(UPS) United Parcel Service - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9113121068
Stock: Package, Freight, Logistics, Express, Ground
Total Rating 52
Risk 87
Buy Signal 2.57
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.97% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 12.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 91.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 |
| Alpha | -8.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.794 |
| Beta Downside | 0.691 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
Description: UPS United Parcel Service January 29, 2026
United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) is a global package delivery and logistics firm that operates through two primary segments: U.S. Domestic Package, which handles time-definite air and ground deliveries across the United States, and International Package, which offers a suite of day-definite, cross-border, and palletized shipping services in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America.
In its most recent fiscal year (2023), UPS generated $91.0 billion in revenue, with an operating margin of 7.5 %. Daily shipment volume averaged roughly 22 million packages, and e-commerce-related shipments grew 12 % year-over-year, reflecting the continued shift toward online retail. Fuel costs, which account for about 5 % of total expenses, rose 8 % YoY, pressuring margins.
Key drivers for UPS’s performance include sustained e-commerce growth (U.S. e-commerce sales are projected to reach $1.1 trillion in 2024), global trade volatility (container freight rates have fluctuated ±30 % over the past 12 months), and labor market tightness that is elevating wage pressures in both the U.S. and overseas logistics networks.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore UPS’s valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 5.57b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.87% < 20% (prev 3.16%; Δ 0.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.45b > Net Income 5.57b |
| Net Debt (26.40b) to EBITDA (11.02b): 2.40 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (853.0m) vs 12m ago -0.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.43% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 3525 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.8% > 50% (prev 129.7%; Δ -5.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 11.02b / Interest Expense TTM 1.02b) |
Altman Z'' 2.27
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 19.05b - Total Current Liabilities 15.62b) / Total Assets 73.09b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 20.15b / Total Assets 73.09b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 8.18b / Avg Total Assets 71.58b) |
| D: 0.28 (Book Value of Equity 15.96b / Total Liabilities 56.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.27 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.35
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 11.21b/10.87b, Revenue 88.60b/90.89b) |
| GMI: 0.51 (GM 35.43% / 18.04%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 88.60b / 90.89b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 5.57b - CFO 8.45b) / TA 73.09b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.35 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of UPS shares?
As of February 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 111.85 with a total of 7,698,599 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.08%, over one month by +9.16%, over three months by +19.23% and over the past year by +5.89%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.08%, over one month by +9.16%, over three months by +19.23% and over the past year by +5.89%.
Is UPS a buy, sell or hold?
United Parcel Service has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UPS.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.2 | 1.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.2 | 1.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 117.8 | 5.3% |
UPS Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Trailing = 16.1429
P/E Forward = 11.6414
P/S = 1.0164
P/B = 4.6049
P/EG = 1.3302
Revenue TTM = 88.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.18b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 116.52b USD (90.12b + Debt 32.29b - CCE 5.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.05 (Ebit TTM 8.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.02b)
EV/FCF = 24.45x (Enterprise Value 116.52b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 4.09% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 116.52b)
FCF Margin = 5.38% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 88.60b)
Net Margin = 6.29% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Revenue TTM 88.60b)
Gross Margin = 35.43% ((Revenue TTM 88.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 57.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.65% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 116.52b / Total Assets 73.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 32.29b)
Taxrate = 24.49% (581.0m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 6.18b (EBIT 8.18b * (1 - 24.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 19.05b / Total Current Liabilities 15.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 32.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.40 (Net Debt 26.40b / EBITDA 11.02b)
Debt / FCF = 5.54 (Net Debt 26.40b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.78% (Net Income 5.57b / Total Assets 73.09b)
RoE = 35.12% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.87b)
RoCE = 20.77% (EBIT 8.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.87b + L.T.Debt 23.52b))
RoIC = 15.69% (NOPAT 6.18b / Invested Capital 39.37b)
WACC = 6.69% (E(90.12b)/V(122.41b) * Re(8.86%) + D(32.29b)/V(122.41b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.14% ; FCFF base≈5.34b ; Y1≈4.29b ; Y5≈2.93b
Fair Price DCF = 61.57 (EV 71.90b - Net Debt 26.40b = Equity 45.50b / Shares 739.0m; r=6.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.57% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.40% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.99 | Revenue CAGR: 0.16% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=-0.252 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg30d=-0.083 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=-1.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.97 | Chg30d=+0.011 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
P/E Forward = 11.6414
P/S = 1.0164
P/B = 4.6049
P/EG = 1.3302
Revenue TTM = 88.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.18b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 116.52b USD (90.12b + Debt 32.29b - CCE 5.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.05 (Ebit TTM 8.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.02b)
EV/FCF = 24.45x (Enterprise Value 116.52b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 4.09% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 116.52b)
FCF Margin = 5.38% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 88.60b)
Net Margin = 6.29% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Revenue TTM 88.60b)
Gross Margin = 35.43% ((Revenue TTM 88.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 57.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.65% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 116.52b / Total Assets 73.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 32.29b)
Taxrate = 24.49% (581.0m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 6.18b (EBIT 8.18b * (1 - 24.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 19.05b / Total Current Liabilities 15.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 32.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.40 (Net Debt 26.40b / EBITDA 11.02b)
Debt / FCF = 5.54 (Net Debt 26.40b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.78% (Net Income 5.57b / Total Assets 73.09b)
RoE = 35.12% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.87b)
RoCE = 20.77% (EBIT 8.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.87b + L.T.Debt 23.52b))
RoIC = 15.69% (NOPAT 6.18b / Invested Capital 39.37b)
WACC = 6.69% (E(90.12b)/V(122.41b) * Re(8.86%) + D(32.29b)/V(122.41b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.14% ; FCFF base≈5.34b ; Y1≈4.29b ; Y5≈2.93b
Fair Price DCF = 61.57 (EV 71.90b - Net Debt 26.40b = Equity 45.50b / Shares 739.0m; r=6.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.57% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.40% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.99 | Revenue CAGR: 0.16% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=-0.252 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg30d=-0.083 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=-1.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.97 | Chg30d=+0.011 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%