(XPO) XPO Logistics - NYSE
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 23.423m USD | Total Return: 60.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 330M
EPS Trend: 67.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 68.4%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
Confidence
XPO, Inc. is a leading provider of freight transportation services, operating primarily through its North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation segments. The company facilitates domestic and cross-border shipping across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and various European markets, offering services such as truck brokerage, last-mile delivery, and managed transportation.
The LTL sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the extensive network of physical terminals and specialized equipment required to consolidate multiple small shipments into single trailers. XPO utilizes a hub-and-spoke business model to optimize geographic density and provide day-definite delivery schedules for industrial and consumer clients.
For a more granular view of the companys financial health, consider reviewing the fundamental metrics available on ValueRay.
Headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, the firm rebranded from XPO Logistics, Inc. to XPO, Inc. in late 2022 to reflect its streamlined focus on core transportation assets. Its European operations further diversify the revenue base by providing multimodal solutions and warehousing to a broad range of trade and industrial sectors.
- Yield improvement in North American LTL segment drives higher operating margins
- Industrial production levels dictate freight volume demand across North American network
- Integration of acquired Yellow Corp terminals accelerates market share capture
- Labor cost inflation and driver shortages impact long-term network profitability
- European macroeconomic weakness pressures international brokerage and transportation revenue growth
| Net Income: 348.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.19% < 20% (prev 0.36%; Δ -0.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.03b > Net Income 348.0m |
| Net Debt (4.55b) to EBITDA (1.22b): 3.74 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.0m) vs 12m ago -0.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.18% > 18% (prev 11.30%; Δ 0.88% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 103.3% > 50% (prev 101.6%; Δ 1.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 686.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 1.69b) / Total Assets 8.18b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 989.0m / Total Assets 8.18b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 686.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.03b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 1.85b / Total Liabilities 6.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.26 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.16b/1.08b, Revenue 8.30b/8.01b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 11.30% / 12.18%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 8.30b / 8.01b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 348.0m - CFO 1.03b) / TA 8.18b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 199.50 with a total of 2,681,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.37%,
over one month by -2.00%,
over three months by +7.49% and
over the past year by +60.33%.
XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 225.3 | 12.9% |
P/E Trailing = 68.5567
P/E Forward = 42.0168
P/S = 2.8224
P/B = 12.6612
P/EG = 2.2094
Revenue TTM = 8.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 686.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 268.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.79b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 755.0m
Net Debt = 4.55b USD (calculated: Debt 4.79b - CCE 237.0m)
Enterprise Value = 28.0b USD (23.4b + Debt 4.79b - CCE 237.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.18 (Ebit TTM 686.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m)
EV/FCF = 61.21x (Enterprise Value 28.0b / FCF TTM 457.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.63% (FCF TTM 457.0m / Enterprise Value 28.0b)
FCF Margin = 5.51% (FCF TTM 457.0m / Revenue TTM 8.30b)
Net Margin = 4.19% (Net Income TTM 348.0m / Revenue TTM 8.30b)
Gross Margin = 12.18% ((Revenue TTM 8.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.40% (prev 11.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.42 (Enterprise Value 28.0b / Total Assets 8.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.51% (Interest Expense 216.0m / Debt 4.79b)
Taxrate = 25.96% (122.0m / 470.0m)
NOPAT = 507.9m (EBIT 686.0m * (1 - 25.96%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 1.69b)
Debt / Equity = 2.59 (Debt 4.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.74 (Net Debt 4.55b / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = 9.95 (Net Debt 4.55b / FCF TTM 457.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.33% (Net Income 348.0m / Total Assets 8.18b)
RoE = 19.04% (Net Income TTM 348.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.83b)
RoCE = 13.72% (EBIT 686.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.83b + L.T.Debt 3.17b))
RoIC = 7.79% (NOPAT 507.9m / Invested Capital 6.52b)
WACC = 9.17% (E(23.4b)/V(28.2b) * Re(10.36%) + D(4.79b)/V(28.2b) * Rd(4.51%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -61.81 | Cagr: -0.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.36% ; FCFF base≈320.6m ; Y1≈367.5m ; Y5≈540.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 21.84 (EV 7.11b - Net Debt 4.55b = Equity 2.56b / Shares 117.4m; r=9.17% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 67.39 | EPS CAGR: 7.44% | SUE: 2.04 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 68.44 | Revenue CAGR: 25.21% | SUE: 2.40 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.46 | Chg30d=+0.79% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=+2.61% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.92 | Chg30d=+1.21% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+31.8% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.00 | Chg30d=+0.52% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+22.1% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%