(WFG) West Fraser Timber - Ratings and Ratios
Lumber, Panels, Pulp, Energy
WFG EPS (Earnings per Share)
WFG Revenue
Description: WFG West Fraser Timber
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd (NYSE:WFG) is a diversified wood products company with a broad portfolio of products, including lumber, engineered wood products, pulp, newsprint, and bioproducts. The companys products cater to various industries such as home construction, repair and remodeling, paper production, and industrial applications.
From a business perspective, West Frasers product diversification and global reach are key strengths. The company sells its products to major retail chains, contractor supply yards, and wholesalers across Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and other international markets. This diversified customer base and geographic presence help mitigate risks associated with regional market fluctuations.
To further analyze West Frasers performance, we can look at key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and return on capital employed (ROCE). While the provided data does not include these metrics, a review of the companys financial statements would be necessary to assess its operational efficiency and profitability. Given the companys P/E Forward multiple of 63.29, investors may be pricing in high expectations for future earnings growth. Additionally, the current Return on Equity (RoE) of 0.03 suggests that the companys profitability is currently low.
From a valuation perspective, the current market capitalization of $5.73 billion USD and the forward P/E multiple indicate that investors are expecting significant growth from West Fraser. To justify this valuation, the company would need to demonstrate strong revenue growth, expanding margins, and effective capital allocation. A closer examination of the companys financials and industry trends would be necessary to determine if the current valuation is justified.
WFG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,957m |
| Sub-Industry | Forest Products |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-07-13 |
WFG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -25.6% |
| Fundamental | 49.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -29.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.29 of 5 |
WFG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.47% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 15.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 72.2% |
WFG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -15% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -88.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 37.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -0.53% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.04 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.38 |
| Alpha | -33.29 |
| Beta | 0.981 |
| Volatility | 28.49% |
| Current Volume | 142.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 211.4k |
| Stop Loss | 72.7 (-3.7%) |
| Signal | -0.70 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-127.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 351.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 21.62% (prev 20.21%; Δ 1.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 548.5m > Net Income -127.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-317.7m) to EBITDA (433.9m) ratio: -0.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (79.2m) change vs 12m ago -2.77% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.83% (prev 16.52%; Δ 5.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.62% (prev 71.15%; Δ -6.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -6.11 (EBITDA TTM 433.9m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.47
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 1.94b - Total Current Liabilities 670.5m) / Total Assets 8.79b |
| (B) 0.53 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.66b / Total Assets 8.79b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -110.3m / Avg Total Assets 9.07b |
| (D) 3.69 = Book Value of Equity 6.91b / Total Liabilities 1.87b |
| Total Rating: 6.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.56
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.77% = 0.88 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.75% = 0.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.07 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.15 = 1.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC data missing |
| 7. RoE -1.82% = -0.30 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -70.24% = -3.51 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -10.12% = -1.69 |
| 10. EPS Trend -11.91% = -0.30 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of WFG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.94%, over one month by +0.83%, over three months by +1.63% and over the past year by -16.53%.
Is West Fraser Timber a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of WFG is around 66.31 USD . This means that WFG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.2%.
Is WFG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WFG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93.7 | 24% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93.7 | 24% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 74.7 | -1.1% |
Last update: 2025-09-15 04:47
WFG Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 647.4m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 40.8163
P/S = 1.0214
P/B = 0.8635
Beta = 1.402
Revenue TTM = 5.86b USD
EBIT TTM = -110.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 433.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 300.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 200.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 500.0m USD (Calculated: Short Term 200.0m + Long Term 300.0m)
Net Debt = -317.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.81b USD (5.96b + Debt 500.0m - CCE 647.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -6.11 (Ebit TTM -110.3m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.77% (FCF TTM 102.7m / Enterprise Value 5.81b)
FCF Margin = 1.75% (FCF TTM 102.7m / Revenue TTM 5.86b)
Net Margin = -2.17% (Net Income TTM -127.4m / Revenue TTM 5.86b)
Gross Margin = 21.83% ((Revenue TTM 5.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 5.81b / Book Value Of Equity 6.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 4.07m / Debt 500.0m)
Taxrate = 113.2% (set to none) (43.0m / 38.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 1.94b / Total Current Liabilities 670.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 500.0m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 6.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt -317.7m / EBITDA 433.9m)
Debt / FCF = 4.87 (Debt 500.0m / FCF TTM 102.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.98b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -1.45% (Net Income -127.4m, Total Assets 8.79b )
RoE = -1.82% (Net Income TTM -127.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.98b)
RoCE = -1.51% (Ebit -110.3m / (Equity 6.98b + L.T.Debt 300.0m))
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT none, Invested Capital 7.28b, Ebit -110.3m)
WACC = unknown (E(5.96b)/V(6.46b) * Re(9.63%)) + (D(500.0m)/V(6.46b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -80.92 | Cagr: -0.78%
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.64% ; FCFE base≈143.3m ; Y1≈94.1m ; Y5≈43.0m
Fair Price DCF = 8.66 (DCF Value 663.5m / Shares Outstanding 76.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -70.24 | Revenue CAGR: -10.12%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -1.88
EPS Correlation: -11.91 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -176.3
Additional Sources for WFG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle