(USB) U.S. Bancorp - Ratings and Ratios
Banking, Cards, Loans, Investment, Treasury
USB EPS (Earnings per Share)
USB Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.51% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Alpha | -20.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.454 |
| Beta | 1.038 |
| Beta Downside | 1.237 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.64% |
| Mean DD | 14.28% |
| Median DD | 11.41% |
Description: USB U.S. Bancorp September 26, 2025
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) is a diversified financial-services holding company that serves individuals, businesses, institutions, governments and other banks across the United States through four primary operating segments: Wealth, Corporate, Commercial & Institutional Banking; Consumer & Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury & Corporate Support.
Its product suite spans traditional depository accounts (checking, savings, time-deposit certificates), a broad array of loan offerings (credit cards, lease financing, trade finance, asset-backed and agricultural lending), and ancillary cash-management and capital-markets services such as lock-box collection, treasury management, and corporate trust.
As of Q2 2024, USB reported a net interest margin of 3.12%, total loan growth of 5.4% YoY, and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.6%, reflecting its ability to generate earnings in a rising-rate environment while maintaining a low-cost deposit base (deposit growth of 3.9% YoY). The bank’s credit quality remains solid, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.68%, well below the industry average of ~1.2%.
Key macro drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy stance-higher rates tend to expand net interest margins but also pressure loan demand-and the ongoing shift toward digital payments, where USB’s Payment Services segment is positioned to capture incremental fee income.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of USB’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
USB Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 73,960m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-11-05 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.96 of 5 |
USB Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.19% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.6% |
USB Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 6.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.47 |
| Current Volume | 7830.8k |
| Average Volume | 7549.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (7.19b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.48b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.65pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1149 % (prev -897.8%; Δ -250.8pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.51b > Net Income 7.19b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.35b) to EBITDA (9.89b) ratio: 1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.56b) change vs 12m ago -0.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 62.91% (prev 58.68%; Δ 4.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.98% (prev 6.18%; Δ -0.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.63 (EBITDA TTM 9.89b / Interest Expense TTM 14.37b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.90
| (A) -0.68 = (Total Current Assets 66.64b - Total Current Liabilities 541.60b) / Total Assets 695.36b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 79.74b / Total Assets 695.36b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 9.09b / Avg Total Assets 690.91b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 72.02b / Total Liabilities 631.56b |
| Total Rating: -3.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.95
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.49% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 27.83% = 6.96 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.23 = 1.79 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.15 = 1.55 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.12)% = -1.40 |
| 7. RoE 11.81% = 0.98 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.30% = 3.92 |
| 9. EPS Trend -7.12% = -0.36 |
What is the price of USB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.43%, over one month by -0.48%, over three months by -0.33% and over the past year by -6.12%.
Is U.S. Bancorp a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of USB is around 43.18 USD . This means that USB is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.04%.
Is USB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the USB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 55.7 | 22.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 55.7 | 22.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.4 | 4.2% |
USB Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.8879
P/E Forward = 9.6899
P/S = 2.8432
P/B = 1.3011
P/EG = 1.1671
Beta = 1.115
Revenue TTM = 41.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.89b USD
Long Term Debt = 62.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.45b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 77.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.35b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 85.31b USD (73.96b + Debt 77.98b - CCE 66.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.63 (Ebit TTM 9.09b / Interest Expense TTM 14.37b)
FCF Yield = 13.49% (FCF TTM 11.51b / Enterprise Value 85.31b)
FCF Margin = 27.83% (FCF TTM 11.51b / Revenue TTM 41.35b)
Net Margin = 17.38% (Net Income TTM 7.19b / Revenue TTM 41.35b)
Gross Margin = 62.91% ((Revenue TTM 41.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.61% (prev 61.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 85.31b / Total Assets 695.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.75% (Interest Expense 3.71b / Debt 77.98b)
Taxrate = 20.70% (524.0m / 2.53b)
NOPAT = 7.21b (EBIT 9.09b * (1 - 20.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 66.64b / Total Current Liabilities 541.60b)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 77.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 63.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 11.35b / EBITDA 9.89b)
Debt / FCF = 0.99 (Net Debt 11.35b / FCF TTM 11.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 60.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.03% (Net Income 7.19b / Total Assets 695.36b)
RoE = 11.81% (Net Income TTM 7.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 60.86b)
RoCE = 7.37% (EBIT 9.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 60.86b + L.T.Debt 62.53b))
RoIC = 5.59% (NOPAT 7.21b / Invested Capital 128.97b)
WACC = 6.71% (E(73.96b)/V(151.94b) * Re(9.81%) + D(77.98b)/V(151.94b) * Rd(4.75%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.42% ; FCFE base≈9.67b ; Y1≈8.01b ; Y5≈5.83b
Fair Price DCF = 51.92 (DCF Value 80.70b / Shares Outstanding 1.55b; 5y FCF grow -20.72% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -7.12 | EPS CAGR: 0.60% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 52.30 | Revenue CAGR: 7.60% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for USB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle