VTS Stock Analysis: Vitesse Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 646m USD | 12M Return: -25.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.2M
EPS Trend: -89.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 90.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. (NYSE: VTS) is a US-based energy company that acquires, develops, and produces oil and natural gas through non-operated working and royalty interests, primarily in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana, with additional exposure to properties in Colorado and Wyoming. Founded in 2014 and headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, the company focuses on partnering with established operators rather than running drilling programs itself.
As a non-operated player, Vitesse typically funds a share of well costs and capex in exchange for a percentage of production and revenues, while the operating partner handles drilling, completion, and day-to-day field operations. Its core acreage sits in the Williston Basin, a premier US shale region that includes the Bakken and Three Forks formations, while its Central Rockies position provides exposure to the Denver-Julesburg and Powder River basins. The company is listed on the NYSE following its January 2023 IPO and is classified within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry of the GICS Energy sector.
- WTI crude price swings drive royalty revenue
- Bakken operator drilling activity lifts production volumes
- Dividend sustainability hinges on oil and gas prices
- Non-operated model limits capital control on development pace
| Net Income: -19.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.91% < 20% (prev -10.59%; Δ -3.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 176.9m > Net Income -19.7m |
| Net Debt (152.8m) to EBITDA (124.8m): 1.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.1m) vs 12m ago 14.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.05% > 18% (prev 29.36%; Δ -12.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.63% > 50% (prev 25.32%; Δ 4.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM -9.22m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 48.7m - Total Current Liabilities 87.0m) / Total Assets 882.6m |
| B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -44.3m / Total Assets 882.6m) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -9.22m / Avg Total Assets 928.9m) |
| D: 1.83 (Book Value of Equity 570.4m / Total Liabilities 312.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.40 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 41.3m/56.6m, Revenue 275.2m/247.0m) |
| GMI: 1.72 (GM 29.36% / 17.05%) |
| AQI: 98.25 (AQ_t 0.94 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 275.2m / 247.0m) |
| TATA: -0.22 (NI -19.7m - CFO 176.9m) / TA 882.6m) |
| Beneish M = 55.07 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.00 with a total of 408,560 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.46%, over one month by -7.91%, over three months by -8.83% and over the past year by -25.31%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.20 (which is 5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Vitesse Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VTS.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 23.8 | 48.4% |
P/E Forward = 909.0909
P/S = 2.5625
P/B = 1.1495
Revenue TTM = 275.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -9.22m USD
EBITDA TTM = 124.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 144.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.75m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 156.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.75m
Net Debt = 152.8m USD (calculated: Debt 156.0m - CCE 3.18m)
Enterprise Value = 798.5m USD (645.7m + Debt 156.0m - CCE 3.18m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.57 (Ebit TTM -9.22m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.64x (Enterprise Value 798.5m / FCF TTM 92.4m)
FCF Yield = 11.57% (FCF TTM 92.4m / Enterprise Value 798.5m)
FCF Margin = 33.57% (FCF TTM 92.4m / Revenue TTM 275.2m)
Net Margin = -7.15% (Net Income TTM -19.7m / Revenue TTM 275.2m)
Gross Margin = 17.05% ((Revenue TTM 275.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 228.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.58% (prev 3.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 798.5m / Total Assets 882.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.28% (Interest Expense 16.0m / Debt 156.0m)
Taxrate = 27.93% (9.80m / 35.1m)
NOPAT = -6.65m (EBIT -9.22m * (1 - 27.93%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.56 (Total Current Assets 48.7m / Total Current Liabilities 87.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 156.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 570.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 152.8m / EBITDA 124.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.65 (Net Debt 152.8m / FCF TTM 92.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 630.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.12% (Net Income -19.7m / Total Assets 882.6m)
RoE = -3.12% (Net Income TTM -19.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 630.5m)
RoCE = -1.19% (EBIT -9.22m / Capital Employed (Equity 630.5m + L.T.Debt 144.5m))
RoIC = -0.83% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.65m / Invested Capital 798.2m)
WACC = 8.71% (E(645.7m)/V(801.7m) * Re(9.03%) + D(156.0m)/V(801.7m) * Rd(10.28%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 68.89 | Cagr: 9.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.80% ; FCFF base≈63.3m ; Y1≈72.5m ; Y5≈106.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.53 (EV 1.51b - Net Debt 152.8m = Equity 1.36b / Shares 41.7m; r=8.71% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.20 | EPS CAGR: -45.57% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.82 | Revenue CAGR: 7.40% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-100.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=+50.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-38.24% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-72.7% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=+5.43% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+361.9% | GrowthRev=-9.4%