(VSCO) Victoria's Secret - Overview
Stock: Bras, Lingerie, Panties, Sleepwear, Fragrance
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 87.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.47 |
| Alpha | 71.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.729 |
| Beta Downside | 2.573 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: VSCO Victoria's Secret March 03, 2026
Victoria’s Secret & Co. (NYSE: VSCO) is a specialty retailer that sells women’s intimate apparel, sleepwear, loungewear, activewear, swimwear, and beauty products under the Victoria’s Secret, PINK and Adore Me brands. Its distribution mix includes company-owned stores, franchise and licensing partners, and a growing suite of e-commerce sites such as VictoriasSecret.com, PINK.com, AdoreMe.com and DailyLook.com.
Key recent metrics show the business is rebounding: FY 2024 same-store sales rose 6.2% YoY, while digital sales grew 14% as the company expands its omnichannel footprint. Gross margin improved to 38.5% after cost-saving initiatives, and the firm reported a 2024 Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $112 million, reflecting stronger brand positioning amid a consumer-discretionary environment supported by stabilising inflation and modest wage growth.
For deeper valuation insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of VSCO.
Headlines to watch out for
- Intimate apparel sales drive core revenue growth
- Digital channel expansion boosts online sales penetration
- Supply chain costs impact merchandise profitability
- Consumer discretionary spending influences product demand
- Brand perception shifts affect market share
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 170.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.10% < 20% (prev 4.19%; Δ 2.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 500.0m > Net Income 170.6m |
| Net Debt (4.49b) to EBITDA (561.8m): 7.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (81.0m) vs 12m ago 2.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.65% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3628 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 127.1% > 50% (prev 126.1%; Δ 0.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 561.8m / Interest Expense TTM 72.9m) |
Altman Z'' 1.27
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.95b - Total Current Liabilities 1.49b) / Total Assets 5.13b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 320.0m / Total Assets 5.13b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 310.8m / Avg Total Assets 5.03b) |
| D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 323.0m / Total Liabilities 4.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.27 = BB |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 190.0m/163.0m, Revenue 6.39b/6.21b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 36.65% / 37.00%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 6.39b / 6.21b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 170.6m - CFO 500.0m) / TA 5.13b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of VSCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -23.62%, over one month by -24.39%, over three months by -7.74% and over the past year by +178.49%.
Is VSCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the VSCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 65.4 | 40% |
| Analysts Target Price | 65.4 | 40% |
VSCO Fundamental Data Overview March 06, 2026
P/E Forward = 23.4742
P/S = 0.7538
P/B = 7.636
Revenue TTM = 6.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 310.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 561.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 288.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.30b USD (4.82b + Debt 4.74b - CCE 249.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.26 (Ebit TTM 310.8m / Interest Expense TTM 72.9m)
EV/FCF = 30.11x (Enterprise Value 9.30b / FCF TTM 309.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.32% (FCF TTM 309.0m / Enterprise Value 9.30b)
FCF Margin = 4.84% (FCF TTM 309.0m / Revenue TTM 6.39b)
Net Margin = 2.67% (Net Income TTM 170.6m / Revenue TTM 6.39b)
Gross Margin = 36.65% ((Revenue TTM 6.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.41% (prev 35.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 9.30b / Total Assets 5.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 18.0m / Debt 4.74b)
Taxrate = 23.53% (52.0m / 221.0m)
NOPAT = 237.6m (EBIT 310.8m * (1 - 23.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 1.95b / Total Current Liabilities 1.49b)
Debt / Equity = 7.25 (Debt 4.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 653.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.99 (Net Debt 4.49b / EBITDA 561.8m)
Debt / FCF = 14.52 (Net Debt 4.49b / FCF TTM 309.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 654.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.39% (Net Income 170.6m / Total Assets 5.13b)
RoE = 26.07% (Net Income TTM 170.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 654.5m)
RoCE = 15.53% (EBIT 310.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 654.5m + L.T.Debt 1.35b))
RoIC = 13.43% (NOPAT 237.6m / Invested Capital 1.77b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(4.82b)/V(9.55b) * Re(15.97%) + D(4.74b)/V(9.55b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 15.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.56%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.84% ; FCFF base≈248.6m ; Y1≈225.7m ; Y5≈197.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 3.40b - Net Debt 4.49b = -1.08b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -33.13 | EPS CAGR: -19.33% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -20.98 | Revenue CAGR: -9.90% | SUE: 2.46 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.09 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=3.08 | Chg7d=+0.050 | Chg30d=+0.065 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 12.4% (Discount Rate 16.0% - Earnings Yield 3.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -7.4% (Analyst 5.0% - Implied 12.4%)