Overview Dividends

(VALE) Vale - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91912E1055

Iron Ore, Nickel, Copper, Pellets, Cobalt

Steel
Market Cap in USD: 52,161m

IPO / Inception: 2002-03-21
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 20.8%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -13.52%
EPS Trend: -55.4%

Last SUE: 0.60
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -1.01%
Rev. Trend: -43.2%

Last SUE: 0.35
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	6.39%
Yield on Cost 5y	9.12%
Yield CAGR 5y	21.81%
Payout Consistency	73.3%
Payout Ratio	47.6%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	26.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	41.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.30%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.14
Alpha	23.40
CAGR/Max DD	-0.02

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.402
Beta	0.705
Beta Downside	0.708

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	47.67%
Mean DD	28.24%
Median DD	28.65%

Description: VALE Vale September 29, 2025

Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) is a vertically integrated mining company that extracts and processes iron ore, nickel, copper, cobalt and a suite of by-products-including gold, silver and platinum-group metals-through its Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments.

The firm’s logistics network spans railways, maritime terminals and ports, enabling it to move roughly 300 million tonnes of iron ore annually and to operate pelletizing plants and distribution centers that support global steelmakers.

Key recent metrics: in 2023 Vale reported a net profit of US$7.1 billion on iron-ore sales of 306 Mt, while its debt-to-EBITDA ratio fell to 2.2×, reflecting a stronger balance sheet after a 2021-22 debt-reduction program. The company’s nickel output rose 12 % year-over-year, positioning it to benefit from the accelerating electric-vehicle supply chain, which is projected to increase global nickel demand by 30 % by 2030.

Vale’s performance is tightly linked to macro-drivers such as Chinese steel production cycles, global freight rates, and the transition to low-carbon steel, which is driving higher demand for its higher-grade iron-ore pellets.

For a data-rich, unbiased deep-dive into Vale’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (5.44b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.22b TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 8.55% (prev -3.36%; Δ 11.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.10b > Net Income 5.44b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (12.62b) to EBITDA (13.46b) ratio: 0.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.24 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.27b) change vs 12m ago 0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.76% (prev 39.18%; Δ -4.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 41.05% (prev 46.07%; Δ -5.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 6.65 (EBITDA TTM 13.46b / Interest Expense TTM 1.59b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.28

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 16.46b - Total Current Liabilities 13.31b) / Total Assets 91.06b

(B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.53b / Total Assets 91.06b

(D) 0.91 = Book Value of Equity 44.67b / Total Liabilities 48.86b

Total Rating: 2.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.95

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 1.01%

3. FCF Margin 7.96%

4. Debt/Equity 0.45

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.94

6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.32)%

7. RoE 14.61%

8. Rev. Trend -43.16%

9. EPS Trend -55.45%

What is the price of VALE shares?

As of November 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 12.61 with a total of 26,827,162 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.30%, over one month by +8.52%, over three months by +23.02% and over the past year by +38.64%.

Is VALE a buy, sell or hold?

Vale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VALE.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 7
Hold: 9
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VALE price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	13.6	7.8%
Analysts Target Price	13.6	7.8%
ValueRay Target Price	15.5	23.2%

VALE Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025

Market Cap BRL = 279.40b (52.16b USD * 5.3566 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 9.4496
P/E Forward = 6.1958
P/S = 0.2445
P/B = 1.268
P/EG = 10.3261
Beta = 0.906
Revenue TTM = 36.93b BRL
EBIT TTM = 10.59b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 13.46b BRL
Long Term Debt = 20.04b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 643.9m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.52b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.62b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 291.84b BRL (279.40b + Debt 18.52b - CCE 6.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.65 (Ebit TTM 10.59b / Interest Expense TTM 1.59b)
FCF Yield = 1.01% (FCF TTM 2.94b / Enterprise Value 291.84b)
FCF Margin = 7.96% (FCF TTM 2.94b / Revenue TTM 36.93b)
Net Margin = 14.72% (Net Income TTM 5.44b / Revenue TTM 36.93b)
Gross Margin = 34.76% ((Revenue TTM 36.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.44% (prev 30.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.20 (Enterprise Value 291.84b / Total Assets 91.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 373.7m / Debt 18.52b)
Taxrate = -3.12% (negative due to tax credits) (-81.5m / 2.61b)
NOPAT = 10.92b (EBIT 10.59b * (1 - -3.12%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 16.46b / Total Current Liabilities 13.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 18.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 40.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.94 (Net Debt 12.62b / EBITDA 13.46b)
Debt / FCF = 4.30 (Net Debt 12.62b / FCF TTM 2.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 37.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.97% (Net Income 5.44b / Total Assets 91.06b)
RoE = 14.61% (Net Income TTM 5.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.22b)
RoCE = 18.49% (EBIT 10.59b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.22b + L.T.Debt 20.04b))
RoIC = 19.52% (NOPAT 10.92b / Invested Capital 55.94b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(279.40b)/V(297.92b) * Re(8.61%) + D(18.52b)/V(297.92b) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.03)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.93% ; FCFE base≈3.75b ; Y1≈2.46b ; Y5≈1.12b
Fair Price DCF = 4.71 (DCF Value 20.11b / Shares Outstanding 4.27b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -55.45 | EPS CAGR: -13.52% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -43.16 | Revenue CAGR: -1.01% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for VALE Stock

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