Overview Dividends

(XPO) XPO Logistics - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9837931008

LTL, Truckload, Brokerage, Warehousing, Last-Mile

XPO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 3.25%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 49.2%

XPO Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 206.24%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 48.5%

Description: XPO XPO Logistics October 30, 2025

XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) operates freight transportation services across North America and Europe, split into two reporting segments: North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL business focuses on high-density, day-definite shipments within the U.S., Mexico, Canada and the Caribbean, while the European segment provides a broad suite of logistics solutions-including dedicated truckload, LTL, brokerage, managed transportation, last-mile delivery, freight forwarding, warehousing, and multimodal road-rail/short-sea services-to customers in consumer, trade and industrial markets.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $9.3 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin of ≈ 6.5 %, and a 4.2 % YoY increase in total truckload volumes, driven largely by e-commerce and reshoring trends. The company’s asset-light model yields a capital-expenditure intensity of roughly $0.15 per revenue dollar, well below the industry average of $0.25, reflecting its reliance on technology-enabled brokerage and managed-service contracts.

Macro-level drivers that materially affect XPO’s outlook include: (1) freight rate volatility tied to macro-economic cycles and fuel price swings; (2) persistent driver and equipment labor shortages that pressure capacity utilization and pricing power; and (3) the continued acceleration of e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment, which expands demand for last-mile and cross-border LTL services.

For a deeper, data-driven view of XPO’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.

XPO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	16,888m
Sub-Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
IPO / Inception	2003-10-07

XPO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	45.0%
Fundamental	57.5%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-18.0%
Analyst Rating	4.38 of 5

XPO Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

XPO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	19.2%
Growth Correlation 12m	-26.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	76.8%
CAGR 5y	53.43%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	1.27
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	4.46
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.62
Alpha	-26.27
Beta	1.764
Volatility	45.30%
Current Volume	767.7k
Average Volume 20d	1110.1k
Stop Loss	133.7 (-5%)
Signal	0.87

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (332.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 484.0m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.63pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 0.40% (prev 1.12%; Δ -0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 949.0m > Net Income 332.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.77b) to EBITDA (1.18b) ratio: 3.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (120.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.37% (prev 11.45%; Δ 22.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 111.9% (prev 102.1%; Δ 9.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.04 (EBITDA TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.21

(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.70b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 6.49b

(B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 829.0m / Total Assets 6.49b

(D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 621.0m / Total Liabilities 4.70b

Total Rating: 1.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.54

1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0

2. FCF Yield 1.12% = 0.56

3. FCF Margin 2.88% = 0.72

4. Debt/Equity 2.26 = 0.37

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.20 = -2.02

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.64)% = -0.80

7. RoE 19.42% = 1.62

8. Rev. Trend 48.45% = 3.63

9. EPS Trend 49.15% = 2.46

What is the price of XPO shares?

As of November 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 140.77 with a total of 767,698 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.15%, over one month by +6.31%, over three months by +16.94% and over the past year by -6.51%.

Is XPO Logistics a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, XPO Logistics is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 57.54 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of XPO is around 164.53 USD . This means that XPO is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +16.88% (Margin of Safety).

Is XPO a buy, sell or hold?

XPO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy XPO.

Strong Buy: 17
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the XPO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	146.4	4%
Analysts Target Price	146.4	4%
ValueRay Target Price	186.4	32.4%

XPO Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025

Market Cap USD = 16.89b (16.89b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 51.7518
P/E Forward = 26.9542
P/S = 2.0932
P/B = 8.3868
P/EG = 1.8872
Beta = 1.764
Revenue TTM = 8.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 666.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 277.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.66b USD (16.89b + Debt 4.11b - CCE 335.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.04 (Ebit TTM 666.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.12% (FCF TTM 232.0m / Enterprise Value 20.66b)
FCF Margin = 2.88% (FCF TTM 232.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Net Margin = 4.12% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Revenue TTM 8.07b)
Gross Margin = 34.37% ((Revenue TTM 8.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 12.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.18 (Enterprise Value 20.66b / Total Assets 6.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 54.0m / Debt 4.11b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (30.0m / 112.0m)
NOPAT = 487.6m (EBIT 666.0m * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.70b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 2.26 (Debt 4.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.20 (Net Debt 3.77b / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = 16.27 (Net Debt 3.77b / FCF TTM 232.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.12% (Net Income 332.0m / Total Assets 6.49b)
RoE = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 332.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.71b)
RoCE = 13.23% (EBIT 666.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.71b + L.T.Debt 3.33b))
RoIC = 9.62% (NOPAT 487.6m / Invested Capital 5.07b)
WACC = 10.26% (E(16.89b)/V(21.00b) * Re(12.52%) + D(4.11b)/V(21.00b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 12.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 53.24% ; FCFE base≈232.0m ; Y1≈152.3m ; Y5≈69.7m
Fair Price DCF = 6.69 (DCF Value 784.8m / Shares Outstanding 117.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 49.15 | EPS CAGR: 3.25% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.45 | Revenue CAGR: 206.2% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 2

Additional Sources for XPO Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle