(W) Wayfair - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US94419L1017

Furniture, Décor, Housewares, Home Improvement

Stock: Homefurnishing Retail
Age 11.3y

MCap 14,988m
Avg Vol 2.53M (287M USD)

Beta 2.470
Volatility 62.06%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 91.10%
EPS Trend: 84.2%

Last SUE: -1.88
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -1.12%
Rev. Trend: -10.8%

Last SUE: 1.61
Qual. Beats: 2

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	62.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	95.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-6.15%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.41
Alpha	98.91
CAGR/Max DD	0.28

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.359
Beta	2.470
Beta Downside	2.293

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	71.49%
Mean DD	33.56%
Median DD	36.21%

Description: W Wayfair January 07, 2026

Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) operates a multi-brand e-commerce platform that sells furniture, décor, housewares, and home-improvement items across the United States and select international markets. Its portfolio includes consumer-facing sites such as Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional, as well as private-label lines like Three Posts and Mercury Row. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, and is classified under the Homefurnishing Retail sub-industry.

Key recent performance metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of approximately $10.3 billion, with a gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth of 13 % year-over-year, and an average order value of roughly $200. Despite strong top-line growth, the firm posted a net loss of about $1.2 billion, reflecting ongoing investment in marketing and logistics infrastructure.

Sector drivers that materially affect Wayfair’s outlook include the health of the U.S. housing market-new home starts and home-renovation spending are leading indicators of demand for its product mix-and broader consumer discretionary trends, which are sensitive to inflation and disposable-income pressures. Additionally, supply-chain resilience and last-mile delivery costs remain critical cost levers for the business.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, reviewing ValueRay’s detailed valuation models can help illuminate the upside potential and risk profile.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income: -325.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.22 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -4.71% < 20% (prev -3.01%; Δ -1.69% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 494.0m > Net Income -325.0m
Net Debt (2.43b) to EBITDA (105.0m): 23.18 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.74 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (130.0m) vs 12m ago 5.69% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.19% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 2989 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 374.9% > 50% (prev 346.9%; Δ 27.99% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 105.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m)

Altman Z'' -7.43

A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 2.25b) / Total Assets 3.12b
B: -1.51 (Retained Earnings -4.71b / Total Assets 3.12b)
C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -219.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.27b)
D: -0.81 (Book Value of Equity -4.74b / Total Liabilities 5.88b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -7.43 = D

Beneish M -3.32

DSRI: 0.81 (Receivables 129.0m/155.0m, Revenue 12.24b/11.84b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 30.19% / 30.20%)
AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 12.24b / 11.84b)
TATA: -0.26 (NI -325.0m - CFO 494.0m) / TA 3.12b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.26

1. Piotroski: 5.0pt
2. FCF Yield: 2.16%
3. FCF Margin: 3.18%
4. Debt/Equity: -1.30
5. Debt/Ebitda: 23.18
7. RoE: 11.76%
8. Revenue Trend: -10.77%
9. EPS Trend: 84.24%

What is the price of W shares?

As of January 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.78 with a total of 1,726,393 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.75%, over one month by +7.40%, over three months by +26.99% and over the past year by +124.32%.

Is W a buy, sell or hold?

Wayfair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.77. Therefor, it is recommend to hold W.

Strong Buy: 12
Buy: 5
Hold: 17
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the W price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	114.2	4%
Analysts Target Price	114.2	4%
ValueRay Target Price	122.1	11.2%

W Fundamental Data Overview January 21, 2026

P/E Forward = 39.6825
P/S = 1.2244
P/EG = 23.5004
Revenue TTM = 12.24b USD
EBIT TTM = -219.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 105.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 196.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.60b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.97b USD (14.99b + Debt 3.60b - CCE 622.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.26 (Ebit TTM -219.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.20x (Enterprise Value 17.97b / FCF TTM 389.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.16% (FCF TTM 389.0m / Enterprise Value 17.97b)
FCF Margin = 3.18% (FCF TTM 389.0m / Revenue TTM 12.24b)
Net Margin = -2.66% (Net Income TTM -325.0m / Revenue TTM 12.24b)
Gross Margin = 30.19% ((Revenue TTM 12.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.96% (prev 30.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.77 (Enterprise Value 17.97b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 31.0m / Debt 3.60b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -173.0m (EBIT -219.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 2.25b)
Debt / Equity = -1.30 (negative equity) (Debt 3.60b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 23.18 (Net Debt 2.43b / EBITDA 105.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.26 (Net Debt 2.43b / FCF TTM 389.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.95% (Net Income -325.0m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = 11.76% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -325.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.76b)
RoCE = 1485 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -219.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.76b + L.T.Debt 2.75b))
RoIC = -99.00% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -173.0m / Invested Capital 174.8m)
WACC = 12.24% (E(14.99b)/V(18.59b) * Re(15.02%) + D(3.60b)/V(18.59b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 53.82% ; FCFF base≈250.6m ; Y1≈164.5m ; Y5≈75.1m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 862.7m - Net Debt 2.43b = -1.57b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 84.24 | EPS CAGR: 91.10% | SUE: -1.88 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -10.77 | Revenue CAGR: -1.12% | SUE: 1.61 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+25.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%

Additional Sources for W Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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