(WLKP) Westlake Chemical Partners - Ratings and Ratios
Ethylene, Propylene, Crude Butadiene, Pyrolysis Gasoline, Hydrogen
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 9.83% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 13.07% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 134.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 25.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.95 |
| Alpha | -20.46 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.515 |
| Beta | 0.350 |
| Beta Downside | 0.291 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.78% |
| Mean DD | 6.77% |
| Median DD | 6.10% |
Description: WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners December 01, 2025
Westlake Chemical Partners LP (NYSE:WLKP) is a publicly-listed master limited partnership that owns, develops, and operates ethylene production facilities in the United States. Its core asset base converts ethane-primarily sourced from domestic shale gas-into ethylene, while also marketing co-products such as propylene, crude butadiene, pyrolysis gasoline, and hydrogen on a spot or contract basis.
Key operating metrics (as of FY 2023) include roughly 1.5 million metric tons of ethylene capacity, an EBITDA of about $1.2 billion, and a debt-to-EBITDA leverage of ~2.5×. The partnership’s cash-flow generation is highly sensitive to ethane feedstock pricing, which has trended lower since 2022 due to oversupply in the U.S. natural-gas market, and to ethylene price spreads that are driven by global demand for packaging and construction materials.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect WLKP’s outlook are (1) the U.S. shale gas boom, which keeps ethane feedstock costs among the lowest globally; (2) cyclical demand for downstream polymers, especially in the packaging and automotive sectors; and (3) the ongoing shift toward higher-value specialty chemicals, which can improve margin resilience if WLKP successfully expands its co-product slate.
Assuming ethane prices remain below $5 /MMBtu and ethylene spot prices stay in the $1.30-$1.45 / lb range, WLKP’s adjusted EPS could sustain its current $2.5 billion net debt level without material refinancing risk; however, a sustained drop in ethylene spreads would quickly erode cash flow, so monitoring the U.S. Gulf Coast ethylene-propylene differential is essential.
For a deeper dive into WLKP’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, check the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (49.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 68.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -15.37pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.68% (prev 16.47%; Δ -9.79pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 292.6m > Net Income 49.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (361.7m) to EBITDA (388.9m) ratio: 0.93 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.84% (prev 36.83%; Δ -5.99pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.35% (prev 88.29%; Δ 0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.83 (EBITDA TTM 388.9m / Interest Expense TTM 46.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.97
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 20.66% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.79 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.93 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 39.94)% |
| 7. RoE 9.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -67.99% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.13% |
What is the price of WLKP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.05%, over one month by +5.33%, over three months by -10.21% and over the past year by -13.02%.
Is WLKP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WLKP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.5 | 33.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25.5 | 33.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19.8 | 3.2% |
WLKP Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 13.2734
P/E Forward = 12.0048
P/S = 0.5736
P/B = 2.4614
P/EG = 0.23
Beta = 0.593
Revenue TTM = 1.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 314.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 388.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 399.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 399.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 361.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.01b USD (650.3m + Debt 399.7m - CCE 37.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.83 (Ebit TTM 314.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.0m)
FCF Yield = 20.66% (FCF TTM 209.1m / Enterprise Value 1.01b)
FCF Margin = 18.44% (FCF TTM 209.1m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = 4.34% (Net Income TTM 49.2m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 30.84% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 784.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.19% (prev 32.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 1.01b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.21% (Interest Expense 28.8m / Debt 399.7m)
Taxrate = 0.05% (42.0k / 86.3m)
NOPAT = 314.2m (EBIT 314.3m * (1 - 0.05%))
Current Ratio = 2.37 (Total Current Assets 130.9m / Total Current Liabilities 55.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 399.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 503.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 361.7m / EBITDA 388.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.73 (Net Debt 361.7m / FCF TTM 209.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 508.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.87% (Net Income 49.2m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 9.67% (Net Income TTM 49.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 508.5m)
RoCE = 34.61% (EBIT 314.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 508.5m + L.T.Debt 399.7m))
RoIC = 47.21% (NOPAT 314.2m / Invested Capital 665.6m)
WACC = 7.27% (E(650.3m)/V(1.05b) * Re(7.30%) + D(399.7m)/V(1.05b) * Rd(7.21%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 7.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.35% ; FCFE base≈290.2m ; Y1≈291.4m ; Y5≈311.7m
Fair Price DCF = 156.3 (DCF Value 5.51b / Shares Outstanding 35.2m; 5y FCF grow -0.09% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.13 | EPS CAGR: -16.88% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -67.99 | Revenue CAGR: -1.78% | SUE: 2.49 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.96 | Chg30d=-0.044 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+44.9% | Growth Revenue=+14.0%
Additional Sources for WLKP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle