USB Stock Analysis: U.S. Bancorp | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 89.370m USD | 12M Return: 24.7% | US9029733048 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposits, Lending, Wealth Management, Payment Processing
Total Rating 47
Safety 49
Buy Signal -0.06
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +5.4
Market Cap: 89.4B
Avg Turnover: 454M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.22%
VaR vs Median3.41%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.91
Rel. Str. IBD55.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group26.9
Character TTM
Beta0.828
Beta Downside0.806
Hurst Exponent0.557
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.63%
CAGR/Max DD0.89
CAGR/Mean DD3.65
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of USB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.3, "2021-12": 1.07, "2022-03": 0.99, "2022-06": 0.99, "2022-09": 1.16, "2022-12": 0.57, "2023-03": 1.04, "2023-06": 0.84, "2023-09": 0.91, "2023-12": 0.49, "2024-03": 0.9, "2024-06": 0.97, "2024-09": 1.03, "2024-12": 1.07, "2025-03": 1.03, "2025-06": 1.11, "2025-09": 1.22, "2025-12": 1.26, "2026-03": 1.18, "2026-06": 1.35,
EPS CAGR: 19.42%
EPS Trend: 95.6%
Last SUE: 2.60
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of USB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 6102, 2021-12: 5889, 2022-03: 5814, 2022-06: 6373, 2022-09: 7197, 2022-12: 8017, 2023-03: 9471, 2023-06: 10252, 2023-09: 10518, 2023-12: 10383, 2024-03: 10464, 2024-06: 10800, 2024-09: 10784, 2024-12: 10664, 2025-03: 10352, 2025-06: 10528, 2025-09: 11005, 2025-12: 10976, 2026-03: 10835, 2026-06: 10923,
Rev. CAGR: 3.27%
Rev. Trend: 82.0%
Last SUE: 0.65
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 10
Feb -1.7% 21
Mar -7.0% 41
Apr -0.8% 10
May -3.4% 43
Jun +0.4% 8
Jul +0.6% 17
Aug -1.9% 19
Sep -1.7% 19
Oct -0.1% 0
Nov +6.2% 47
Dec -0.1% 22

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: USB U.S. Bancorp

U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) is a Minneapolis-based financial services holding company founded in 1863, operating through four main segments: Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking; Consumer and Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury and Corporate Support. The company serves individuals, businesses, institutions, and government entities across the United States with a broad range of offerings including depository services (checking, savings, time deposits), lending products (credit cards, leasing, agricultural finance, asset-backed lending), cash management, capital markets, trust and investment management, and fund administration. Additional services include merchant and ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage, leasing, and corporate trust services. As a large-cap member of the Diversified Banks sub-industry within the Financials sector, U.S. Bancorp exemplifies the super-regional bank model, competing with peers like Truist and PNC by combining traditional consumer and commercial banking with extensive payment processing operations-its Payment Services segment makes it one of the largest merchant acquirers in the U.S. The company has been publicly traded since its 1987 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates
  • Payment Services segment drives fee revenue growth
  • Commercial real estate loans raise credit loss provisions
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 8.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.10k% < 20% (prev -892.1%; Δ -204.3% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 12.4b > Net Income 8.17b
Net Debt (29.5b) to EBITDA (10.9b): 2.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.55b) vs 12m ago -0.26% < -2%
Gross Margin: 63.78% > 18% (prev 60.39%; Δ 3.40% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 6.19% > 50% (prev 6.17%; Δ 0.03% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.2b / Interest Expense TTM 14.2b)
Altman Z'' -3.76
A: -0.66 (Total Current Assets 66.5b - Total Current Liabilities 546b) / Total Assets 726b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 83.2b / Total Assets 726b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 10.2b / Avg Total Assets 706b)
D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 67.4b / Total Liabilities 658b)
Altman-Z'' = -3.76 = D
What is the price of USB shares?

As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.51 with a total of 7,589,912 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.16%, over one month by -7.52%, over three months by -5.96% and over the past year by +24.66%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 55.90 (which is 2.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is USB a buy, sell or hold?

U.S. Bancorp has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy USB.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the USB price?
Analysts Target Price 70.1 21.8%
U.S. Bancorp (USB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 89.4b (89.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.5412
P/E Forward = 10.4058
P/S = 3.2711
P/B = 1.5276
P/EG = 1.7932
Revenue TTM = 43.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.2b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.9b USD
Long Term Debt = 58.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.3b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 96.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 29.5b USD (calculated: Debt 96.0b - CCE 66.5b)
Enterprise Value = 119b USD (89.4b + Debt 96.0b - CCE 66.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.72 (Ebit TTM 10.2b / Interest Expense TTM 14.2b)
EV/FCF = 9.60x (Enterprise Value 119b / FCF TTM 12.4b)
FCF Yield = 10.42% (FCF TTM 12.4b / Enterprise Value 119b)
FCF Margin = 28.31% (FCF TTM 12.4b / Revenue TTM 43.7b)
Net Margin = 18.69% (Net Income TTM 8.17b / Revenue TTM 43.7b)
Gross Margin = 63.78% ((Revenue TTM 43.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.44% (prev 61.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.16 (Enterprise Value 119b / Total Assets 726b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.74% (Interest Expense 14.2b / Debt 96.0b)
Taxrate = 19.72% (2.01b / 10.2b)
NOPAT = 8.19b (EBIT 10.2b * (1 - 19.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 66.5b / Total Current Liabilities 546b)
Debt / Equity = 1.42 (Debt 96.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.72 (Net Debt 29.5b / EBITDA 10.9b)
Debt / FCF = 2.38 (Net Debt 29.5b / FCF TTM 12.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 65.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.16% (Net Income 8.17b / Total Assets 726b)
RoE = 12.49% (Net Income TTM 8.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 65.4b)
RoCE = 8.22% (EBIT 10.2b / Capital Employed (Equity 65.4b + L.T.Debt 58.7b))
RoIC = 1.13% (NOPAT 8.19b / Invested Capital 724b)
WACC = 10.42% (E(89.4b)/V(185b) * Re(8.90%) + D(96.0b)/V(185b) * Rd(14.74%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.88 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.57% ; FCFF base≈10.4b ; Y1≈11.9b ; Y5≈17.6b
[DCF] Fair Price = 105.4 (EV 194b - Net Debt 29.5b = Equity 164b / Shares 1.56b; r=10.42% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.65 | EPS CAGR: 19.42% | SUE: 2.60 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 81.95 | Revenue CAGR: 3.27% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=+0.91% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.23 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+13.1% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.81 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+11.1% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +69% (up=29, down=4)