Overview Dividends

(VST) Vistra Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US92840M1027

Electricity, Natural Gas, Wholesale Energy, Battery Storage

Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
Market Cap in USD: 56,303m

IPO / Inception: 2016-10-04
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -0.96%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 4.20%
EPS Trend: 30.9%

Last SUE: -0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 9.84%
Rev. Trend: 34.6%

Last SUE: -1.21
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	0.56%
Yield on Cost 5y	5.36%
Yield CAGR 5y	12.82%
Payout Consistency	77.8%
Payout Ratio	35.1%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	50.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	80.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-3.44%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.54
Alpha	-9.28
CAGR/Max DD	1.92

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.393
Beta	1.914
Beta Downside	2.481

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	48.80%
Mean DD	9.70%
Median DD	6.25%

Description: VST Vistra Energy December 02, 2025

Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) is an integrated retail electricity and power-generation firm operating across the United States through five business segments-Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company supplies electricity and natural gas to roughly 5 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers, while also managing generation, wholesale trading, commodity risk, fuel production, and logistics.

Its generation fleet totals about 41 GW and is diversified across natural-gas-fired plants, nuclear units, coal facilities, solar projects, and battery-energy-storage assets. As of the latest filing, natural gas accounts for roughly 65 % of capacity, nuclear 20 %, and renewables (solar plus storage) about 15 %-a mix that positions Vistra to benefit from both baseload reliability and the industry’s shift toward cleaner energy.

Key recent metrics include Q4 2023 adjusted EBITDA of $2.1 billion and a cash-flow conversion rate of 115 %, reflecting strong operating leverage. The firm’s earnings are sensitive to natural-gas price volatility and to regulatory trends that encourage decarbonization, such as state-level renewable-portfolio standards and federal carbon-pricing discussions.

Vistra’s long-standing presence (founded in 1882, headquartered in Irving, Texas) and its recent rebranding from Vistra Energy Corp. in 2020 underscore a strategic focus on integrated retail-generation synergies and asset-closure optimization.

For a deeper dive into Vistra’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview worth checking out.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (1.15b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.31b TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -0.21% (prev 5.65%; Δ -5.86pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.99b > Net Income 1.15b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (16.90b) to EBITDA (5.15b) ratio: 3.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.99 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (339.8m) change vs 12m ago -2.97% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 37.61% (prev 28.24%; Δ 9.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 57.32% (prev 40.68%; Δ 16.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.72 (EBITDA TTM 5.15b / Interest Expense TTM 1.23b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.35

(A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 8.38b - Total Current Liabilities 8.43b) / Total Assets 38.02b

(B) -0.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -107.0m / Total Assets 38.02b

(D) -0.00 = Book Value of Equity -82.0m / Total Liabilities 32.80b

Total Rating: 0.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.38

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 2.25%

3. FCF Margin 7.56%

4. Debt/Equity 3.36

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.28

6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.20)%

7. RoE 22.56%

8. Rev. Trend 34.58%

9. EPS Trend 30.91%

What is the price of VST shares?

As of December 23, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 161.57 with a total of 4,012,833 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.84%, over one month by -7.62%, over three months by -25.75% and over the past year by +15.39%.

Is VST a buy, sell or hold?

Vistra Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.28. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VST.

Strong Buy: 10
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the VST price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	233.3	44.4%
Analysts Target Price	233.3	44.4%
ValueRay Target Price	267.5	65.6%

VST Fundamental Data Overview December 20, 2025

Market Cap USD = 56.30b (56.30b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 59.7734
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 3.2751
P/B = 20.5935
P/EG = 1.6162
Beta = 1.398
Revenue TTM = 21.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.76b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.46b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.20b USD (56.30b + Debt 17.50b - CCE 602.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.72 (Ebit TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.23b)
FCF Yield = 2.25% (FCF TTM 1.65b / Enterprise Value 73.20b)
FCF Margin = 7.56% (FCF TTM 1.65b / Revenue TTM 21.75b)
Net Margin = 5.30% (Net Income TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 21.75b)
Gross Margin = 37.61% ((Revenue TTM 21.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.89% (prev 21.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.93 (Enterprise Value 73.20b / Total Assets 38.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 286.0m / Debt 17.50b)
Taxrate = 23.83% (204.0m / 856.0m)
NOPAT = 1.61b (EBIT 2.12b * (1 - 23.83%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 8.38b / Total Current Liabilities 8.43b)
Debt / Equity = 3.36 (Debt 17.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.28 (Net Debt 16.90b / EBITDA 5.15b)
Debt / FCF = 10.27 (Net Debt 16.90b / FCF TTM 1.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.03% (Net Income 1.15b / Total Assets 38.02b)
RoE = 22.56% (Net Income TTM 1.15b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.11b)
RoCE = 10.14% (EBIT 2.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.11b + L.T.Debt 15.76b))
RoIC = 8.06% (NOPAT 1.61b / Invested Capital 19.98b)
WACC = 10.27% (E(56.30b)/V(73.80b) * Re(13.07%) + D(17.50b)/V(73.80b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 13.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 51.52% ; FCFE base≈1.75b ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈524.3m
Fair Price DCF = 16.62 (DCF Value 5.63b / Shares Outstanding 338.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 30.91 | EPS CAGR: 4.20% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 34.58 | Revenue CAGR: 9.84% | SUE: -1.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=+0.022 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.79 | Chg30d=+0.073 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+79.6% | Growth Revenue=+15.8%

Additional Sources for VST Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle