(W) Wayfair - Ratings and Ratios
Furniture, Decor, Housewares, Home Improvement
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 63.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 98.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.51 |
| Alpha | 126.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 2.491 |
| Beta Downside | 2.305 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.49% |
| Mean DD | 33.66% |
| Median DD | 36.21% |
Description: W Wayfair November 04, 2025
Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) operates a multi-brand e-commerce platform that sells furniture, décor, housewares, and home-improvement items across the United States and internationally. Its portfolio includes consumer-facing sites such as Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional, as well as private-label lines like Three Posts and Mercury Row. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Boston, the company is classified under the Homefurnishing Retail sub-industry.
Key recent metrics: Wayfair reported FY 2024 net revenue of $12.8 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase driven by a 15% rise in average order value and continued growth in its B2B “Wayfair Professional” segment, which now accounts for roughly 12% of total sales. The home-goods sector remains sensitive to discretionary spending trends; the latest consumer confidence index and housing market activity are primary macro drivers of demand. Additionally, Wayfair’s logistics spend as a percentage of revenue has been falling, now under 7%, indicating improving fulfillment efficiency.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Wayfair’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the detailed metrics and scenario models available on ValueRay.
W Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,973m |
| Sub-Industry | Homefurnishing Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 2014-10-02 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 98.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.77 of 5 |
W Dividends
Currently no dividends paidW Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 44.66% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.62 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.33 |
| Current Volume | 2380.7k |
| Average Volume | 3443.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (-325.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 734.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.71% (prev -3.01%; Δ -1.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 494.0m > Net Income -325.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.43b) to EBITDA (105.0m) ratio: 23.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (130.0m) change vs 12m ago 5.69% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.19% (prev 30.20%; Δ -0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 374.9% (prev 346.9%; Δ 27.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.26 (EBITDA TTM 105.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.43
| (A) -0.18 = (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 2.25b) / Total Assets 3.12b |
| (B) -1.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.71b / Total Assets 3.12b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.51 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.07 = EBIT TTM -219.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.27b |
| (D) -0.81 = Book Value of Equity -4.74b / Total Liabilities 5.88b |
| Total Rating: -7.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.96
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.53% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.18% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 23.18 |
| 7. RoE 11.76% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.86% |
| 9. EPS Trend 77.48% |
What is the price of W shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.59%, over one month by +27.00%, over three months by +49.90% and over the past year by +127.45%.
Is W a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the W price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 114 | 3.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 114 | 3.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 108.4 | -1.3% |
W Fundamental Data Overview November 19, 2025
P/E Forward = 35.9712
P/S = 1.0598
P/EG = 23.5004
Beta = 3.268
Revenue TTM = 12.24b USD
EBIT TTM = -219.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 105.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 410.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.60b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.35b USD (12.97b + Debt 3.60b - CCE 1.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.26 (Ebit TTM -219.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.53% (FCF TTM 389.0m / Enterprise Value 15.35b)
FCF Margin = 3.18% (FCF TTM 389.0m / Revenue TTM 12.24b)
Net Margin = -2.66% (Net Income TTM -325.0m / Revenue TTM 12.24b)
Gross Margin = 30.19% ((Revenue TTM 12.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.96% (prev 30.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.93 (Enterprise Value 15.35b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 31.0m / Debt 3.60b)
Taxrate = -2.06% (negative due to tax credits) (2.00m / -97.0m)
NOPAT = -223.5m (EBIT -219.0m * (1 - -2.06%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 2.25b)
Debt / Equity = -1.30 (negative equity) (Debt 3.60b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 23.18 (Net Debt 2.43b / EBITDA 105.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.26 (Net Debt 2.43b / FCF TTM 389.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.43% (Net Income -325.0m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = 11.76% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -325.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.76b)
RoCE = 1485 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -219.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.76b + L.T.Debt 2.75b))
RoIC = -127.9% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -223.5m / Invested Capital 174.8m)
WACC = 12.09% (E(12.97b)/V(16.58b) * Re(15.20%) + D(3.60b)/V(16.58b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 15.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 45.49% ; FCFE base≈250.6m ; Y1≈164.5m ; Y5≈75.2m
Fair Price DCF = 6.44 (DCF Value 688.2m / Shares Outstanding 106.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 77.48 | EPS CAGR: 404.3% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 13.86 | Revenue CAGR: 0.19% | SUE: 1.61 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for W Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle