VTS Stock Analysis: Vitesse Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 693m USD | 12M Return: -28.8% | US92852X1037 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.71M
EPS Trend: -77.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. (NYSE: VTS) is a US-based energy company that acquires, develops, and produces oil and natural gas through non-operated working and royalty interests, primarily in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana, with additional exposure to properties in Colorado and Wyoming. Founded in 2014 and headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, the company focuses on partnering with established operators rather than running drilling programs itself.
As a non-operated player, Vitesse typically funds a share of well costs and capex in exchange for a percentage of production and revenues, while the operating partner handles drilling, completion, and day-to-day field operations. Its core acreage sits in the Williston Basin, a premier US shale region that includes the Bakken and Three Forks formations, while its Central Rockies position provides exposure to the Denver-Julesburg and Powder River basins. The company is listed on the NYSE following its January 2023 IPO and is classified within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry of the GICS Energy sector.
- WTI crude price swings drive royalty revenue
- Bakken operator drilling activity lifts production volumes
- Dividend sustainability hinges on oil and gas prices
- Non-operated model limits capital control on development pace
| Net Income: -11.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.10% < 20% (prev -1.45%; Δ 2.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 136.3m > Net Income -11.2m |
| Net Debt (170.8m) to EBITDA (86.9m): 1.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.9m) vs 12m ago 4.60% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.68% > 18% (prev 26.82%; Δ 4.86% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.34% > 50% (prev 27.55%; Δ 2.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM -47.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 58.4m - Total Current Liabilities 55.2m) / Total Assets 923.6m |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -11.2m / Total Assets 923.6m) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -47.4m / Avg Total Assets 937.6m) |
| D: 2.08 (Book Value of Equity 623.9m / Total Liabilities 299.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.83 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 52.4m/46.9m, Revenue 284.5m/262.1m) |
| GMI: 0.85 (GM 26.82% / 31.68%) |
| AQI: 1.66 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 284.5m / 262.1m) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI -11.2m - CFO 136.3m) / TA 923.6m) |
| Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.11 with a total of 382,404 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.49%, over one month by +7.41%, over three months by +0.91% and over the past year by -28.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 16.40 (which is 4.1% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Vitesse Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VTS.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 21.3 | 24.2% |
P/E Forward = 909.0909
P/S = 2.6747
P/B = 1.1222
Revenue TTM = 284.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -47.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 86.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 158.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.60m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 171.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.60m
Net Debt = 170.8m USD (calculated: Debt 171.7m - CCE 884k)
Enterprise Value = 863.4m USD (692.6m + Debt 171.7m - CCE 884k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.87 (Ebit TTM -47.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
EV/FCF = 12.99x (Enterprise Value 863.4m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.70% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 863.4m)
FCF Margin = 23.37% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 284.5m)
Net Margin = -3.95% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Revenue TTM 284.5m)
Gross Margin = 31.68% ((Revenue TTM 284.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 194.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.95% (prev 22.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 863.4m / Total Assets 923.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.62% (Interest Expense 16.5m / Debt 171.7m)
Taxrate = 17.00% (6.78m / 39.9m)
NOPAT = -39.4m (EBIT -47.4m * (1 - 17.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 58.4m / Total Current Liabilities 55.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 171.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 623.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.97 (Net Debt 170.8m / EBITDA 86.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.57 (Net Debt 170.8m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 618.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.20% (Net Income -11.2m / Total Assets 923.6m)
RoE = -1.82% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 618.5m)
RoCE = -6.10% (EBIT -47.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 618.5m + L.T.Debt 158.5m))
RoIC = -4.50% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -39.4m / Invested Capital 874.1m)
WACC = 8.29% (E(692.6m)/V(864.3m) * Re(8.36%) + D(171.7m)/V(864.3m) * Rd(9.62%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.73 | Cagr: 17.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈60.8m ; Y1≈69.7m ; Y5≈102.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.62 (EV 1.54b - Net Debt 170.8m = Equity 1.37b / Shares 42.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.60 | EPS CAGR: -65.78% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.07 | Revenue CAGR: 8.39% | SUE: 1.76 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-100.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-52.38% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-87.0% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-23.71% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+640.0% | GrowthRev=-6.3%