(UI) Ubiquiti Networks - Ratings and Ratios
Wireless Access Points, Managed Switches, Security Cameras, Routers, Door Controllers
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.50% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 57.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 79.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.02 |
| Alpha | 38.79 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.435 |
| Beta | 1.522 |
| Beta Downside | 1.673 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.80% |
| Mean DD | 29.62% |
| Median DD | 27.72% |
Description: UI Ubiquiti Networks December 03, 2025
Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE: UI) designs and sells networking hardware and software for service providers, enterprises, and consumers across all major global regions, offering carrier-grade fixed-wireless broadband, wireless backhaul, routing, and a suite of UniFi-branded solutions such as Wi-Fi, video surveillance, switching, access control, and VoIP services.
Key product families include airMAX (noise-reduction wireless protocols), airFiber (point-to-point backhaul radios), UFiber GPON (plug-and-play fiber access), and the UniFi platform (cloud-managed gateway, Wi-Fi, Protect, Switch, Access, Talk, and AmpliFi). The company reaches customers via distributors, online retailers, and its own webstores.
From a financial standpoint, Ubiquiti reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.6 billion, up about 30% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Wi-Fi 6/7 enterprise deployments and expanding broadband infrastructure projects in emerging markets. Gross margins have hovered near 38%, and operating cash flow remains robust, supporting ongoing R&D and inventory buildup for next-gen backhaul solutions.
Sector-level drivers that underpin Ubiquiti’s growth outlook include sustained global telecom capex (estimated $1.5 trillion in 2024) focused on expanding fiber and 5G-ready wireless networks, as well as the acceleration of remote-work and edge-computing workloads that increase enterprise spending on high-capacity Wi-Fi and security-focused networking gear.
Given the company’s diversified product mix and exposure to both carrier and enterprise spend, analysts should monitor macro-level broadband rollout rates and the competitive dynamics of low-cost Wi-Fi hardware to gauge upside potential.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into UI’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed model on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (791.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 165.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.40 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -20.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.75% (prev 27.90%; Δ -5.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO 604.8m <= Net Income 791.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (989.0k) to EBITDA (949.7m) ratio: 0.00 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.09 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (60.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 44.37% (prev 39.07%; Δ 5.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 208.2% (prev 174.1%; Δ 34.13pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 39.98 (EBITDA TTM 949.7m / Interest Expense TTM 23.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 10.53
| (A) 0.42 = (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 573.1m) / Total Assets 1.49b |
| (B) 0.54 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 810.6m / Total Assets 1.49b |
| (C) 0.70 = EBIT TTM 928.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.32b |
| (D) 1.22 = Book Value of Equity 810.7m / Total Liabilities 661.8m |
| Total Rating: 10.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.78
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 21.39% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.00 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 77.57)% |
| 7. RoE 142.5% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.25% |
| 9. EPS Trend 69.94% |
What is the price of UI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.96%, over one month by -27.61%, over three months by +6.03% and over the past year by +60.10%.
Is UI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 587.5 | 5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 587.5 | 5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 631.4 | 12.8% |
UI Fundamental Data Overview November 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 44.6812
P/E Forward = 40.9836
P/S = 12.7955
P/B = 41.9853
P/EG = 0.82
Beta = 1.362
Revenue TTM = 2.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 928.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 949.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 44.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 144.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 178.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 989.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 35.28b USD (35.28b + Debt 178.2m - CCE 177.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 39.98 (Ebit TTM 928.8m / Interest Expense TTM 23.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.67% (FCF TTM 589.7m / Enterprise Value 35.28b)
FCF Margin = 21.39% (FCF TTM 589.7m / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Net Margin = 28.72% (Net Income TTM 791.8m / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Gross Margin = 44.37% ((Revenue TTM 2.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.98% (prev 45.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 23.67 (Enterprise Value 35.28b / Total Assets 1.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.79% (Interest Expense 3.18m / Debt 178.2m)
Taxrate = 19.60% (50.7m / 258.5m)
NOPAT = 746.8m (EBIT 928.8m * (1 - 19.60%))
Current Ratio = 2.09 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 573.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 178.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 828.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.00 (Net Debt 989.0k / EBITDA 949.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.00 (Net Debt 989.0k / FCF TTM 589.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 555.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 53.13% (Net Income 791.8m / Total Assets 1.49b)
RoE = 142.5% (Net Income TTM 791.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 555.8m)
RoCE = 154.7% (EBIT 928.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 555.8m + L.T.Debt 44.7m))
RoIC = 89.14% (NOPAT 746.8m / Invested Capital 837.8m)
WACC = 11.57% (E(35.28b)/V(35.45b) * Re(11.62%) + D(178.2m)/V(35.45b) * Rd(1.79%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.22% ; FCFE base≈632.2m ; Y1≈415.1m ; Y5≈189.8m
Fair Price DCF = 38.48 (DCF Value 2.33b / Shares Outstanding 60.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.94 | EPS CAGR: 21.63% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.25 | Revenue CAGR: 15.20% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=12.53 | Chg30d=+0.746 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=+17.8%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.71 | Chg30d=+0.747 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+1.4% | Growth Revenue=+15.6%
Additional Sources for UI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle