(VIV) Telefonica Brasil - Ratings and Ratios
Mobile, Broadband, TV, Fixed-Line, Digital
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.55% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.10% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -18.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 82.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 5.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.51 |
| Alpha | 46.45 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.434 |
| Beta | 0.347 |
| Beta Downside | 0.253 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.98% |
| Mean DD | 8.57% |
| Median DD | 6.37% |
Description: VIV Telefonica Brasil October 16, 2025
Telefônica Brasil S.A. (NYSE: VIV) is Brazil’s largest integrated telecommunications provider, delivering mobile voice and broadband services across 3G, 4G, 4.5G and an expanding 5G network, as well as fixed-line voice, IPTV pay-TV, wholesale interconnection, and a suite of digital offerings such as cloud, security, and fintech solutions. The company monetizes these services through a mix of prepaid and postpaid plans, device sales, and enterprise-focused IT and connectivity solutions sold via retail stores, dealers, and direct channels.
As of FY 2023, VIV reported approximately 98 million mobile subscribers and 23 million fixed-line broadband customers, generating $24 billion in revenue with an EBITDA margin near 38 %. Capital expenditures remain high, with roughly $5 billion invested in 5G rollout and fiber expansion-key to capturing Brazil’s rising data consumption, which has been growing at a 12 % annual rate. The firm’s performance is sensitive to macro-economic variables such as Brazil’s GDP growth (projected ~2 % YoY) and currency volatility, which affect both consumer spending on discretionary services and the cost of imported network equipment.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore VIV’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (6.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.63% (prev -1.69%; Δ 2.32pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.14b > Net Income 6.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.32b) to EBITDA (20.58b) ratio: 0.55 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.21b) change vs 12m ago 96.56% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 63.47% (prev 46.90%; Δ 16.57pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.31% (prev 44.31%; Δ 3.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.78 (EBITDA TTM 20.58b / Interest Expense TTM 2.33b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.04
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 24.25b - Total Current Liabilities 23.88b) / Total Assets 123.90b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.94b / Total Assets 123.90b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 8.79b / Avg Total Assets 123.78b |
| (D) 1.25 = Book Value of Equity 69.14b / Total Liabilities 55.40b |
| Total Rating: 2.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.42
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.44% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.79% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.55 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.35)% |
| 7. RoE 8.83% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend 67.66% |
What is the price of VIV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.02%, over one month by -3.11%, over three months by -1.54% and over the past year by +51.33%.
Is VIV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VIV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.2 | 16.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.2 | 16.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.1 | 32% |
VIV Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.3714
P/E Forward = 13.5135
P/S = 0.3519
P/B = 1.615
P/EG = 1.1196
Beta = 0.327
Revenue TTM = 58.57b BRL
EBIT TTM = 8.79b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 20.58b BRL
Long Term Debt = 3.59b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.93b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.11b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.32b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 123.40b BRL (112.09b + Debt 18.11b - CCE 6.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.78 (Ebit TTM 8.79b / Interest Expense TTM 2.33b)
FCF Yield = 8.44% (FCF TTM 10.42b / Enterprise Value 123.40b)
FCF Margin = 17.79% (FCF TTM 10.42b / Revenue TTM 58.57b)
Net Margin = 10.34% (Net Income TTM 6.05b / Revenue TTM 58.57b)
Gross Margin = 63.47% ((Revenue TTM 58.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.94% (prev 81.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 123.40b / Total Assets 123.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 186.2m / Debt 18.11b)
Taxrate = 10.23% (215.0m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 7.89b (EBIT 8.79b * (1 - 10.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 24.25b / Total Current Liabilities 23.88b)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 18.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 68.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.55 (Net Debt 11.32b / EBITDA 20.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.09 (Net Debt 11.32b / FCF TTM 10.42b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 68.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.89% (Net Income 6.05b / Total Assets 123.90b)
RoE = 8.83% (Net Income TTM 6.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 68.58b)
RoCE = 12.19% (EBIT 8.79b / Capital Employed (Equity 68.58b + L.T.Debt 3.59b))
RoIC = 16.75% (NOPAT 7.89b / Invested Capital 47.13b)
WACC = 6.40% (E(112.09b)/V(130.20b) * Re(7.29%) + D(18.11b)/V(130.20b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 7.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 39.29%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.02% ; FCFE base≈10.19b ; Y1≈10.73b ; Y5≈12.62b
Fair Price DCF = 138.0 (DCF Value 221.15b / Shares Outstanding 1.60b; 5y FCF grow 5.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 67.66 | EPS CAGR: 21.99% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 98.68 | Revenue CAGR: 7.24% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.15 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+33.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
Additional Sources for VIV Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle