(VMC) Vulcan Materials - Ratings and Ratios
Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 |
| Alpha | -6.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.292 |
| Beta | 0.658 |
| Beta Downside | 0.449 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.43% |
| Mean DD | 6.51% |
| Median DD | 5.92% |
Description: VMC Vulcan Materials September 29, 2025
Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE: VMC) is the largest U.S. producer of construction aggregates, supplying crushed stone, sand, gravel, and related products for highways, residential, commercial, and industrial projects. The firm operates through three segments-Aggregates, Asphalt, and Concrete-offering everything from raw stone to ready-mixed concrete and paving services. Founded in 1909 and headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, the company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc.
In 2023, VMC generated roughly $5.5 billion in revenue with an operating margin near 15%, supported by a $2 billion backlog that reflects strong demand for infrastructure spending. The company’s capital expenditures averaged $700 million, primarily directed at expanding quarry capacity and modernizing asphalt plants, while maintaining a dividend yield of about 2.5% and a payout ratio under 60%-metrics that signal both cash-flow robustness and shareholder commitment.
Key economic drivers for VMC include the U.S. construction-spending outlook, which the U.S. Census Bureau projects to grow 2-3% annually, and the federal infrastructure bill that earmarks billions for road and bridge upgrades-both of which directly boost aggregate and asphalt demand. Additionally, the sector’s cyclical nature means VMC’s performance is sensitive to interest-rate movements that affect housing starts and commercial-real-estate development.
For a deeper dive into VMC’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a consolidated view that can help you assess the trade-off between growth and dividend yield.
VMC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 37,556m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Materials |
| IPO / Inception | 1988-01-05 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -12.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.25 of 5 |
VMC Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.45% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 23.2% |
VMC Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 18.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.75 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.81 |
| Current Volume | 1197.7k |
| Average Volume | 1286k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (1.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 472.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.90% (prev 19.45%; Δ -3.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.71b > Net Income 1.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.73b) to EBITDA (2.60b) ratio: 1.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (132.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.15% (prev 26.15%; Δ 2.00pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 50.26% (prev 51.55%; Δ -1.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.90 (EBITDA TTM 2.60b / Interest Expense TTM 485.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.15
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 2.27b - Total Current Liabilities 1.02b) / Total Assets 16.98b |
| (B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.81b / Total Assets 16.98b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.89b / Avg Total Assets 15.67b |
| (D) 0.71 = Book Value of Equity 5.81b / Total Liabilities 8.22b |
| Total Rating: 3.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.20
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.49% |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.40% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.56 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.82 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.02)% |
| 7. RoE 13.45% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 31.16% |
| 9. EPS Trend 43.24% |
What is the price of VMC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.54%, over one month by -1.73%, over three months by -0.90% and over the past year by -0.36%.
Is VMC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the VMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 317.7 | 10.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 317.7 | 10.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 325.8 | 13.4% |
VMC Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 33.5969
P/E Forward = 28.9855
P/S = 4.7646
P/B = 4.2641
P/EG = 2.1012
Beta = 1.066
Revenue TTM = 7.87b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.89b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.36b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 58.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.73b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42.29b USD (37.56b + Debt 4.93b - CCE 191.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.90 (Ebit TTM 1.89b / Interest Expense TTM 485.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.49% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Enterprise Value 42.29b)
FCF Margin = 13.40% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Revenue TTM 7.87b)
Net Margin = 14.26% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Revenue TTM 7.87b)
Gross Margin = 28.15% ((Revenue TTM 7.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.66b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.16% (prev 29.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.49 (Enterprise Value 42.29b / Total Assets 16.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.95% (Interest Expense 293.1m / Debt 4.93b)
Taxrate = 23.00% (112.4m / 488.6m)
NOPAT = 1.46b (EBIT 1.89b * (1 - 23.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.23 (Total Current Assets 2.27b / Total Current Liabilities 1.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 4.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 4.73b / EBITDA 2.60b)
Debt / FCF = 4.49 (Net Debt 4.73b / FCF TTM 1.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.61% (Net Income 1.12b / Total Assets 16.98b)
RoE = 13.45% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.35b)
RoCE = 14.88% (EBIT 1.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.35b + L.T.Debt 4.36b))
RoIC = 11.02% (NOPAT 1.46b / Invested Capital 13.22b)
WACC = 7.99% (E(37.56b)/V(42.49b) * Re(8.44%) + D(4.93b)/V(42.49b) * Rd(5.95%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.17% ; FCFE base≈954.3m ; Y1≈1.18b ; Y5≈2.01b
Fair Price DCF = 239.4 (DCF Value 31.64b / Shares Outstanding 132.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 43.24 | EPS CAGR: 42.13% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 31.16 | Revenue CAGR: 10.56% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for VMC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle