(UPS) United Parcel Service - Ratings and Ratios
Package Delivery, Freight Forwarding, Logistics Services
UPS EPS (Earnings per Share)
UPS Revenue
Description: UPS United Parcel Service September 26, 2025
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE: UPS) is a global package delivery and logistics firm headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. It provides transportation and delivery services across a broad portfolio that includes air and ground freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and specialized solutions for healthcare and post-sale logistics.
The business is organized into two primary segments. The U.S. Domestic Package segment focuses on time-definite delivery of letters, documents, parcels, and palletized freight within the United States, leveraging both air and ground networks. The International Package segment operates small-package services in Europe, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa, Canada, Latin America, and Asia, offering guaranteed day- and time-definite shipping, cross-border ground delivery, e-commerce contracts, and urgent palletized shipments, as well as air/ocean freight forwarding and contract logistics.
Key quantitative signals (FY 2023) include total revenue of roughly $91 billion, an operating margin of 7.5 %, and a 5 % year-over-year increase in e-commerce volume-driven by sustained online retail demand and the rollout of UPS’s “Air2” network for faster cross-border deliveries. The segment’s performance is highly sensitive to fuel price volatility (fuel accounts for ~5 % of total costs) and labor market tightness, which has pushed wage growth above inflation in the U.S. logistics sector. A strategic focus on electrifying the last-mile fleet (targeting 25 % of U.S. delivery vehicles to be electric by 2030) reflects broader industry pressure to reduce carbon intensity.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of UPS’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analytics available on ValueRay.
UPS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 73,925m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception | 1999-11-10 |
UPS Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -70.2% |
| Fundamental | 58.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 81.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -37.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.84 of 5 |
UPS Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.99% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 12.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 86.8% |
UPS Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 9.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -89.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -73.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -12.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.24 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.51 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.33 |
| Alpha | -43.45 |
| Beta | 1.078 |
| Volatility | 30.24% |
| Current Volume | 7298.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 6306.8k |
| Stop Loss | 93.5 (-3%) |
| Signal | 0.17 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (5.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.19b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.33% (prev 4.18%; Δ 1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.48b > Net Income 5.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (22.71b) to EBITDA (11.15b) ratio: 2.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (847.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.33% (prev 17.49%; Δ 0.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 123.2% (prev 128.7%; Δ -5.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.23 (EBITDA TTM 11.15b / Interest Expense TTM 910.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.35
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 18.85b - Total Current Liabilities 14.24b) / Total Assets 70.92b |
| (B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.83b / Total Assets 70.92b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 7.49b / Avg Total Assets 70.17b |
| (D) 0.28 = Book Value of Equity 15.67b / Total Liabilities 55.15b |
| Total Rating: 2.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.22
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.86% = 1.43 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.20% = 0.80 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.84 = 1.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.04 = -0.07 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.62)% = 9.52 |
| 7. RoE 31.98% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.88% = -4.79 |
| 9. EPS Trend -63.61% = -3.18 |
What is the price of UPS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.55%, over one month by +15.43%, over three months by +14.02% and over the past year by -23.52%.
Is United Parcel Service a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UPS is around 84.02 USD . This means that UPS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.86%.
Is UPS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 99.1 | 2.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 99.1 | 2.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 92.7 | -3.8% |
UPS Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.9792
P/E Forward = 11.6414
P/S = 0.8185
P/B = 4.6049
P/EG = 1.3302
Beta = 1.078
Revenue TTM = 86.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.64b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 96.64b USD (73.93b + Debt 28.91b - CCE 6.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.23 (Ebit TTM 7.49b / Interest Expense TTM 910.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.86% (FCF TTM 2.76b / Enterprise Value 96.64b)
FCF Margin = 3.20% (FCF TTM 2.76b / Revenue TTM 86.47b)
Net Margin = 6.01% (Net Income TTM 5.20b / Revenue TTM 86.47b)
Gross Margin = 18.33% ((Revenue TTM 86.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 70.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.81% (prev 21.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 96.64b / Total Assets 70.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 238.0m / Debt 28.91b)
Taxrate = 22.80% (379.0m / 1.66b)
NOPAT = 5.78b (EBIT 7.49b * (1 - 22.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 18.85b / Total Current Liabilities 14.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.84 (Debt 28.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.04 (Net Debt 22.71b / EBITDA 11.15b)
Debt / FCF = 8.22 (Net Debt 22.71b / FCF TTM 2.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.33% (Net Income 5.20b / Total Assets 70.92b)
RoE = 31.98% (Net Income TTM 5.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.25b)
RoCE = 18.68% (EBIT 7.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.25b + L.T.Debt 23.82b))
RoIC = 14.98% (NOPAT 5.78b / Invested Capital 38.58b)
WACC = 7.36% (E(73.93b)/V(102.83b) * Re(9.99%) + D(28.91b)/V(102.83b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.15% ; FCFE base≈3.52b ; Y1≈2.83b ; Y5≈1.95b
Fair Price DCF = 36.07 (DCF Value 26.55b / Shares Outstanding 736.0m; 5y FCF grow -23.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -63.61 | EPS CAGR: -21.25% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.88 | Revenue CAGR: -4.47% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for UPS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle