(VIST) Vista Oil Gas - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Drilling
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -26.42 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.462 |
| Beta | 1.234 |
| Beta Downside | 1.475 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.36% |
| Mean DD | 11.20% |
| Median DD | 7.82% |
Description: VIST Vista Oil Gas January 08, 2026
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE: VIST) is a Mexico-based E&P firm that focuses on oil and gas production in Latin America, with its flagship assets in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale play and additional producing fields in Mexico.
Since its incorporation in 2017 (formerly Vista Oil & Gas), the company has expanded drilling and work-over operations in Argentina, targeting higher recovery rates in the Neuquén Basin. In 2023 the firm reported net production of roughly 12 MMboe, with a reserve replacement ratio of 1.2×, indicating modest growth despite a volatile price environment.
Key economic drivers for Vista include regional crude price differentials (WTI-linked contracts dominate Argentine output) and the capital-intensive nature of shale development, with 2024 capex projected at $150 million to fund infill drilling and infrastructure upgrades. The broader E&P sector is currently pressured by rising financing costs and ESG scrutiny, which could affect Vista’s cost of capital and access to debt.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find the ValueRay platform’s metric dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 727.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.85% < 20% (prev -27.97%; Δ 7.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 730.4m > Net Income 727.1m |
| Net Debt (2.66b) to EBITDA (1.77b): 1.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (108.7m) vs 12m ago 9.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.03% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 4752 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.57% > 50% (prev 42.90%; Δ 0.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.08 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 157.2m) |
Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) 2.33
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 747.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 6.74b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 1.60b / Total Assets 6.74b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 5.11b) |
| D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 2.24b / Total Liabilities 4.33b) |
| Total Rating: 2.33= BBB |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.86
| 1. Piotroski: 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -8.98% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -31.27% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 1.24 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 1.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 12.44% |
| 7. RoE: 37.31% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 90.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 46.74% |
What is the price of VIST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.04%, over one month by +12.56%, over three months by +49.71% and over the past year by -8.77%.
Is VIST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VIST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80.6 | 53.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80.6 | 53.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 70.7 | 34.9% |
VIST Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.9445
P/S = 2.2875
P/B = 2.1153
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 576.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.75b USD (5.09b + Debt 2.98b - CCE 319.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.08 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 157.2m)
EV/FCF = -11.13x (Enterprise Value 7.75b / FCF TTM -696.1m)
FCF Yield = -8.98% (FCF TTM -696.1m / Enterprise Value 7.75b)
FCF Margin = -31.27% (FCF TTM -696.1m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = 32.66% (Net Income TTM 727.1m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 48.03% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.58% (prev 46.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 7.75b / Total Assets 6.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.64% (Interest Expense 48.9m / Debt 2.98b)
Taxrate = 27.94% (122.2m / 437.5m)
NOPAT = 802.2m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 27.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 747.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 2.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 2.66b / EBITDA 1.77b)
Debt / FCF = -3.82 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.66b / FCF TTM -696.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.23% (Net Income 727.1m / Total Assets 6.74b)
RoE = 37.31% (Net Income TTM 727.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.95b)
RoCE = 25.78% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.95b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 19.48% (NOPAT 802.2m / Invested Capital 4.12b)
WACC = 7.04% (E(5.09b)/V(8.07b) * Re(10.46%) + D(2.98b)/V(8.07b) * Rd(1.64%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.65%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -696.1m)
EPS Correlation: 46.74 | EPS CAGR: -20.33% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.43 | Revenue CAGR: 40.74% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=91.67 | Chg30d=-3.205 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-23.8% | Growth Revenue=+16.9%
Additional Sources for VIST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle