(UPS) United Parcel Service - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9113121068

Package Delivery, Freight Forwarding, Logistics Services

Air Freight & Logistics
Market Cap in USD: 90,752m

IPO / Inception: 1999-11-10
12m vs SPY: -23.7%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -17.56%
EPS Trend: -73.5%

Last SUE: 3.47
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -6.66%
Rev. Trend: -65.3%

Last SUE: 1.37
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Dividend Yield	6.71%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.93%
Yield CAGR 5y	12.61%
Payout Consistency	99.6%
Payout Ratio	87.1%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	26.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	38.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-11.09%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.16
Alpha	-24.81
CAGR/Max DD	-0.21

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.400
Beta	0.775
Beta Downside	0.726

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	52.19%
Mean DD	26.67%
Median DD	26.62%

Description: UPS United Parcel Service December 03, 2025

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) operates as a global package delivery and logistics provider through two primary segments: U.S. Domestic Package, which delivers time-definite letters, parcels and palletized freight via air and ground within the United States, and International Package, which handles small-package, e-commerce, and palletized shipments across Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The firm also offers ancillary services such as air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage, insurance, healthcare logistics, and post-sale distribution.

Key recent metrics underscore UPS’s scale and exposure to macro trends: FY 2023 revenue reached $91 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 7.5 %-down modestly from prior years due to higher fuel and labor costs. E-commerce volume grew ~ 6 % YoY, driven by cross-border online sales, while the company’s “Supply Chain Solutions” segment contributed roughly $5 billion in revenue, reflecting a broader industry shift toward integrated logistics. Core economic drivers include freight-rate volatility, fuel price fluctuations, and the ongoing labor shortage in the U.S. trucking sector, all of which can materially affect cost structure and pricing power.

For a deeper, data-rich dive into UPS’s valuation levers and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay. 

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (5.50b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.36b TTM)

FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.96% (prev 2.41%; Δ 2.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.46b > Net Income 5.50b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (22.45b) to EBITDA (11.59b) ratio: 1.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (849.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 18.09% (prev 17.75%; Δ 0.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 128.0% (prev 132.6%; Δ -4.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 8.07 (EBITDA TTM 11.59b / Interest Expense TTM 978.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.37

(A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 18.98b - Total Current Liabilities 14.55b) / Total Assets 71.39b

(B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.75b / Total Assets 71.39b

(D) 0.28 = Book Value of Equity 15.64b / Total Liabilities 55.54b

Total Rating: 2.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.82

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 3.88%

3. FCF Margin 4.92%

4. Debt/Equity 1.85

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.94

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.67)%

7. RoE 34.41%

8. Rev. Trend -65.27%

9. EPS Trend -73.50%

What is the price of UPS shares?

As of January 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 108.03 with a total of 4,335,234 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.91%, over one month by +7.05%, over three months by +32.13% and over the past year by -7.64%.

Is UPS a buy, sell or hold?

United Parcel Service has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UPS.

Strong Buy: 14
Buy: 3
Hold: 12
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the UPS price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	104.4	-3.3%
Analysts Target Price	104.4	-3.3%
ValueRay Target Price	117.6	8.8%

UPS Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026

P/E Trailing = 16.5332
P/E Forward = 14.2857
P/S = 1.0142
P/B = 5.6518
P/EG = 1.6417
Beta = 1.097
Revenue TTM = 89.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.90b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.67b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.45b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 113.20b USD (90.75b + Debt 29.21b - CCE 6.76b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.07 (Ebit TTM 7.90b / Interest Expense TTM 978.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.75x (Enterprise Value 113.20b / FCF TTM 4.40b)
FCF Yield = 3.88% (FCF TTM 4.40b / Enterprise Value 113.20b)
FCF Margin = 4.92% (FCF TTM 4.40b / Revenue TTM 89.37b)
Net Margin = 6.16% (Net Income TTM 5.50b / Revenue TTM 89.37b)
Gross Margin = 18.09% ((Revenue TTM 89.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.20b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.28% (prev 17.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 113.20b / Total Assets 71.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 291.0m / Debt 29.21b)
Taxrate = 18.42% (296.0m / 1.61b)
NOPAT = 6.44b (EBIT 7.90b * (1 - 18.42%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 18.98b / Total Current Liabilities 14.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.85 (Debt 29.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.94 (Net Debt 22.45b / EBITDA 11.59b)
Debt / FCF = 5.11 (Net Debt 22.45b / FCF TTM 4.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.88% (Net Income 5.50b / Total Assets 71.39b)
RoE = 34.41% (Net Income TTM 5.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.99b)
RoCE = 19.82% (EBIT 7.90b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.99b + L.T.Debt 23.85b))
RoIC = 16.51% (NOPAT 6.44b / Invested Capital 39.03b)
WACC = 6.83% (E(90.75b)/V(119.96b) * Re(8.77%) + D(29.21b)/V(119.96b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.63% ; FCFF base≈4.38b ; Y1≈3.55b ; Y5≈2.47b
Fair Price DCF = 48.56 (EV 58.33b - Net Debt 22.45b = Equity 35.88b / Shares 739.0m; r=6.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -22.72% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -73.50 | EPS CAGR: -17.56% | SUE: 3.47 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -65.27 | Revenue CAGR: -6.66% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=+0.028 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=18
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.15 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=+11 | Growth EPS=+3.8% | Growth Revenue=-0.2%

Additional Sources for UPS Stock

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