(VLN) Valens - Overview
Stock: HDBaseT, Chipsets, Audio-Video, Automotive
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 103% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.18 |
| Alpha | -62.55 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.612 |
| Beta Downside | 1.243 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 72.73% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.44 |
Description: VLN Valens December 31, 2025
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) designs and sells semiconductor chips that enable ultra-high-definition video, audio, Ethernet, USB, control signals and power to travel over a single long-reach cable (HDBaseT). Its product portfolio spans AV solutions for enterprise, education, industrial, digital signage and medical markets, as well as automotive chipsets for ADAS, infotainment, telematics and backbone connectivity, with families such as VS100-VS7000 and VA6000-VA7000.
According to the company’s most recent FY2023 filing, Valens reported revenue of roughly $140 million, up about 15 % year-over-year, and a gross margin near 45 %, reflecting strong pricing power in niche high-bandwidth markets. The global HDBaseT market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~9 % through 2028, driven by the rollout of 8K video and remote learning/working solutions, while the automotive ADAS segment is expanding at ~10 % CAGR as OEMs adopt higher-level driver-assist functions. Valens’ cash balance of ~$200 million gives it runway to fund R&D and potential acquisitions, but the company remains exposed to semiconductor supply-chain volatility and competitive pressure from larger integrated device manufacturers.
For a deeper dive into Valens’ valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might find the ValueRay research platform useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -30.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 145.6% < 20% (prev 215.6%; Δ -70.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -12.8m > Net Income -30.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 5.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (101.4m) vs 12m ago -4.44% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 62.47% > 18% (prev 0.60%; Δ 6188 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.00% > 50% (prev 36.73%; Δ 7.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2045 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -25.6m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0k) |
Altman Z'' -6.97
| A: 0.72 (Total Current Assets 120.0m - Total Current Liabilities 21.1m) / Total Assets 136.7m |
| B: -1.73 (Retained Earnings -236.7m / Total Assets 136.7m) |
| C: -0.19 (EBIT TTM -28.6m / Avg Total Assets 154.3m) |
| D: -4.59 (Book Value of Equity -127.9m / Total Liabilities 27.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -6.97 = D |
Beneish M -2.86
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 9.90m/7.22m, Revenue 67.9m/63.1m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 62.47% / 59.76%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 67.9m / 63.1m) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -30.1m - CFO -12.8m) / TA 136.7m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of VLN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.78%, over one month by -1.28%, over three months by -3.75% and over the past year by -38.89%.
Is VLN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VLN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3.8 | 143.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3.8 | 143.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.1 | -28.6% |
VLN Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 1.6554
Revenue TTM = 67.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -28.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -25.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.19m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 975.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 6.66m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -24.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 149.1m USD (174.0m + Debt 6.66m - CCE 31.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2045 (Ebit TTM -28.6m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0k)
EV/FCF = -10.32x (Enterprise Value 149.1m / FCF TTM -14.5m)
FCF Yield = -9.69% (FCF TTM -14.5m / Enterprise Value 149.1m)
FCF Margin = -21.29% (FCF TTM -14.5m / Revenue TTM 67.9m)
Net Margin = -44.38% (Net Income TTM -30.1m / Revenue TTM 67.9m)
Gross Margin = 62.47% ((Revenue TTM 67.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.01% (prev 63.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 149.1m / Total Assets 136.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.21% (Interest Expense 14.0k / Debt 6.66m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -22.6m (EBIT -28.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.68 (Total Current Assets 120.0m / Total Current Liabilities 21.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 6.66m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 108.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.97 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -24.9m / EBITDA -25.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.72 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -24.9m / FCF TTM -14.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 124.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -19.53% (Net Income -30.1m / Total Assets 136.7m)
RoE = -24.27% (Net Income TTM -30.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 124.2m)
RoCE = -21.63% (EBIT -28.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 124.2m + L.T.Debt 8.19m))
RoIC = -17.85% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -22.6m / Invested Capital 126.7m)
WACC = 11.43% (E(174.0m)/V(180.7m) * Re(11.86%) + D(6.66m)/V(180.7m) * Rd(0.21%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.77%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -14.5m)
EPS Correlation: 11.08 | EPS CAGR: 89.54% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -57.03 | Revenue CAGR: -4.67% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+3.2% | Growth Revenue=+12.6%