(UGI) UGI - Ratings and Ratios
Propane, Natural Gas, LPG, Electricity, Midstream
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 72.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 57.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.34 |
| Alpha | 25.97 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.349 |
| Beta | 0.429 |
| Beta Downside | 0.430 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.55% |
| Mean DD | 25.87% |
| Median DD | 33.00% |
Description: UGI UGI November 03, 2025
UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) operates a diversified energy-services business across four segments-Utilities, Midstream & Marketing, UGI International, and AmeriGas Propane-providing propane, LPG, natural gas, electricity, and related logistics to roughly 1.1 million propane customers and 689,000 natural-gas customers in the U.S. and internationally. Its utility footprint includes about 12,700 mi of gas mains serving 689 k customers in Pennsylvania and 2,700 mi of electric lines serving 62.9 k customers, while its propane arm runs 1,360 distribution locations serving residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural, motor-fuel and wholesale markets.
Key quantitative drivers (FY 2023): revenue of $5.5 bn, adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 18 %, and a propane-segment contribution of ~ 30 % of total earnings. The business is sensitive to seasonal propane demand (winter heating) and to natural-gas price volatility, both of which are influenced by regional weather patterns and the broader U.S. energy transition that is shifting load from coal to gas and renewables. Recent sector trends-such as the EPA’s tightening of methane-emission standards and the growing adoption of solar-plus-storage for utility customers-could affect capital-expenditure requirements and margin outlook.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analyst tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (678.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 437.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.95% (prev -5.67%; Δ 2.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.23b > Net Income 678.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.80b) to EBITDA (1.66b) ratio: 4.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (221.4m) change vs 12m ago 2.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.12% (prev 44.68%; Δ -2.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.70% (prev 47.75%; Δ -0.05pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.67 (EBITDA TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 411.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.42
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 1.77b - Total Current Liabilities 1.98b) / Total Assets 15.46b |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.33b / Total Assets 15.46b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.10b / Avg Total Assets 15.28b |
| (D) 0.31 = Book Value of Equity 3.33b / Total Liabilities 10.68b |
| Total Rating: 1.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.03
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.48% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.35% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.74)% |
| 7. RoE 14.09% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -58.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend -14.74% |
What is the price of UGI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.77%, over one month by +10.49%, over three months by +10.55% and over the past year by +38.62%.
Is UGI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UGI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43 | 14.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43 | 14.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.2 | 15.1% |
UGI Fundamental Data Overview November 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.7994
P/E Forward = 7.728
P/S = 1.1643
P/B = 1.7537
P/EG = 2.65
Beta = 1.084
Revenue TTM = 7.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 603.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.56b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 6.80b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.71b USD (8.48b + Debt 7.56b - CCE 335.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.67 (Ebit TTM 1.10b / Interest Expense TTM 411.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.48% (FCF TTM 390.0m / Enterprise Value 15.71b)
FCF Margin = 5.35% (FCF TTM 390.0m / Revenue TTM 7.29b)
Net Margin = 9.30% (Net Income TTM 678.0m / Revenue TTM 7.29b)
Gross Margin = 42.12% ((Revenue TTM 7.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.26% (prev 38.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 15.71b / Total Assets 15.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.40% (Interest Expense 106.0m / Debt 7.56b)
Taxrate = 85.06% (-74.0m / -87.0m)
NOPAT = 163.8m (EBIT 1.10b * (1 - 85.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 1.77b / Total Current Liabilities 1.98b)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 7.56b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.10 (Net Debt 6.80b / EBITDA 1.66b)
Debt / FCF = 17.43 (Net Debt 6.80b / FCF TTM 390.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.38% (Net Income 678.0m / Total Assets 15.46b)
RoE = 14.09% (Net Income TTM 678.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.81b)
RoCE = 9.66% (EBIT 1.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.81b + L.T.Debt 6.53b))
RoIC = 1.38% (NOPAT 163.8m / Invested Capital 11.91b)
WACC = 4.12% (E(8.48b)/V(16.05b) * Re(7.60%) + D(7.56b)/V(16.05b) * Rd(1.40%) * (1-Tc(0.85)))
Discount Rate = 7.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.05% ; FCFE base≈388.4m ; Y1≈337.5m ; Y5≈270.3m
Fair Price DCF = 22.94 (DCF Value 4.92b / Shares Outstanding 214.5m; 5y FCF grow -16.02% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -14.74 | EPS CAGR: -7.12% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -58.94 | Revenue CAGR: -19.22% | SUE: -0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=-0.103 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-5.7% | Growth Revenue=+19.7%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=-0.098 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+8.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.6%
Additional Sources for UGI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle