(WSM) Williams-Sonoma - Ratings and Ratios
Cookware, Furniture, Lighting, Textiles, Decor
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.24% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 12.63% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 63.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.11 |
| Alpha | -17.95 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.464 |
| Beta | 1.392 |
| Beta Downside | 1.346 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.79% |
| Mean DD | 10.11% |
| Median DD | 8.79% |
Description: WSM Williams-Sonoma October 14, 2025
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM) is an omni-channel specialty retailer that sells a broad array of home-related products-including cookware, tabletop items, furniture, lighting, rugs, and personalized gifts-through its portfolio of brands such as Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Rejuvenation. The company reaches consumers via brick-and-mortar stores, e-commerce sites, direct-mail catalogs, and a proprietary 3-D imaging/augmented-reality platform that helps shoppers visualize furnishings in their space.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $8.6 billion, up 6 % year-over-year; e-commerce accounted for roughly 45 % of total sales, reflecting a 12 % acceleration versus the prior year; and comparable-store sales grew 4 % on a constant-currency basis. The firm posted an adjusted operating margin of 12.5 %, slightly above the home-furnishings retail median of ~11 %.
Sector drivers that materially affect WSM’s outlook include the health of the U.S. housing market (new-home starts and home-renovation spending are leading indicators of demand for its higher-priced décor), consumer discretionary sentiment (measured by the University of Michigan’s Consumer Confidence Index), and real-interest-rate trends (higher rates can suppress big-ticket purchases). A 5-point rise in the Fed Funds Rate historically correlates with a 2-3 % dip in comparable-store sales for premium home-furnishers.
If you want a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of WSM’s valuation multiples and forward-looking earnings estimates, the analytical tools on ValueRay can provide a solid next step for your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 474.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.01% (prev 8.52%; Δ 1.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.35b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (581.1m) to EBITDA (1.62b) ratio: 0.36 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.43 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (123.3m) change vs 12m ago -2.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.63% (prev 46.65%; Δ -1.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 153.9% (prev 151.5%; Δ 2.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.20 (EBITDA TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM -350.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.86
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 2.65b - Total Current Liabilities 1.86b) / Total Assets 5.31b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.52b / Total Assets 5.31b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 1.12b / Avg Total Assets 5.14b |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 1.50b / Total Liabilities 3.24b |
| Total Rating: 3.86 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.60
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.99% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.71 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.36 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 28.18)% |
| 7. RoE 51.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -41.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend -69.49% |
What is the price of WSM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.91%, over one month by -3.88%, over three months by -7.36% and over the past year by +1.71%.
Is WSM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WSM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 198.2 | 5.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 198.2 | 5.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 234 | 25% |
WSM Fundamental Data Overview December 08, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.7533
P/E Forward = 19.4932
P/S = 2.7063
P/B = 10.2954
P/EG = 2.2611
Beta = 1.548
Revenue TTM = 7.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.62b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.47b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 220.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 581.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.99b USD (21.41b + Debt 1.47b - CCE 884.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.20 (Ebit TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM -350.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.03% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Enterprise Value 21.99b)
FCF Margin = 13.99% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 7.91b)
Net Margin = 13.97% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 7.91b)
Gross Margin = 45.63% ((Revenue TTM 7.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.09% (prev 47.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.14 (Enterprise Value 21.99b / Total Assets 5.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.59% (Interest Expense 38.0m / Debt 1.47b)
Taxrate = 26.55% (87.3m / 328.9m)
NOPAT = 825.3m (EBIT 1.12b * (1 - 26.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 2.65b / Total Current Liabilities 1.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 1.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.36 (Net Debt 581.1m / EBITDA 1.62b)
Debt / FCF = 0.52 (Net Debt 581.1m / FCF TTM 1.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.81% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 5.31b)
RoE = 51.88% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.13b)
RoCE = 31.25% (EBIT 1.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.13b + L.T.Debt 1.47b))
RoIC = 38.74% (NOPAT 825.3m / Invested Capital 2.13b)
WACC = 10.56% (E(21.41b)/V(22.88b) * Re(11.15%) + D(1.47b)/V(22.88b) * Rd(2.59%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 11.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.10% ; FCFE base≈1.14b ; Y1≈1.10b ; Y5≈1.09b
Fair Price DCF = 101.8 (DCF Value 12.16b / Shares Outstanding 119.4m; 5y FCF grow -4.52% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -69.49 | EPS CAGR: -23.76% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -41.36 | Revenue CAGR: -7.29% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=9.14 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+5.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for WSM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle