(VALE) Vale - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 68.019m USD | Total Return: 81.2% in 12m

Iron Ore, Nickel, Copper, Pellets, Logistics
Total Rating 63
Safety 67
Buy Signal 0.19
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -3.3
Market Cap: 68.0B
Avg Turnover: 361M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.67%
VaR vs Median3.05%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.88
Rel. Str. IBD83.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group62
Character TTM
Beta0.962
Beta Downside0.880
Hurst Exponent0.513
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.96%
CAGR/Max DD0.38
CAGR/Mean DD0.85
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VALE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.09, "2021-06": 1.49, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 1.11, "2022-03": 0.93, "2022-06": 1.32, "2022-09": 0.98, "2022-12": 0.82, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.2, "2023-09": 0.66, "2023-12": 0.56, "2024-03": 0.39, "2024-06": 0.65, "2024-09": 0.56, "2024-12": 0.201, "2025-03": 0.3482, "2025-06": 0.5, "2025-09": 0.63, "2025-12": -0.9, "2026-03": 0.44,
EPS CAGR: -25.40%
EPS Trend: -57.6%
Last SUE: -0.02
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VALE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 12553, 2021-06: 16514, 2021-09: 12330, 2021-12: 10812, 2022-03: 10812, 2022-06: 11157, 2022-09: 9929, 2022-12: 11941, 2023-03: 8434, 2023-06: 9673, 2023-09: 10623, 2023-12: 13015.532619, 2024-03: 8459, 2024-06: 9920, 2024-09: 9553, 2024-12: 9604.663, 2025-03: 8119, 2025-06: 8804, 2025-09: 10406.464229, 2025-12: 11061.424077, 2026-03: 9261.319171,
Rev. CAGR: -4.84%
Rev. Trend: -26.9%
Last SUE: -2.19
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: VALE Vale

Vale S.A. is a Rio de Janeiro-based multinational mining corporation and one of the worlds largest producers of iron ore and nickel. The company operates an integrated logistics network comprising mining complexes, railways, and maritime terminals to facilitate the global distribution of ferrous and base metals.

The business model relies on large-scale extraction and vertical integration, utilizing proprietary infrastructure to manage high-volume commodity transport. As a major supplier to the steel industry, Vales performance is closely tied to global industrial demand and the cyclical pricing of raw materials.

You may find further insights into the companys valuation and market position by exploring ValueRay.

The company also focuses on low-carbon critical minerals and renewable energy generation to support its smelting and refining operations. Founded in 1942, Vale has expanded its portfolio to include copper, cobalt, and precious metals across six continents.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China steel demand fluctuations dictate iron ore pricing and revenue
  • Nickel and copper production scaling supports electric vehicle supply chain
  • Brazilian regulatory environment and dam safety litigation impact capital allocation
  • Global freight rates and logistics efficiency influence export profit margins
  • Iron ore pellet and briquette premiums drive high-grade product margins
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 2.79b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.52 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.19% < 20% (prev 3.91%; Δ 4.29% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 9.29b > Net Income 2.79b
Net Debt (13.75b) to EBITDA (14.33b): 0.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.27b) vs 12m ago 0.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.52% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.42k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 46.24% > 50% (prev 44.58%; Δ 1.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.92 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 14.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.60b)
Altman Z'' 2.05
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 16.74b - Total Current Liabilities 13.50b) / Total Assets 87.55b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 3.06b / Total Assets 87.55b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 11.09b / Avg Total Assets 85.49b)
D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 39.14b / Total Liabilities 50.03b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.05 = BBB
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 3.71b/3.24b, Revenue 39.53b/37.20b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 34.52% / 35.41%)
AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.32)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 39.53b / 37.20b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.79b - CFO 9.29b) / TA 87.55b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of VALE shares? As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.32 with a total of 28,898,775 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.86%, over one month by -7.38%, over three months by +2.64% and over the past year by +81.16%.
Is VALE a buy, sell or hold? Vale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VALE.
  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the VALE price?
Analysts Target Price 17.2 5.5%
Vale (VALE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 May 2026
Market Cap BRL = 340.83b (68.02b USD * 5.0109 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 24.1742
P/E Forward = 8.1103
P/S = 0.3166
P/B = 1.935
P/EG = 0.3467
Revenue TTM = 39.53b BRL
EBIT TTM = 11.09b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 14.33b BRL
Long Term Debt = 20.95b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 757.2m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.71b BRL (corrected: LT Debt 20.95b + ST Debt 757.2m)
Net Debt = 13.75b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 357.27b BRL (340.83b + Debt 21.71b - CCE 5.28b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.92 (Ebit TTM 11.09b / Interest Expense TTM 1.60b)
EV/FCF = 106.6x (Enterprise Value 357.27b / FCF TTM 3.35b)
FCF Yield = 0.94% (FCF TTM 3.35b / Enterprise Value 357.27b)
FCF Margin = 8.48% (FCF TTM 3.35b / Revenue TTM 39.53b)
Net Margin = 7.06% (Net Income TTM 2.79b / Revenue TTM 39.53b)
Gross Margin = 34.52% ((Revenue TTM 39.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.01% (prev 36.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.08 (Enterprise Value 357.27b / Total Assets 87.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 406.4m / Debt 21.71b)
Taxrate = 20.81% (509.9m / 2.45b)
NOPAT = 8.78b (EBIT 11.09b * (1 - 20.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 16.74b / Total Current Liabilities 13.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 21.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.96 (Net Debt 13.75b / EBITDA 14.33b)
Debt / FCF = 4.10 (Net Debt 13.75b / FCF TTM 3.35b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 37.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.27% (Net Income 2.79b / Total Assets 87.55b)
RoE = 7.42% (Net Income TTM 2.79b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.62b)
RoCE = 18.94% (EBIT 11.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.62b + L.T.Debt 20.95b))
RoIC = 15.06% (NOPAT 8.78b / Invested Capital 58.32b)
WACC = 8.90% (E(340.83b)/V(362.54b) * Re(9.37%) + D(21.71b)/V(362.54b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.32% ; FCFF base≈2.45b ; Y1≈1.80b ; Y5≈1.03b
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.75 (EV 16.93b - Net Debt 13.75b = Equity 3.19b / Shares 4.26b; r=8.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -57.63 | EPS CAGR: -25.40% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -26.88 | Revenue CAGR: -4.84% | SUE: -2.19 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+3.76% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+1.76% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=-4.59% | Revisions=-27% | GrowthEPS=+13.9% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=-7.40% | Revisions=-27% | GrowthEPS=-2.1% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27%