(VET) Vermilion Energy - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.961m USD | Total Return: 101% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 17.6M
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -75.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Beneish M-Score -1.29 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Altman Z'' -0.65 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
Tailwind, Pullback 52w
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) is a Calgary-based exploration and production firm specializing in the acquisition and optimization of oil and natural gas assets across North America, Europe, and Australia. The company manages a diversified portfolio with significant operations in the West Pembina region of Canada, alongside strategic holdings in the Paris Basin, the Netherlands, Germany, and Ireland.
Operating as an upstream energy producer, the company’s business model relies on geographic diversification to mitigate regional price volatility and regulatory risks. In the oil and gas sector, such international exposure often allows producers to access premium pricing markets, such as Brent crude or European gas hubs, which frequently trade at a spread relative to North American benchmarks.
To further examine the companys valuation metrics and historical performance, consider reviewing the detailed data available on ValueRay.
- European natural gas prices dictate revenue volatility and free cash flow generation
- Corrib gas field production levels influence operational margins and dividend capacity
- Montney resource development in North America drives long-term production growth and reserves
- Strategic asset acquisitions in European markets mitigate domestic regulatory and tax risks
- Global Brent crude pricing fluctuations impact profitability from Australian and French operations
| Net Income: -814.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.50% < 20% (prev -10.49%; Δ -5.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 891.2m > Net Income -814.1m |
| Net Debt (1.34b) to EBITDA (1.11b): 1.21 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (152.7m) vs 12m ago -1.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.87% > 18% (prev 0.56%; Δ 3.53k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 28.68% > 50% (prev 28.05%; Δ 0.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.53 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 126.5m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 486.0m - Total Current Liabilities 767.0m) / Total Assets 5.56b |
| B: -0.39 (Retained Earnings -2.15b / Total Assets 5.56b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 319.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.32b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 3.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.65 = B |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 279.8m/321.1m, Revenue 1.81b/1.99b) |
| GMI: 1.56 (GM 35.87% / 55.89%) |
| AQI: 3.77 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 1.81b / 1.99b) |
| TATA: -0.31 (NI -814.1m - CFO 891.2m) / TA 5.56b) |
| Beneish M = -1.29 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.30 with a total of 745,952 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.91%,
over one month by +0.33%,
over three months by +16.90% and
over the past year by +100.97%.
Vermilion Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold VET.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 14.6 | 18.8% |
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 1.1237
P/B = 1.2048
P/EG = 3.58
Revenue TTM = 1.81b CAD
EBIT TTM = 319.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.11b CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.25b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.20m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.36b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 48.8m
Net Debt = 1.34b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.36b - CCE 16.4m)
Enterprise Value = 4.03b CAD (2.70b + Debt 1.36b - CCE 16.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.53 (Ebit TTM 319.9m / Interest Expense TTM 126.5m)
EV/FCF = 13.41x (Enterprise Value 4.03b / FCF TTM 300.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.46% (FCF TTM 300.9m / Enterprise Value 4.03b)
FCF Margin = 16.60% (FCF TTM 300.9m / Revenue TTM 1.81b)
Net Margin = -44.90% (Net Income TTM -814.1m / Revenue TTM 1.81b)
Gross Margin = 35.87% ((Revenue TTM 1.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.43% (prev 6.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 4.03b / Total Assets 5.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.33% (Interest Expense 126.5m / Debt 1.36b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 252.7m (EBIT 319.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 486.0m / Total Current Liabilities 767.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 1.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.21 (Net Debt 1.34b / EBITDA 1.11b)
Debt / FCF = 4.45 (Net Debt 1.34b / FCF TTM 300.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.88% (Net Income -814.1m / Total Assets 5.56b)
RoE = -17.83% (Net Income TTM -814.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.57b)
RoCE = 5.50% (EBIT 319.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.57b + L.T.Debt 1.25b))
RoIC = 5.28% (NOPAT 252.7m / Invested Capital 4.79b)
WACC = 8.03% (E(2.70b)/V(4.05b) * Re(8.36%) + D(1.36b)/V(4.05b) * Rd(9.33%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.41 | Cagr: -3.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.72% ; FCFF base≈289.5m ; Y1≈316.0m ; Y5≈395.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 30.74 (EV 6.05b - Net Debt 1.34b = Equity 4.71b / Shares 153.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.53% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.05 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -75.40 | Revenue CAGR: -6.98% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-53.33% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-22.22% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=+166.13% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+117.3% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=+291.30% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+119.5% | GrowthRev=-3.2%