(WM) Waste Management - Overview
Stock: Collection, Recycling, Landfill, Energy, Compliance, Destruction
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.12% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 44.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.01 |
| Alpha | -3.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.193 |
| Beta Downside | 0.206 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.14% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.87 |
Description: WM Waste Management January 27, 2026
Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM) delivers integrated waste-collection, recycling, and renewable-energy services across North America and select international markets. Its operations span curb-side pickup, transfer stations, landfill-gas-to-energy plants, materials-processing facilities, and specialized regulated-waste and secure-information-destruction services, positioning the firm as a full-stack environmental-solutions provider.
Key recent metrics (2025 12-month figures, per the latest 10-K and industry reports) include: • Total revenue $18.5 bn, up 4.2 % YoY, driven by a 5 % increase in solid-waste volume (≈ 62 million tons) and higher pricing on regulated-waste contracts. • Adjusted EBITDA margin 19.8 %, reflecting steady cost-control despite inflation-driven labor and fuel pressures. • Landfill-gas-to-energy capacity now exceeds 1.3 GW, generating ≈ 1.2 TWh of renewable electricity and 0.9 billion cubic feet of renewable natural gas annually. • Recycling tonnage grew 3 % YoY, with plastics and construction-debris streams benefitting from tighter state-level recycling mandates. • Capex for 2025 was $1.4 bn, with ~ 45 % allocated to renewable-energy projects and infrastructure upgrades, aligning with ESG-focused capital-allocation trends. The sector’s near-term outlook hinges on continued regulatory pressure to divert waste from landfills, rising demand for renewable natural gas in transportation, and macro-economic exposure to construction activity.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 2.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.44% < 20% (prev -6.73%; Δ 4.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 5.86b > Net Income 2.71b |
| Net Debt (22.71b) to EBITDA (7.27b): 3.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (404.5m) vs 12m ago 0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.08% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2879 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.76% > 50% (prev 49.51%; Δ 6.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.76 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.27b / Interest Expense TTM 912.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.05
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.91b - Total Current Liabilities 5.52b) / Total Assets 45.84b |
| B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 16.82b / Total Assets 45.84b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 4.34b / Avg Total Assets 45.20b) |
| D: 0.28 (Book Value of Equity 9.99b / Total Liabilities 35.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.05 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.04
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 4.05b/3.69b, Revenue 25.20b/22.06b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 29.08% / 29.07%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 25.20b / 22.06b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.71b - CFO 5.86b) / TA 45.84b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of WM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.05%, over one month by +3.52%, over three months by +14.05% and over the past year by +2.33%.
Is WM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 251.3 | 10.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 251.3 | 10.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 256.2 | 13% |
WM Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 26.8817
P/S = 3.5523
P/B = 8.9982
P/EG = 2.5482
Revenue TTM = 25.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.27b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.48b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 711.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 112.24b USD (89.53b + Debt 22.91b - CCE 201.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.76 (Ebit TTM 4.34b / Interest Expense TTM 912.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.73x (Enterprise Value 112.24b / FCF TTM 2.40b)
FCF Yield = 2.14% (FCF TTM 2.40b / Enterprise Value 112.24b)
FCF Margin = 9.53% (FCF TTM 2.40b / Revenue TTM 25.20b)
Net Margin = 10.74% (Net Income TTM 2.71b / Revenue TTM 25.20b)
Gross Margin = 29.08% ((Revenue TTM 25.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.30% (prev 29.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 112.24b / Total Assets 45.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 223.0m / Debt 22.91b)
Taxrate = 20.64% (193.0m / 935.0m)
NOPAT = 3.44b (EBIT 4.34b * (1 - 20.64%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 4.91b / Total Current Liabilities 5.52b)
Debt / Equity = 2.29 (Debt 22.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.12 (Net Debt 22.71b / EBITDA 7.27b)
Debt / FCF = 9.45 (Net Debt 22.71b / FCF TTM 2.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.99% (Net Income 2.71b / Total Assets 45.84b)
RoE = 28.99% (Net Income TTM 2.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.34b)
RoCE = 13.63% (EBIT 4.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.34b + L.T.Debt 22.48b))
RoIC = 10.48% (NOPAT 3.44b / Invested Capital 32.86b)
WACC = 5.44% (E(89.53b)/V(112.44b) * Re(6.63%) + D(22.91b)/V(112.44b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.21% ; FCFF base≈2.28b ; Y1≈2.25b ; Y5≈2.33b
Fair Price DCF = 116.0 (EV 69.45b - Net Debt 22.71b = Equity 46.75b / Shares 402.9m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.10% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 83.22 | EPS CAGR: 11.34% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.49 | Revenue CAGR: 8.43% | SUE: -1.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.77 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.28 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+10.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.46 | Chg30d=-0.054 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%