(WELL) Welltower - Overview
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: REIT - Healthcare Facilities | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 155.400m USD | Total Return: 44.1% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +13.6
Avg Turnover: 608M
EPS Trend: 81.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
P/E ratio 106.3
High Debt/EBITDA (5.8) with thin interest coverage (0.5)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.5 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.30 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Welltower Inc. (NYSE: WELL) is an S&P 500 real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in senior housing and wellness infrastructure across the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada. The company manages a portfolio of over 2,000 properties, utilizing a proprietary data science platform and the Welltower Business System to optimize capital allocation and operational performance.
Operating within the Health Care REIT sector, Welltower utilizes the Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) model, which allows the company to participate directly in the propertys net operating income rather than relying solely on fixed rent payments. This business model leverages the silver economy, a sector driven by the demographic shift of aging populations in developed markets requiring specialized rental housing and hospitality services.
Investors can further evaluate the companys long-term compounding potential by reviewing the latest valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Incorporated in 1970, Welltower functions as an operating company within a real estate framework, focusing on high-barrier-to-entry micro-markets. The firm prioritizes strategic partnerships to drive per-share growth and portfolio scaling within the intersection of healthcare and residential real estate.
- Aging population demographics drive occupancy growth in senior housing operating portfolios
- Rising labor costs and healthcare staffing shortages pressure property level operating margins
- Data science driven capital allocation optimizes yields across high barrier to entry markets
- Interest rate fluctuations impact financing costs and valuation of long term real estate assets
- Strategic partnerships with health systems enhance revenue per occupied room in wellness communities
| Net Income: 1.41b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 43.73% < 20% (prev 65.28%; Δ -21.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 2.95b > Net Income 1.41b |
| Net Debt (15.28b) to EBITDA (2.64b): 5.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (726.3m) vs 12m ago 11.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.87% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 19.22% > 50% (prev 15.78%; Δ 3.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.64b / Interest Expense TTM 699.7m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 7.37b - Total Current Liabilities 2.31b) / Total Assets 67.22b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -8.96b / Total Assets 67.22b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 366.2m / Avg Total Assets 60.26b) |
| D: -0.39 (Book Value of Equity -8.59b / Total Liabilities 22.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.30 = B |
| DSRI: 0.52 (Receivables 2.55b/3.58b, Revenue 11.58b/8.41b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 38.87% / 38.23%) |
| AQI: 0.10 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.84) |
| SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 11.58b / 8.41b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.41b - CFO 2.95b) / TA 67.22b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.72 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.07%, over one month by +1.88%, over three months by -0.12% and over the past year by +44.06%.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 233 | 9% |
P/E Forward = 72.9927
P/S = 13.2066
P/B = 3.4596
P/EG = 3.6218
Revenue TTM = 11.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 366.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.64b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.93b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 19.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.28b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 170.68b USD (155.40b + Debt 19.98b - CCE 4.70b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.52 (Ebit TTM 366.2m / Interest Expense TTM 699.7m)
EV/FCF = 67.14x (Enterprise Value 170.68b / FCF TTM 2.54b)
FCF Yield = 1.49% (FCF TTM 2.54b / Enterprise Value 170.68b)
FCF Margin = 21.94% (FCF TTM 2.54b / Revenue TTM 11.58b)
Net Margin = 12.15% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Revenue TTM 11.58b)
Gross Margin = 38.87% ((Revenue TTM 11.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.08b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.82% (prev 38.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 170.68b / Total Assets 67.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 192.7m / Debt 19.98b)
Taxrate = 1.52% (11.6m / 764.0m)
NOPAT = 360.6m (EBIT 366.2m * (1 - 1.52%))
Current Ratio = 3.20 (Total Current Assets 7.37b / Total Current Liabilities 2.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 19.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 43.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.79 (Net Debt 15.28b / EBITDA 2.64b)
Debt / FCF = 6.01 (Net Debt 15.28b / FCF TTM 2.54b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 40.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.34% (Net Income 1.41b / Total Assets 67.22b)
RoE = 3.51% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Total Stockholder Equity 40.15b)
RoCE = 0.63% (EBIT 366.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 40.15b + L.T.Debt 17.93b))
RoIC = 0.63% (NOPAT 360.6m / Invested Capital 57.63b)
WACC = 5.50% (E(155.40b)/V(175.38b) * Re(6.09%) + D(19.98b)/V(175.38b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 6.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 12.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈2.48b ; Y1≈3.06b ; Y5≈5.22b
[DCF] Fair Price = 193.1 (EV 151.57b - Net Debt 15.28b = Equity 136.29b / Shares 705.9m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 81.83 | EPS CAGR: 30.77% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.51 | Revenue CAGR: 25.54% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=-8.80% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.65 | Chg30d=-6.25% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.97 | Chg30d=+20.24% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+117.2% | GrowthRev=+29.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=+1.22% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+12.1% | GrowthRev=+13.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%