WY Stock Analysis: Weyerhaeuser | NYSE

Timberlands, Wood Products, Real Estate, Natural Resources

Total Rating 30

Safety 75

Buy Signal -0.77

REIT - Specialty
Industry Rotation: +4.7

Market Cap: 13.7B
Avg Turnover: 169M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility24.6%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.05%

VaR vs Median-0.03%

Choppyness55.7%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.64

Rel. Str. IBD12.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group15.2

Character TTM

Beta0.532

Beta Downside0.835

Hurst Exponent0.469

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD44.39%

CAGR/Max DD-0.23

CAGR/Mean DD-0.52

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.64%
EPS Trend: -97.5%

Last SUE: 1.64
Qual. Beats: 4

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -4.29%
Rev. Trend: -94.7%

Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.7% 8

Feb -1.1% 21

Mar +0.6% 18

Apr +2.3% 31

May -0.7% 27

Jun -0.7% 8

Jul +3.6% 11

Aug -1.4% 11

Sep -2.7% 28

Oct -3.1% 29

Nov +1.8% 29

Dec -0.5% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WY Weyerhaeuser

Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) is one of the worlds largest private owners of timberlands, founded in 1900 and headquartered in Washington. The company is classified as a Timber REIT within the GICS Real Estate sector and operates under the U.S. REIT framework, which requires it to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends.

The company owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the United States and manages additional public timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada. Beyond timberland ownership, Weyerhaeuser is one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America, with additional business lines in product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy, and natural resources. All of its timberlands are managed under internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. The timberland business model is distinguished by natural biological growth of standing timber, which provides organic asset appreciation between harvest cycles and a degree of inflation protection.

In 2025, the company reported $6.9 billion in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people serving customers worldwide. Weyerhaeuser has traded on the NYSE since its IPO in 1973 and carries a large-cap market capitalization. Its diversified model combines land ownership, wood products manufacturing, and emerging climate- and natural-resource-related revenue lines.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Lumber prices weaken as U.S. housing starts decline
Timberland real estate sales boost high-margin land revenue
Mortgage rates rise pressuring new home construction demand

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5

Net Income: 472.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.31 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.65% < 20% (prev 0.91%; Δ 9.74% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 547.0m > Net Income 472.0m
Net Debt (4.92b) to EBITDA (1.16b): 4.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.82 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (721.9m) vs 12m ago -0.28% < -2%
Gross Margin: 13.24% > 18% (prev 17.25%; Δ -4.01% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.84% > 50% (prev 42.70%; Δ -0.86% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 649.0m / Interest Expense TTM 273.0m)

Altman Z'' 2.25

A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 901.0m) / Total Assets 16.5b
B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 1.44b / Total Assets 16.5b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 649.0m / Avg Total Assets 16.5b)
D: 1.34 (Book Value of Equity 9.46b / Total Liabilities 7.06b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.25 = BBB

Beneish M -3.32

DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 378.0m/378.0m, Revenue 6.90b/7.04b)
GMI: 1.30 (GM 17.25% / 13.24%)
AQI: 0.04 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.72)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 6.90b / 7.04b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 472.0m - CFO 547.0m) / TA 16.5b)
Beneish M = -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of WY shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.38 with a total of 7,865,864 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.10%, over one month by -13.06%, over three months by -18.20% and over the past year by -15.35%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 18.70 (which is 3.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is WY a buy, sell or hold?

Weyerhaeuser has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WY.

StrongBuy: 7
Buy: 2
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WY price?

Analysts Target Price	28.1	44.9%

Weyerhaeuser (WY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 13.7b (13.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.1846
P/E Forward = 29.0698
P/S = 1.9954
P/B = 1.6418
P/EG = 1.3514
Revenue TTM = 6.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 649.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.16b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 122.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 24.0m
Net Debt = 4.92b USD (calculated: Debt 5.45b - CCE 527.0m)
Enterprise Value = 18.6b USD (13.7b + Debt 5.45b - CCE 527.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 649.0m / Interest Expense TTM 273.0m)
EV/FCF = -42.07x (Enterprise Value 18.6b / FCF TTM -442.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.38% (FCF TTM -442.0m / Enterprise Value 18.6b)
FCF Margin = -6.40% (FCF TTM -442.0m / Revenue TTM 6.90b)
Net Margin = 6.84% (Net Income TTM 472.0m / Revenue TTM 6.90b)
Gross Margin = 13.24% ((Revenue TTM 6.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.66% (prev 18.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 18.6b / Total Assets 16.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.01% (Interest Expense 273.0m / Debt 5.45b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 512.7m (EBIT 649.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 901.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 5.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.25 (Net Debt 4.92b / EBITDA 1.16b)
Debt / FCF = -11.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.92b / FCF TTM -442.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.86% (Net Income 472.0m / Total Assets 16.5b)
RoE = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 472.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.44b)
RoCE = 4.40% (EBIT 649.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.44b + L.T.Debt 5.30b))
RoIC = 3.33% (NOPAT 512.7m / Invested Capital 15.4b)
WACC = 6.74% (E(13.7b)/V(19.1b) * Re(7.85%) + D(5.45b)/V(19.1b) * Rd(5.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.46 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -442.0m)
EPS Correlation: -97.48 | EPS CAGR: -49.64% | SUE: 1.64 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -94.67 | Revenue CAGR: -4.29% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-43.78% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-12.73% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+43.2% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-7.46% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+117.2% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)