WSM Stock Analysis: Williams-Sonoma | NYSE

Specialty Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 26.931m USD | 12M Return: 21.5% | US9699041011 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cookware, Furniture, Home Decor, Bedding
Total Rating 66
Safety 87
Buy Signal 0.78
Specialty Retail
Industry Rotation: +4.0
Market Cap: 26.9B
Avg Turnover: 260M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.49%
VaR vs Median-0.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Rel. Str. IBD68.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group75.4
Character TTM
Beta1.119
Beta Downside1.009
Hurst Exponent0.555
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.79%
CAGR/Max DD1.30
CAGR/Mean DD4.82
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of WSM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 1.61, "2021-10": 1.65, "2022-01": 5.42, "2022-04": 1.75, "2022-07": 1.94, "2022-10": 1.86, "2023-01": 5.5, "2023-04": 1.18, "2023-07": 1.56, "2023-10": 1.83, "2024-01": 2.72, "2024-04": 4.07, "2024-07": 1.74, "2024-10": 1.96, "2025-01": 3.28, "2025-04": 1.85, "2025-07": 2, "2025-10": 1.96, "2026-01": 3.04, "2026-04": 1.93, "2026-07": 2.1,
EPS CAGR: -2.30%
EPS Trend: -18.7%
Last SUE: 0.56
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of WSM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 1948.339, 2021-10: 2047.539, 2022-01: 2501.029, 2022-04: 1891.227, 2022-07: 2137.537, 2022-10: 2192.574, 2023-01: 2453.079, 2023-04: 1755.451, 2023-07: 1862.614, 2023-10: 1853.65, 2024-01: 2278.937, 2024-04: 1660.348, 2024-07: 1788.307, 2024-10: 1800.668, 2025-01: 2462.218, 2025-04: 1730.113, 2025-07: 1836.76, 2025-10: 1882.814, 2026-01: 2357.129, 2026-04: 1805.456, 2026-07: 1959.757,
Rev. CAGR: 1.04%
Rev. Trend: 50.4%
Last SUE: 0.67
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +1.1% 8
Feb -0.1% 10
Mar +1.5% 15
Apr -0.8% 10
May +2.8% 8
Jun -0.4% 7
Jul +4.9% 22
Aug -0.3% 5
Sep +1.0% 13
Oct -2.3% 25
Nov +2.6% 14
Dec -0.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WSM Williams-Sonoma

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM) is a U.S.-based omni-channel specialty retailer offering a broad range of home-related products, including cookware, dining and entertaining items, furniture, bedding, lighting, rugs, decor, and personalized or made-to-order goods. It sells primarily under a portfolio of nine distinct brands-Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, West Elm, Williams Sonoma Home, Rejuvenation, Mark and Graham, and GreenRow-each targeting different customer segments and aesthetic preferences. Products reach consumers through e-commerce websites, direct-mail catalogs, and physical retail stores in the U.S. and internationally. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

As a large-cap consumer discretionary stock in the homefurnishing retail sub-industry, Williams-Sonomas performance is closely tied to housing turnover, real estate values, and broader consumer spending on the home. Its multi-brand, multi-channel model-combining owned e-commerce, catalog marketing, and branded retail stores-is a distinctive feature of its strategy, allowing it to capture customers across demographics and price points while maintaining direct relationships with end consumers rather than relying on third-party wholesale distribution.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Housing market weakness pressures furniture demand across core brands
  • Tariff and freight costs squeeze gross margins
  • B2B segment drives double-digit growth offsetting retail softness
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 1.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.24 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.79 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.59% < 20% (prev 11.36%; Δ -0.76% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 1.61b > Net Income 1.18b
Net Debt (499.0m) to EBITDA (1.77b): 0.28 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.45 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.9m) vs 12m ago -3.81% < -2%
Gross Margin: 47.19% > 18% (prev 45.77%; Δ 1.42% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 149.1% > 50% (prev 149.8%; Δ -0.61% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 4.56
A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 2.75b - Total Current Liabilities 1.90b) / Total Assets 5.51b
B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 1.61b / Total Assets 5.51b)
C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 1.54b / Avg Total Assets 5.37b)
D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 2.14b / Total Liabilities 3.37b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.56 = AA
Beneish M -2.89
DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 146.2m/115.5m, Revenue 8.01b/7.83b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 45.77% / 47.19%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 8.01b / 7.83b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.18b - CFO 1.61b) / TA 5.51b)
Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of WSM shares?

As of September 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 229.96 with a total of 655,286 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.17%, over one month by +0.75%, over three months by -3.93% and over the past year by +21.47%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 213.10 (which is 7.3% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is WSM a buy, sell or hold?

Williams-Sonoma has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.46. Therefore, it is recommended to hold WSM.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WSM price?
Analysts Target Price 247.9 7.8%
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 26.9b (26.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.4523
P/E Forward = 24.57
P/S = 3.3639
P/B = 14.3993
P/EG = 3.0094
Revenue TTM = 8.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.54b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b USD (estimated: total debt 1.53b - short term 217.0m)
Short Term Debt = 217.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.53b already included)
Net Debt = 499.0m USD (calculated: Debt 1.53b - CCE 1.03b)
Enterprise Value = 27.4b USD (26.9b + Debt 1.53b - CCE 1.03b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.54b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 20.38x (Enterprise Value 27.4b / FCF TTM 1.35b)
FCF Yield = 4.91% (FCF TTM 1.35b / Enterprise Value 27.4b)
FCF Margin = 16.81% (FCF TTM 1.35b / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Net Margin = 14.73% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Gross Margin = 47.19% ((Revenue TTM 8.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.64% (prev 43.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.98 (Enterprise Value 27.4b / Total Assets 5.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.53b)
Taxrate = 25.14% (395.9m / 1.57b)
NOPAT = 1.15b (EBIT 1.54b * (1 - 25.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.45 (Total Current Assets 2.75b / Total Current Liabilities 1.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 1.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 499.0m / EBITDA 1.77b)
Debt / FCF = 0.37 (Net Debt 499.0m / FCF TTM 1.35b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.97% (Net Income 1.18b / Total Assets 5.51b)
RoE = 57.79% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 45.88% (EBIT 1.54b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 33.61% (NOPAT 1.15b / Invested Capital 3.42b)
WACC = 9.39% (E(26.9b)/V(28.5b) * Re(9.92%) + D(1.53b)/V(28.5b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.77 | Cagr: -4.10%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.69% ; FCFF base≈1.22b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈2.06b
[DCF] Fair Price = 217.9 (EV 26.2b - Net Debt 499.0m = Equity 25.7b / Shares 117.8m; r=9.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -18.74 | EPS CAGR: -2.30% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.41 | Revenue CAGR: 1.04% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=+3.21% | Revisions=+31% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=9.85 | Chg30d=+5.03% | Revisions=+69% | GrowthEPS=+11.4% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=10.51 | Chg30d=+2.56% | Revisions=+82% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=35, down=5)