(USFD) US Foods Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Fresh Foods, Frozen Foods, Dry Foods, Non-Food Supplies
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Alpha | 5.71 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.57 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.609 |
| Beta | 0.751 |
| Beta Downside | 0.774 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.01% |
| Mean DD | 5.10% |
| Median DD | 3.93% |
Description: USFD US Foods Holding December 19, 2025
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE: USFD) is a leading U.S. foodservice distributor that supplies fresh, frozen, dry, and non-food products to a broad customer base-including independent restaurants, national chains, hospitals, hotels, and institutional buyers-through an extensive logistics network headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois.
Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of roughly $27.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 3 %, reflecting modest profitability in a low-margin distribution business. Same-store sales growth was flat year-over-year, while the company’s inventory turnover improved to 6.2×, indicating tighter supply-chain management.
Sector-wide drivers that materially affect US Foods include persistent food-price inflation (driven by commodity volatility), labor-cost pressures in the restaurant industry, and the ongoing consolidation of restaurant operators, which can boost volume but also intensify pricing competition.
For a deeper quantitative view of USFD’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 558.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.43% < 20% (prev 1.73%; Δ -0.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.36b > Net Income 558.0m |
| Net Debt (4.90b) to EBITDA (1.50b): 3.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (228.4m) vs 12m ago -6.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.41% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1724 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 284.3% > 50% (prev 277.0%; Δ 7.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.41 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.63
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 3.81b) / Total Assets 14.04b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 2.50b / Total Assets 14.04b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1.05b / Avg Total Assets 13.76b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 2.54b / Total Liabilities 9.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.63 = BB |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 2.43b/2.28b, Revenue 39.12b/37.32b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 17.41% / 17.30%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 39.12b / 37.32b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 558.0m - CFO 1.36b) / TA 14.04b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.24
| 1. Piotroski: 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.04% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 2.50% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 1.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 0.94% |
| 7. RoE: 12.24% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 89.82% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 76.62% |
What is the price of USFD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.86%, over one month by +5.88%, over three months by +8.11% and over the past year by +18.15%.
Is USFD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the USFD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 90.8 | 10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 90.8 | 10.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 100.2 | 22.3% |
USFD Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.1159
P/S = 0.4934
P/B = 4.2738
P/EG = 0.2439
Revenue TTM = 39.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.05b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 120.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.20b USD (19.30b + Debt 4.95b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m)
EV/FCF = 24.74x (Enterprise Value 24.20b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.04% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Enterprise Value 24.20b)
FCF Margin = 2.50% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Gross Margin = 17.41% ((Revenue TTM 39.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.20% (prev 17.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.72 (Enterprise Value 24.20b / Total Assets 14.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.53% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 4.95b)
Taxrate = 25.73% (53.0m / 206.0m)
NOPAT = 778.4m (EBIT 1.05b * (1 - 25.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 3.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 4.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 4.90b / EBITDA 1.50b)
Debt / FCF = 5.01 (Net Debt 4.90b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 558.0m / Total Assets 14.04b)
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.56b)
RoCE = 11.16% (EBIT 1.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.56b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 778.4m / Invested Capital 9.63b)
WACC = 7.14% (E(19.30b)/V(24.25b) * Re(8.68%) + D(4.95b)/V(24.25b) * Rd(1.53%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.11% ; FCFF base≈874.0m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.84b
Fair Price DCF = 146.3 (EV 37.52b - Net Debt 4.90b = Equity 32.63b / Shares 222.9m; r=7.14% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 76.62 | EPS CAGR: 31.79% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.82 | Revenue CAGR: 7.99% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.70 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+19.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
Additional Sources for USFD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle