VET Stock Analysis: Vermilion Energy | NYSE

Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.945m USD | 12M Return: 74.4% | CA9237251058 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Petroleum, Natural Gas, Crude Oil
Total Rating 42
Safety 15
Buy Signal 0.16
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: +22.0
Market Cap: 1.95B
Avg Turnover: 16.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.8%
VaR 5th Pctl7.40%
VaR vs Median7.38%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.37
Rel. Str. IBD83.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group68.5
Character TTM
Beta0.325
Beta Downside0.765
Hurst Exponent0.458
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.38%
CAGR/Max DD0.02
CAGR/Mean DD0.03
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VET over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.13, "2021-09": -0.91, "2021-12": 1.98, "2022-03": 2.47, "2022-06": 1.91, "2022-09": 1.61, "2022-12": 2.36, "2023-03": 0.56, "2023-06": 0.71, "2023-09": 1.62, "2023-12": 2.94, "2024-03": 0.01, "2024-06": -0.52, "2024-09": 1.76, "2024-12": -0.12, "2025-03": 0.1, "2025-06": -0.2, "2025-09": -0.02, "2025-12": -2.86, "2026-03": -0.92, "2026-06": 0.62,
Last SUE: 0.56
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VET over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 365.723, 2021-09: 489.095, 2021-12: 803.851, 2022-03: 738.872, 2022-06: 775.291, 2022-09: 881.824, 2022-12: 774.39, 2023-03: 485.354, 2023-06: 424.363, 2023-09: 526.784, 2023-12: 561.427, 2024-03: 546.405, 2024-06: 381.288, 2024-09: 504.553, 2024-12: 515.716, 2025-03: 585.121, 2025-06: 472.306, 2025-09: 422.104, 2025-12: 429.735508, 2026-03: 489.115745, 2026-06: 519.100818,
Rev. CAGR: -4.39%
Rev. Trend: -78.0%
Last SUE: 0.18
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.4% 17
Feb +4.0% 8
Mar +1.4% 22
Apr +0.7% 2
May -0.7% 8
Jun +0.1% 5
Jul +2.5% 19
Aug -2.8% 27
Sep +3.8% 27
Oct -0.8% 35
Nov +2.6% 11
Dec -0.6% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VET Vermilion Energy

Vermilion Energy Inc. (NYSE: VET) is a Canada-based international oil and gas producer engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of hydrocarbon-producing properties. The company operates a geographically diversified portfolio spanning North America, Europe, and Australia, with core assets located in Western Canada (West Pembina region of Alberta), France (Aquitaine and Paris Basin), the Netherlands, Germany, Ireland, Croatia, Slovakia, Hungary, and Australia. Headquartered in Calgary and founded in 1994, Vermilion has been publicly traded since its 2010 IPO.

The company operates within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) subsector of the energy industry. A distinguishing feature of Vermilions business model is its emphasis on acquiring and optimizing already-producing assets rather than relying solely on greenfield exploration, which generally provides more predictable cash flow and lower development risk. Its international footprint across multiple jurisdictions also exposes the company to a mix of regulatory regimes, fiscal terms, and commodity-market dynamics uncommon among North American-focused peers.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European natural gas prices drive Netherlands and Germany margins
  • Windfall profit taxes threaten French and EU upstream economics
  • West Pembina oil production anchors dividend and capital return program
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -446.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -0.03% < 20% (prev 27.35%; Δ -27.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 921.5m > Net Income -446.4m
Net Debt (1.32b) to EBITDA (305.7m): 4.32 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.00 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (155.9m) vs 12m ago 0.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.48% > 18% (prev 55.83%; Δ -25.35% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 30.49% > 50% (prev 30.97%; Δ -0.48% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM -484.4m / Interest Expense TTM 114.9m)
Altman Z'' -1.06
A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 572.3m - Total Current Liabilities 572.8m) / Total Assets 5.49b
B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -2.03b / Total Assets 5.49b)
C: -0.08 (EBIT TTM -484.4m / Avg Total Assets 6.10b)
D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 2.16b / Total Liabilities 3.33b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.06 = CCC
Beneish M -1.39
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 291.7m/299.6m, Revenue 1.86b/2.08b)
GMI: 1.83 (GM 55.83% / 30.48%)
AQI: 2.54 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 1.86b / 2.08b)
TATA: -0.25 (NI -446.4m - CFO 921.5m) / TA 5.49b)
Beneish M = -1.39 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of VET shares?

As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.73 with a total of 853,388 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.26%, over one month by +13.26%, over three months by +8.46% and over the past year by +74.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.10 (which is 4.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is VET a buy, sell or hold?

Vermilion Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold VET.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VET price?
Analysts Target Price 27.2 113.8%
Vermilion Energy (VET) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.95b (1.95b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 2.68b (1.95b USD * 1.3784 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 35.8423
P/S = 1.0568
P/B = 1.2426
P/EG = 3.58
Revenue TTM = 1.86b CAD
EBIT TTM = -484.4m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 305.7m CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.20m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.40b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 46.8m
Net Debt = 1.32b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.40b - CCE 81.8m)
Enterprise Value = 4.00b CAD (2.68b + Debt 1.40b - CCE 81.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.21 (Ebit TTM -484.4m / Interest Expense TTM 114.9m)
EV/FCF = 11.87x (Enterprise Value 4.00b / FCF TTM 337.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.43% (FCF TTM 337.2m / Enterprise Value 4.00b)
FCF Margin = 18.13% (FCF TTM 337.2m / Revenue TTM 1.86b)
Net Margin = -24.00% (Net Income TTM -446.4m / Revenue TTM 1.86b)
Gross Margin = 30.48% ((Revenue TTM 1.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.84% (prev 25.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 4.00b / Total Assets 5.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.20% (Interest Expense 114.9m / Debt 1.40b)
Taxrate = 36.69% (78.0m / 212.7m)
NOPAT = -306.7m (EBIT -484.4m * (1 - 36.69%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 572.3m / Total Current Liabilities 572.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.32 (Net Debt 1.32b / EBITDA 305.7m)
Debt / FCF = 3.92 (Net Debt 1.32b / FCF TTM 337.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.32% (Net Income -446.4m / Total Assets 5.49b)
RoE = -19.53% (Net Income TTM -446.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = -13.48% (EBIT -484.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
 RoIC = -6.33% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -306.7m / Invested Capital 4.85b)
 WACC = 6.46% (E(2.68b)/V(4.08b) * Re(7.13%) + D(1.40b)/V(4.08b) * Rd(8.20%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -88.43 | Cagr: -2.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈259.0m ; Y1≈296.9m ; Y5≈436.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.38 (EV 6.57b - Net Debt 1.32b = Equity 5.25b / Shares 152.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.96 | Revenue CAGR: -4.39% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-22.22% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+19.51% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+120.7% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=+20.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+120.4% | GrowthRev=+4.9%