USFD Stock Analysis: US Foods Holding | NYSE
Food Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 23.260m USD | 12M Return: 39.5% | US9120081099 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 231M
EPS Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.2 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE: USFD) is a large-cap U.S. foodservice distributor that markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to a broad range of foodservice customers across the country. Its customer base spans independently owned single and multi-unit restaurants, regional and national chains, healthcare facilities, hospitality venues, government and military accounts, educational institutions, and retail locations. The company also offers MOXe, an integrated foodservice business application that supports ordering, menu management, and back-of-house operations for operators.
Headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, US Foods is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Food Distributors sub-industry, a segment that operates on high-volume, low-margin economics reliant on wide product assortments, route-based delivery logistics, and long-standing supplier relationships. The company completed its initial public offering in May 2016 and adopted its current name from USF Holding Corp. in February 2016.
- Restaurant traffic recovery boosts organic foodservice volume growth
- Gross margin expansion driven by pricing actions and supply chain efficiencies
- Aggressive share repurchases accelerate capital returns to shareholders
| Net Income: 728.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.34% < 20% (prev 1.54%; Δ -0.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.37b > Net Income 728.0m |
| Net Debt (5.54b) to EBITDA (1.74b): 3.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (220.5m) vs 12m ago -5.60% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.55% > 18% (prev 17.40%; Δ 0.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 285.4% > 50% (prev 280.3%; Δ 5.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.14 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 306.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 4.45b - Total Current Liabilities 3.91b) / Total Assets 14.3b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 3.07b / Total Assets 14.3b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.27b / Avg Total Assets 14.1b) |
| D: 0.43 (Book Value of Equity 4.28b / Total Liabilities 10.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.00 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 2.48b/2.35b, Revenue 40.1b/38.7b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 17.40% / 17.55%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.51) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 40.1b / 38.7b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 728.0m - CFO 1.37b) / TA 14.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 108.46 with a total of 1,126,609 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.87%, over one month by +9.24%, over three months by +33.41% and over the past year by +39.48%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 101.60 (which is 6.3% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).
US Foods Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy USFD.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 115.9 | 6.8% |
P/E Trailing = 32.8807
P/E Forward = 23.2558
P/S = 0.5796
P/B = 5.405
P/EG = 0.2439
Revenue TTM = 40.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 150.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 355.0m
Net Debt = 5.54b USD (calculated: Debt 5.59b - CCE 56.0m)
Enterprise Value = 28.8b USD (23.3b + Debt 5.59b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.14 (Ebit TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 306.0m)
EV/FCF = 30.44x (Enterprise Value 28.8b / FCF TTM 946.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.29% (FCF TTM 946.0m / Enterprise Value 28.8b)
FCF Margin = 2.36% (FCF TTM 946.0m / Revenue TTM 40.1b)
Net Margin = 1.81% (Net Income TTM 728.0m / Revenue TTM 40.1b)
Gross Margin = 17.55% ((Revenue TTM 40.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 33.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.22% (prev 17.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.01 (Enterprise Value 28.8b / Total Assets 14.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.47% (Interest Expense 306.0m / Debt 5.59b)
Taxrate = 24.25% (233.0m / 961.0m)
NOPAT = 959.8m (EBIT 1.27b * (1 - 24.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 4.45b / Total Current Liabilities 3.91b)
Debt / Equity = 1.31 (Debt 5.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.18 (Net Debt 5.54b / EBITDA 1.74b)
Debt / FCF = 5.85 (Net Debt 5.54b / FCF TTM 946.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.18% (Net Income 728.0m / Total Assets 14.3b)
RoE = 16.75% (Net Income TTM 728.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.35b)
RoCE = 13.43% (EBIT 1.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.35b + L.T.Debt 5.09b))
RoIC = 9.12% (NOPAT 959.8m / Invested Capital 10.5b)
WACC = 6.83% (E(23.3b)/V(28.9b) * Re(7.47%) + D(5.59b)/V(28.9b) * Rd(5.47%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.46 | Cagr: -5.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.64% ; FCFF base≈940.4m ; Y1≈956.1m ; Y5≈1.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.86 (EV 16.1b - Net Debt 5.54b = Equity 10.6b / Shares 216.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.50% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.65 | EPS CAGR: 21.48% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.20 | Revenue CAGR: 5.01% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.90% | Revisions=-42% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.73 | Chg30d=+0.57% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.49 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+16.1% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +3% (up=15, down=14)