(VST) Vistra Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Nuclear Energy, Coal, Solar Energy
VST EPS (Earnings per Share)
VST Revenue
Description: VST Vistra Energy
Vistra Corp. is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States, operating through five distinct business segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to a diverse customer base of residential, commercial, and industrial clients across multiple states and the District of Columbia.
With a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts, Vistra Corp. has a diversified portfolio of power generation assets, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. This diversified portfolio enables the company to manage its energy production and sales effectively, while also mitigating risks associated with commodity price fluctuations.
From a financial perspective, Vistra Corp. has demonstrated strong performance, with a Return on Equity (RoE) of 45.28%, indicating a high level of profitability. The companys Market Capitalization stands at approximately $66.4 billion, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.08, suggesting a relatively high valuation. To further evaluate the companys valuation, we can consider additional metrics such as the Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio and Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio.
Some key performance indicators (KPIs) that can be used to evaluate Vistra Corp.s operational efficiency include its capacity factor, which measures the actual output of its power generation assets relative to their potential output, and its hedge ratio, which indicates the companys ability to manage commodity price risks. Additionally, metrics such as revenue per user (RPU) and customer churn rate can provide insights into the companys retail business performance.
To further analyze Vistra Corp.s stock performance, we can examine its historical price movements and trading volumes. The companys stock has demonstrated significant volatility, with a 52-week high and low of $197.01 and $68.52, respectively. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can be used to identify potential trading opportunities and assess the stocks momentum.
VST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 69,136m |
| Sub-Industry | Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-10-04 |
VST Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 89.6% |
| Fundamental | 66.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 102% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.28 of 5 |
VST Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.66% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 10.13% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.4% |
VST Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 41.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 67.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 96.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 107.99% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 2.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 16.21 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.06 |
| Alpha | 149.00 |
| Beta | 0.932 |
| Volatility | 47.50% |
| Current Volume | 4143k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3821.6k |
| Stop Loss | 204.6 (-4.2%) |
| Signal | 0.43 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (2.39b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.34b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.26% (prev -1.53%; Δ -2.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.23b > Net Income 2.39b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (17.30b) to EBITDA (6.63b) ratio: 2.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (339.8m) change vs 12m ago -4.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.64% (prev 28.12%; Δ 12.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 57.76% (prev 38.54%; Δ 19.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.03 (EBITDA TTM 6.63b / Interest Expense TTM 1.19b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.39
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 8.48b - Total Current Liabilities 9.43b) / Total Assets 38.15b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -642.0m / Total Assets 38.15b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 3.61b / Avg Total Assets 38.64b |
| (D) -0.02 = Book Value of Equity -642.0m / Total Liabilities 33.31b |
| Total Rating: 0.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.42
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.60% = 1.80 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.94% = 3.49 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.68 = -1.69 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.68 = -1.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 7.14% = 8.93 |
| 7. RoE 46.24% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 19.76% = 0.99 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -10.71% = -1.79 |
| 10. EPS Trend -1.61% = -0.04 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of VST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.57%, over one month by +8.20%, over three months by +20.65% and over the past year by +140.51%.
Is Vistra Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VST is around 276.06 USD . This means that VST is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +29.29% (Margin of Safety).
Is VST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the VST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 218.2 | 2.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 218.2 | 2.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 305.9 | 43.3% |
Last update: 2025-09-13 05:05
VST Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 458.0m USD (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 32.8055
P/E Forward = 21.3675
P/S = 3.7355
P/B = 29.4573
P/EG = 4.2104
Beta = 1.348
Revenue TTM = 22.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.61b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.54b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.76b USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.22b + Long Term 15.54b)
Net Debt = 17.30b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 86.43b USD (69.14b + Debt 17.76b - CCE 458.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.03 (Ebit TTM 3.61b / Interest Expense TTM 1.19b)
FCF Yield = 3.60% (FCF TTM 3.11b / Enterprise Value 86.43b)
FCF Margin = 13.94% (FCF TTM 3.11b / Revenue TTM 22.32b)
Net Margin = 10.70% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Revenue TTM 22.32b)
Gross Margin = 40.64% ((Revenue TTM 22.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -134.6 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 86.43b / Book Value Of Equity -642.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 303.0m / Debt 17.76b)
Taxrate = 18.89% (655.0m / 3.47b)
NOPAT = 2.93b (EBIT 3.61b * (1 - 18.89%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 8.48b / Total Current Liabilities 9.43b)
Debt / Equity = 3.68 (Debt 17.76b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 4.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (Net Debt 17.30b / EBITDA 6.63b)
Debt / FCF = 5.71 (Debt 17.76b / FCF TTM 3.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.16b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 6.26% (Net Income 2.39b, Total Assets 38.15b )
RoE = 46.24% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.16b)
RoCE = 17.45% (Ebit 3.61b / (Equity 5.16b + L.T.Debt 15.54b))
RoIC = 14.95% (NOPAT 2.93b / Invested Capital 19.61b)
WACC = 7.80% (E(69.14b)/V(86.89b) * Re(9.45%)) + (D(17.76b)/V(86.89b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -80.92 | Cagr: -1.85%
Discount Rate = 9.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.37% ; FCFE base≈2.71b ; Y1≈1.78b ; Y5≈813.2m
Fair Price DCF = 37.91 (DCF Value 12.85b / Shares Outstanding 338.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 19.76 | Revenue CAGR: -10.71%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 42.62
EPS Correlation: -1.61 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 26.01
Additional Sources for VST Stock
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