W Stock Analysis: Wayfair | NYSE
Internet Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 15.463m USD | 12M Return: 3.5% | US94419L1017 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 250M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 85.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Wayfair Inc. is a large-cap U-commerce retailer specializing in furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products, serving customers in the United States and international markets. The company operates a portfolio of branded sites, including Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional, and sells under owned labels such as Three Posts and Mercury Row.
As a pure-play online retailer within the Consumer Discretionary sector, Wayfair sells through its digital storefronts without a traditional brick-and-mortar footprint, distinguishing it from legacy home furnishings peers. Headquartered in Boston and founded in 2002, the company listed on the NYSE in 2014.
- Housing market weakness pressures home furnishings demand
- Adjusted EBITDA improvement signals path to profitability
- Competition from Amazon and Target pressures market share
| Net Income: -160.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.22% < 20% (prev -4.71%; Δ -1.51% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 708.0m > Net Income -160.0m |
| Net Debt (3.02b) to EBITDA (271.0m): 11.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.0m) vs 12m ago 6.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.95% > 18% (prev 30.19%; Δ -0.24% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 421.5% > 50% (prev 392.8%; Δ 28.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.03 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.00m / Interest Expense TTM 156.0m) |
| A: -0.26 (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 2.50b) / Total Assets 3.15b |
| B: -1.54 (Retained Earnings -4.87b / Total Assets 3.15b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 5.00m / Avg Total Assets 3.13b) |
| D: -0.47 (Book Value of Equity -2.80b / Total Liabilities 5.96b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -7.23 = D |
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 165.0m/129.0m, Revenue 13.2b/12.2b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 30.19% / 29.95%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 13.2b / 12.2b) |
| TATA: -0.28 (NI -160.0m - CFO 708.0m) / TA 3.15b) |
| Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 114.43 with a total of 1,355,543 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.39%, over one month by +7.81%, over three months by +10.88% and over the past year by +3.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 103.00 (which is 10% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Wayfair has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.03. Therefore, it is recommended to buy W.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 125.4 | 9.6% |
P/E Forward = 28.9017
P/S = 1.1708
P/B = 2679.4567
P/EG = 23.5004
Revenue TTM = 13.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 271.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 39.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 680.0m
Net Debt = 3.02b USD (calculated: Debt 4.12b - CCE 1.10b)
Enterprise Value = 18.5b USD (15.5b + Debt 4.12b - CCE 1.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.03 (Ebit TTM 5.00m / Interest Expense TTM 156.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.74x (Enterprise Value 18.5b / FCF TTM 532.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.88% (FCF TTM 532.0m / Enterprise Value 18.5b)
FCF Margin = 4.03% (FCF TTM 532.0m / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Net Margin = -1.21% (Net Income TTM -160.0m / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Gross Margin = 29.95% ((Revenue TTM 13.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.59% (prev 29.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.86 (Enterprise Value 18.5b / Total Assets 3.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.79% (Interest Expense 156.0m / Debt 4.12b)
Taxrate = 4.62% (3.00m / 65.0m)
NOPAT = 4.77m (EBIT 5.00m * (1 - 4.62%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 2.50b)
Debt / Equity = -1.47 (negative equity) (Debt 4.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.14 (Net Debt 3.02b / EBITDA 271.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.67 (Net Debt 3.02b / FCF TTM 532.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.80b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.11% (Net Income -160.0m / Total Assets 3.15b)
RoE = 5.71% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -160.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.80b)
RoCE = 1.17% (EBIT 5.00m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.80b + L.T.Debt 3.23b))
RoIC = 14.17% (NOPAT 4.77m / Invested Capital 33.6m)
WACC = 11.25% (E(15.5b)/V(19.6b) * Re(13.28%) + D(4.12b)/V(19.6b) * Rd(3.79%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 13.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.12 | Cagr: 5.63%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.19% ; FCFF base≈433.6m ; Y1≈497.0m ; Y5≈731.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.85 (EV 7.27b - Net Debt 3.02b = Equity 4.25b / Shares 115.4m; r=11.25% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.60% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-0.17% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=+0.66% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+12.2% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.90 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+33.8% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +74% (up=15, down=1)