(XPO) XPO Logistics - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 24.742m USD | Total Return: 70.8% in 12m

Less-Than-Truckload, Freight Brokerage, Last Mile, Warehousing
Total Rating 69
Safety 73
Buy Signal 0.49
Trucking
Industry Rotation: +8.8
Market Cap: 24.7B
Avg Turnover: 272M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.8%
VaR 5th Pctl7.39%
VaR vs Median-2.20%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.33
Rel. Str. IBD81
Rel. Str. Peer Group86.4
Character TTM
Beta1.310
Beta Downside1.411
Hurst Exponent0.535
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD42.19%
CAGR/Max DD1.48
CAGR/Mean DD5.57
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of XPO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.46, "2021-06": 1.86, "2021-09": 0.94, "2021-12": 1.34, "2022-03": 1.25, "2022-06": 1.81, "2022-09": 1.45, "2022-12": 0.98, "2023-03": 0.56, "2023-06": 0.71, "2023-09": 0.88, "2023-12": 0.77, "2024-03": 0.81, "2024-06": 1.12, "2024-09": 1.02, "2024-12": 0.89, "2025-03": 0.73, "2025-06": 1.05, "2025-09": 1.07, "2025-12": 0.88, "2026-03": 1.01,
EPS CAGR: 7.44%
EPS Trend: 67.4%
Last SUE: 1.93
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of XPO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 2989, 2021-06: 3186, 2021-09: 3270, 2021-12: 3361, 2022-03: 1894, 2022-06: 2047, 2022-09: 1946, 2022-12: -2029, 2023-03: 1907, 2023-06: 1917, 2023-09: 1980, 2023-12: 1940, 2024-03: 2018, 2024-06: 2079, 2024-09: 2053, 2024-12: 1922, 2025-03: 1954, 2025-06: 2080, 2025-09: 2111, 2025-12: 2011, 2026-03: 2096,
Rev. CAGR: 25.21%
Rev. Trend: 68.4%
Last SUE: 2.40
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

Altman Z'' 1.09 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: XPO XPO Logistics

XPO, Inc. is a leading provider of freight transportation services, operating primarily through its North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation segments. The company facilitates domestic and cross-border shipping across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and various European markets, offering services such as truck brokerage, last-mile delivery, and managed transportation.

The LTL sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the extensive network of physical terminals and specialized equipment required to consolidate multiple small shipments into single trailers. XPO utilizes a hub-and-spoke business model to optimize geographic density and provide day-definite delivery schedules for industrial and consumer clients.

For a more granular view of the companys financial health, consider reviewing the fundamental metrics available on ValueRay.

Headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, the firm rebranded from XPO Logistics, Inc. to XPO, Inc. in late 2022 to reflect its streamlined focus on core transportation assets. Its European operations further diversify the revenue base by providing multimodal solutions and warehousing to a broad range of trade and industrial sectors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Yield improvement in North American LTL segment drives higher operating margins
  • Industrial production levels dictate freight volume demand across North American network
  • Integration of acquired Yellow Corp terminals accelerates market share capture
  • Labor cost inflation and driver shortages impact long-term network profitability
  • European macroeconomic weakness pressures international brokerage and transportation revenue growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 348.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.11 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -0.19% < 20% (prev 0.36%; Δ -0.55% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.03b > Net Income 348.0m
Net Debt (4.55b) to EBITDA (1.22b): 3.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.0m) vs 12m ago -0.83% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.18% > 18% (prev 0.11%; Δ 1.21k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 103.3% > 50% (prev 101.6%; Δ 1.69% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.21 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.09
A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 1.69b) / Total Assets 8.18b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 989.0m / Total Assets 8.18b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 693.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.03b)
D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 795.0m / Total Liabilities 6.33b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.09 = BB
Beneish M -3.13
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.16b/1.08b, Revenue 8.30b/8.01b)
GMI: 0.93 (GM 12.18% / 11.30%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 8.30b / 8.01b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 348.0m - CFO 1.03b) / TA 8.18b)
Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of XPO shares? As of May 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 203.57 with a total of 1,006,608 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.64%, over one month by -8.23%, over three months by +0.86% and over the past year by +70.84%.
Is XPO a buy, sell or hold? XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.
  • StrongBuy: 17
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?
Analysts Target Price 223.4 9.7%
XPO Logistics (XPO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 72.4158
P/E Forward = 42.735
P/S = 2.9813
P/B = 12.8389
P/EG = 2.2404
Revenue TTM = 8.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 693.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 268.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.79b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 755.0m
Net Debt = 4.55b USD (calculated: Debt 4.79b - CCE 237.0m)
Enterprise Value = 29.29b USD (24.74b + Debt 4.79b - CCE 237.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.21 (Ebit TTM 693.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m)
EV/FCF = 64.09x (Enterprise Value 29.29b / FCF TTM 457.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.56% (FCF TTM 457.0m / Enterprise Value 29.29b)
FCF Margin = 5.51% (FCF TTM 457.0m / Revenue TTM 8.30b)
Net Margin = 4.19% (Net Income TTM 348.0m / Revenue TTM 8.30b)
Gross Margin = 12.18% ((Revenue TTM 8.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.40% (prev 11.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 29.29b / Total Assets 8.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 53.0m / Debt 4.79b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (23.0m / 124.0m)
NOPAT = 564.5m (EBIT 693.0m * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 1.69b)
Debt / Equity = 2.59 (Debt 4.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.72 (Net Debt 4.55b / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = 9.95 (Net Debt 4.55b / FCF TTM 457.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.33% (Net Income 348.0m / Total Assets 8.18b)
RoE = 19.04% (Net Income TTM 348.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.83b)
RoCE = 13.86% (EBIT 693.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.83b + L.T.Debt 3.17b))
RoIC = 8.65% (NOPAT 564.5m / Invested Capital 6.52b)
WACC = 9.02% (E(24.74b)/V(29.53b) * Re(10.59%) + D(4.79b)/V(29.53b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -61.81 | Cagr: -0.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.16% ; FCFF base≈320.6m ; Y1≈210.5m ; Y5≈96.3m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.62b - Net Debt 4.55b = -2.93b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 67.39 | EPS CAGR: 7.44% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 68.44 | Revenue CAGR: 25.21% | SUE: 2.40 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+11.52% | Revisions=+65% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=+3.58% | Revisions=+55% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.86 | Chg30d=+7.58% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+30.2% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.97 | Chg30d=+3.12% | Revisions=+78% | GrowthEPS=+22.9% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +85%