VTS Stock Analysis: Vitesse Energy | NYSE

Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 710m USD | 12M Return: -19.2% | US92852X1037 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Natural Gas
Total Rating 35
Safety 52
Buy Signal -1.07
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: -12.9
Market Cap: 710M
Avg Turnover: 8.92M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.18%
VaR vs Median11.2%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Rel. Str. IBD37.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group18
Character TTM
Beta0.633
Beta Downside1.034
Hurst Exponent0.498
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.36%
CAGR/Max DD0.01
CAGR/Mean DD0.02
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VTS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": -0.89, "2022-09": 0.97, "2022-12": 0.11, "2023-03": 0.53, "2023-06": 0.35, "2023-09": 0.38, "2023-12": 0.52, "2024-03": 0.34, "2024-06": 0.35, "2024-09": 0.23, "2024-12": -0.285, "2025-03": 0.23, "2025-06": 0.45, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": 0.0084, "2026-03": -0.01, "2026-06": 0.05,
EPS CAGR: -65.78%
EPS Trend: -77.6%
Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VTS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 60.696, 2021-12: 185.178, 2022-03: 64.979, 2022-06: 71.931, 2022-09: 70.462, 2022-12: 55.536, 2023-03: 57.961, 2023-06: 51.588, 2023-09: 55.054, 2023-12: 69.303, 2024-03: 61.193, 2024-06: 66.598, 2024-09: 58.28, 2024-12: 55.926, 2025-03: 66.171, 2025-06: 81.755, 2025-09: 67.443, 2025-12: 58.621, 2026-03: 67.41, 2026-06: 91.004,
Rev. CAGR: 8.39%
Rev. Trend: 94.1%
Last SUE: 1.76
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 3.7 years of data

Jan -0.0% 11
Feb -2.2% 13
Mar -0.6% 12
Apr -6.6% 13
May +2.9% 12
Jun -1.3% 12
Jul +7.3% 45
Aug +8.0% 14
Sep -9.1% 34
Oct -1.8% 0
Nov +4.7% 0
Dec -8.0% 36

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VTS Vitesse Energy

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) is a US-based energy company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing non-operated oil and natural gas properties. The company holds non-operated working and royalty interests across two core regions: the Williston Basin (53,301 net acres in North Dakota and Montana) and the Central Rockies (Colorado and Wyoming). Founded in 2014 and headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, Vitesse went public on the NYSE on January 17, 2023, and is classified as a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $747M.

Its business model relies on non-operated working interests, meaning Vitesse does not drill or operate wells itself but instead partners with established operators who handle field operations. This approach typically requires lower capital expenditure per well and reduces operational risk, while royalty interests provide a passive revenue stream free from drilling costs. The Williston Basin is one of the most prolific onshore oil-producing regions in the United States, home to the Bakken shale play, which has historically been a major driver of US shale production growth.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Williston Basin oil production volumes drive revenue and dividend payouts
  • Crude oil price volatility directly impacts royalty income and cash flow margins
  • Non-operated working interest model limits capex but caps production growth upside
  • Rising natural gas demand from Central Rockies acreage supports royalty revenue diversification
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: -11.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.10% < 20% (prev -1.45%; Δ 2.55% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 136.3m > Net Income -11.2m
Net Debt (170.8m) to EBITDA (86.9m): 1.97 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.9m) vs 12m ago 4.60% < -2%
Gross Margin: 31.68% > 18% (prev 26.82%; Δ 4.86% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 30.34% > 50% (prev 27.55%; Δ 2.79% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM -47.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
Altman Z'' 1.83
A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 58.4m - Total Current Liabilities 55.2m) / Total Assets 923.6m
B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -11.2m / Total Assets 923.6m)
C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -47.4m / Avg Total Assets 937.6m)
D: 2.08 (Book Value of Equity 623.9m / Total Liabilities 299.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.83 = BBB
Beneish M -2.70
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 52.4m/46.9m, Revenue 284.5m/262.1m)
GMI: 0.85 (GM 26.82% / 31.68%)
AQI: 1.66 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 284.5m / 262.1m)
TATA: -0.16 (NI -11.2m - CFO 136.3m) / TA 923.6m)
Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of VTS shares?

As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.03 with a total of 292,453 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.98%, over one month by -3.26%, over three months by +10.75% and over the past year by -19.17%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 16.30 (which is 4.3% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is VTS a buy, sell or hold?

Vitesse Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VTS.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VTS price?
Analysts Target Price 21.5 26.2%
Vitesse Energy (VTS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 710.3m (710.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 909.0909
P/S = 2.743
P/B = 1.1324
Revenue TTM = 284.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -47.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 86.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 158.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.60m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 171.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.60m
Net Debt = 170.8m USD (calculated: Debt 171.7m - CCE 884k)
Enterprise Value = 881.1m USD (710.3m + Debt 171.7m - CCE 884k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.87 (Ebit TTM -47.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
EV/FCF = 13.25x (Enterprise Value 881.1m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.54% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 881.1m)
FCF Margin = 23.37% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 284.5m)
Net Margin = -3.95% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Revenue TTM 284.5m)
Gross Margin = 31.68% ((Revenue TTM 284.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 194.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.95% (prev 22.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 881.1m / Total Assets 923.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.62% (Interest Expense 16.5m / Debt 171.7m)
Taxrate = 17.00% (6.78m / 39.9m)
NOPAT = -39.4m (EBIT -47.4m * (1 - 17.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 58.4m / Total Current Liabilities 55.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 171.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 623.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.97 (Net Debt 170.8m / EBITDA 86.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.57 (Net Debt 170.8m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 618.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.20% (Net Income -11.2m / Total Assets 923.6m)
RoE = -1.82% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 618.5m)
RoCE = -6.10% (EBIT -47.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 618.5m + L.T.Debt 158.5m))
 RoIC = -4.50% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -39.4m / Invested Capital 874.1m)
 WACC = 8.16% (E(710.3m)/V(882.0m) * Re(8.20%) + D(171.7m)/V(882.0m) * Rd(9.62%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.73 | Cagr: 17.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈60.8m ; Y1≈69.7m ; Y5≈102.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.62 (EV 1.54b - Net Debt 170.8m = Equity 1.37b / Shares 42.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.60 | EPS CAGR: -65.78% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.07 | Revenue CAGR: 8.39% | SUE: 1.76 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-40.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-92.2% | GrowthRev=+16.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=-35.81% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+691.7% | GrowthRev=-5.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)