WSM Stock Analysis: Williams-Sonoma | NYSE
Specialty Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 28.266m USD | 12M Return: 44.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 262M
EPS Trend: -89.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -15.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM) is an omni-channel specialty retailer operating in the home furnishings space across the U.S. and international markets. The company sells cooking, dining, entertaining, home decor, bedding, lighting, rugs, and personalized gift products through a portfolio of owned brands including Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, West Elm, Williams Sonoma Home, Rejuvenation, Mark and Graham, and GreenRow. Distribution occurs through e-commerce websites, direct-mail catalogs, and physical retail stores. Founded in 1956 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, the company has been publicly traded since its 1990 IPO.
The companys multi-brand house-of-brands model allows it to target distinct customer segments and price points within the Consumer Disectoral Discretionary sector, spanning premium cookware through value-oriented home decor and youth-focused furnishings. The home furnishings retail industry is closely tied to macroeconomic factors such as housing turnover, mortgage rates, and consumer discretionary spending, which directly influence demand for big-ticket home goods.
- Housing turnover recovery boosts home furnishings demand
- Tariff costs pressure gross margins on imported merchandise
- Aggressive share repurchases drive earnings per share growth
| Net Income: 1.09b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.47% < 20% (prev 11.25%; Δ -3.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 1.35b > Net Income 1.09b |
| Net Debt (842.0m) to EBITDA (1.65b): 0.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.34 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.9m) vs 12m ago -3.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.06% > 18% (prev 45.57%; Δ 0.50% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 154.3% > 50% (prev 150.9%; Δ 3.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 2.35b - Total Current Liabilities 1.76b) / Total Assets 5.06b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 1.36b / Total Assets 5.06b) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 1.42b / Avg Total Assets 5.11b) |
| D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 1.87b / Total Liabilities 3.18b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.12 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 139.3m/122.8m, Revenue 7.88b/7.78b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 45.57% / 46.06%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 7.88b / 7.78b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.09b - CFO 1.35b) / TA 5.06b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.10 with a total of 1,204,658 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.08%, over one month by +15.32%, over three months by +28.35% and over the past year by +44.77%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 213.70 (which is 8.3% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Williams-Sonoma has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.46. Therefore, it is recommended to hold WSM.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 211.6 | -9.2% |
P/E Trailing = 26.8824
P/E Forward = 25.8398
P/S = 3.5861
P/B = 15.1172
P/EG = 3.1595
Revenue TTM = 7.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.42b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.65b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.28b USD (estimated: total debt 1.49b - short term 215.2m)
Short Term Debt = 215.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.49b already included)
Net Debt = 842.0m USD (calculated: Debt 1.49b - CCE 651.6m)
Enterprise Value = 29.1b USD (28.3b + Debt 1.49b - CCE 651.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.42b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 26.56x (Enterprise Value 29.1b / FCF TTM 1.10b)
FCF Yield = 3.76% (FCF TTM 1.10b / Enterprise Value 29.1b)
FCF Margin = 13.90% (FCF TTM 1.10b / Revenue TTM 7.88b)
Net Margin = 13.81% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 7.88b)
Gross Margin = 46.06% ((Revenue TTM 7.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.95% (prev 46.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.75 (Enterprise Value 29.1b / Total Assets 5.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.49b)
Taxrate = 24.98% (362.4m / 1.45b)
NOPAT = 1.06b (EBIT 1.42b * (1 - 24.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.34 (Total Current Assets 2.35b / Total Current Liabilities 1.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 1.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.87b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.51 (Net Debt 842.0m / EBITDA 1.65b)
Debt / FCF = 0.77 (Net Debt 842.0m / FCF TTM 1.10b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.31% (Net Income 1.09b / Total Assets 5.06b)
RoE = 53.29% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 42.66% (EBIT 1.42b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 1.28b))
RoIC = 34.02% (NOPAT 1.06b / Invested Capital 3.12b)
WACC = 9.57% (E(28.3b)/V(29.8b) * Re(10.08%) + D(1.49b)/V(29.8b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -3.63%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.41% ; FCFF base≈1.06b ; Y1≈1.14b ; Y5≈1.38b
[DCF] Fair Price = 141.1 (EV 17.5b - Net Debt 842.0m = Equity 16.6b / Shares 117.7m; r=9.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.27% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.61 | EPS CAGR: -23.08% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -15.35 | Revenue CAGR: -0.41% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.13 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=9.38 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=10.25 | Chg30d=+0.47% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +71%