Overview Dividends

(VALE) Vale - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91912E1055

Iron Ore, Nickel, Copper, Pellets, Cobalt

VALE EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -8.42%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -6.7%

VALE Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -4.88%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -32.2%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	26.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	41.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.36%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.06
Alpha	22.72

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.347
Beta	0.700
Beta Downside	0.700

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	47.67%
Mean DD	28.01%
Median DD	28.65%

Description: VALE Vale September 29, 2025

Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) is a vertically integrated mining company that extracts and processes iron ore, nickel, copper, cobalt and a suite of by-products-including gold, silver and platinum-group metals-through its Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments.

The firm’s logistics network spans railways, maritime terminals and ports, enabling it to move roughly 300 million tonnes of iron ore annually and to operate pelletizing plants and distribution centers that support global steelmakers.

Key recent metrics: in 2023 Vale reported a net profit of US$7.1 billion on iron-ore sales of 306 Mt, while its debt-to-EBITDA ratio fell to 2.2×, reflecting a stronger balance sheet after a 2021-22 debt-reduction program. The company’s nickel output rose 12 % year-over-year, positioning it to benefit from the accelerating electric-vehicle supply chain, which is projected to increase global nickel demand by 30 % by 2030.

Vale’s performance is tightly linked to macro-drivers such as Chinese steel production cycles, global freight rates, and the transition to low-carbon steel, which is driving higher demand for its higher-grade iron-ore pellets.

For a data-rich, unbiased deep-dive into Vale’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

VALE Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	51,866m
Sub-Industry	Steel
IPO / Inception	2002-03-21
Return 12m vs S&P 500	18.3%
Analyst Rating	3.84 of 5

VALE Dividends

Dividend Yield	6.55%
Yield on Cost 5y	11.01%
Yield CAGR 5y	21.81%
Payout Consistency	74.8%
Payout Ratio	47.6%

VALE Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	1.51%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.03
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	0.05
Current Volume	24745.3k
Average Volume	33872.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (5.44b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.22b TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 8.55% (prev -3.36%; Δ 11.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.10b > Net Income 5.44b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (12.62b) to EBITDA (13.30b) ratio: 0.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.24 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.27b) change vs 12m ago 0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.76% (prev 39.18%; Δ -4.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 41.05% (prev 46.07%; Δ -5.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 6.55 (EBITDA TTM 13.30b / Interest Expense TTM 1.59b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.27

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 16.46b - Total Current Liabilities 13.31b) / Total Assets 91.06b

(B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.53b / Total Assets 91.06b

(D) 0.91 = Book Value of Equity 44.67b / Total Liabilities 48.86b

Total Rating: 2.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.20

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50

2. FCF Yield 1.02% = 0.51

3. FCF Margin 7.93% = 1.98

4. Debt/Equity 0.45 = 2.40

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.95 = 1.84

6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.70)% = 12.50

7. RoE 14.61% = 1.22

8. Rev. Trend -32.16% = -2.41

9. EPS Trend -6.73% = -0.34

What is the price of VALE shares?

As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 12.30 with a total of 24,745,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.23%, over one month by +12.12%, over three months by +24.12% and over the past year by +35.65%.

Is Vale a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Vale (NYSE:VALE) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 67.20 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VALE is around 13.57 USD . This means that VALE is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.33% (Margin of Safety).

Is VALE a buy, sell or hold?

Vale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VALE.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 7
Hold: 9
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VALE price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	13.4	8.8%
Analysts Target Price	13.4	8.8%
ValueRay Target Price	15.1	22.7%

VALE Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025

Market Cap BRL = 274.70b (51.87b USD * 5.2964 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 9.4186
P/E Forward = 6.6401
P/S = 1.37
P/B = 1.1981
P/EG = 8.3007
Beta = 0.906
Revenue TTM = 36.93b BRL
EBIT TTM = 10.43b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 13.30b BRL
Long Term Debt = 15.94b BRL (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 643.9m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.52b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.62b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 287.14b BRL (274.70b + Debt 18.52b - CCE 6.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.55 (Ebit TTM 10.43b / Interest Expense TTM 1.59b)
FCF Yield = 1.02% (FCF TTM 2.93b / Enterprise Value 287.14b)
FCF Margin = 7.93% (FCF TTM 2.93b / Revenue TTM 36.93b)
Net Margin = 14.72% (Net Income TTM 5.44b / Revenue TTM 36.93b)
Gross Margin = 34.76% ((Revenue TTM 36.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.44% (prev 30.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 287.14b / Total Assets 91.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 373.7m / Debt 18.52b)
Taxrate = -3.12% (negative due to tax credits) (-81.5m / 2.61b)
NOPAT = 10.75b (EBIT 10.43b * (1 - -3.12%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 16.46b / Total Current Liabilities 13.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 18.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 40.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.95 (Net Debt 12.62b / EBITDA 13.30b)
Debt / FCF = 4.31 (Net Debt 12.62b / FCF TTM 2.93b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 37.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.97% (Net Income 5.44b / Total Assets 91.06b)
RoE = 14.61% (Net Income TTM 5.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.22b)
RoCE = 19.62% (EBIT 10.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.22b + L.T.Debt 15.94b))
RoIC = 19.89% (NOPAT 10.75b / Invested Capital 54.07b)
WACC = 8.19% (E(274.70b)/V(293.22b) * Re(8.60%) + D(18.52b)/V(293.22b) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.03)))
Discount Rate = 8.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.98% ; FCFE base≈3.77b ; Y1≈2.47b ; Y5≈1.13b
Fair Price DCF = 4.75 (DCF Value 20.26b / Shares Outstanding 4.27b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -6.73 | EPS CAGR: -8.42% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -32.16 | Revenue CAGR: -4.88% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for VALE Stock

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