(UPS) United Parcel Service - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 83.421m USD | Total Return: 9.8% in 12m

Package Delivery, Logistics Services, Freight Forwarding, Customs Brokerage
Total Rating 50
Safety 77
Buy Signal 0.52
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Rotation: +4.6
Market Cap: 83.4B
Avg Turnover: 506M USD
ATR: 2.74%
Peers RS (IBD): 20.8
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility28.0%
Rel. Tail Risk-11.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Alpha-21.17
Character TTM
Beta0.922
Beta Downside1.259
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD52.19%
CAGR/Max DD-0.29
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UPS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 2.77, "2021-06": 3.06, "2021-09": 2.71, "2021-12": 3.59, "2022-03": 3.05, "2022-06": 3.29, "2022-09": 2.99, "2022-12": 3.62, "2023-03": 2.2, "2023-06": 2.54, "2023-09": 1.57, "2023-12": 2.47, "2024-03": 1.43, "2024-06": 1.79, "2024-09": 1.76, "2024-12": 2.75, "2025-03": 1.49, "2025-06": 1.55, "2025-09": 1.74, "2025-12": 2.38,
EPS CAGR: -6.40%
EPS Trend: -58.1%
Last SUE: 0.96
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of UPS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 22893, 2021-06: 23417, 2021-09: 23162, 2021-12: 27732, 2022-03: 24337, 2022-06: 24699, 2022-09: 24067, 2022-12: 26931, 2023-03: 22857, 2023-06: 22004, 2023-09: 21020, 2023-12: 24864, 2024-03: 21665, 2024-06: 21771, 2024-09: 22215, 2024-12: 25243, 2025-03: 21546, 2025-06: 21221, 2025-09: 21415, 2025-12: 24497,
Rev. CAGR: 0.17%
Rev. Trend: -40.7%
Last SUE: 0.96
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: UPS United Parcel Service

United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global package delivery and logistics firm operating two main segments: U.S. Domestic Package, which handles time-definite deliveries across the United States via air and ground, and International Package, which offers small-parcel, freight, and e-commerce solutions across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, Latin America, and Asia. The company also provides ancillary services such as air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage, insurance, healthcare logistics, and post-sales distribution.

In its most recent fiscal year (2024), UPS reported revenue of $91.0 billion, a 3.2% year-over-year increase driven by sustained e-commerce volume growth and higher international freight rates. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $6.90, while the operating margin held steady at 7.5% despite elevated fuel costs. A key sector driver remains the accelerating shift toward omnichannel retail, which is boosting demand for integrated, cross-border logistics solutions, while macro-economic factors such as inflationary pressure on transportation costs and tighter labor markets continue to shape profitability.

For a deeper dive into UPS’s valuation and outlook, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed research tools.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • E-commerce growth fuels package delivery demand
  • Fuel price volatility impacts operating costs
  • Labor negotiations affect service continuity
  • Global economic slowdown reduces shipping volume
  • Regulatory changes influence international operations
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 5.57b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.86% < 20% (prev 3.16%; Δ 0.71% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.45b > Net Income 5.57b
Net Debt (26.40b) to EBITDA (12.02b): 2.20 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (853.0m) vs 12m ago -0.58% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.17% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1.80k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 123.9% > 50% (prev 129.7%; Δ -5.83% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.02b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
Altman Z'' 2.28
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 19.05b - Total Current Liabilities 15.62b) / Total Assets 73.09b
B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 20.15b / Total Assets 73.09b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 8.27b / Avg Total Assets 71.58b)
D: 0.28 (Book Value of Equity 15.96b / Total Liabilities 56.84b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.28 = BBB
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 11.21b/10.87b, Revenue 88.68b/90.89b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 18.17% / 18.04%)
AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 88.68b / 90.89b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 5.57b - CFO 8.45b) / TA 73.09b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of UPS shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 98.18 with a total of 4,059,717 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.40%, over one month by -5.66%, over three months by -2.40% and over the past year by +9.76%.
Is UPS a buy, sell or hold? United Parcel Service has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UPS.
  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?
Wallstreet Target Price 113.1 15.2%
Analysts Target Price 113.1 15.2%
UPS Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 14.9665
P/E Forward = 13.6986
P/S = 0.9409
P/B = 5.1267
P/EG = 1.4966
Revenue TTM = 88.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 109.82b USD (83.42b + Debt 32.29b - CCE 5.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 8.27b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
EV/FCF = 23.05x (Enterprise Value 109.82b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 4.34% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 109.82b)
FCF Margin = 5.37% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Net Margin = 6.28% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Gross Margin = 18.17% ((Revenue TTM 88.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.08% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 109.82b / Total Assets 73.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 32.29b)
Taxrate = 24.49% (581.0m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 6.25b (EBIT 8.27b * (1 - 24.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 19.05b / Total Current Liabilities 15.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 32.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.20 (Net Debt 26.40b / EBITDA 12.02b)
Debt / FCF = 5.54 (Net Debt 26.40b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.78% (Net Income 5.57b / Total Assets 73.09b)
RoE = 35.12% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.87b)
RoCE = 21.00% (EBIT 8.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.87b + L.T.Debt 23.52b))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 6.25b / Invested Capital 39.62b)
WACC = 6.83% (E(83.42b)/V(115.71b) * Re(9.23%) + D(32.29b)/V(115.71b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.96% ; FCFF base≈5.34b ; Y1≈4.29b ; Y5≈2.94b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.90 (EV 71.07b - Net Debt 26.40b = Equity 44.66b / Shares 745.6m; r=6.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.57% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -58.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.40% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.73 | Revenue CAGR: 0.17% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.58 | Chg7d=+0.011 | Chg30d=+0.022 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.04 | Chg7d=-0.018 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-1.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.97 | Chg7d=+0.006 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+13.1% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.33 (4 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 2.5% (Discount Rate 9.2% - Earnings Yield 6.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.4% (Analyst 0.1% - Implied 2.5%)
External Resources
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