(VIST) Vista Oil Gas - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.197m USD | Total Return: 54.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +37.0
Avg Turnover: 85.1M
EPS Trend: 61.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 90.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Extended 1w
Tailwinds
Leader, Tailwind, Confidence
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) is an independent energy company focused on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in Latin America. The companys core operations are concentrated in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta formation, which is one of the worlds largest shale deposits. In addition to its unconventional shale focus, the firm maintains conventional producing assets in Mexico and provides internal drilling and workover services.
The business model relies on capital-intensive upstream operations, where profitability is highly sensitive to the global price of Brent crude and regional infrastructure capacity. As an exploration and production (E&P) operator, Vista focuses on optimizing well completion techniques to lower lifting costs per barrel. Investors may find it useful to review ValueRay for a deeper look at the firms valuation metrics.
Headquartered in Mexico City, the company rebranded from Vista Oil & Gas to Vista Energy in 2022 to reflect a broader positioning within the energy sector. It operates primarily within the Neuquina Basin, leveraging specialized technical expertise to scale production from high-density shale plays.
- Vaca Muerta shale production growth drives quarterly revenue and cash flow expansion
- Argentina macroeconomic instability and currency devaluation impact operational cost structures
- Global crude oil price volatility dictates realized margins on export volumes
- Infrastructure capacity constraints in Neuquina basin limit total hydrocarbon evacuation potential
- Regulatory shifts in Argentine energy policy influence domestic pricing and investment returns
| Net Income: 746.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.96% < 20% (prev -5.67%; Δ -8.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 657.7m > Net Income 746.3m |
| Net Debt (3.53b) to EBITDA (1.64b): 2.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.3m) vs 12m ago 9.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.37% > 18% (prev 0.57%; Δ 4.88k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.67% > 50% (prev 39.45%; Δ 8.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.64b / Interest Expense TTM 215.4m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 1.76b) / Total Assets 7.72b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 1.95b / Total Assets 7.72b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 792.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.10b) |
| D: 0.48 (Book Value of Equity 2.44b / Total Liabilities 5.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.85 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 619.7m/247.6m, Revenue 2.91b/1.77b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 49.37% / 57.00%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.64 (Revenue 2.91b / 1.77b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 746.3m - CFO 657.7m) / TA 7.72b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.02 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.39%, over one month by +19.21%, over three months by +34.28% and over the past year by +54.42%.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 92.2 | 16.3% |
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 2.6062
P/B = 2.6395
Revenue TTM = 2.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 792.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.64b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.07b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.35b USD (7.20b + Debt 3.77b - CCE 617.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.68 (Ebit TTM 792.0m / Interest Expense TTM 215.4m)
EV/FCF = -12.14x (Enterprise Value 10.35b / FCF TTM -852.6m)
FCF Yield = -8.24% (FCF TTM -852.6m / Enterprise Value 10.35b)
FCF Margin = -29.31% (FCF TTM -852.6m / Revenue TTM 2.91b)
Net Margin = 25.66% (Net Income TTM 746.3m / Revenue TTM 2.91b)
Gross Margin = 49.37% ((Revenue TTM 2.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.61% (prev 63.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 10.35b / Total Assets 7.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.54% (Interest Expense 57.9m / Debt 3.77b)
Taxrate = 24.95% (35.8m / 143.5m)
NOPAT = 594.3m (EBIT 792.0m * (1 - 24.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 1.76b)
Debt / Equity = 1.45 (Debt 3.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.15 (Net Debt 3.53b / EBITDA 1.64b)
Debt / FCF = -4.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.53b / FCF TTM -852.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.23% (Net Income 746.3m / Total Assets 7.72b)
RoE = 30.96% (Net Income TTM 746.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 15.73% (EBIT 792.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 2.62b))
RoIC = 10.82% (NOPAT 594.3m / Invested Capital 5.49b)
WACC = 5.42% (E(7.20b)/V(10.97b) * Re(7.66%) + D(3.77b)/V(10.97b) * Rd(1.54%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 79.57 | Cagr: 4.77%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -852.6m)
EPS Correlation: 61.85 | EPS CAGR: 104.7% | SUE: 2.21 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 90.38 | Revenue CAGR: 33.31% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=66.90 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=54.81 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=138.58 | Chg30d=+44.95% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+144.0% | GrowthRev=+56.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=163.56 | Chg30d=+66.15% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+18.0% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%