% (Net Income 160.2m / Total Assets 1.06b)
RoE = 51.56% (Net Income TTM 160.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 310.7m)
RoCE = 22.25% (EBIT 191.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 310.7m + L.T.Debt 548.7m))
RoIC = 20.70% (NOPAT 191.3m / Invested Capital 923.8m)
WACC = 8.28% (E(1.33b)/V(1.93b) * Re(6.23%) + D(594.9m)/V(1.93b) * Rd(12.88%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 6.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.81% ; FCFF base≈143.0m ; Y1≈147.0m ; Y5≈163.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 195.7 (EV 2.53b - Net Debt 457.5m = Equity 2.07b / Shares 10.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.86% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -1.76 | EPS CAGR: -0.98% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -4.32 | Revenue CAGR: -0.56% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0