(VIST) Vista Oil Gas - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Exploration, Production, Drilling
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 69.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -14.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.426 |
| Beta | 1.191 |
| Beta Downside | 1.476 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.36% |
| Mean DD | 10.50% |
| Median DD | 7.24% |
Description: VIST Vista Oil Gas November 05, 2025
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE: VIST) is a Mexico-based upstream firm that explores and produces oil and gas primarily in Latin America, with its flagship assets in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale play and additional producing fields in both Argentina and Mexico. The company, incorporated in 2017 and renamed from Vista Oil & Gas in April 2022, conducts drilling and work-over operations focused on expanding its Vaca Muerta footprint.
Key operating metrics (Q4 2024) show a 12% YoY increase in proven reserves to 210 MMboe, while daily production averaged 14,800 boe/d, driven largely by higher well-head output in Vaca Muerta. The firm’s cash flow remains sensitive to Brent crude prices; a $5 rise in Brent typically lifts adjusted EBITDA by roughly 8%, reflecting the sector’s exposure to global price cycles and Argentina’s fiscal regime for hydrocarbons.
For a deeper, data-rich view of Vista Energy’s valuation dynamics and peer comparisons, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay, where interactive charts and forward-looking metrics can help you assess the trade-off between reserve growth and price risk.
VIST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,325m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-07-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -12.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
VIST Dividends
Currently no dividends paidVIST Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 53.79% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.24 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 5.12 |
| Current Volume | 1050.4k |
| Average Volume | 1139.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (727.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 133.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -20.85% (prev -27.97%; Δ 7.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 730.4m > Net Income 727.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.66b) to EBITDA (1.77b) ratio: 1.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (108.7m) change vs 12m ago 9.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.03% (prev 50.92%; Δ -2.89pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 43.57% (prev 42.90%; Δ 0.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.08 (EBITDA TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 157.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.33
| (A) -0.07 = (Total Current Assets 747.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 6.74b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.60b / Total Assets 6.74b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 5.11b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 2.24b / Total Liabilities 4.33b |
| Total Rating: 2.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.13
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -8.72% |
| 3. FCF Margin -31.27% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.24 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.38)% |
| 7. RoE 37.31% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.99% |
| 9. EPS Trend 68.65% |
What is the price of VIST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.98%, over one month by +41.98%, over three months by +24.09% and over the past year by -2.19%.
Is VIST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VIST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 74 | 48.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 74 | 48.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 70.2 | 40.6% |
VIST Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.5451
P/E Forward = 9.3809
P/S = 2.3919
P/B = 2.2119
Beta = -0.294
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 576.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.98b USD (5.33b + Debt 2.98b - CCE 319.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.08 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 157.2m)
FCF Yield = -8.72% (FCF TTM -696.1m / Enterprise Value 7.98b)
FCF Margin = -31.27% (FCF TTM -696.1m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = 32.66% (Net Income TTM 727.1m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 48.03% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.58% (prev 46.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 7.98b / Total Assets 6.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.64% (Interest Expense 48.9m / Debt 2.98b)
Taxrate = 27.94% (122.2m / 437.5m)
NOPAT = 802.2m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 27.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 747.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 2.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 2.66b / EBITDA 1.77b)
Debt / FCF = -3.82 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.66b / FCF TTM -696.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.79% (Net Income 727.1m / Total Assets 6.74b)
RoE = 37.31% (Net Income TTM 727.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.95b)
RoCE = 25.78% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.95b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 19.48% (NOPAT 802.2m / Invested Capital 4.12b)
WACC = 7.10% (E(5.33b)/V(8.30b) * Re(10.41%) + D(2.98b)/V(8.30b) * Rd(1.64%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.65%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -696.1m)
EPS Correlation: 68.65 | EPS CAGR: 28.05% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.99 | Revenue CAGR: 35.99% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for VIST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle