(WY) Weyerhaeuser - Ratings and Ratios
Timber, Lumber, Panels, Pulp, Land
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.24% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.52% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 40.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.08 |
| Alpha | -37.24 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.333 |
| Beta | 0.696 |
| Beta Downside | 0.817 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.98% |
| Mean DD | 14.22% |
| Median DD | 13.33% |
Description: WY Weyerhaeuser October 16, 2025
Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) is a timber-land REIT that controls roughly 10.4 million acres in the United States and holds long-term licensed timber rights in Canada, making it one of the world’s largest private timberland owners.
In fiscal 2024 the firm reported net sales of $7.1 billion and employed about 9,400 staff globally, reflecting its diversified operations across wood-product manufacturing, distribution, climate-solution services, real estate, and energy assets.
Key performance indicators that analysts watch include: (1) the company’s dividend yield of ~5.2 % and a payout ratio near 80 %, (2) its leverage ratio of roughly 2.0 × EBITDA, and (3) the average timber price trend, which has risen about 12 % year-over-year driven by strong housing-starts and construction demand.
Sector drivers remain robust: U.S. residential construction activity, measured by housing-starts data, directly lifts demand for lumber and engineered wood products, while long-term sustainability certifications support premium pricing and access to ESG-focused capital.
Assuming timber prices stay above the $800-$900 per thousand board feet range observed in Q3 2024, Weyerhaeuser’s cash-flow generation should comfortably cover its debt service and sustain its dividend, but a sustained price decline below $700 could pressure earnings and force a dividend cut.
For a deeper quantitative view of WY’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to model scenario-based cash-flow outcomes and compare peer REIT multiples.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (331.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 427.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.18% (prev 13.94%; Δ -9.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 894.0m > Net Income 331.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.09b) to EBITDA (1.09b) ratio: 4.69 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (722.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.09% (prev 18.79%; Δ -1.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.72% (prev 43.14%; Δ -0.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.16 (EBITDA TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 269.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.02
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 1.61b - Total Current Liabilities 1.31b) / Total Assets 16.67b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.51b / Total Assets 16.67b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 580.0m / Avg Total Assets 16.67b |
| (D) 0.36 = Book Value of Equity 2.58b / Total Liabilities 7.23b |
| Total Rating: 1.02 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.01
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.45% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.20% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.69 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.46)% |
| 7. RoE 3.45% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -72.80% |
| 9. EPS Trend -87.12% |
What is the price of WY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.72%, over one month by -0.83%, over three months by -13.32% and over the past year by -27.47%.
Is WY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the WY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.2 | 35.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.2 | 35.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.6 | -2.9% |
WY Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 46.7609
P/E Forward = 54.3478
P/S = 2.1945
P/B = 1.6635
P/EG = 1.3514
Beta = 1.086
Revenue TTM = 7.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 580.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.95b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 546.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.61b USD (15.52b + Debt 5.49b - CCE 401.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 580.0m / Interest Expense TTM 269.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.45% (FCF TTM 299.0m / Enterprise Value 20.61b)
FCF Margin = 4.20% (FCF TTM 299.0m / Revenue TTM 7.12b)
Net Margin = 4.65% (Net Income TTM 331.0m / Revenue TTM 7.12b)
Gross Margin = 17.09% ((Revenue TTM 7.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.33% (prev 17.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 20.61b / Total Assets 16.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 71.0m / Debt 5.49b)
Taxrate = -105.1% (out of range, set to none) (-41.0m / 39.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 1.61b / Total Current Liabilities 1.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 5.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.69 (Net Debt 5.09b / EBITDA 1.09b)
Debt / FCF = 17.03 (Net Debt 5.09b / FCF TTM 299.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.99% (Net Income 331.0m / Total Assets 16.67b)
RoE = 3.45% (Net Income TTM 331.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.58b)
RoCE = 3.99% (EBIT 580.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.58b + L.T.Debt 4.95b))
RoIC = 3.88% (EBIT 580.0m / (Assets 16.67b - Curr.Liab 1.31b - Cash 401.0m))
WACC = 6.34% (E(15.52b)/V(21.01b) * Re(8.58%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.07% ; FCFE base≈306.2m ; Y1≈201.0m ; Y5≈91.9m
Fair Price DCF = 2.29 (DCF Value 1.65b / Shares Outstanding 720.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -87.12 | EPS CAGR: -42.88% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -72.80 | Revenue CAGR: -5.76% | SUE: 3.14 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=-0.041 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-0.213 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+42.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%
Additional Sources for WY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle