(XPO) XPO Logistics - Overview
Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trucking | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 21.994m | Total Return 65.6% in 12m
Stock: Freight, Transportation, Logistics, Warehousing
Total Rating 67
Risk 68
Buy Signal 0.14
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.16 |
| Alpha | 48.72 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.441 |
| Beta Downside | 1.739 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.98 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: XPO XPO Logistics March 05, 2026
XPO, Inc. (XPO) is a freight transportation company operating in North America and Europe. The company specializes in less-than-truckload (LTL) services, a common method for shipping smaller freight volumes.
XPOs North American LTL segment offers domestic and cross-border services. The European Transportation segment provides a broader range of services, including dedicated truckload, LTL, and freight forwarding. The logistics sector is characterized by diverse service offerings to meet varying customer needs.
For more detailed analysis, ValueRay offers comprehensive insights.
Headlines to watch out for
- North American LTL volume growth boosts revenue
- Fuel price volatility impacts operating costs
- Economic slowdown reduces freight demand
- Regulatory changes in transportation sector create uncertainty
- European market expansion drives international revenue
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 316.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.92% < 20% (prev 1.05%; Δ -0.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 982.0m > Net Income 316.0m |
| Net Debt (4.39b) to EBITDA (1.17b): 3.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.0m) vs 12m ago -0.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.00% > 18% (prev 0.11%; Δ 1.19k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 102.6% > 50% (prev 104.7%; Δ -2.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.94 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.17b / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.07
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.63b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 8.19b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 888.0m / Total Assets 8.19b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 644.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.95b) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 701.1m / Total Liabilities 6.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.07 = BB |
Beneish M -3.14
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 1.03b/977.0m, Revenue 8.16b/8.07b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 12.00% / 11.32%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 8.16b / 8.07b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 316.0m - CFO 982.0m) / TA 8.19b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of XPO shares?
As of March 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 186.33 with a total of 2,246,459 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.07%, over one month by -8.90%, over three months by +32.02% and over the past year by +65.63%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.07%, over one month by -8.90%, over three months by +32.02% and over the past year by +65.63%.
Is XPO a buy, sell or hold?
XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 204.2 | 9.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 204.2 | 9.6% |
XPO Fundamental Data Overview March 21, 2026
P/E Trailing = 70.9735
P/E Forward = 41.841
P/S = 2.6964
P/B = 11.7947
P/EG = 2.2356
Revenue TTM = 8.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 644.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 226.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.39b USD (21.99b + Debt 4.70b - CCE 310.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.94 (Ebit TTM 644.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
EV/FCF = 81.19x (Enterprise Value 26.39b / FCF TTM 325.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.23% (FCF TTM 325.0m / Enterprise Value 26.39b)
FCF Margin = 3.98% (FCF TTM 325.0m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Net Margin = 3.87% (Net Income TTM 316.0m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Gross Margin = 12.00% ((Revenue TTM 8.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.59% (prev 12.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.22 (Enterprise Value 26.39b / Total Assets 8.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 53.0m / Debt 4.70b)
Taxrate = 35.16% (32.0m / 91.0m)
NOPAT = 417.5m (EBIT 644.0m * (1 - 35.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 1.63b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 4.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.77 (Net Debt 4.39b / EBITDA 1.17b)
Debt / FCF = 13.51 (Net Debt 4.39b / FCF TTM 325.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.97% (Net Income 316.0m / Total Assets 8.19b)
RoE = 17.81% (Net Income TTM 316.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.77b)
RoCE = 12.81% (EBIT 644.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.77b + L.T.Debt 3.25b))
RoIC = 8.12% (NOPAT 417.5m / Invested Capital 5.14b)
WACC = 9.23% (E(21.99b)/V(26.70b) * Re(11.05%) + D(4.70b)/V(26.70b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.42%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.27% ; FCFF base≈201.0m ; Y1≈132.0m ; Y5≈60.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 982.6m - Net Debt 4.39b = -3.41b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -30.31 | EPS CAGR: -8.93% | SUE: 1.61 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 25.62 | Revenue CAGR: 1.61% | SUE: 2.72 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.27 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+15 | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.45 | Chg7d=+0.005 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+19.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.74 | Chg7d=+0.003 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (15 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.6% (Discount Rate 11.1% - Earnings Yield 1.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -5.7% (Analyst 4.0% - Implied 9.6%)
P/E Forward = 41.841
P/S = 2.6964
P/B = 11.7947
P/EG = 2.2356
Revenue TTM = 8.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 644.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 226.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.39b USD (21.99b + Debt 4.70b - CCE 310.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.94 (Ebit TTM 644.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
EV/FCF = 81.19x (Enterprise Value 26.39b / FCF TTM 325.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.23% (FCF TTM 325.0m / Enterprise Value 26.39b)
FCF Margin = 3.98% (FCF TTM 325.0m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Net Margin = 3.87% (Net Income TTM 316.0m / Revenue TTM 8.16b)
Gross Margin = 12.00% ((Revenue TTM 8.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.59% (prev 12.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.22 (Enterprise Value 26.39b / Total Assets 8.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 53.0m / Debt 4.70b)
Taxrate = 35.16% (32.0m / 91.0m)
NOPAT = 417.5m (EBIT 644.0m * (1 - 35.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 1.63b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 4.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.77 (Net Debt 4.39b / EBITDA 1.17b)
Debt / FCF = 13.51 (Net Debt 4.39b / FCF TTM 325.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.97% (Net Income 316.0m / Total Assets 8.19b)
RoE = 17.81% (Net Income TTM 316.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.77b)
RoCE = 12.81% (EBIT 644.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.77b + L.T.Debt 3.25b))
RoIC = 8.12% (NOPAT 417.5m / Invested Capital 5.14b)
WACC = 9.23% (E(21.99b)/V(26.70b) * Re(11.05%) + D(4.70b)/V(26.70b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.42%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.27% ; FCFF base≈201.0m ; Y1≈132.0m ; Y5≈60.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 982.6m - Net Debt 4.39b = -3.41b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -30.31 | EPS CAGR: -8.93% | SUE: 1.61 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 25.62 | Revenue CAGR: 1.61% | SUE: 2.72 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.27 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+15 | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.45 | Chg7d=+0.005 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+19.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.74 | Chg7d=+0.003 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (15 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.6% (Discount Rate 11.1% - Earnings Yield 1.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -5.7% (Analyst 4.0% - Implied 9.6%)