UVV Stock Analysis: Universal | NYSE

Tobacco | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.283m USD | 12M Return: 1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Leaf Tobacco, Plant Ingredients, Liquid Nicotine, Botanical Extracts
Total Rating 38
Safety 78
Buy Signal 0.30
Tobacco
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 1.28B
Avg Turnover: 13.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.2%
VaR 5th Pctl4.37%
VaR vs Median-2.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Rel. Str. IBD36.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group44.3
Character TTM
Beta0.139
Beta Downside0.219
Hurst Exponent0.291
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.70%
CAGR/Max DD0.31
CAGR/Mean DD0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UVV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.3, "2021-09": 1.04, "2021-12": 1.4, "2022-03": 1.03, "2022-06": 0.27, "2022-09": 0.8763, "2022-12": 1.67, "2023-03": 0.97, "2023-06": -0.08, "2023-09": 1.12, "2023-12": 2.16, "2024-03": 1.6055, "2024-06": 0.0052, "2024-09": 1.032, "2024-12": 2.372, "2025-03": 2.37, "2025-06": 0.3381, "2025-09": 1.36, "2025-12": 1.32, "2026-03": -0.46,
EPS CAGR: 7.20%
EPS Trend: 23.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of UVV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 350.029, 2021-09: 453.955, 2021-12: 652.644, 2022-03: 646.973, 2022-06: 429.822, 2022-09: 650.984, 2022-12: 795.039, 2023-03: 693.979, 2023-06: 517.722, 2023-09: 638.484, 2023-12: 821.507, 2024-03: 770.86, 2024-06: 597.05, 2024-09: 710.762, 2024-12: 937.193, 2025-03: 702.279, 2025-06: 593.762, 2025-09: 754.177, 2025-12: 861.288, 2026-03: 715.243,
Rev. CAGR: 4.58%
Rev. Trend: 84.8%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Low Hurst

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.1% 2
Feb -0.9% 2
Mar +3.4% 29
Apr +2.5% 34
May -0.6% 13
Jun +0.7% 24
Jul -0.9% 8
Aug -5.7% 22
Sep -0.5% 24
Oct +0.4% 2
Nov +3.7% 25
Dec -0.5% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UVV Universal

Universal Corporation (NYSE: UVV) is a Richmond, Virginia-based business-to-business agriproducts company that operates through two segments: Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. The Tobacco Operations segment procures, processes, and packs multiple varieties of leaf tobacco-including flue-cured, burley, dark air-cured, and oriental-and offers value-added services such as custom blending, tobacco testing, reconstituted leaf manufacturing, and liquid nicotine production. The Ingredients Operations segment produces a wide range of specialty plant-based ingredients-such as juices, concentrates, purees, botanical extracts, natural flavors, and colors-for consumer-packaged goods, food, and beverage manufacturers.

Unlike consumer-facing tobacco companies, UVV operates as an upstream B2B supplier, selling processed leaf to cigarette manufacturers rather than retailing tobacco products directly. Its diversification into plant-based ingredients reflects the broader food and beverage industrys growing demand for natural, clean-label, and value-added ingredient solutions sourced from agricultural raw materials.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global leaf tobacco demand softens as cigarette volumes decline
  • Ingredients segment revenue grows on plant-based food and beverage demand
  • FDA regulation and menthol ban proposals pressure leaf tobacco pricing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 32.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.94 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 48.13% < 20% (prev 47.70%; Δ 0.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 129.1m > Net Income 32.6m
Net Debt (913.2m) to EBITDA (234.0m): 3.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.49 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (25.2m) vs 12m ago 0.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.47% > 18% (prev 18.64%; Δ -1.17% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 101.6% > 50% (prev 98.59%; Δ 3.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 180.6m / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m)
Altman Z'' 6.24
A: 0.51 (Total Current Assets 1.97b - Total Current Liabilities 564.2m) / Total Assets 2.77b
B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 1.14b / Total Assets 2.77b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 180.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.88b)
D: 1.08 (Book Value of Equity 1.42b / Total Liabilities 1.31b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.24 = AAA
Beneish M -3.06
DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 576.2m/633.0m, Revenue 2.92b/2.95b)
GMI: 1.07 (GM 18.64% / 17.47%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 2.92b / 2.95b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 32.6m - CFO 129.1m) / TA 2.77b)
Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of UVV shares?

As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 53.02 with a total of 439,943 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.72%, over one month by +0.48%, over three months by +4.03% and over the past year by +0.99%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.20 (which is 3.4% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is UVV a buy, sell or hold?

Universal has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the UVV price?
Analysts Target Price 74 39.6%
Universal (UVV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.28b (1.28b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 40.2031
P/E Forward = 12.1212
P/S = 0.4386
P/B = 0.918
P/EG = 4.0411
Revenue TTM = 2.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 180.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 234.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 616.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 298.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 975.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.5m
Net Debt = 913.2m USD (calculated: Debt 975.4m - CCE 62.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.20b USD (1.28b + Debt 975.4m - CCE 62.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.32 (Ebit TTM 180.6m / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m)
EV/FCF = 27.36x (Enterprise Value 2.20b / FCF TTM 80.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.66% (FCF TTM 80.3m / Enterprise Value 2.20b)
FCF Margin = 2.74% (FCF TTM 80.3m / Revenue TTM 2.92b)
Net Margin = 1.12% (Net Income TTM 32.6m / Revenue TTM 2.92b)
Gross Margin = 17.47% ((Revenue TTM 2.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.41b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.77% (prev 18.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 2.20b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.99% (Interest Expense 78.0m / Debt 975.4m)
Taxrate = 45.45% (46.7m / 102.7m)
NOPAT = 98.5m (EBIT 180.6m * (1 - 45.45%))
Current Ratio = 3.49 (Total Current Assets 1.97b / Total Current Liabilities 564.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 975.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.90 (Net Debt 913.2m / EBITDA 234.0m)
Debt / FCF = 11.38 (Net Debt 913.2m / FCF TTM 80.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.13% (Net Income 32.6m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 2.24% (Net Income TTM 32.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.46b)
RoCE = 8.71% (EBIT 180.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.46b + L.T.Debt 616.7m))
RoIC = 4.04% (NOPAT 98.5m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(1.28b)/V(2.26b) * Re(6.47%) + D(975.4m)/V(2.26b) * Rd(7.99%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 6.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 39.98 | Cagr: 0.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈153.9m ; Y1≈135.0m ; Y5≈109.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 33.59 (EV 1.75b - Net Debt 913.2m = Equity 837.2m / Shares 24.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 23.63 | EPS CAGR: 7.20% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.76 | Revenue CAGR: 4.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-26.47% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=-8.27% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.30 | Chg30d=-2.27% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+62.9% | GrowthRev=-0.6%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=4.38 | Chg30d=-4.99% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+1.9% | GrowthRev=+2.0%