(VALE) Vale - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 64.590m USD | Total Return: 73.1% in 12m

Stock Iron Ore, Nickel, Copper, Cobalt
Total Rating 68
Risk 74
Buy Signal 0.24
Other Industrial Metals & Mining -15.3
Steel -2.5
Market Cap: 64,590m
Avg Trading Vol: 482M USD
ATR: 3.47%
Peers RS (IBD): 87.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility37.9%
Rel. Tail Risk-6.52%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.68
Alpha55.62
Character TTM
Beta0.899
Beta Downside0.993
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.96%
CAGR/Max DD0.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VALE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.09, "2021-06": 1.49, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 1.11, "2022-03": 0.93, "2022-06": 1.32, "2022-09": 0.98, "2022-12": 0.82, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.2, "2023-09": 0.66, "2023-12": 0.56, "2024-03": 0.39, "2024-06": 0.65, "2024-09": 0.56, "2024-12": 0.201, "2025-03": 0.3482, "2025-06": 0.5, "2025-09": 0.63, "2025-12": -0.9, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -20.65%
EPS Trend: -66.1%
Last SUE: -0.82
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VALE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 12553, 2021-06: 16514, 2021-09: 12330, 2021-12: 10812, 2022-03: 10812, 2022-06: 11157, 2022-09: 9929, 2022-12: 11941, 2023-03: 8434, 2023-06: 9673, 2023-09: 10623, 2023-12: 13015.532619, 2024-03: 8459, 2024-06: 9920, 2024-09: 9553, 2024-12: 9604.663, 2025-03: 8119, 2025-06: 8804, 2025-09: 10406.464229, 2025-12: 11061.424077, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 0.61%
Rev. Trend: -27.6%
Last SUE: 1.60
Qual. Beats: 1
Description: VALE Vale

Vale S.A. (VALE) is a Brazilian-based mining company with global operations in iron ore and nickel production. The companys business model centers on extracting and processing raw materials, then transporting them via its integrated logistics infrastructure, which includes railways, maritime terminals, and ports.

The Iron Solutions segment focuses on iron ore, pellets, and briquettes, which are essential for steel production. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces nickel, copper, and cobalt, critical components for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy technologies. The mining sector is capital-intensive, requiring significant investment in exploration, extraction, and infrastructure.

Vale also engages in greenfield mineral exploration and invests in renewable energy to support its operations. Understanding the companys global asset base and commodity exposure is crucial for analysis.

For more detailed operational and financial insights, consider exploring ValueRays comprehensive reports.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global iron ore prices dictate revenue
  • Nickel and copper demand impacts Energy Transition segment
  • Brazilian mining regulations pose operational risks
  • Shipping and logistics costs affect profitability
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
Net Income: 2.29b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.33% < 20% (prev 1.04%; Δ 5.29% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 9.08b > Net Income 2.29b
Net Debt (11.99b) to EBITDA (13.88b): 0.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.27b) vs 12m ago -0.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.53% > 18% (prev 0.36%; Δ 3.42k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 45.94% > 50% (prev 46.77%; Δ -0.83% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.04 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 13.88b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b)
Altman Z'' 1.84
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 18.37b - Total Current Liabilities 15.94b) / Total Assets 86.88b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 1.10b / Total Assets 86.88b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 10.75b / Avg Total Assets 83.57b)
D: 0.71 (Book Value of Equity 37.24b / Total Liabilities 52.41b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.84 = BBB
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 3.82b/3.46b, Revenue 38.39b/37.54b)
GMI: 1.05 (GM 34.53% / 36.22%)
AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.33)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 38.39b / 37.54b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 2.29b - CFO 9.08b) / TA 86.88b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of VALE shares? As of April 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.91 with a total of 29,174,657 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.01%, over one month by -5.53%, over three months by +21.04% and over the past year by +73.05%.
Is VALE a buy, sell or hold? Vale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VALE.
  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the VALE price?
ISSUER TARGET UP/DOWN
Wallstreet Target Price 16.4 2.9%
Analysts Target Price 16.4 2.9%
VALE Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 March 2026
Market Cap BRL = 338.37b (64.59b USD * 5.2388 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 27.1818
P/E Forward = 6.215
P/S = 0.3024
P/B = 1.7899
P/EG = 12.3761
Revenue TTM = 38.39b BRL
EBIT TTM = 10.75b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 13.88b BRL
Long Term Debt = 20.61b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 680.9m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.39b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.99b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 350.17b BRL (338.37b + Debt 19.39b - CCE 7.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.04 (Ebit TTM 10.75b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b)
EV/FCF = 113.8x (Enterprise Value 350.17b / FCF TTM 3.08b)
FCF Yield = 0.88% (FCF TTM 3.08b / Enterprise Value 350.17b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 3.08b / Revenue TTM 38.39b)
Net Margin = 5.97% (Net Income TTM 2.29b / Revenue TTM 38.39b)
Gross Margin = 34.53% ((Revenue TTM 38.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.88% (prev 36.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.03 (Enterprise Value 350.17b / Total Assets 86.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.28% (Interest Expense 442.8m / Debt 19.39b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 8.49b (EBIT 10.75b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 18.37b / Total Current Liabilities 15.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 19.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 33.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.86 (Net Debt 11.99b / EBITDA 13.88b)
Debt / FCF = 3.90 (Net Debt 11.99b / FCF TTM 3.08b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 37.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.74% (Net Income 2.29b / Total Assets 86.88b)
RoE = 6.15% (Net Income TTM 2.29b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.27b)
RoCE = 18.57% (EBIT 10.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.27b + L.T.Debt 20.61b))
RoIC = 14.90% (NOPAT 8.49b / Invested Capital 57.01b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(338.37b)/V(357.76b) * Re(9.14%) + D(19.39b)/V(357.76b) * Rd(2.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.49% ; FCFF base≈2.98b ; Y1≈2.05b ; Y5≈1.03b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.36 (EV 17.80b - Net Debt 11.99b = Equity 5.81b / Shares 4.27b; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -36.48% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -66.14 | EPS CAGR: -20.65% | SUE: -0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.61 | Revenue CAGR: 0.61% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.51 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg7d=+0.014 | Chg30d=+0.050 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+96.2% | Growth Revenue=-1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.18 | Chg7d=+0.025 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-1.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.5% (Discount Rate 9.1% - Earnings Yield 3.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +6.4% (Analyst 11.9% - Implied 5.5%)
Additional Sources for VALE Stock Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma · Stockcircle