(UPS) United Parcel Service - Ratings and Ratios
Package Delivery, Logistics, Freight Forwarding, Customs Brokerage, Distribution
UPS EPS (Earnings per Share)
UPS Revenue
Description: UPS United Parcel Service
United Parcel Service Inc (NYSE:UPS) is a leading package delivery and logistics provider, operating through two main segments: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The company offers a range of services including time-definite delivery, air and ground transportation, and logistics solutions. Its services cater to various markets, including express letters, documents, packages, and palletized freight.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for UPS include revenue growth, package volume, and yield (average revenue per package). The companys ability to manage its network and capacity, as well as its pricing power, are crucial in driving its financial performance. Additionally, UPSs operating margin, which is influenced by factors such as fuel prices, labor costs, and productivity, is an important metric to monitor. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 35.35% indicates a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity.
UPSs competitive position is influenced by its extensive network, brand recognition, and ability to adapt to changing market conditions, such as the growth of e-commerce. The companys investments in technology, including automation and data analytics, are also critical in enhancing its operational efficiency and customer experience. Furthermore, UPSs ability to navigate regulatory environments and manage its costs will be essential in maintaining its profitability.
From a financial perspective, UPSs market capitalization of $87.8 billion and a forward P/E ratio of 14.31 suggest a relatively stable and mature business. The companys dividend yield and payout ratio are also important metrics to consider, as they indicate UPSs ability to return value to shareholders. Overall, UPSs financial performance, operational efficiency, and strategic initiatives will be crucial in driving its long-term success.
UPS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 71,535m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception | 1999-11-10 |
UPS Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -79.8% |
| Fundamental | 60.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 82.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -42.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.84 of 5 |
UPS Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.99% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 10.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 86.8% |
UPS Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -75.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -89.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -67.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -17.74% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.34 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.81 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.76 |
| Alpha | 0.03 |
| Beta | 0.292 |
| Volatility | 25.11% |
| Current Volume | 8988k |
| Average Volume 20d | 7227.6k |
| Stop Loss | 81.6 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.76 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (5.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.19b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.33% (prev 4.18%; Δ 1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.48b > Net Income 5.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (22.71b) to EBITDA (11.15b) ratio: 2.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (847.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.33% (prev 17.49%; Δ 0.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 123.2% (prev 128.7%; Δ -5.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.23 (EBITDA TTM 11.15b / Interest Expense TTM 910.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.35
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 18.85b - Total Current Liabilities 14.24b) / Total Assets 70.92b |
| (B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.83b / Total Assets 70.92b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 7.49b / Avg Total Assets 70.17b |
| (D) 0.28 = Book Value of Equity 15.67b / Total Liabilities 55.15b |
| Total Rating: 2.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.46
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.04% = 1.52 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.20% = 0.80 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.62 = 1.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.28 = -0.55 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.47)% = 11.84 |
| 7. RoE 31.98% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.88% = -4.79 |
| 9. EPS Trend -63.61% = -3.18 |
What is the price of UPS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.39%, over one month by -2.69%, over three months by -13.95% and over the past year by -31.48%.
Is United Parcel Service a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UPS is around 73.28 USD . This means that UPS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.95%.
Is UPS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 104.4 | 24% |
| Analysts Target Price | 104.4 | 24% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 79.6 | -5.5% |
Last update: 2025-09-11 04:52
UPS Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 6.19b USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 12.5595
P/E Forward = 11.2994
P/S = 0.7921
P/B = 4.5419
P/EG = 1.2281
Beta = 1.056
Revenue TTM = 86.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.64b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.46b USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.64b + Long Term 23.82b)
Net Debt = 22.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 90.80b USD (71.53b + Debt 25.46b - CCE 6.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.23 (Ebit TTM 7.49b / Interest Expense TTM 910.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.04% (FCF TTM 2.76b / Enterprise Value 90.80b)
FCF Margin = 3.20% (FCF TTM 2.76b / Revenue TTM 86.47b)
Net Margin = 6.01% (Net Income TTM 5.20b / Revenue TTM 86.47b)
Gross Margin = 18.33% ((Revenue TTM 86.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 70.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.79 (Enterprise Value 90.80b / Book Value Of Equity 15.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 238.0m / Debt 25.46b)
Taxrate = 22.31% (1.66b / 7.44b)
NOPAT = 5.82b (EBIT 7.49b * (1 - 22.31%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 18.85b / Total Current Liabilities 14.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.62 (Debt 25.46b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 15.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.28 (Net Debt 22.71b / EBITDA 11.15b)
Debt / FCF = 9.21 (Debt 25.46b / FCF TTM 2.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.25b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 7.33% (Net Income 5.20b, Total Assets 70.92b )
RoE = 31.98% (Net Income TTM 5.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.25b)
RoCE = 18.68% (Ebit 7.49b / (Equity 16.25b + L.T.Debt 23.82b))
RoIC = 15.08% (NOPAT 5.82b / Invested Capital 38.58b)
WACC = 5.60% (E(71.53b)/V(97.00b) * Re(7.34%)) + (D(25.46b)/V(97.00b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -97.70 | Cagr: -0.26%
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.69% ; FCFE base≈3.52b ; Y1≈2.83b ; Y5≈1.95b
Fair Price DCF = 49.07 (DCF Value 36.12b / Shares Outstanding 736.0m; 5y FCF grow -23.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -63.61 | EPS CAGR: -21.25% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.88 | Revenue CAGR: -4.47% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for UPS Stock
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