Overview Dividends

(XPO) XPO Logistics - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9837931008

LTL, Truckload, Brokerage, Warehousing, Last-Mile

Air Freight & Logistics
Market Cap in USD: 16,312m

IPO / Inception: 2003-10-07
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -9.95%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -5.82%
EPS Trend: -37.5%

Last SUE: 0.55
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -11.66%
Rev. Trend: 18.6%

Last SUE: 1.63
Qual. Beats: 2

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	42.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	63.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.38%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.23
Alpha	-29.90
CAGR/Max DD	1.46

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.425
Beta	1.469
Beta Downside	1.436

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	42.19%
Mean DD	11.97%
Median DD	11.18%

Description: XPO XPO Logistics October 30, 2025

XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) operates freight transportation services across North America and Europe, split into two reporting segments: North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL business focuses on high-density, day-definite shipments within the U.S., Mexico, Canada and the Caribbean, while the European segment provides a broad suite of logistics solutions-including dedicated truckload, LTL, brokerage, managed transportation, last-mile delivery, freight forwarding, warehousing, and multimodal road-rail/short-sea services-to customers in consumer, trade and industrial markets.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $9.3 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 6.5 %, and a 4.2 % YoY increase in total truckload volumes, driven largely by e-commerce and reshoring trends. The company’s asset-light model yields a capital-expenditure intensity of roughly $0.15 per revenue dollar, well below the industry average of $0.25, reflecting its reliance on technology-enabled brokerage and managed-service contracts.

Macro-level drivers that materially affect XPO’s outlook include: (1) freight rate volatility tied to macro-economic cycles and fuel price swings; (2) persistent driver and equipment labor shortages that pressure capacity utilization and pricing power; and (3) the continued acceleration of e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment, which expands demand for last-mile and cross-border LTL services.

For a deeper, data-driven view of XPO’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (332.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 484.0m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 0.40% (prev 1.12%; Δ -0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 946.0m > Net Income 332.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.77b) to EBITDA (1.18b) ratio: 3.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (120.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 11.57% (prev 11.45%; Δ 0.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 100.1% (prev 102.1%; Δ -1.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.04 (EBITDA TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.01

(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.70b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 8.19b

(B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 829.0m / Total Assets 8.19b

(D) 0.10 = Book Value of Equity 621.1m / Total Liabilities 6.37b

Total Rating: 1.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.08

1. Piotroski 4.0pt

2. FCF Yield 1.14%

3. FCF Margin 2.84%

4. Debt/Equity 2.26

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.20

6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.25)%

7. RoE 19.42%

8. Rev. Trend 18.61%

9. EPS Trend -37.55%

What is the price of XPO shares?

As of December 24, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 140.09 with a total of 952,749 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.44%, over one month by +4.70%, over three months by +5.11% and over the past year by +5.39%.

Is XPO a buy, sell or hold?

XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.

Strong Buy: 17
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	152.4	8.8%
Analysts Target Price	152.4	8.8%
ValueRay Target Price	194.7	39%

XPO Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025

Market Cap USD = 16.31b (16.31b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 49.8273
P/E Forward = 32.8947
P/S = 2.0219
P/B = 9.1039
P/EG = 2.3025
Beta = 1.814
Revenue TTM = 8.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 666.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 277.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.09b USD (16.31b + Debt 4.11b - CCE 335.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.04 (Ebit TTM 666.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.14% (FCF TTM 229.0m / Enterprise Value 20.09b)
FCF Margin = 2.84% (FCF TTM 229.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Net Margin = 4.12% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Gross Margin = 11.57% ((Revenue TTM 8.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.84% (prev 12.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 20.09b / Total Assets 8.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 54.0m / Debt 4.11b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (30.0m / 112.0m)
NOPAT = 487.6m (EBIT 666.0m * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.70b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 4.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.20 (Net Debt 3.77b / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = 16.48 (Net Debt 3.77b / FCF TTM 229.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.05% (Net Income 332.0m / Total Assets 8.19b)
RoE = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.71b)
RoCE = 13.51% (EBIT 666.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.71b + L.T.Debt 3.22b))
RoIC = 9.57% (NOPAT 487.6m / Invested Capital 5.09b)
WACC = 9.32% (E(16.31b)/V(20.42b) * Re(11.43%) + D(4.11b)/V(20.42b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 11.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.88% ; FCFE base≈229.0m ; Y1≈150.3m ; Y5≈68.8m
Fair Price DCF = 7.32 (DCF Value 859.7m / Shares Outstanding 117.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -37.55 | EPS CAGR: -5.82% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.61 | Revenue CAGR: -11.66% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.032 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.47 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+22.1% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%

Additional Sources for XPO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle