UTZ Stock Analysis: Utz Brands | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 732m USD | 12M Return: -42.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 12.7M
EPS Trend: 86.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 7.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Utz Brands, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer of branded salty snacks, offering products such as potato chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pub and party mixes, pork skins, and ready-to-eat popcorn, along with salsa and dips. The company also produces non-branded items through partner brands, private label arrangements, and co-manufacturing contracts. Its portfolio spans numerous brands, including Utz, On The Border, Zapps, Boulder Canyon, Golden Flake, Bachman, Tims Cascade, and TGI Fridays. Distribution occurs through multiple channels, including direct-to-warehouse, direct-store-delivery (DSD), third-party distributors, and direct-to-consumer. Headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania, Utz was founded in 1921 and has been operating for over a century in the highly competitive U.S. salty snack market, where it competes against large packaged-food peers that also rely heavily on direct-store-delivery networks to maintain shelf presence and rapid product turnover in convenience and grocery channels.
- Gross margin recovery hinges on moderating potato and oil costs
- DSD distribution expansion drives incremental shelf space gains
- Leverage reduction remains priority amid elevated interest expense
| Net Income: -8.40m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.10% < 20% (prev 5.86%; Δ -2.76% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 120.2m > Net Income -8.40m |
| Net Debt (964.5m) to EBITDA (120.1m): 8.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.3m) vs 12m ago 0.93% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.31% > 18% (prev 34.88%; Δ -12.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.04% > 50% (prev 50.91%; Δ 1.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 33.9m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 359.9m - Total Current Liabilities 315.0m) / Total Assets 2.79b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -334.4m / Total Assets 2.79b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 33.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.78b) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 709.5m / Total Liabilities 1.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.31 = B |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 128.2m/139.3m, Revenue 1.45b/1.41b) |
| GMI: 1.56 (GM 34.88% / 22.31%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.74) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.45b / 1.41b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -8.40m - CFO 120.2m) / TA 2.79b) |
| Beneish M = -2.59 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.83 with a total of 1,390,434 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.32%, over one month by +10.68%, over three months by +4.67% and over the past year by -42.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.00 (which is 10.6% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Utz Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UTZ.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 11.7 | 48.8% |
P/E Forward = 10.6724
P/S = 0.5057
P/B = 1.032
Revenue TTM = 1.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 33.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 120.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 825.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.04b USD (corrected: LT Debt 825.1m + ST Debt 36.4m) + Leases 176.7m
Net Debt = 964.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.04b - CCE 73.7m)
Enterprise Value = 1.70b USD (732.2m + Debt 1.04b - CCE 73.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.44 (Ebit TTM 33.9m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m)
EV/FCF = 40.00x (Enterprise Value 1.70b / FCF TTM 42.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.50% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Enterprise Value 1.70b)
FCF Margin = 2.93% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Net Margin = -0.58% (Net Income TTM -8.40m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Gross Margin = 22.31% ((Revenue TTM 1.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.44% (prev -6.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 1.70b / Total Assets 2.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.35% (Interest Expense 76.3m / Debt 1.04b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 26.8m (EBIT 33.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 359.9m / Total Current Liabilities 315.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 1.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 709.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.03 (Net Debt 964.5m / EBITDA 120.1m)
Debt / FCF = 22.74 (Net Debt 964.5m / FCF TTM 42.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 719.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.30% (Net Income -8.40m / Total Assets 2.79b)
RoE = -1.17% (Net Income TTM -8.40m / Total Stockholder Equity 719.9m)
RoCE = 2.19% (EBIT 33.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 719.9m + L.T.Debt 825.1m))
RoIC = 1.10% (NOPAT 26.8m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.95% (E(732.2m)/V(1.77b) * Re(6.15%) + D(1.04b)/V(1.77b) * Rd(7.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 82.22 | Cagr: 3.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈42.4m ; Y1≈42.6m ; Y5≈45.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 701.7m - Net Debt 964.5m = -262.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 86.07 | EPS CAGR: 25.70% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 7.50 | Revenue CAGR: 0.07% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.31% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-0.51% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=4, down=10)