(VAC) Marriot Vacations Worldwide - Ratings and Ratios
Timeshare, Fractional, Exchange, Resort, Financing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 83.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 114% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Alpha | -60.55 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.529 |
| Beta | 1.682 |
| Beta Downside | 1.638 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.41% |
| Mean DD | 39.82% |
| Median DD | 44.29% |
Description: VAC Marriot Vacations Worldwide November 09, 2025
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (NYSE: VAC) operates a vacation-ownership platform that develops, markets, sells, and manages timeshare and fractional-ownership products across a portfolio of upscale brands-including Marriott Vacation Club, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and the Ritz-Carlton Club-primarily in the United States with expanding international exposure.
The business is split into two reporting segments: (1) Vacation Ownership, which drives revenue through sales of new ownership interests, rental of existing inventory, and consumer financing; and (2) Exchange & Third-Party Management, which leverages the Interval International and Aqua-Aston networks to provide exchange services, membership programs, and outsourced resort-management contracts for third-party properties.
Beyond direct sales, VAC monetizes its portfolio by offering financing to purchasers, renting unsold or under-utilized ownership weeks, and licensing premium brands such as Ritz-Carlton Residences and St. Regis for fractional products, thereby extracting incremental margin from brand equity and ancillary services.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly $2.1 billion, a 6 % year-over-year increase driven largely by higher occupancy of owned inventory (≈ 78 % vs. industry average of 71 %) and a 4 % rise in average daily rate (ADR). The segment’s cash-flow conversion remains robust at ~ 85 % of net income, but sensitivity to discretionary-spending cycles and rising interest rates-both of which can depress timeshare financing demand-poses a material risk. Moreover, the broader hospitality sector is benefiting from a rebound in leisure travel post-pandemic, yet the pace of recovery is uneven across regions, implying that VAC’s international expansion may face divergent macro-economic headwinds.
If you’re interested in a deeper quantitative dive, ValueRay’s detailed analyst toolkit can help you model VAC’s cash-flow sensitivity to financing rates and occupancy trends, which may uncover hidden upside or downside scenarios.
VAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,758m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-11-08 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -49.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
VAC Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 54.41% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% |
VAC Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -26.20% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.38 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.66 |
| Current Volume | 778.6k |
| Average Volume | 778.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (173.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 275.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 71.49% (prev 59.23%; Δ 12.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 122.0m <= Net Income 173.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.26b) to EBITDA (543.0m) ratio: 9.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.9m) change vs 12m ago -17.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.20% (prev 52.85%; Δ -12.66pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.11% (prev 49.63%; Δ -3.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.39 (EBITDA TTM 543.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.79
| (A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 4.41b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 10.15b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 893.0m / Total Assets 10.15b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 392.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.94b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 880.0m / Total Liabilities 7.68b |
| Total Rating: 2.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.97
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.37% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.73)% |
| 7. RoE 7.04% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.19% |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.03% |
What is the price of VAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +17.26%, over one month by -22.62%, over three months by -28.87% and over the past year by -42.21%.
Is VAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 64 | 17.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 64 | 17.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.2 | -13.6% |
VAC Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.1138
P/E Forward = 12.0919
P/S = 0.5235
P/B = 0.7132
P/EG = 1.48
Beta = 1.36
Revenue TTM = 4.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 392.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 543.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 242.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.02b USD (1.76b + Debt 5.74b - CCE 474.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.39 (Ebit TTM 392.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.90% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Enterprise Value 7.02b)
FCF Margin = 1.37% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Revenue TTM 4.58b)
Net Margin = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Revenue TTM 4.58b)
Gross Margin = 40.20% ((Revenue TTM 4.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.40% (prev 39.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 7.02b / Total Assets 10.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 43.0m / Debt 5.74b)
Taxrate = 300.0% (out of range, set to none) (3.00m / 1.00m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 3.89 (Total Current Assets 4.41b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 2.33 (Debt 5.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.70 (Net Debt 5.26b / EBITDA 543.0m)
Debt / FCF = 83.57 (Net Debt 5.26b / FCF TTM 63.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.70% (Net Income 173.0m / Total Assets 10.15b)
RoE = 7.04% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.46b)
RoCE = 4.96% (EBIT 392.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.46b + L.T.Debt 5.44b))
RoIC = 4.59% (EBIT 392.0m / (Assets 10.15b - Curr.Liab 1.14b - Cash 474.0m))
WACC = 2.86% (E(1.76b)/V(7.50b) * Re(12.21%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 12.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -9.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.44% ; FCFE base≈85.4m ; Y1≈60.7m ; Y5≈32.5m
Fair Price DCF = 10.47 (DCF Value 362.3m / Shares Outstanding 34.6m; 5y FCF grow -34.01% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -43.03 | EPS CAGR: -16.11% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.19 | Revenue CAGR: -0.88% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for VAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle