(VST) Vistra Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US92840M1027

Electricity, Natural Gas, Nuclear Energy, Coal, Solar Energy

VST EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of VST over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-03": 0.11413696354099, "2020-06": 0.33845177072462, "2020-09": 0.90219273565814, "2020-12": -0.05983090959694, "2021-03": -4.2149844243637, "2021-06": 0.073866427339442, "2021-09": 0.014448048429858, "2021-12": 1.4984690228682, "2022-03": -0.63108470839679, "2022-06": -3.1803873781725, "2022-09": 1.6000670686795, "2022-12": -0.62873583459443, "2023-03": 1.8036224169366, "2023-06": 1.2632887493256, "2023-09": 1.3489217090677, "2023-12": -0.52353488477965, "2024-03": -0.10029624645596, "2024-06": 1.0301207301496, "2024-09": 5.3911480661112, "2024-12": 1.2508257293434, "2025-03": -0.78869923484403, "2025-06": 0.96233078281342,

VST Revenue

Revenue of VST over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-03: 2609, 2020-06: 2515, 2020-09: 3401, 2020-12: 2537, 2021-03: 3121, 2021-06: 2748, 2021-09: 3910, 2021-12: 3496, 2022-03: 3952, 2022-06: 3768, 2022-09: 5804, 2022-12: 4313, 2023-03: 3756, 2023-06: 3190, 2023-09: 5204, 2023-12: 3392, 2024-03: 2793, 2024-06: 3688, 2024-09: 5534, 2024-12: 7362, 2025-03: 5171, 2025-06: 4250,

Description: VST Vistra Energy

Vistra Corp. is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States, operating through five distinct business segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to a diverse customer base of residential, commercial, and industrial clients across multiple states and the District of Columbia.

With a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts, Vistra Corp. has a diversified portfolio of power generation assets, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. This diversified portfolio enables the company to manage its energy production and sales effectively, while also mitigating risks associated with commodity price fluctuations.

From a financial perspective, Vistra Corp. has demonstrated strong performance, with a Return on Equity (RoE) of 45.28%, indicating a high level of profitability. The companys Market Capitalization stands at approximately $66.4 billion, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.08, suggesting a relatively high valuation. To further evaluate the companys valuation, we can consider additional metrics such as the Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio and Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio.

Some key performance indicators (KPIs) that can be used to evaluate Vistra Corp.s operational efficiency include its capacity factor, which measures the actual output of its power generation assets relative to their potential output, and its hedge ratio, which indicates the companys ability to manage commodity price risks. Additionally, metrics such as revenue per user (RPU) and customer churn rate can provide insights into the companys retail business performance.

To further analyze Vistra Corp.s stock performance, we can examine its historical price movements and trading volumes. The companys stock has demonstrated significant volatility, with a 52-week high and low of $197.01 and $68.52, respectively. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can be used to identify potential trading opportunities and assess the stocks momentum.

VST Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 64,471m
Sub-Industry Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
IPO / Inception 2016-10-04

VST Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 89.6%
Fundamental 58.5%
Dividend Rating 64.7%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 92.3%
Analyst Rating 4.28 of 5

VST Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 0.65%
Yield on Cost 5y 6.54%
Annual Growth 5y 10.13%
Payout Consistency 70.5%
Payout Ratio 14.4%

VST Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 71.1%
Growth Correlation 12m 67.6%
Growth Correlation 5y 96.7%
CAGR 5y 62.05%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 1.27
Sharpe Ratio 12m 1.22
Alpha 93.52
Beta 2.591
Volatility 35.95%
Current Volume 3994.3k
Average Volume 20d 3994.3k
Stop Loss 179.9 (-4.9%)
Signal -1.98

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5

Net Income (2.39b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.34b TTM)
FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -4.26% (prev -1.53%; Δ -2.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.23b > Net Income 2.39b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (17.30b) to EBITDA (6.63b) ratio: 2.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (339.8m) change vs 12m ago -4.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 40.64% (prev 28.12%; Δ 12.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 57.76% (prev 38.54%; Δ 19.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.03 (EBITDA TTM 6.63b / Interest Expense TTM 1.19b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.39

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 8.48b - Total Current Liabilities 9.43b) / Total Assets 38.15b
(B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -642.0m / Total Assets 38.15b
(C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 3.61b / Avg Total Assets 38.64b
(D) -0.02 = Book Value of Equity -642.0m / Total Liabilities 33.31b
Total Rating: 0.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.54

1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50
2. FCF Yield 3.80% = 1.90
3. FCF Margin 13.94% = 3.49
4. Debt/Equity 3.68 = -1.69
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.68 = -1.27
6. ROIC - WACC 2.45% = 3.06
7. RoE 46.24% = 2.50
8. Rev. Trend 19.76% = 0.99
9. Rev. CAGR -10.71% = -1.79
10. EPS Trend -1.61% = -0.04
11. EPS CAGR -16.88% = -2.11

What is the price of VST shares?

As of August 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 189.11 with a total of 3,994,342 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.71%, over one month by -4.49%, over three months by +18.54% and over the past year by +124.92%.

Is Vistra Energy a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Vistra Energy is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 58.54 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VST is around 266.16 USD . This means that VST is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +40.74% (Margin of Safety).

Is VST a buy, sell or hold?

Vistra Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.28. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VST.
  • Strong Buy: 10
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VST price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 218.2 15.4%
Analysts Target Price 170.8 -9.7%
ValueRay Target Price 307.4 62.6%

Last update: 2025-08-23 05:05

VST Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 64.47b (64.47b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 458.0m USD (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 30.5916
P/E Forward = 30.303
P/S = 3.4834
P/B = 27.4694
P/EG = 5.972
Beta = 1.313
Revenue TTM = 22.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.61b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.54b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.76b USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.22b + Long Term 15.54b)
Net Debt = 17.30b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 81.77b USD (64.47b + Debt 17.76b - CCE 458.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.03 (Ebit TTM 3.61b / Interest Expense TTM 1.19b)
FCF Yield = 3.80% (FCF TTM 3.11b / Enterprise Value 81.77b)
FCF Margin = 13.94% (FCF TTM 3.11b / Revenue TTM 22.32b)
Net Margin = 10.70% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Revenue TTM 22.32b)
Gross Margin = 40.64% ((Revenue TTM 22.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -127.4 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 81.77b / Book Value Of Equity -642.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 303.0m / Debt 17.76b)
Taxrate = 18.89% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 655.0m / 3.47b)
NOPAT = 2.93b (EBIT 3.61b * (1 - 18.89%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 8.48b / Total Current Liabilities 9.43b)
Debt / Equity = 3.68 (Debt 17.76b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 4.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (Net Debt 17.30b / EBITDA 6.63b)
Debt / FCF = 5.71 (Debt 17.76b / FCF TTM 3.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.16b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 6.26% (Net Income 2.39b, Total Assets 38.15b )
RoE = 46.24% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.16b)
RoCE = 17.45% (Ebit 3.61b / (Equity 5.16b + L.T.Debt 15.54b))
RoIC = 14.95% (NOPAT 2.93b / Invested Capital 19.61b)
WACC = 12.50% (E(64.47b)/V(82.23b) * Re(15.56%)) + (D(17.76b)/V(82.23b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -90.0 | Cagr: -8.49%
Discount Rate = 15.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 44.56% ; FCFE base≈2.71b ; Y1≈1.78b ; Y5≈813.2m
Fair Price DCF = 21.43 (DCF Value 7.26b / Shares Outstanding 338.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 19.76 | Revenue CAGR: -10.71%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 42.62
EPS Correlation: -1.61 | EPS CAGR: -16.88%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 26.01

Additional Sources for VST Stock

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