XLY ETF Analysis: Consumer Discretionary | NYSE

Consumer Cyclical | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 22.440m USD | 12M Return: 6.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

E-Commerce, Automotive, Home Improvement, Restaurants
Total Rating 46
Safety 54
Buy Signal -0.40
Consumer Cyclical
Category Rotation: +2.0
TER: 0.09%
AUM: 22.4B
Avg Turnover: 984M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility20.0%
VaR 5th Pctl3.71%
VaR vs Median3.19%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.22
Rel. Str. IBD33.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group35.7
Character TTM
Beta1.238
Beta Downside1.315
Hurst Exponent0.465
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.01%
CAGR/Max DD0.43
CAGR/Mean DD2.11

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.8% 14
Feb -4.0% 29
Mar -0.2% 2
Apr +1.1% 23
May +0.1% 15
Jun +1.0% 24
Jul +0.5% 22
Aug -0.3% 8
Sep -1.7% 33
Oct -1.7% 21
Nov +3.1% 34
Dec -0.3% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: XLY Consumer Discretionary

The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) tracks the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500 using a full replication strategy, investing at least 95% of its total assets in the securities that make up the underlying index. Constituents are classified using the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), which groups companies whose revenues are tied to non-essential goods and services such as automobiles, apparel, hotels, restaurants, and retail. The fund is structured as a non-diversified ETF, meaning it can hold concentrated positions in individual securities within the index rather than spreading risk across a broad mix of unrelated holdings.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Consumer spending cools as inflation pressures household budgets
  • Amazon and Tesla mega-cap weighting drives index returns
  • Interest rates rise dampening housing and auto demand
What is the price of XLY shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 117.24 with a total of 5,971,330 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.10%, over one month by +3.51%, over three months by +4.06% and over the past year by +6.75%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 112.20 (which is 4.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).

Is XLY a buy, sell or hold?

Consumer Discretionary has no consensus analysts rating.