UVV Stock Analysis: Universal | NYSE

Tobacco | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.013m USD | 12M Return: -20.8% | US9134561094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Leaf Tobacco, Botanical Extracts, Liquid Nicotine, Natural Flavors
Total Rating 35
Safety 88
Buy Signal -0.58
Tobacco
Industry Rotation: +12.6
Market Cap: 1.01B
Avg Turnover: 14.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.1%
VaR 5th Pctl4.18%
VaR vs Median-2.73%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.02
Rel. Str. IBD9.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group11.4 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.144
Beta Downside-0.064
Hurst Exponent0.502
Choppyness51.7%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD33.40%
CAGR/Max DD0.06
CAGR/Mean DD0.13
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UVV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.04, "2021-12": 1.4, "2022-03": 1.03, "2022-06": 0.27, "2022-09": 0.8763, "2022-12": 1.67, "2023-03": 0.97, "2023-06": -0.08, "2023-09": 1.12, "2023-12": 2.16, "2024-03": 1.6055, "2024-06": 0.0052, "2024-09": 1.032, "2024-12": 2.372, "2025-03": 2.37, "2025-06": 0.3381, "2025-09": 1.36, "2025-12": 1.32, "2026-03": -0.46, "2026-06": -0.18,
EPS CAGR: -10.39%
EPS Trend: -28.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of UVV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 453.955, 2021-12: 652.644, 2022-03: 646.973, 2022-06: 429.822, 2022-09: 650.984, 2022-12: 795.039, 2023-03: 693.979, 2023-06: 517.722, 2023-09: 638.484, 2023-12: 821.507, 2024-03: 770.86, 2024-06: 597.05, 2024-09: 710.762, 2024-12: 937.193, 2025-03: 702.279, 2025-06: 593.762, 2025-09: 754.177, 2025-12: 861.288, 2026-03: 715.243, 2026-06: 523.779,
Rev. CAGR: 3.34%
Rev. Trend: 69.7%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.0% 5
Feb -1.0% 8
Mar +3.5% 32
Apr +2.0% 25
May -0.6% 17
Jun +0.7% 27
Jul +2.4% 9
Aug -5.7% 20
Sep -1.2% 31
Oct -0.0% 5
Nov +2.7% 29
Dec +3.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UVV Universal

Universal Corporation (NYSE: UVV) is a business-to-business agriproducts company headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, operating since 1918. The company runs two main segments: Tobacco Operations, which procures, processes, and packs various types of leaf tobacco (including flue-cured, burley, dark air-cured, and oriental) for consumer product manufacturers, along with specialty services like custom blending, chemical testing, reconstituted leaf manufacturing, and liquid nicotine production; and Ingredients Operations, which produces specialty plant-based ingredients such as fruit and vegetable juices, purees, concentrates, botanical extracts, natural flavors, and nutraceuticals for food, beverage, and consumer-packaged goods manufacturers. This dual structure positions UVV in both the traditional tobacco supply chain and the growing plant-based ingredients market, giving it exposure to consumer staples demand in food and beverage end markets worldwide.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Leaf tobacco margins pressured by crop costs and FX volatility
  • Ingredients segment revenue accelerates on plant-based demand
  • Global anti-tobacco regulation pressures leaf tobacco volumes
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 19.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.26 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 47.96% < 20% (prev 47.68%; Δ 0.28% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 217.1m > Net Income 19.1m
Net Debt (1.08b) to EBITDA (196.1m): 5.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.57 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (25.1m) vs 12m ago -0.20% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.82% > 18% (prev 19.27%; Δ -2.45% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 91.71% > 50% (prev 92.31%; Δ -0.59% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 143.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m)
Altman Z'' 5.36
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 2.24b - Total Current Liabilities 870.9m) / Total Assets 3.04b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 1.11b / Total Assets 3.04b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 143.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.11b)
D: 0.86 (Book Value of Equity 1.39b / Total Liabilities 1.61b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.36 = AAA
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 555.4m/551.9m, Revenue 2.85b/2.94b)
GMI: 1.15 (GM 19.27% / 16.82%)
AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 2.85b / 2.94b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 19.1m - CFO 217.1m) / TA 3.04b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of UVV shares?

As of October 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.56 with a total of 380,880 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.61%, over one month by -6.87%, over three months by -24.30% and over the past year by -20.75%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.30 (which is 3.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is UVV a buy, sell or hold?

Universal has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the UVV price?
Analysts Target Price 67 69.4%
Universal (UVV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.01b (1.01b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 53.5132
P/E Forward = 11.976
P/S = 0.3548
P/B = 0.7795
P/EG = 11.978
Revenue TTM = 2.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 196.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 616.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 577.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.25b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 33.3m
Net Debt = 1.08b USD (calculated: Debt 1.25b - CCE 173.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.09b USD (1.01b + Debt 1.25b - CCE 173.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.90 (Ebit TTM 143.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m)
EV/FCF = 12.71x (Enterprise Value 2.09b / FCF TTM 164.4m)
FCF Yield = 7.87% (FCF TTM 164.4m / Enterprise Value 2.09b)
FCF Margin = 5.76% (FCF TTM 164.4m / Revenue TTM 2.85b)
Net Margin = 0.67% (Net Income TTM 19.1m / Revenue TTM 2.85b)
Gross Margin = 16.82% ((Revenue TTM 2.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.86% (prev 13.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 2.09b / Total Assets 3.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.02% (Interest Expense 75.3m / Debt 1.25b)
Taxrate = 45.45% (46.7m / 102.7m)
NOPAT = 78.2m (EBIT 143.4m * (1 - 45.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 2.24b / Total Current Liabilities 870.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 1.25b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.49 (Net Debt 1.08b / EBITDA 196.1m)
Debt / FCF = 6.55 (Net Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM 164.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.61% (Net Income 19.1m / Total Assets 3.04b)
RoE = 1.33% (Net Income TTM 19.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 6.98% (EBIT 143.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 616.9m))
RoIC = 3.01% (NOPAT 78.2m / Invested Capital 2.60b)
WACC = 4.13% (E(1.01b)/V(2.26b) * Re(5.17%) + D(1.25b)/V(2.26b) * Rd(6.02%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 5.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 43.05 | Cagr: -0.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈151.6m ; Y1≈173.8m ; Y5≈255.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 111.3 (EV 3.85b - Net Debt 1.08b = Equity 2.77b / Shares 24.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -28.42 | EPS CAGR: -10.39% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 69.67 | Revenue CAGR: 3.34% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+20.4% | GrowthRev=-6.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=3.95 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+24.2% | GrowthRev=+4.2%