VG Stock Analysis: Venture Global | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 33.776m USD | 12M Return: 2% | US92333F1012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 194M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 54.5%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 1.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Venture Global, Inc. (NYSE: VG) is a U.S.-based liquefied natural gas (LNG) company that develops, constructs, and operates LNG production facilities and related infrastructure across the United States, Germany, France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. The company is vertically integrated across the LNG value chain, with operations spanning natural gas transportation, regasification, LNG sales, and shipping through its own tanker fleet. Its key development projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, Venture Global operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC and listed on the NYSE in January 2025.
The LNG industry is highly capital-intensive, requiring large-scale infrastructure to cool natural gas into liquid form for cost-efficient transport by specialized tanker vessels. Venture Globals integrated business model - spanning production, shipping, and regasification - positions the firm to capture value at multiple stages of the global natural gas supply chain rather than relying on a single activity, a structure that distinguishes it from more narrowly focused exploration and production peers within the broader energy sector.
- Plaquemines Phase 2 ramp boosts LNG export volumes
- DOE approves CP2 export permit, advancing FID
- Long-term SPAs with major buyers secure revenue visibility
| Net Income: 3.65b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.18% < 20% (prev 13.27%; Δ -9.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 7.59b > Net Income 3.65b |
| Net Debt (40.3b) to EBITDA (7.29b): 5.53 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.64b) vs 12m ago 0.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.83% > 18% (prev 55.71%; Δ -7.88% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.38% > 50% (prev 18.16%; Δ 13.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.80b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.53b - Total Current Liabilities 3.82b) / Total Assets 61.5b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 6.47b / Total Assets 61.5b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 6.33b / Avg Total Assets 54.0b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 8.57b / Total Liabilities 49.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.39 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.62 (Receivables 844.0m/673.0m, Revenue 17.0b/8.45b) |
| GMI: 1.16 (GM 55.71% / 47.83%) |
| AQI: 1.17 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 2.01 (Revenue 17.0b / 8.45b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.65b - CFO 7.59b) / TA 61.5b) |
| Beneish M = -2.37 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.05 with a total of 11,855,376 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.24%, over one month by -11.17%, over three months by +12.89% and over the past year by +1.99%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.60 (which is 11.1% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Venture Global has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.89. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VG.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 16.7 | 27.7% |
P/E Trailing = 10.6378
P/E Forward = 14.43
P/S = 1.9926
P/B = 3.8703
P/EG = 1.4225
Revenue TTM = 17.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 345.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 690.0m
Net Debt = 40.3b USD (calculated: Debt 43.5b - CCE 3.19b)
Enterprise Value = 74.1b USD (33.8b + Debt 43.5b - CCE 3.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.51 (Ebit TTM 6.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.80b)
EV/FCF = -7.87x (Enterprise Value 74.1b / FCF TTM -9.41b)
FCF Yield = -12.70% (FCF TTM -9.41b / Enterprise Value 74.1b)
FCF Margin = -55.50% (FCF TTM -9.41b / Revenue TTM 17.0b)
Net Margin = 21.52% (Net Income TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 17.0b)
Gross Margin = 47.83% ((Revenue TTM 17.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.34% (prev 34.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 74.1b / Total Assets 61.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.14% (Interest Expense 1.80b / Debt 43.5b)
Taxrate = 17.64% (810.0m / 4.59b)
NOPAT = 5.21b (EBIT 6.33b * (1 - 17.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 4.53b / Total Current Liabilities 3.82b)
Debt / Equity = 5.07 (Debt 43.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.53 (Net Debt 40.3b / EBITDA 7.29b)
Debt / FCF = -4.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 40.3b / FCF TTM -9.41b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.75% (Net Income 3.65b / Total Assets 61.5b)
RoE = 46.30% (Net Income TTM 3.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.88b)
RoCE = 12.80% (EBIT 6.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.88b + L.T.Debt 41.5b))
RoIC = 9.11% (NOPAT 5.21b / Invested Capital 57.2b)
WACC = 5.33% (E(33.8b)/V(77.3b) * Re(7.80%) + D(43.5b)/V(77.3b) * Rd(4.14%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 48.37 | Cagr: 1.14%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -9.41b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.50 | Revenue CAGR: 32.04% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+88.2% | GrowthRev=+33.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.00 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=-40.8% | GrowthRev=-11.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43% (up=15, down=5)