VMC Stock Analysis: Vulcan Materials | NYSE

Crushed Stone, Sand Gravel, Asphalt Mix, Ready-Mix Concrete

Total Rating 45

Safety 74

Buy Signal -0.82

Building Materials
Industry Rotation: -2.5

Market Cap: 31.6B
Avg Turnover: 298M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility26.5%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.86%

VaR vs Median11.2%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.73

Rel. Str. IBD14.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group59.4

Character TTM

Beta0.876

Beta Downside1.078

Hurst Exponent0.537

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD26.68%

CAGR/Max DD0.23

CAGR/Mean DD0.75

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 10.10%
EPS Trend: 94.3%

Last SUE: 0.33
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.00%
Rev. Trend: 58.5%

Last SUE: 0.30
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10

Feb -1.1% 8

Mar -2.3% 35

Apr +1.5% 18

May -0.4% 19

Jun +0.5% 5

Jul -0.0% 5

Aug -0.9% 19

Sep -0.7% 14

Oct -0.0% 0

Nov +3.0% 29

Dec -0.7% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VMC Vulcan Materials

Vulcan Materials Company is a U.S.-based producer and supplier of construction aggregates, operating through three business segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, and Concrete. Its product portfolio includes crushed stone, sand and gravel, riprap, jetty stones, asphalt mix, asphalt paving services, and ready-mixed concrete, serving applications such as highway and street construction, residential and nonresidential building, railroad track ballast, and erosion control along roads and waterways.

The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama. It was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. before adopting its current name, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker VMC, having gone public in 1988.

As a participant in the basic construction materials sector, Vulcans business model is closely tied to U.S. infrastructure spending, residential and commercial construction cycles, and public works projects. Because aggregates are heavy, low-value-per-ton commodities with high transportation costs, competitive positioning typically depends on the geographic location of reserves and the ability to serve nearby metropolitan markets efficiently.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Highway and infrastructure spending drives aggregates demand
Aggregates segment pricing power expands margins despite volume softness
IIJA funding sustains multi-year public construction backlog
Florida and Texas residential markets boost nonresidential aggregates volumes
Cost inflation in diesel and energy pressures Asphalt segment profitability
Capital allocation targets acquisitions in fragmented aggregates market

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0

Net Income: 1.12b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.22 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 11.50% < 20% (prev 11.87%; Δ -0.37% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.80b > Net Income 1.12b
Net Debt (5.21b) to EBITDA (2.56b): 2.04 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (130.8m) vs 12m ago -1.58% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.43% > 18% (prev 27.56%; Δ -0.13% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.52% > 50% (prev 44.74%; Δ 3.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.85b / Interest Expense TTM 461.4m)

Altman Z'' 3.33

A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 16.4b
B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 5.54b / Total Assets 16.4b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.85b / Avg Total Assets 16.7b)
D: 1.06 (Book Value of Equity 8.46b / Total Liabilities 7.95b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.33 = A

Beneish M -3.70

DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 1.11b/1.08b, Revenue 8.11b/7.59b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 27.56% / 27.43%)
AQI: -0.16 (AQ_t -0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 8.11b / 7.59b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.12b - CFO 1.80b) / TA 16.4b)
Beneish M = -3.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA

What is the price of VMC shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 246.26 with a total of 1,434,142 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.93%, over one month by -4.66%, over three months by -13.91% and over the past year by -18.50%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 233.40 (which is 5.2% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is VMC a buy, sell or hold?

Vulcan Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VMC.

StrongBuy: 14
Buy: 2
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VMC price?

Analysts Target Price	315.2	28%

Vulcan Materials (VMC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 31.6b (31.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.7889
P/E Forward = 22.4215
P/S = 3.8978
P/B = 3.7413
P/EG = 1.6502
Revenue TTM = 8.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.85b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 400.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 521.2m
Net Debt = 5.21b USD (calculated: Debt 5.41b - CCE 194.2m)
Enterprise Value = 36.8b USD (31.6b + Debt 5.41b - CCE 194.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 1.85b / Interest Expense TTM 461.4m)
EV/FCF = 35.87x (Enterprise Value 36.8b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
FCF Yield = 2.79% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Enterprise Value 36.8b)
FCF Margin = 12.67% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 8.11b)
Net Margin = 13.82% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Revenue TTM 8.11b)
Gross Margin = 27.43% ((Revenue TTM 8.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.01% (prev 24.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.24 (Enterprise Value 36.8b / Total Assets 16.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.53% (Interest Expense 461.4m / Debt 5.41b)
Taxrate = 20.29% (284.4m / 1.40b)
NOPAT = 1.48b (EBIT 1.85b * (1 - 20.29%))
Current Ratio = 1.76 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 5.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.04 (Net Debt 5.21b / EBITDA 2.56b)
Debt / FCF = 5.07 (Net Debt 5.21b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.70% (Net Income 1.12b / Total Assets 16.4b)
RoE = 13.11% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.54b)
RoCE = 14.82% (EBIT 1.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.54b + L.T.Debt 3.96b))
RoIC = 9.58% (NOPAT 1.48b / Invested Capital 15.4b)
WACC = 8.77% (E(31.6b)/V(37.0b) * Re(9.11%) + D(5.41b)/V(37.0b) * Rd(8.53%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.84 | Cagr: -0.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.00% ; FCFF base≈1.06b ; Y1≈1.00b ; Y5≈950.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.56 (EV 14.0b - Net Debt 5.21b = Equity 8.75b / Shares 129.6m; r=8.77% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -6.46% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.34 | EPS CAGR: 10.10% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 58.46 | Revenue CAGR: 2.00% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.95 | Chg30d=-2.60% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.03 | Chg30d=-1.32% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+12.9% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.50 | Chg30d=-2.54% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+16.3% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -73% (up=0, down=8)