(VAC) Marriot Vacations Worldwide - Ratings and Ratios
Timeshare, Fractional, Exchange, Resort, Financing
VAC EPS (Earnings per Share)
VAC Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 110% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 152% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.07 |
| Alpha Jensen | -69.51 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.668 |
| Beta | 1.360 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.55% |
| Mean DD | 38.93% |
Description: VAC Marriot Vacations Worldwide November 09, 2025
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (NYSE: VAC) operates a vacation-ownership platform that develops, markets, sells, and manages timeshare and fractional-ownership products across a portfolio of upscale brands-including Marriott Vacation Club, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and the Ritz-Carlton Club-primarily in the United States with expanding international exposure.
The business is split into two reporting segments: (1) Vacation Ownership, which drives revenue through sales of new ownership interests, rental of existing inventory, and consumer financing; and (2) Exchange & Third-Party Management, which leverages the Interval International and Aqua-Aston networks to provide exchange services, membership programs, and outsourced resort-management contracts for third-party properties.
Beyond direct sales, VAC monetizes its portfolio by offering financing to purchasers, renting unsold or under-utilized ownership weeks, and licensing premium brands such as Ritz-Carlton Residences and St. Regis for fractional products, thereby extracting incremental margin from brand equity and ancillary services.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly $2.1 billion, a 6 % year-over-year increase driven largely by higher occupancy of owned inventory (≈ 78 % vs. industry average of 71 %) and a 4 % rise in average daily rate (ADR). The segment’s cash-flow conversion remains robust at ~ 85 % of net income, but sensitivity to discretionary-spending cycles and rising interest rates-both of which can depress timeshare financing demand-poses a material risk. Moreover, the broader hospitality sector is benefiting from a rebound in leisure travel post-pandemic, yet the pace of recovery is uneven across regions, implying that VAC’s international expansion may face divergent macro-economic headwinds.
If you’re interested in a deeper quantitative dive, ValueRay’s detailed analyst toolkit can help you model VAC’s cash-flow sensitivity to financing rates and occupancy trends, which may uncover hidden upside or downside scenarios.
VAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,632m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-11-08 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -55.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
VAC Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.89% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 54.41% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% |
VAC Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -29.58% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.43 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.76 |
| Current Volume | 990.4k |
| Average Volume | 438k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (173.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 302.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 62.13% (prev 59.23%; Δ 2.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 122.0m <= Net Income 173.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-474.0m) to EBITDA (610.0m) ratio: -0.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 6.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.9m) change vs 12m ago -17.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.77% (prev 52.85%; Δ -21.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 54.00% (prev 49.63%; Δ 4.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.80 (EBITDA TTM 610.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.08
| (A) 0.35 = (Total Current Assets 3.72b - Total Current Liabilities 594.0m) / Total Assets 8.91b |
| (B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 893.0m / Total Assets 8.91b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 459.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.33b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 880.0m / Total Liabilities 7.68b |
| Total Rating: 3.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.44
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.13% = 1.07 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.99% = 0.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.43 = 1.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.78 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.37)% = 2.96 |
| 7. RoE 7.04% = 0.59 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.06% = 4.43 |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.03% = -2.15 |
What is the price of VAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -29.46%, over one month by -27.98%, over three months by -32.99% and over the past year by -48.17%.
Is Marriot Vacations Worldwide a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VAC is around 40.60 USD . This means that VAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.21%.
Is VAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 86.8 | 85.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 86.8 | 85.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.2 | -7.6% |
VAC Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.1009
P/E Forward = 12.0919
P/S = 0.486
P/B = 0.9369
P/EG = 1.48
Beta = 1.36
Revenue TTM = 5.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 459.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 610.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 226.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -474.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.69b USD (1.63b + Debt 3.53b - CCE 474.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.80 (Ebit TTM 459.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.13% (FCF TTM 100.0m / Enterprise Value 4.69b)
FCF Margin = 1.99% (FCF TTM 100.0m / Revenue TTM 5.04b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Revenue TTM 5.04b)
Gross Margin = 31.77% ((Revenue TTM 5.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.88% (prev 39.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 4.69b / Total Assets 8.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.22% (Interest Expense 43.0m / Debt 3.53b)
Taxrate = -300.0% (out of range, set to none) (-3.00m / 1.00m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 6.27 (Total Current Assets 3.72b / Total Current Liabilities 594.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 3.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.78 (Net Debt -474.0m / EBITDA 610.0m)
Debt / FCF = -4.74 (Net Debt -474.0m / FCF TTM 100.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.94% (Net Income 173.0m / Total Assets 8.91b)
RoE = 7.04% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.46b)
RoCE = 6.13% (EBIT 459.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.46b + L.T.Debt 5.03b))
RoIC = 5.85% (EBIT 459.0m / (Assets 8.91b - Curr.Liab 594.0m - Cash 474.0m))
WACC = 3.49% (E(1.63b)/V(5.17b) * Re(11.03%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -9.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.44% ; FCFE base≈82.8m ; Y1≈54.6m ; Y5≈25.3m
Fair Price DCF = 9.49 (DCF Value 328.5m / Shares Outstanding 34.6m; 5y FCF grow -39.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -43.03 | EPS CAGR: -16.11% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.06 | Revenue CAGR: 2.25% | SUE: -1.14 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for VAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle