W Stock Analysis: Wayfair | NYSE
Internet Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.143m USD | 12M Return: 37.9% | US94419L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 326M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 77.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Wayfair Inc. is a large-cap U-commerce retailer specializing in furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products, serving customers in the United States and international markets. The company operates a portfolio of branded sites, including Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional, and sells under owned labels such as Three Posts and Mercury Row.
As a pure-play online retailer within the Consumer Discretionary sector, Wayfair sells through its digital storefronts without a traditional brick-and-mortar footprint, distinguishing it from legacy home furnishings peers. Headquartered in Boston and founded in 2002, the company listed on the NYSE in 2014.
- Housing market weakness pressures home furnishings demand
- Adjusted EBITDA improvement signals path to profitability
- Competition from Amazon and Target pressures market share
| Net Income: -321.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.52% < 20% (prev -3.37%; Δ -1.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 665.0m > Net Income -321.0m |
| Net Debt (3.01b) to EBITDA (109.0m): 27.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (132.0m) vs 12m ago 2.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.05% > 18% (prev 30.27%; Δ -0.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 412.5% > 50% (prev 366.3%; Δ 46.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.16 > 6 (EBIT TTM -168.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 1.69b - Total Current Liabilities 2.27b) / Total Assets 2.98b |
| B: -1.66 (Retained Earnings -4.93b / Total Assets 2.98b) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -168.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.13b) |
| D: -0.48 (Book Value of Equity -2.79b / Total Liabilities 5.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -7.55 = D |
| DSRI: 1.56 (Receivables 184.0m/110.0m, Revenue 12.9b/12.0b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 30.27% / 30.05%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 12.9b / 12.0b) |
| TATA: -0.33 (NI -321.0m - CFO 665.0m) / TA 2.98b) |
| Beneish M = -2.49 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 102.94 with a total of 3,481,485 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.30%, over one month by +19.18%, over three months by +70.18% and over the past year by +37.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 88.50 (which is 14% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Wayfair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.77. Therefore, it is recommended to hold W.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 120 | 16.6% |
P/E Forward = 37.8788
P/S = 1.096
P/B = 2679.4567
P/EG = 23.5004
Revenue TTM = 12.9b USD
EBIT TTM = -168.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 109.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.80b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 680.0m
Net Debt = 3.01b USD (calculated: Debt 4.16b - CCE 1.14b)
Enterprise Value = 17.2b USD (14.1b + Debt 4.16b - CCE 1.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.16 (Ebit TTM -168.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.66x (Enterprise Value 17.2b / FCF TTM 495.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.89% (FCF TTM 495.0m / Enterprise Value 17.2b)
FCF Margin = 3.84% (FCF TTM 495.0m / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Net Margin = -2.49% (Net Income TTM -321.0m / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Gross Margin = 30.05% ((Revenue TTM 12.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.95% (prev 30.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.76 (Enterprise Value 17.2b / Total Assets 2.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.49% (Interest Expense 145.0m / Debt 4.16b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -132.7m (EBIT -168.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 1.69b / Total Current Liabilities 2.27b)
Debt / Equity = -1.49 (negative equity) (Debt 4.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 27.65 (Net Debt 3.01b / EBITDA 109.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.09 (Net Debt 3.01b / FCF TTM 495.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.26% (Net Income -321.0m / Total Assets 2.98b)
RoE = 11.48% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -321.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.79b)
RoCE = -8.40k% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -168.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.79b + L.T.Debt 2.80b))
RoIC = -127.9% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -132.7m / Invested Capital 103.8m)
WACC = 11.72% (E(14.1b)/V(18.3b) * Re(14.36%) + D(4.16b)/V(18.3b) * Rd(3.49%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.00 | Cagr: 4.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.86% ; FCFF base≈370.6m ; Y1≈424.8m ; Y5≈625.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.72 (EV 5.88b - Net Debt 3.01b = Equity 2.87b / Shares 116.0m; r=11.72% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.35 | Revenue CAGR: 2.48% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+5.95% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.87 | Chg30d=+2.73% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+10.5% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.83 | Chg30d=+2.92% | Revisions=-12% | GrowthEPS=+33.3% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +13% (up=7, down=5)