(VAC) Marriot Vacations Worldwide - Ratings and Ratios
Vacation Ownership, Exchange Programs, Resort Management, Financing Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 30.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 63.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.46 |
| Alpha | -52.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.732 |
| Beta | 1.708 |
| Beta Downside | 1.590 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.41% |
| Mean DD | 42.68% |
| Median DD | 45.43% |
Description: VAC Marriot Vacations Worldwide January 12, 2026
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (NYSE: VAC) operates a two-segment model: Vacation Ownership, which develops, markets, sells and manages timeshare-style products under upscale brands such as Marriott Vacation Club, Ritz-Carlton Club and Hyatt Vacation Club; and Exchange & Third-Party Management, which runs the Interval International and Aqua-Aston networks that facilitate unit exchanges and provide management services to external resorts.
Key operating metrics from the most recent filing show FY 2023 total revenue of roughly $2.0 billion, with the Vacation Ownership segment contributing about 70 % of that total. The company’s inventory utilization rate-a proxy for demand on its timeshare units-stood at 78 % in Q4 2023, up 3 percentage points year-over-year, reflecting strong consumer appetite for “home-away-from-home” experiences amid a resilient leisure travel market. Macro-level drivers include a low-interest-rate environment that makes financing vacation ownership attractive, and a broader shift toward domestic and staycation travel that benefits the upscale, resort-focused product mix.
For a deeper dive into VAC’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, you may find it worthwhile to explore the data and tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: 173.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 71.49% < 20% (prev 59.23%; Δ 12.27% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 122.0m > Net Income 173.0m |
| Net Debt (5.26b) to EBITDA (543.0m): 9.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.9m) vs 12m ago -17.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.20% > 18% (prev 0.53%; Δ 3967 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 46.11% > 50% (prev 49.63%; Δ -3.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.39 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 543.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.79
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 4.41b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 10.15b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 893.0m / Total Assets 10.15b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 392.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.94b) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 880.0m / Total Liabilities 7.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.79 = A |
Beneish M -3.56
| DSRI: 0.09 (Receivables 220.0m/2.73b, Revenue 4.58b/4.83b) |
| GMI: 1.31 (GM 40.20% / 52.85%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.43 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 4.58b / 4.83b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 173.0m - CFO 122.0m) / TA 10.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.56 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.82
| 1. Piotroski: 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 0.87% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 1.37% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 2.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 9.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 0.10% |
| 7. RoE: 7.04% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 42.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -62.33% |
What is the price of VAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.26%, over one month by -1.88%, over three months by -17.50% and over the past year by -31.80%.
Is VAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 61.9 | 7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 61.9 | 7.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 49.2 | -14.3% |
VAC Fundamental Data Overview January 26, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.0919
P/S = 0.5922
P/B = 0.8067
P/EG = 1.48
Revenue TTM = 4.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 392.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 543.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 242.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.25b USD (1.99b + Debt 5.74b - CCE 474.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.39 (Ebit TTM 392.0m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m)
EV/FCF = 115.1x (Enterprise Value 7.25b / FCF TTM 63.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.87% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Enterprise Value 7.25b)
FCF Margin = 1.37% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Revenue TTM 4.58b)
Net Margin = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Revenue TTM 4.58b)
Gross Margin = 40.20% ((Revenue TTM 4.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.40% (prev 39.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 7.25b / Total Assets 10.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.75% (Interest Expense 43.0m / Debt 5.74b)
Taxrate = 29.08% (89.0m / 306.0m)
NOPAT = 278.0m (EBIT 392.0m * (1 - 29.08%))
Current Ratio = 3.89 (Total Current Assets 4.41b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 2.33 (Debt 5.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.70 (Net Debt 5.26b / EBITDA 543.0m)
Debt / FCF = 83.57 (Net Debt 5.26b / FCF TTM 63.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.74% (Net Income 173.0m / Total Assets 10.15b)
RoE = 7.04% (Net Income TTM 173.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.46b)
RoCE = 4.96% (EBIT 392.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.46b + L.T.Debt 5.44b))
RoIC = 3.64% (NOPAT 278.0m / Invested Capital 7.64b)
WACC = 3.54% (E(1.99b)/V(7.73b) * Re(12.21%) + D(5.74b)/V(7.73b) * Rd(0.75%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 12.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -9.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.09% ; FCFF base≈85.4m ; Y1≈60.7m ; Y5≈32.5m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.02b - Net Debt 5.26b = -4.25b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-34.01%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -62.33 | EPS CAGR: -46.51% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.40 | Revenue CAGR: -7.78% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.98 | Chg30d=-0.094 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+1.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
Additional Sources for VAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle