Overview Dividends

(XPO) XPO Logistics - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9837931008

Freight, Transportation, Logistics, Warehousing, Truckload

XPO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -8.27%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 44.3%

XPO Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 2.45%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 39.6%

Description: XPO XPO Logistics

XPO, Inc. is a leading provider of freight transportation services operating in North America and Europe. The companys two main segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation, offer a range of services including LTL, truckload, truck brokerage, and warehousing solutions to a diverse customer base across various markets.

From a operational perspective, XPOs North American LTL segment benefits from its geographic density, allowing for day-definite domestic and cross-border services. The European Transportation segment provides a comprehensive suite of transportation and logistics solutions, including multimodal options. To evaluate XPOs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating ratio, and average revenue per shipment (ARPS) can be examined. For instance, a declining operating ratio indicates improved operational efficiency, while an increase in ARPS suggests pricing power and a shift towards higher-value shipments.

From a financial perspective, XPOs market capitalization and valuation multiples can provide insights into its growth prospects and profitability. With a market cap of approximately $15.6 billion and a forward P/E ratio of 37.88, investors are pricing in expectations of future growth. Return on Equity (RoE) of 24.38% indicates that XPO is generating strong returns for its shareholders. Other relevant KPIs include Debt-to-Equity ratio, Interest Coverage ratio, and Cash Flow Conversion to assess the companys financial health and ability to service its debt.

XPO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	14,020m
Sub-Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
IPO / Inception	2003-10-07

XPO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	53.5%
Fundamental	53.7%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-6.96%
Analyst Rating	4.38 of 5

XPO Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

XPO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	52.6%
Growth Correlation 12m	-1.4%
Growth Correlation 5y	75.7%
CAGR 5y	33.65%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	0.63
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.45
Alpha	-13.76
Beta	1.499
Volatility	47.97%
Current Volume	1183.5k
Average Volume 20d	1142.2k
Stop Loss	122.1 (-3.6%)
Signal	-1.64

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (345.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 480.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 0.30% (prev 0.07%; Δ 0.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 842.0m > Net Income 345.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.94b) to EBITDA (1.20b) ratio: 3.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (119.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 11.34% (prev 11.20%; Δ 0.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 101.0% (prev 103.7%; Δ -2.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.14 (EBITDA TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 221.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.00

(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.62b - Total Current Liabilities 1.60b) / Total Assets 8.13b

(B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 747.0m / Total Assets 8.13b

(D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 548.1m / Total Liabilities 6.35b

Total Rating: 1.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.73

1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50

2. FCF Yield 0.89% = 0.44

3. FCF Margin 1.92% = 0.48

4. Debt/Equity 2.00 = 0.78

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.97 = -1.72

6. ROIC - WACC 1.73% = 2.16

7. RoE 20.71% = 1.73

8. Rev. Trend 39.62% = 1.98

9. Rev. CAGR 2.45% = 0.31

10. EPS Trend 44.28% = 1.11

11. EPS CAGR -8.27% = -1.03

What is the price of XPO shares?

As of August 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 126.67 with a total of 1,183,500 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.79%, over one month by -1.38%, over three months by +1.79% and over the past year by +7.58%.

Is XPO Logistics a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, XPO Logistics is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 53.73 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of XPO is around 141.58 USD . This means that XPO is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +11.77% (Margin of Safety).

Is XPO a buy, sell or hold?

XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.

Strong Buy: 17
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	138	8.9%
Analysts Target Price	124.5	-1.7%
ValueRay Target Price	159.2	25.7%

Last update: 2025-08-13 02:52

XPO Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 14.02b (14.02b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 225.0m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 41.1938
P/E Forward = 34.8432
P/S = 1.7505
P/B = 7.9491
P/EG = 2.4717
Beta = 1.786
Revenue TTM = 8.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 693.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 211.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.56b USD (Calculated: Short Term 211.0m + Long Term 3.34b)
Net Debt = 3.94b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.35b USD (14.02b + Debt 3.56b - CCE 225.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.14 (Ebit TTM 693.0m / Interest Expense TTM 221.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.89% (FCF TTM 154.0m / Enterprise Value 17.35b)
FCF Margin = 1.92% (FCF TTM 154.0m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Net Margin = 4.31% (Net Income TTM 345.0m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Gross Margin = 11.34% ((Revenue TTM 8.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 31.65 (Enterprise Value 17.35b / Book Value Of Equity 548.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 56.0m / Debt 3.56b)
Taxrate = 18.18% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 86.0m / 473.0m)
NOPAT = 567.0m (EBIT 693.0m * (1 - 18.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.62b / Total Current Liabilities 1.60b)
Debt / Equity = 2.00 (Debt 3.56b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.97 (Net Debt 3.94b / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = 23.08 (Debt 3.56b / FCF TTM 154.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 4.24% (Net Income 345.0m, Total Assets 8.13b )
RoE = 20.71% (Net Income TTM 345.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 13.83% (Ebit 693.0m / (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 3.34b))
RoIC = 11.19% (NOPAT 567.0m / Invested Capital 5.07b)
WACC = 9.47% (E(14.02b)/V(17.57b) * Re(11.54%)) + (D(3.56b)/V(17.57b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 56.40 | Cagr: 0.64%
Discount Rate = 11.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.50% ; FCFE base≈154.0m ; Y1≈101.1m ; Y5≈46.2m
Fair Price DCF = 4.85 (DCF Value 571.7m / Shares Outstanding 117.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 39.62 | Revenue CAGR: 2.45%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 38.52%
EPS Correlation: 44.28 | EPS CAGR: -8.27%
Growth-of-Growth: -62.98

Additional Sources for XPO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle