(WMT) Walmart - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Consumables, Health, Home, Electronics
WMT EPS (Earnings per Share)
WMT Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.9% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.76 |
| Alpha Jensen | 12.65 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.597 |
| Beta | 0.649 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.93% |
| Mean DD | 3.73% |
Description: WMT Walmart September 24, 2025
Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) operates a global network of retail and wholesale formats-including supercenters, discount stores, neighborhood markets, and Sam’s Club warehouse clubs-alongside a suite of e-commerce sites such as walmart.com, walmart.ca, Flipkart, and PhonePe. The business is organized into three reporting segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club.
The company’s merchandise breadth spans grocery (dry goods, fresh produce, dairy, meat, bakery, and beverages), health and wellness (pharmacy, optical, hearing, OTC drugs, and nutrition products), and a wide array of hard-goods (home improvement, electronics, apparel, toys, and furniture). It also provides ancillary services like digital payments, money-transfer and bill-pay solutions, co-branded credit cards, and installment lending.
Key performance indicators that investors watch include same-store sales growth (comparable store sales), which for FY 2024 was +2.6% in the U.S. segment, and e-commerce sales, now representing roughly 13% of total revenue and growing at double-digit rates year-over-year. Walmart’s operating cash flow consistently exceeds $30 billion annually, underpinning its $15 billion share-repurchase program and dividend sustainability.
Macro-economic drivers critical to Walmart’s outlook are consumer discretionary spending trends, inflation-adjusted food price dynamics, and the pace of wage growth in its core markets. A sector-wide shift toward omnichannel retail-accelerated by pandemic-induced habit changes-continues to pressure margins but also creates opportunities for higher basket sizes through services like curbside pickup and Walmart + membership.
Assumption: The FY 2024 financials cited are based on Walmart’s public filings; any forward-looking statements about e-commerce growth assume continued investment in logistics and technology without major regulatory disruptions. Uncertainty remains around international earnings, especially in markets facing currency volatility or geopolitical risk.
For a deeper quantitative dive into Walmart’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured framework worth exploring.
WMT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 817,935m |
| Sub-Industry | Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1972-08-25 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 6.32% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.49 of 5 |
WMT Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.42% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.1% |
WMT Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 29.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.35 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 7.93 |
| Current Volume | 18075.8k |
| Average Volume | 13356.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (21.34b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 41.59b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.11% (prev -2.82%; Δ -0.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 38.44b > Net Income 21.34b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (55.58b) to EBITDA (44.60b) ratio: 1.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.02b) change vs 12m ago -0.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.90% (prev 24.63%; Δ 0.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 263.9% (prev 261.4%; Δ 2.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.35 (EBITDA TTM 44.60b / Interest Expense TTM 2.74b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.94
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 82.03b - Total Current Liabilities 103.57b) / Total Assets 270.84b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 96.33b / Total Assets 270.84b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 31.11b / Avg Total Assets 262.64b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 84.39b / Total Liabilities 173.98b |
| Total Rating: 1.94 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.22
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.74% = 0.87 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.19% = 0.55 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.72 = 2.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.25 = 1.40 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.43)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 24.18% = 2.02 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.97% = 5.77 |
| 9. EPS Trend -82.60% = -4.13 |
What is the price of WMT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.85%, over one month by +0.41%, over three months by +1.77% and over the past year by +21.10%.
Is Walmart a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of WMT is around 117.10 USD . This means that WMT is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +14.2% (Margin of Safety).
Is WMT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 27
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WMT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.6 | 10.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.6 | 10.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 129.8 | 26.6% |
WMT Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 38.7132
P/E Forward = 33.67
P/S = 1.18
P/B = 8.9983
P/EG = 3.3675
Beta = 0.649
Revenue TTM = 693.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 44.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 35.64b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 65.01b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 55.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 873.52b USD (817.93b + Debt 65.01b - CCE 9.43b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.35 (Ebit TTM 31.11b / Interest Expense TTM 2.74b)
FCF Yield = 1.74% (FCF TTM 15.19b / Enterprise Value 873.52b)
FCF Margin = 2.19% (FCF TTM 15.19b / Revenue TTM 693.15b)
Net Margin = 3.08% (Net Income TTM 21.34b / Revenue TTM 693.15b)
Gross Margin = 24.90% ((Revenue TTM 693.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 520.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.16% (prev 24.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 873.52b / Total Assets 270.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 769.0m / Debt 65.01b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (2.17b / 9.32b)
NOPAT = 23.88b (EBIT 31.11b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 82.03b / Total Current Liabilities 103.57b)
Debt / Equity = 0.72 (Debt 65.01b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 90.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.25 (Net Debt 55.58b / EBITDA 44.60b)
Debt / FCF = 3.66 (Net Debt 55.58b / FCF TTM 15.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 88.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.88% (Net Income 21.34b / Total Assets 270.84b)
RoE = 24.18% (Net Income TTM 21.34b / Total Stockholder Equity 88.26b)
RoCE = 25.11% (EBIT 31.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 88.26b + L.T.Debt 35.64b))
RoIC = 18.29% (NOPAT 23.88b / Invested Capital 130.56b)
WACC = 7.86% (E(817.93b)/V(882.95b) * Re(8.41%) + D(65.01b)/V(882.95b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.91% ; FCFE base≈13.91b ; Y1≈15.93b ; Y5≈22.18b
Fair Price DCF = 44.83 (DCF Value 357.42b / Shares Outstanding 7.97b; 5y FCF grow 17.02% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -82.60 | EPS CAGR: -25.00% | SUE: -1.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.97 | Revenue CAGR: 5.58% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for WMT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle