Overview Dividends

(VALE) Vale - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91912E1055

Iron Ore, Nickel, Copper, Pellets, Cobalt

VALE EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -65.74%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -49.6%

VALE Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -4.28%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -41.0%

Description: VALE Vale September 29, 2025

Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) is a vertically integrated mining company that extracts and processes iron ore, nickel, copper, cobalt and a suite of by-products-including gold, silver and platinum-group metals-through its Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments.

The firm’s logistics network spans railways, maritime terminals and ports, enabling it to move roughly 300 million tonnes of iron ore annually and to operate pelletizing plants and distribution centers that support global steelmakers.

Key recent metrics: in 2023 Vale reported a net profit of US$7.1 billion on iron-ore sales of 306 Mt, while its debt-to-EBITDA ratio fell to 2.2×, reflecting a stronger balance sheet after a 2021-22 debt-reduction program. The company’s nickel output rose 12 % year-over-year, positioning it to benefit from the accelerating electric-vehicle supply chain, which is projected to increase global nickel demand by 30 % by 2030.

Vale’s performance is tightly linked to macro-drivers such as Chinese steel production cycles, global freight rates, and the transition to low-carbon steel, which is driving higher demand for its higher-grade iron-ore pellets.

For a data-rich, unbiased deep-dive into Vale’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

VALE Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	47,268m
Sub-Industry	Steel
IPO / Inception	2002-03-21

VALE Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	24.6%
Fundamental	63.8%
Dividend Rating	62.3%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-0.36%
Analyst Rating	3.84 of 5

VALE Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	7.06%
Yield on Cost 5y	11.92%
Annual Growth 5y	21.81%
Payout Consistency	74.8%
Payout Ratio	50.1%

VALE Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	96.8%
Growth Correlation 12m	64%
Growth Correlation 5y	-37.1%
CAGR 5y	5.01%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.11
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	0.18
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.76
Alpha	-1.34
Beta	1.022
Volatility	26.06%
Current Volume	21304.7k
Average Volume 20d	33461.2k
Stop Loss	11 (-3.6%)
Signal	-0.25

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (5.17b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.16b TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 8.64% (prev 2.59%; Δ 6.04pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.07b > Net Income 5.17b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (14.79b) to EBITDA (13.53b) ratio: 1.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.27b) change vs 12m ago -0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.14% (prev 40.66%; Δ -6.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 40.75% (prev 48.47%; Δ -7.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 7.12 (EBITDA TTM 13.53b / Interest Expense TTM 1.49b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.07

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 17.59b - Total Current Liabilities 14.47b) / Total Assets 90.38b

(B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.51b / Total Assets 90.38b

(D) 0.87 = Book Value of Equity 43.17b / Total Liabilities 49.87b

Total Rating: 2.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.84

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0

2. FCF Yield 0.73% = 0.36

3. FCF Margin 5.42% = 1.36

4. Debt/Equity 0.52 = 2.37

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.09 = 1.63

6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.71)% = 12.50

7. RoE 14.14% = 1.18

8. Rev. Trend -41.01% = -3.08

9. EPS Trend -49.65% = -2.48

What is the price of VALE shares?

As of October 26, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 11.41 with a total of 21,304,700 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.79%, over one month by +5.36%, over three months by +15.33% and over the past year by +17.92%.

Is Vale a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Vale is currently (October 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 63.84 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VALE is around 11.93 USD . This means that VALE is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.56%.

Is VALE a buy, sell or hold?

Vale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VALE.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 7
Hold: 9
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VALE price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	12.4	8.3%
Analysts Target Price	12.4	8.3%
ValueRay Target Price	13.4	17.3%

VALE Fundamental Data Overview October 13, 2025

Market Cap BRL = 254.77b (47.27b USD * 5.3899 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 8.8115
P/E Forward = 6.6401
P/S = 0.2255
P/B = 1.1981
P/EG = 8.3007
Beta = 1.022
Revenue TTM = 36.08b BRL
EBIT TTM = 10.60b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 13.53b BRL
Long Term Debt = 18.91b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 860.0m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.30b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.79b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 269.37b BRL (254.77b + Debt 20.30b - CCE 5.70b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.12 (Ebit TTM 10.60b / Interest Expense TTM 1.49b)
FCF Yield = 0.73% (FCF TTM 1.96b / Enterprise Value 269.37b)
FCF Margin = 5.42% (FCF TTM 1.96b / Revenue TTM 36.08b)
Net Margin = 14.32% (Net Income TTM 5.17b / Revenue TTM 36.08b)
Gross Margin = 34.14% ((Revenue TTM 36.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.88% (prev 32.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.98 (Enterprise Value 269.37b / Total Assets 90.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 379.2m / Debt 20.30b)
Taxrate = -1.52% (negative due to tax credits) (-32.0m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 10.77b (EBIT 10.60b * (1 - -1.52%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 17.59b / Total Current Liabilities 14.47b)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 20.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.09 (Net Debt 14.79b / EBITDA 13.53b)
Debt / FCF = 7.55 (Net Debt 14.79b / FCF TTM 1.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 36.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.72% (Net Income 5.17b / Total Assets 90.38b)
RoE = 14.14% (Net Income TTM 5.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 36.55b)
RoCE = 19.12% (EBIT 10.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 36.55b + L.T.Debt 18.91b))
RoIC = 19.91% (NOPAT 10.77b / Invested Capital 54.08b)
WACC = 9.20% (E(254.77b)/V(275.07b) * Re(9.78%) + D(20.30b)/V(275.07b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.54%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.03% ; FCFE base≈3.35b ; Y1≈2.20b ; Y5≈1.01b
Fair Price DCF = 3.57 (DCF Value 15.22b / Shares Outstanding 4.27b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.65 | EPS CAGR: -65.74% | SUE: -2.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -41.01 | Revenue CAGR: -4.28% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for VALE Stock

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