XOM Stock Analysis: Exxon Mobil | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 753.672m USD | 12M Return: 68% | US30233Q1085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 1.99B
EPS Trend: -26.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 41.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE: XOM) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas major headquartered in Spring, Texas, with roots dating back to 1870. The company operates across four core segments: Upstream (exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas), Energy Products (fuels, aromatics, catalysts, and licensing), Chemical Products (olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates), and Specialty Products (lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins). It also manufactures, trades, transports, and sells crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, and petrochemicals globally, with operations spanning the U.S., Canada, and international markets. Its products are marketed under the well-established Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands, and it also supplies aviation fuel.
The company is increasingly pursuing lower-emission opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center initiatives, and lithium-reflecting a strategic push to diversify beyond traditional hydrocarbons. As a mega-cap integrated oil and gas company, ExxonMobils business model spans the full petroleum value chain, from upstream extraction to downstream refining, chemicals, and specialty products, which typically provides diversification across commodity price cycles. The company recently rebranded from Exxon Mobil Corporation to ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation in July 2026.
- Crude oil prices swing on OPEC+ supply and demand outlook
- Pioneer acquisition accelerates Permian basin production growth
- Refining margins compress as global fuel demand weakens
| Net Income: 40.6b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.49% < 20% (prev 3.28%; Δ 1.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 70.6b > Net Income 40.6b |
| Net Debt (28.4b) to EBITDA (82.4b): 0.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.14b) vs 12m ago -4.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.44% > 18% (prev 22.27%; Δ 3.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.92% > 50% (prev 71.52%; Δ 12.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 66.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 52.5b / Interest Expense TTM 785.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 108b - Total Current Liabilities 90.2b) / Total Assets 471b |
| B: 0.50 (Retained Earnings 237b / Total Assets 471b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 52.5b / Avg Total Assets 463b) |
| D: 1.34 (Book Value of Equity 266b / Total Liabilities 198b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.05 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 66.5b/45.3b, Revenue 388b/325b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 22.27% / 25.44%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 388b / 325b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 40.6b - CFO 70.6b) / TA 471b) |
| Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.25 with a total of 21,142,130 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.21%, over one month by +16.05%, over three months by +20.06% and over the past year by +68.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 181.60 (which is 3% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Exxon Mobil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold XOM.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 179.4 | -4.2% |
P/E Trailing = 23.4386
P/E Forward = 15.4083
P/S = 2.0874
P/B = 2.8855
P/EG = 1.482
Revenue TTM = 388b USD
EBIT TTM = 52.5b USD
EBITDA TTM = 82.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 34.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 4.52b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.31b
Net Debt = 28.4b USD (calculated: Debt 40.6b - CCE 12.2b)
Enterprise Value = 782b USD (754b + Debt 40.6b - CCE 12.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 66.82 (Ebit TTM 52.5b / Interest Expense TTM 785.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.20x (Enterprise Value 782b / FCF TTM 43.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.49% (FCF TTM 43.0b / Enterprise Value 782b)
FCF Margin = 11.07% (FCF TTM 43.0b / Revenue TTM 388b)
Net Margin = 10.46% (Net Income TTM 40.6b / Revenue TTM 388b)
Gross Margin = 25.44% ((Revenue TTM 388b - Cost of Revenue TTM 289b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.13% (prev 22.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.66 (Enterprise Value 782b / Total Assets 471b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.94% (Interest Expense 785.0m / Debt 40.6b)
Taxrate = 24.57% (13.7b / 55.7b)
NOPAT = 39.6b (EBIT 52.5b * (1 - 24.57%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 108b / Total Current Liabilities 90.2b)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 40.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 266b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.34 (Net Debt 28.4b / EBITDA 82.4b)
Debt / FCF = 0.66 (Net Debt 28.4b / FCF TTM 43.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.78% (Net Income 40.6b / Total Assets 471b)
RoE = 15.64% (Net Income TTM 40.6b / Total Stockholder Equity 260b)
RoCE = 17.84% (EBIT 52.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 260b + L.T.Debt 34.2b))
RoIC = 10.61% (NOPAT 39.6b / Invested Capital 373b)
WACC = 5.26% (E(754b)/V(794b) * Re(5.46%) + D(40.6b)/V(794b) * Rd(1.94%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 5.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -83.82 | Cagr: -1.84%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈35.3b ; Y1≈40.5b ; Y5≈59.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 211.0 (EV 896b - Net Debt 28.4b = Equity 867b / Shares 4.11b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -26.06 | EPS CAGR: -4.26% | SUE: 3.52 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 41.37 | Revenue CAGR: 2.40% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.28 | Chg30d=+9.00% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+90.0% | GrowthRev=+27.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.01 | Chg30d=+7.60% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=-9.5% | GrowthRev=+0.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +83% (up=15, down=0)