UTZ Stock Analysis: Utz Brands | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.057m USD | 12M Return: 20.7% | US9180901012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 20.3M
EPS Trend: 94.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 31.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Utz Brands, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer of branded salty snacks, offering a diversified portfolio that includes potato chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pub and party mixes, pork skins, ready-to-eat popcorn, salsa, and dips. The company also produces non-branded and non-salty items, including private-label, partner-brand, and co-manufactured products. It markets these under both owned brands (Utz, On The Border, Zapps, Boulder Canyon, Golden Flake, Miguelitos, Hawaiian, Bachman, Tims Cascade, Dirty Potato Chips, and Vitners) and licensed brands (TGI Fridays), and distributes them through a multi-channel network that includes direct-to-warehouse, direct-store-delivery, third-party distributors, and direct-to-consumer routes. Founded in 1921, the company is headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania.
The company operates within the consumer staples packaged foods segment, where demand is typically more resilient than the broader economy due to the everyday, non-discretionary nature of snack consumption. Its multi-channel distribution model-combining direct-store-delivery (commonly used for impulse snack categories) with third-party and warehouse distribution-reflects a common hybrid approach in the salty snack industry designed to maximize in-store availability and shelf presence.
- ato and corn input costs pressure gross margins
- DSD network expansion drives incremental shelf space gains
- Premium Zapps and On The Border brands outpace core volumes
| Net Income: -29.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.47% < 20% (prev 6.12%; Δ -4.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 115.6m > Net Income -29.0m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (98.2m): 11.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.5m) vs 12m ago 0.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.12% > 18% (prev 34.76%; Δ -14.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.78% > 50% (prev 50.24%; Δ 1.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.14 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.6m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 362.1m - Total Current Liabilities 340.7m) / Total Assets 2.78b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -350.1m / Total Assets 2.78b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 10.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.81b) |
| D: 0.48 (Book Value of Equity 695.9m / Total Liabilities 1.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.16 = B |
| DSRI: 0.70 (Receivables 127.7m/177.9m, Revenue 1.45b/1.43b) |
| GMI: 1.73 (GM 34.76% / 20.12%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.73) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.45b / 1.43b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -29.0m - CFO 115.6m) / TA 2.78b) |
| Beneish M = -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.30 with a total of 5,544,374 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.21%, over one month by +1.01%, over three months by +86.30% and over the past year by +20.67%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.20 (which is 0.7% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Utz Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.10. Therefore, it is recommended to hold UTZ.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 14.3 | 0.1% |
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 0.8714
P/B = 1.812
Revenue TTM = 1.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 98.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 812.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 65.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 173.7m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.20b - CCE 58.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.20b USD (2.06b + Debt 1.20b - CCE 58.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.14 (Ebit TTM 10.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.6m)
EV/FCF = 62.68x (Enterprise Value 3.20b / FCF TTM 51.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.60% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Enterprise Value 3.20b)
FCF Margin = 3.52% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Net Margin = -2.00% (Net Income TTM -29.0m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Gross Margin = 20.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.87% (prev 25.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 3.20b / Total Assets 2.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.28% (Interest Expense 75.6m / Debt 1.20b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 8.22m (EBIT 10.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 362.1m / Total Current Liabilities 340.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 1.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 695.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.67 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 98.2m)
Debt / FCF = 22.42 (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM 51.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 711.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.03% (Net Income -29.0m / Total Assets 2.78b)
RoE = -4.08% (Net Income TTM -29.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 711.1m)
RoCE = 0.68% (EBIT 10.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 711.1m + L.T.Debt 812.2m))
RoIC = 0.34% (NOPAT 8.22m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.40% (E(2.06b)/V(3.26b) * Re(5.66%) + D(1.20b)/V(3.26b) * Rd(6.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.94 | Cagr: 3.80%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈51.1m ; Y1≈51.3m ; Y5≈54.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 845.4m - Net Debt 1.15b = -300.2m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 94.50 | EPS CAGR: 16.28% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.95 | Revenue CAGR: 0.33% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-5.3% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.5% | GrowthRev=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -7% (up=5, down=6)