Overview Dividends

(WFG) West Fraser Timber - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA9528451052

Lumber, Engineered Panels, Pulp, Newsprint, Bioenergy

WFG EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -62.20%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 0.9%

WFG Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.80%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -71.3%

Description: WFG West Fraser Timber November 05, 2025

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (NYSE: WFG) is a vertically integrated forest products company that manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of lumber, engineered wood, pulp, and bioproducts. Its product mix includes spruce-pine-fir, Douglas-fir-larch, and southern yellow-pine lumber, as well as MDF, OSB, LVL, and a range of bleached softwood and thermo-mechanical pulps used in paper, tissue, and packaging applications. The company serves residential builders, remodelers, retail chains, and industrial customers across North America, Europe, and other international markets.

Key operational metrics from the latest reporting period (Q2 2024) show adjusted EBITDA of roughly $274 million, a 12 % year-over-year increase, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.1×, indicating moderate leverage. Production volumes remain robust, with approximately 10 billion board feet of lumber and 1.8 million tonnes of pulp generated annually, positioning West Fraser among the top three North-American producers. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to housing-starts trends and lumber price spreads; a 5 % decline in U.S. housing starts historically translates to a 3 % dip in West Fraser’s revenue, while higher interest rates compress consumer financing and can depress demand for new construction.

For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore West Fraser’s metrics on ValueRay to see how its valuation stacks up against peers.

WFG Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	4,724m
Sub-Industry	Forest Products
IPO / Inception	2007-07-13

WFG Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-47.7%
Fundamental	36.0%
Dividend Rating	70.6%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-46.8%
Analyst Rating	4.29 of 5

WFG Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.21%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.65%
Annual Growth 5y	20.18%
Payout Consistency	97.1%
Payout Ratio	72.2%

WFG Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-83.8%
Growth Correlation 12m	-88.6%
Growth Correlation 5y	23.8%
CAGR 5y	-8.13%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.19
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.55
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-1.17
Alpha	-60.96
Beta	1.308
Volatility	28.67%
Current Volume	240.1k
Average Volume 20d	229.2k
Stop Loss	55.9 (-3.5%)
Signal	-0.17

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (-246.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 342.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 18.01% (prev 15.91%; Δ 2.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 454.2m > Net Income -246.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-222.8m) to EBITDA (273.4m) ratio: -0.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (78.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 13.84% (prev 13.89%; Δ -0.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 64.13% (prev 69.04%; Δ -4.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -9.91 (EBITDA TTM 273.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.80

(A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 1.77b - Total Current Liabilities 740.3m) / Total Assets 8.58b

(B) 0.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.40b / Total Assets 8.58b

(D) 3.37 = Book Value of Equity 6.62b / Total Liabilities 1.96b

Total Rating: 5.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.99

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 0.56% = 0.28

3. FCF Margin 0.44% = 0.11

4. Debt/Equity 0.05 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.81 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.11)% = -12.50

7. RoE -3.59% = -0.60

8. Rev. Trend -71.30% = -5.35

9. EPS Trend 0.88% = 0.04

What is the price of WFG shares?

As of November 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 57.91 with a total of 240,100 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.70%, over one month by -17.88%, over three months by -18.90% and over the past year by -36.75%.

Is West Fraser Timber a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, West Fraser Timber (NYSE:WFG) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 35.99 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of WFG is around 43.99 USD . This means that WFG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -24.04%.

Is WFG a buy, sell or hold?

West Fraser Timber has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WFG.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 5
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WFG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	88.3	52.5%
Analysts Target Price	88.3	52.5%
ValueRay Target Price	49.9	-13.9%

WFG Fundamental Data Overview November 05, 2025

Market Cap USD = 4.72b (4.72b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 36.63
P/S = 0.8284
P/B = 0.7809
Beta = 1.308
Revenue TTM = 5.71b USD
EBIT TTM = -266.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 273.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 300.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 210.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 322.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -222.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.50b USD (4.72b + Debt 322.7m - CCE 545.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.91 (Ebit TTM -266.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.56% (FCF TTM 25.4m / Enterprise Value 4.50b)
FCF Margin = 0.44% (FCF TTM 25.4m / Revenue TTM 5.71b)
Net Margin = -4.31% (Net Income TTM -246.1m / Revenue TTM 5.71b)
Gross Margin = 13.84% ((Revenue TTM 5.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -9.49% (prev 2.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 4.50b / Total Assets 8.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.90% (Interest Expense 15.8m / Debt 322.7m)
Taxrate = 26.35% (-72.2m / -273.9m)
NOPAT = -196.2m (EBIT -266.4m * (1 - 26.35%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.39 (Total Current Assets 1.77b / Total Current Liabilities 740.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 322.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.81 (Net Debt -222.8m / EBITDA 273.4m)
Debt / FCF = -8.79 (Net Debt -222.8m / FCF TTM 25.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.87% (Net Income -246.1m / Total Assets 8.58b)
RoE = -3.59% (Net Income TTM -246.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.86b)
RoCE = -3.72% (EBIT -266.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.86b + L.T.Debt 300.0m))
RoIC = -2.74% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -196.2m / Invested Capital 7.16b)
WACC = 10.37% (E(4.72b)/V(5.05b) * Re(10.83%) + D(322.7m)/V(5.05b) * Rd(4.90%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.02% ; FCFE base≈18.1m ; Y1≈11.9m ; Y5≈5.44m
Fair Price DCF = 0.95 (DCF Value 72.5m / Shares Outstanding 76.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 0.88 | EPS CAGR: -62.20% | SUE: -1.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.30 | Revenue CAGR: -7.80% | SUE: -0.89 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for WFG Stock

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