(VIPS) Vipshop Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Internet Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.695m USD | Total Return: 4.7% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -9.5
Avg Turnover: 25.8M
EPS Trend: 66.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 9.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE: VIPS) is a Guangzhou-based retailer operating primarily through its e-commerce platforms, Vip.com and Vipshop.com, alongside physical Shan Shan Outlets. The company specializes in the sale of branded apparel, cosmetics, and home goods to consumers in the Peoples Republic of China. Its integrated business model encompasses product procurement, software development, and a proprietary warehousing network to support its flash-sales distribution strategy.
As a player in the Broadline Retail sector, Vipshop utilizes an inventory-ownership model, which differs from pure marketplace platforms by allowing for greater control over product authentication and supply chain efficiency. The off-price retail market in China remains highly competitive, driven by shifting consumer preferences toward value-oriented luxury and branded goods. To better understand these competitive dynamics, investors may find additional insights on ValueRay useful. The company continues to leverage its established logistics infrastructure to manage high-volume, time-sensitive promotional events across its digital and offline segments.
- Active customer growth and retention rates drive quarterly revenue performance
- Discount retail demand fluctuates based on Chinese consumer confidence levels
- Logistic network optimization and warehousing efficiency impact operating margins
- Intensifying competition from domestic e-commerce giants pressures market share
- Regulatory shifts in Chinese internet sector affect long-term valuation multiples
| Net Income: 7.89b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.77% < 20% (prev 7.62%; Δ 0.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 7.45b > Net Income 7.89b |
| Net Debt (-22.86b) to EBITDA (10.18b): -2.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (505.3m) vs 12m ago -3.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.06% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2.28k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 146.2% > 50% (prev 143.5%; Δ 2.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 83.59 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.18b / Interest Expense TTM 104.8m) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 39.60b - Total Current Liabilities 30.88b) / Total Assets 78.84b |
| B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 48.59b / Total Assets 78.84b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 8.76b / Avg Total Assets 76.71b) |
| D: 1.19 (Book Value of Equity 41.00b / Total Liabilities 34.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.75 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.38 (Receivables 1.66b/4.20b, Revenue 112.12b/107.04b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 23.06% / 23.36%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 112.12b / 107.04b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 7.89b - CFO 7.45b) / TA 78.84b) |
| Beneish M = -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.61%, over one month by -1.49%, over three months by -10.94% and over the past year by +4.73%.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 20.1 | 38.6% |
P/E Trailing = 6.7019
P/E Forward = 5.6657
P/S = 0.0632
P/B = 1.1536
P/EG = 0.8211
Revenue TTM = 112.12b CNY
EBIT TTM = 8.76b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 10.18b CNY
Long Term Debt = 561.1m CNY (estimated: total debt 6.45b - short term 5.89b)
Short Term Debt = 5.89b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.06b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 604.4m
Net Debt = -22.86b CNY (calculated: Debt 7.06b - CCE 29.92b)
Enterprise Value = 22.67b CNY (45.54b + Debt 7.06b - CCE 29.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 83.59 (Ebit TTM 8.76b / Interest Expense TTM 104.8m)
EV/FCF = 4.21x (Enterprise Value 22.67b / FCF TTM 5.39b)
FCF Yield = 23.76% (FCF TTM 5.39b / Enterprise Value 22.67b)
FCF Margin = 4.81% (FCF TTM 5.39b / Revenue TTM 112.12b)
Net Margin = 7.04% (Net Income TTM 7.89b / Revenue TTM 112.12b)
Gross Margin = 23.06% ((Revenue TTM 112.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 86.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.92% (prev 22.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.29 (Enterprise Value 22.67b / Total Assets 78.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.39% (Interest Expense 27.4m / Debt 7.06b)
Taxrate = 18.03% (583.0m / 3.23b)
NOPAT = 7.18b (EBIT 8.76b * (1 - 18.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 39.60b / Total Current Liabilities 30.88b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 7.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 41.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.25 (Net Debt -22.86b / EBITDA 10.18b)
Debt / FCF = -4.24 (Net Debt -22.86b / FCF TTM 5.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 40.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.28% (Net Income 7.89b / Total Assets 78.84b)
RoE = 19.49% (Net Income TTM 7.89b / Total Stockholder Equity 40.48b)
RoCE = 21.34% (EBIT 8.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 40.48b + L.T.Debt 561.1m))
RoIC = 30.00% (NOPAT 7.18b / Invested Capital 23.93b)
WACC = 7.53% (E(45.54b)/V(52.59b) * Re(8.65%) + D(7.06b)/V(52.59b) * Rd(0.39%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.81 | Cagr: -4.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.93% ; FCFF base≈5.46b ; Y1≈5.34b ; Y5≈5.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 323.0 (EV 107.14b - Net Debt -22.86b = Equity 130.00b / Shares 402.5m; r=7.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.21% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.30 | EPS CAGR: 8.72% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.20 | Revenue CAGR: 0.23% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.36 | Chg30d=+0.58% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.76 | Chg30d=-0.87% | Revisions=-54% | GrowthEPS=+4.0% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=18.94 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=-54% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -54%