WY Stock Analysis: Weyerhaeuser | NYSE

Timber, Wood Products, Real Estate, Energy

Total Rating 35

Safety 72

Buy Signal -0.35

REIT - Specialty
Industry Rotation: -1.2

Market Cap: 17.7B
Avg Turnover: 126M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility26.5%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.43%

VaR vs Median1.22%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.16

Rel. Str. IBD31

Rel. Str. Peer Group37

Character TTM

Beta0.548

Beta Downside0.788

Hurst Exponent0.427

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD37.98%

CAGR/Max DD-0.18

CAGR/Mean DD-0.37

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.64%
EPS Trend: -97.5%

Last SUE: 1.64
Qual. Beats: 4

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -4.29%
Rev. Trend: -94.7%

Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.7% 8

Feb -1.1% 21

Mar +0.6% 18

Apr +2.3% 31

May -0.7% 27

Jun -0.7% 8

Jul +3.6% 11

Aug -0.5% 2

Sep -2.7% 28

Oct -3.1% 29

Nov +1.8% 29

Dec -0.5% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WY Weyerhaeuser

Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) is a U.S.-based timber REIT headquartered in Seattle, Washington, founded in 1900 and operating as a real estate investment trust. The company owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the United States and manages additional public timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada. As a timber REIT, Weyerhaeuser primarily generates revenue from the ownership and sustainable management of forested land, a long-duration real asset class where income is tied to timber sales and land values rather than short-term commodity cycles. REITs of this type are generally required to distribute the majority of their taxable income to shareholders, which shapes their capital allocation toward land acquisition, timber operations, and dividends.

Beyond its timberland holdings, Weyerhaeuser operates one of the largest wood products manufacturing businesses in North America, along with additional segments covering product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, and energy and natural resources. The company manages 100% of its timberlands to internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards and reported approximately 9,500 employees serving customers worldwide. The vertically integrated structure combines land ownership with downstream manufacturing, allowing the company to capture margin across the wood-products value chain. In 2025, net sales totaled 6.9 billion US dollars, with common stock listed on the NYSE under the symbol WY since its 1973 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For

U.S. housing starts decline pressures lumber and wood products revenue
Timberland real estate sales sensitive to housing market cycles
REIT dividend yield pressured by elevated Federal Reserve interest rates

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5

Net Income: 472.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.31 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.65% < 20% (prev 0.91%; Δ 9.74% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 547.0m > Net Income 472.0m
Net Debt (4.92b) to EBITDA (1.16b): 4.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.82 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (721.9m) vs 12m ago -0.28% < -2%
Gross Margin: 13.24% > 18% (prev 17.25%; Δ -4.01% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.84% > 50% (prev 42.70%; Δ -0.86% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 649.0m / Interest Expense TTM 273.0m)

Altman Z'' 2.25

A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 901.0m) / Total Assets 16.5b
B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 1.44b / Total Assets 16.5b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 649.0m / Avg Total Assets 16.5b)
D: 1.34 (Book Value of Equity 9.46b / Total Liabilities 7.06b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.25 = BBB

Beneish M -3.32

DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 378.0m/378.0m, Revenue 6.90b/7.04b)
GMI: 1.30 (GM 17.25% / 13.24%)
AQI: 0.04 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.72)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 6.90b / 7.04b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 472.0m - CFO 547.0m) / TA 16.5b)
Beneish M = -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of WY shares?

As of August 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.08 with a total of 4,650,774 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.78%, over one month by -1.67%, over three months by +6.19% and over the past year by -2.91%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is WY a buy, sell or hold?

Weyerhaeuser has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.21. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WY.

StrongBuy: 5
Buy: 7
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WY price?

Analysts Target Price	31.3	29.9%

Weyerhaeuser (WY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 17.7b (17.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 37.2121
P/E Forward = 55.2486
P/S = 2.5834
P/B = 1.872
P/EG = 1.3514
Revenue TTM = 6.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 649.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.16b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 122.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 24.0m
Net Debt = 4.92b USD (calculated: Debt 5.45b - CCE 527.0m)
Enterprise Value = 22.6b USD (17.7b + Debt 5.45b - CCE 527.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 649.0m / Interest Expense TTM 273.0m)
EV/FCF = -51.18x (Enterprise Value 22.6b / FCF TTM -442.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.95% (FCF TTM -442.0m / Enterprise Value 22.6b)
FCF Margin = -6.40% (FCF TTM -442.0m / Revenue TTM 6.90b)
Net Margin = 6.84% (Net Income TTM 472.0m / Revenue TTM 6.90b)
Gross Margin = 13.24% ((Revenue TTM 6.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.66% (prev 18.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 22.6b / Total Assets 16.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.01% (Interest Expense 273.0m / Debt 5.45b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 512.7m (EBIT 649.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 901.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 5.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.25 (Net Debt 4.92b / EBITDA 1.16b)
Debt / FCF = -11.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.92b / FCF TTM -442.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.86% (Net Income 472.0m / Total Assets 16.5b)
RoE = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 472.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.44b)
RoCE = 4.40% (EBIT 649.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.44b + L.T.Debt 5.30b))
RoIC = 3.33% (NOPAT 512.7m / Invested Capital 15.4b)
WACC = 6.98% (E(17.7b)/V(23.2b) * Re(7.91%) + D(5.45b)/V(23.2b) * Rd(5.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.46 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -442.0m)
EPS Correlation: -97.48 | EPS CAGR: -49.64% | SUE: 1.64 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -94.67 | Revenue CAGR: -4.29% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=+16.10% | Revisions=+10% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=+14.64% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+65.6% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=+1.22% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+105.4% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=10, down=12)