(UPS) United Parcel Service - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9113121068
Stock: Package Delivery, Logistics Services, Freight Forwarding, Customs Brokerage
Total Rating 42
Risk 67
Buy Signal -0.16
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.30 |
| Alpha | -23.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.907 |
| Beta Downside | 1.312 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.25 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: UPS United Parcel Service March 03, 2026
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global package delivery and logistics firm operating two main segments: U.S. Domestic Package, which handles time-definite deliveries across the United States via air and ground, and International Package, which offers small-parcel, freight, and e-commerce solutions across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, Latin America, and Asia. The company also provides ancillary services such as air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage, insurance, healthcare logistics, and post-sales distribution.
In its most recent fiscal year (2024), UPS reported revenue of $91.0 billion, a 3.2% year-over-year increase driven by sustained e-commerce volume growth and higher international freight rates. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $6.90, while the operating margin held steady at 7.5% despite elevated fuel costs. A key sector driver remains the accelerating shift toward omnichannel retail, which is boosting demand for integrated, cross-border logistics solutions, while macro-economic factors such as inflationary pressure on transportation costs and tighter labor markets continue to shape profitability.
For a deeper dive into UPS’s valuation and outlook, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed research tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 5.57b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.86% < 20% (prev 3.16%; Δ 0.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.45b > Net Income 5.57b |
| Net Debt (26.40b) to EBITDA (12.02b): 2.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (853.0m) vs 12m ago -0.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.17% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1799 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.9% > 50% (prev 129.7%; Δ -5.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.02b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b) |
Altman Z'' 2.28
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 19.05b - Total Current Liabilities 15.62b) / Total Assets 73.09b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 20.15b / Total Assets 73.09b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 8.27b / Avg Total Assets 71.58b) |
| D: 0.28 (Book Value of Equity 15.96b / Total Liabilities 56.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.28 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.91
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 11.21b/10.87b, Revenue 88.68b/90.89b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 18.17% / 18.04%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 88.68b / 90.89b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 5.57b - CFO 8.45b) / TA 73.09b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of UPS shares?
As of March 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 102.36 with a total of 9,490,356 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.73%, over one month by -11.55%, over three months by +8.62% and over the past year by -9.25%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.73%, over one month by -11.55%, over three months by +8.62% and over the past year by -9.25%.
Is UPS a buy, sell or hold?
United Parcel Service has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UPS.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.4 | 10.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.4 | 10.7% |
UPS Fundamental Data Overview March 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 17.2607
P/E Forward = 16.0256
P/S = 1.0844
P/B = 5.9872
P/EG = 1.7514
Revenue TTM = 88.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 122.55b USD (96.14b + Debt 32.29b - CCE 5.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 8.27b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
EV/FCF = 25.72x (Enterprise Value 122.55b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 3.89% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 122.55b)
FCF Margin = 5.37% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Net Margin = 6.28% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Gross Margin = 18.17% ((Revenue TTM 88.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.08% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 122.55b / Total Assets 73.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 32.29b)
Taxrate = 24.49% (581.0m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 6.25b (EBIT 8.27b * (1 - 24.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 19.05b / Total Current Liabilities 15.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 32.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.20 (Net Debt 26.40b / EBITDA 12.02b)
Debt / FCF = 5.54 (Net Debt 26.40b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.78% (Net Income 5.57b / Total Assets 73.09b)
RoE = 35.12% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.87b)
RoCE = 21.00% (EBIT 8.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.87b + L.T.Debt 23.52b))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 6.25b / Invested Capital 39.62b)
WACC = 7.09% (E(96.14b)/V(128.43b) * Re(9.26%) + D(32.29b)/V(128.43b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 78.34% ; FCFF base≈5.34b ; Y1≈4.29b ; Y5≈2.93b
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.25 (EV 65.27b - Net Debt 26.40b = Equity 38.87b / Shares 743.9m; r=7.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.57% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.40% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.73 | Revenue CAGR: 0.17% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.55 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-1.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.96 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.53 (4 Up / 13 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.5% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 5.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.7% (Analyst -0.2% - Implied 3.5%)
P/E Forward = 16.0256
P/S = 1.0844
P/B = 5.9872
P/EG = 1.7514
Revenue TTM = 88.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 122.55b USD (96.14b + Debt 32.29b - CCE 5.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 8.27b / Interest Expense TTM 1.01b)
EV/FCF = 25.72x (Enterprise Value 122.55b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
FCF Yield = 3.89% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 122.55b)
FCF Margin = 5.37% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Net Margin = 6.28% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Revenue TTM 88.68b)
Gross Margin = 18.17% ((Revenue TTM 88.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.08% (prev 16.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 122.55b / Total Assets 73.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 32.29b)
Taxrate = 24.49% (581.0m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 6.25b (EBIT 8.27b * (1 - 24.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 19.05b / Total Current Liabilities 15.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 32.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.20 (Net Debt 26.40b / EBITDA 12.02b)
Debt / FCF = 5.54 (Net Debt 26.40b / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.78% (Net Income 5.57b / Total Assets 73.09b)
RoE = 35.12% (Net Income TTM 5.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.87b)
RoCE = 21.00% (EBIT 8.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.87b + L.T.Debt 23.52b))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 6.25b / Invested Capital 39.62b)
WACC = 7.09% (E(96.14b)/V(128.43b) * Re(9.26%) + D(32.29b)/V(128.43b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 78.34% ; FCFF base≈5.34b ; Y1≈4.29b ; Y5≈2.93b
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.25 (EV 65.27b - Net Debt 26.40b = Equity 38.87b / Shares 743.9m; r=7.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.57% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.40% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.73 | Revenue CAGR: 0.17% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.55 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-1.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.96 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.53 (4 Up / 13 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.5% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 5.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.7% (Analyst -0.2% - Implied 3.5%)