W Stock Analysis: Wayfair | NYSE
Internet Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.868m USD | 12M Return: 25.7% | US94419L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 240M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 77.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Wayfair Inc. is a large-cap U-commerce retailer specializing in furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products, serving customers in the United States and international markets. The company operates a portfolio of branded sites, including Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional, and sells under owned labels such as Three Posts and Mercury Row.
As a pure-play online retailer within the Consumer Discretionary sector, Wayfair sells through its digital storefronts without a traditional brick-and-mortar footprint, distinguishing it from legacy home furnishings peers. Headquartered in Boston and founded in 2002, the company listed on the NYSE in 2014.
- Housing market weakness pressures home furnishings demand
- Adjusted EBITDA improvement signals path to profitability
- Competition from Amazon and Target pressures market share
| Net Income: -321.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.52% < 20% (prev -3.37%; Δ -1.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 665.0m > Net Income -321.0m |
| Net Debt (3.01b) to EBITDA (109.0m): 27.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (132.0m) vs 12m ago 2.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.05% > 18% (prev 30.27%; Δ -0.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 412.5% > 50% (prev 366.3%; Δ 46.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.16 > 6 (EBIT TTM -168.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 1.69b - Total Current Liabilities 2.27b) / Total Assets 2.98b |
| B: -1.66 (Retained Earnings -4.93b / Total Assets 2.98b) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -168.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.13b) |
| D: -0.48 (Book Value of Equity -2.79b / Total Liabilities 5.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -7.55 = D |
| DSRI: 1.56 (Receivables 184.0m/110.0m, Revenue 12.9b/12.0b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 30.27% / 30.05%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 12.9b / 12.0b) |
| TATA: -0.33 (NI -321.0m - CFO 665.0m) / TA 2.98b) |
| Beneish M = -2.49 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 104.47 with a total of 1,595,893 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.86%, over one month by +4.50%, over three months by +12.03% and over the past year by +25.69%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 92.70 (which is 11.3% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).
Wayfair has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy W.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 124 | 18.7% |
P/E Forward = 25.8398
P/S = 1.0747
P/B = 2679.4567
P/EG = 23.5004
Revenue TTM = 12.9b USD
EBIT TTM = -168.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 109.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.80b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 680.0m
Net Debt = 3.01b USD (calculated: Debt 4.16b - CCE 1.14b)
Enterprise Value = 16.9b USD (13.9b + Debt 4.16b - CCE 1.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.16 (Ebit TTM -168.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.52x (Enterprise Value 16.9b / FCF TTM 489.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.90% (FCF TTM 489.0m / Enterprise Value 16.9b)
FCF Margin = 3.79% (FCF TTM 489.0m / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Net Margin = -2.49% (Net Income TTM -321.0m / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Gross Margin = 30.05% ((Revenue TTM 12.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.95% (prev 30.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.67 (Enterprise Value 16.9b / Total Assets 2.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.49% (Interest Expense 145.0m / Debt 4.16b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -132.7m (EBIT -168.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 1.69b / Total Current Liabilities 2.27b)
Debt / Equity = -1.49 (negative equity) (Debt 4.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 27.65 (Net Debt 3.01b / EBITDA 109.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.16 (Net Debt 3.01b / FCF TTM 489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.26% (Net Income -321.0m / Total Assets 2.98b)
RoE = 11.48% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -321.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.79b)
RoCE = -8.40k% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -168.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.79b + L.T.Debt 2.80b))
RoIC = -127.9% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -132.7m / Invested Capital 103.8m)
WACC = 11.35% (E(13.9b)/V(18.0b) * Re(13.93%) + D(4.16b)/V(18.0b) * Rd(3.49%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.00 | Cagr: 4.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.89% ; FCFF base≈367.0m ; Y1≈420.7m ; Y5≈619.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.42 (EV 6.08b - Net Debt 3.01b = Equity 3.06b / Shares 116.0m; r=11.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.35 | Revenue CAGR: 2.48% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+0.48% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.90 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.88 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+34.0% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43% (up=15, down=5)