(W) Wayfair - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Internet Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 8.041m USD | Total Return: 50.3% in 12m
Furniture, Home Decor, Housewares, Home Improvement, Textiles
Total Rating 26
Safety 18
Buy Signal -1.09
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: -0.5
Industry Rotation: -0.5
Market Cap:
8.04B
Avg Turnover: 226M
Avg Turnover: 226M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility75.3%
VaR 5th Pctl12.8%
VaR vs Median3.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.89
Rel. Str. IBD12.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group35.2
Character TTM
Beta2.480
Beta Downside2.967
Hurst Exponent0.502
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.49%
CAGR/Max DD0.26
CAGR/Mean DD0.59
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: 91.81%
EPS Trend: 84.9%
EPS Trend: 84.9%
Last SUE: -0.07
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -2.99%
Rev. Trend: 11.4%
Rev. Trend: 11.4%
Last SUE: 0.65
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Negative Equity with losses - insolvent profile
High Debt/EBITDA (12.8) with thin interest coverage (-0.6)
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.6 is critical
Altman Z'' -7.80 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: W Wayfair
Wayfair Inc. (W) is a Boston-based e-commerce retailer specializing in the furniture, home décor, and home improvement sectors. The company operates a multi-brand strategy through platforms including Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, and Perigold, while also managing proprietary brands such as Three Posts and Mercury Row.
The company utilizes a low-inventory, drop-ship business model, where the majority of orders are shipped directly from suppliers to consumers. This approach allows Wayfair to offer a vast selection of over 30 million products without the capital intensity of traditional brick-and-mortar furniture warehousing.
The home furnishing retail sector is highly fragmented and increasingly influenced by logistics efficiency and digital customer acquisition costs. You may find it useful to examine ValueRay for further data on these market trends.
- Interest rate shifts dictate consumer housing turnover and home improvement spending
- Logistics efficiency and advertising leverage determine path to sustained positive net income
- Active customer count and order frequency signal long-term platform scale viability
- Private label brand penetration improves gross margins versus third-party drop-ship models
- Competitive pricing pressure from discount retailers impacts market share and revenue growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
4.5
| Net Income: -305.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.85% < 20% (prev -3.29%; Δ -0.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 578.0m > Net Income -305.0m |
| Net Debt (2.63b) to EBITDA (206.0m): 12.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.0m) vs 12m ago 3.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.08% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 2.98k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 402.5% > 50% (prev 346.7%; Δ 55.89% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.63 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 206.0m / Interest Expense TTM 135.0m) |
Altman Z''
-7.80
| A: -0.17 (Total Current Assets 1.57b - Total Current Liabilities 2.06b) / Total Assets 2.87b |
| B: -1.72 (Retained Earnings -4.93b / Total Assets 2.87b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -85.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.14b) |
| D: -0.87 (Book Value of Equity -4.96b / Total Liabilities 5.71b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -7.80 = D |
Beneish M
-3.11
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 158.0m/140.0m, Revenue 12.66b/11.85b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 30.08% / 30.31%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 12.66b / 11.85b) |
| TATA: -0.31 (NI -305.0m - CFO 578.0m) / TA 2.87b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of W shares?
As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 58.22 with a total of 3,895,990 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.13%, over one month by -24.31%, over three months by -31.69% and over the past year by +50.25%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.13%, over one month by -24.31%, over three months by -31.69% and over the past year by +50.25%.
Is W a buy, sell or hold?
Wayfair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.77.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold W.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the W price?
| Analysts Target Price | 94.7 | 62.6% |
Wayfair (W) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 15 May 2026
P/E Forward = 24.2718 P/S = 0.6353
P/B = 2679.4567
P/EG = 23.5004
Revenue TTM = 12.66b USD
EBIT TTM = -85.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 206.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.93b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.61b USD (8.04b + Debt 3.63b - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.63 (Ebit TTM -85.0m / Interest Expense TTM 135.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.28x (Enterprise Value 10.61b / FCF TTM 456.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.30% (FCF TTM 456.0m / Enterprise Value 10.61b)
FCF Margin = 3.60% (FCF TTM 456.0m / Revenue TTM 12.66b)
Net Margin = -2.41% (Net Income TTM -305.0m / Revenue TTM 12.66b)
Gross Margin = 30.08% ((Revenue TTM 12.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.02% (prev 30.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.70 (Enterprise Value 10.61b / Total Assets 2.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 39.0m / Debt 3.63b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -67.2m (EBIT -85.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 1.57b / Total Current Liabilities 2.06b)
Debt / Equity = -1.28 (negative equity) (Debt 3.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.77 (Net Debt 2.63b / EBITDA 206.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.77 (Net Debt 2.63b / FCF TTM 456.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.70% (Net Income -305.0m / Total Assets 2.87b)
RoE = 10.98% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -305.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.78b)
RoCE = -55.46% (EBIT -85.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.78b + L.T.Debt 2.93b))
RoIC = -37.10% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -67.2m / Invested Capital 181.0m)
WACC = 10.39% (E(8.04b)/V(11.68b) * Re(14.71%) + D(3.63b)/V(11.68b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.88 | Cagr: 4.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 60.65% ; FCFF base≈343.6m ; Y1≈225.6m ; Y5≈103.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.45b - Net Debt 2.63b = -1.19b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 84.94 | EPS CAGR: 91.81% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.42 | Revenue CAGR: -2.99% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.89 | Chg30d=+1.67% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=-2.85% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.79 | Chg30d=-3.35% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.73 | Chg30d=+2.24% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=+33.8% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25%