(XPO) XPO Logistics - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9837931008

LTL, Truckload, Brokerage, Last-Mile, Warehousing

Air Freight & Logistics
Market Cap in USD: 17,279m
IPO / Inception: 2003-10-07
12m vs SPY: -10.1%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of XPO over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": 1.19, "2021-03": 1.46, "2021-06": 1.86, "2021-09": 0.94, "2021-12": 1.34, "2022-03": 1.25, "2022-06": 1.81, "2022-09": 1.45, "2022-12": 0.98, "2023-03": 0.56, "2023-06": 0.71, "2023-09": 0.88, "2023-12": 0.77, "2024-03": 0.81, "2024-06": 1.12, "2024-09": 1.02, "2024-12": 0.89, "2025-03": 0.73, "2025-06": 1.05, "2025-09": 1.07, "2025-12": 0,
EPS CAGR: -50.87%
EPS Trend: -52.1%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of XPO over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 4665, 2021-03: 2989, 2021-06: 3186, 2021-09: 3270, 2021-12: 3361, 2022-03: 1894, 2022-06: 2047, 2022-09: 1946, 2022-12: -2029, 2023-03: 1907, 2023-06: 1917, 2023-09: 1980, 2023-12: 1940, 2024-03: 2018, 2024-06: 2079, 2024-09: 2053, 2024-12: 1922, 2025-03: 1954, 2025-06: 2080, 2025-09: 2111, 2025-12: null,
Rev. CAGR: -11.66%
Rev. Trend: 18.6%
Last SUE: 1.63
Qual. Beats: 2

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 42.3%
Value at Risk 5%th 62.3%
Relative Tail Risk -10.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.32
Alpha -19.77
CAGR/Max DD 1.38
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.409
Beta 1.509
Beta Downside 1.404
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 42.19%
Mean DD 12.11%
Median DD 11.44%

Description: XPO XPO Logistics January 03, 2026

XPO, Inc. operates freight transportation services across North America and Europe through two primary segments: a North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) business that offers dense, day-definite shipping to the U.S., Mexico, Canada and the Caribbean; and a European Transportation business that provides a mix of dedicated truckload, LTL, brokerage, managed transportation, last-mile delivery, freight forwarding, warehousing, and multimodal solutions (road-rail, road-short sea) to customers in consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company, headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, rebranded from XPO Logistics, Inc. to XPO, Inc. in December 2022.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show total revenue of roughly $9.9 billion, with the North American LTL segment contributing about 55 % of that total and delivering an adjusted EBITDA margin near 6 %. Volume growth is being driven by sustained e-commerce demand and near-shoring trends, while the business remains sensitive to macro-economic factors such as freight-rate cycles, fuel price volatility, and a persistent driver labor shortage that compresses capacity and pricing power.

For a deeper, data-driven look at XPO’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay for additional quantitative insights.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (332.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 484.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 0.40% (prev 1.12%; Δ -0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 946.0m > Net Income 332.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (3.77b) to EBITDA (1.18b) ratio: 3.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (120.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 11.57% (prev 11.45%; Δ 0.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 100.1% (prev 102.1%; Δ -1.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.04 (EBITDA TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.01

(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.70b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 8.19b
(B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 829.0m / Total Assets 8.19b
(C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 666.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.06b
(D) 0.10 = Book Value of Equity 621.1m / Total Liabilities 6.37b
Total Rating: 1.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.16

1. Piotroski 4.0pt
2. FCF Yield 1.09%
3. FCF Margin 2.84%
4. Debt/Equity 2.26
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.20
6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.12)%
7. RoE 19.42%
8. Rev. Trend 18.61%
9. EPS Trend -52.06%

What is the price of XPO shares?

As of January 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 147.22 with a total of 769,629 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.19%, over one month by +0.37%, over three months by +14.63% and over the past year by +8.51%.

Is XPO a buy, sell or hold?

XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.
  • Strong Buy: 17
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 155.5 5.6%
Analysts Target Price 155.5 5.6%
ValueRay Target Price 202.9 37.8%

XPO Fundamental Data Overview January 13, 2026

P/E Trailing = 52.9711
P/E Forward = 34.2466
P/S = 2.1417
P/B = 9.4792
P/EG = 2.3974
Beta = 1.805
Revenue TTM = 8.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 666.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 277.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.05b USD (17.28b + Debt 4.11b - CCE 335.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.04 (Ebit TTM 666.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
EV/FCF = 91.94x (Enterprise Value 21.05b / FCF TTM 229.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.09% (FCF TTM 229.0m / Enterprise Value 21.05b)
FCF Margin = 2.84% (FCF TTM 229.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Net Margin = 4.12% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Gross Margin = 11.57% ((Revenue TTM 8.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.84% (prev 12.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.57 (Enterprise Value 21.05b / Total Assets 8.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 54.0m / Debt 4.11b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (30.0m / 112.0m)
NOPAT = 487.6m (EBIT 666.0m * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.70b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 4.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.20 (Net Debt 3.77b / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = 16.48 (Net Debt 3.77b / FCF TTM 229.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.12% (Net Income 332.0m / Total Assets 8.19b)
RoE = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.71b)
RoCE = 13.51% (EBIT 666.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.71b + L.T.Debt 3.22b))
RoIC = 9.57% (NOPAT 487.6m / Invested Capital 5.09b)
WACC = 9.45% (E(17.28b)/V(21.39b) * Re(11.47%) + D(4.11b)/V(21.39b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 11.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.95% ; FCFF base≈229.0m ; Y1≈150.3m ; Y5≈68.6m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.07b - Net Debt 3.77b = -2.70b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -52.06 | EPS CAGR: -50.87% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.61 | Revenue CAGR: -11.66% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-0.055 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=18
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.36 | Chg30d=-0.140 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+19.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%

Additional Sources for XPO Stock

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