VG Stock Analysis: Venture Global | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 27.651m USD | 12M Return: -20.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 140M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 54.5%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 1.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Venture Global, Inc. (NYSE: VG) is a U.S.-based liquefied natural gas (LNG) company that develops, constructs, and operates LNG production facilities and related infrastructure across the United States, Germany, France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. The company is vertically integrated across the LNG value chain, with operations spanning natural gas transportation, regasification, LNG sales, and shipping through its own tanker fleet. Its key development projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, Venture Global operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC and listed on the NYSE in January 2025.
The LNG industry is highly capital-intensive, requiring large-scale infrastructure to cool natural gas into liquid form for cost-efficient transport by specialized tanker vessels. Venture Globals integrated business model - spanning production, shipping, and regasification - positions the firm to capture value at multiple stages of the global natural gas supply chain rather than relying on a single activity, a structure that distinguishes it from more narrowly focused exploration and production peers within the broader energy sector.
- Plaquemines Phase 2 ramp boosts LNG export volumes
- DOE approves CP2 export permit, advancing FID
- Long-term SPAs with major buyers secure revenue visibility
| Net Income: 2.66b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.19% < 20% (prev 32.07%; Δ -35.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 6.21b > Net Income 2.66b |
| Net Debt (36.4b) to EBITDA (6.03b): 6.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.63b) vs 12m ago -0.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.58% > 18% (prev 62.43%; Δ -17.85% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.54% > 50% (prev 14.32%; Δ 16.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.12 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.05b / Interest Expense TTM 1.62b) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 3.22b - Total Current Liabilities 3.71b) / Total Assets 56.3b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 5.16b / Total Assets 56.3b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 5.05b / Avg Total Assets 50.7b) |
| D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 8.86b / Total Liabilities 44.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.12 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.53 (Receivables 810.0m/640.0m, Revenue 15.5b/6.45b) |
| GMI: 1.40 (GM 62.43% / 44.58%) |
| AQI: 0.81 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 2.40 (Revenue 15.5b / 6.45b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 2.66b - CFO 6.21b) / TA 56.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.17 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.38 with a total of 23,867,580 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.23%, over one month by -3.45%, over three months by -14.15% and over the past year by -20.91%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.20 (which is 9.5% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Venture Global has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VG.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 16.2 | 30.5% |
P/E Trailing = 11.5938
P/E Forward = 7.7942
P/S = 1.7869
P/B = 3.7885
P/EG = 0.6904
Revenue TTM = 15.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.05b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 36.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 191.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 38.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 697.0m
Net Debt = 36.4b USD (calculated: Debt 38.3b - CCE 1.93b)
Enterprise Value = 64.0b USD (27.7b + Debt 38.3b - CCE 1.93b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.12 (Ebit TTM 5.05b / Interest Expense TTM 1.62b)
EV/FCF = -9.32x (Enterprise Value 64.0b / FCF TTM -6.87b)
FCF Yield = -10.73% (FCF TTM -6.87b / Enterprise Value 64.0b)
FCF Margin = -44.36% (FCF TTM -6.87b / Revenue TTM 15.5b)
Net Margin = 17.22% (Net Income TTM 2.66b / Revenue TTM 15.5b)
Gross Margin = 44.58% ((Revenue TTM 15.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.99% (prev 48.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 64.0b / Total Assets 56.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.24% (Interest Expense 1.62b / Debt 38.3b)
Taxrate = 17.20% (590.0m / 3.43b)
NOPAT = 4.18b (EBIT 5.05b * (1 - 17.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 3.22b / Total Current Liabilities 3.71b)
Debt / Equity = 4.32 (Debt 38.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.03 (Net Debt 36.4b / EBITDA 6.03b)
Debt / FCF = -5.30 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 36.4b / FCF TTM -6.87b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.26% (Net Income 2.66b / Total Assets 56.3b)
RoE = 37.77% (Net Income TTM 2.66b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.05b)
RoCE = 11.61% (EBIT 5.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.05b + L.T.Debt 36.5b))
RoIC = 8.05% (NOPAT 4.18b / Invested Capital 52.0b)
WACC = 5.50% (E(27.7b)/V(65.9b) * Re(8.27%) + D(38.3b)/V(65.9b) * Rd(4.24%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 28.28 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -6.87b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.95 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 54.50 | Revenue CAGR: 32.04% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=-5.30% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=+3.27% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+68.1% | GrowthRev=+29.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=+16.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-35.7% | GrowthRev=-6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +27% (up=8, down=4)