YOU Stock Analysis: Clear Secure | NYSE

Identity Verification, Airport Security, Mobile Application, Digital ID

Total Rating 59

Safety 78

Buy Signal -0.28

Software - Application
Industry Rotation: -13.8

Market Cap: 5.52B
Avg Turnover: 73.1M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility47.4%

VaR 5^th Pctl7.65%

VaR vs Median-1.81%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.38

Rel. Str. IBD16

Rel. Str. Peer Group27.7

Character TTM

Beta0.223

Beta Downside0.042

Hurst Exponent0.473

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD42.21%

CAGR/Max DD0.79

CAGR/Mean DD2.04

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 50.22%
EPS Trend: 80.7%

Last SUE: 0.44
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 21.16%
Rev. Trend: 99.4%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 15

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.1 years of data

Jan -4.2% 20

Feb +3.5% 0

Mar +1.5% 0

Apr -6.7% 23

May +0.3% 0

Jun -1.5% 10

Jul +3.6% 28

Aug +6.3% 0

Sep -4.2% 0

Oct -2.2% 0

Nov +15.3% 24

Dec -1.9% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: YOU Clear Secure

Clear Secure, Inc. (NYSE: YOU) is a U.S.-based identity technology company that operates a multi-layered secure identity platform under the CLEAR brand, offering both consumer-facing services and business-to-business identity verification solutions. Its flagship consumer product, CLEAR Plus, is a subscription service that provides expedited access through airport security checkpoints, supplemented by a mobile app for enrollment and account management. The companys broader product portfolio spans airport reservation tools, B2B identity verification (CLEAR1), a free mobile digital ID, premium concierge services for frequent travelers, TSA PreCheck enrollment, virtual queuing technology, and a one-click know-your-customer (KYC) offering called Sora ID. Clear Secure has a strategic collaboration with Samsung Electronics America to develop a digital ID solution that allows users to add a U.S. passport to Samsung Wallet. Founded in 2010 and headquartered in New York, Clear Secure went public in mid-2021 and remains a subsidiary of Alclear Investments, LLC.

The company is classified within the GICS Information Technology sector and Application Software sub-industry, reflecting its positioning as a software-driven identity platform rather than a hardware or services firm. Its business model blends recurring subscription revenue (CLEAR Plus) with transaction-based and enterprise licensing streams from partners using its identity verification infrastructure.

Headlines to Watch Out For

CLEAR Plus subscription growth drives aviation revenue
CLEAR1 B2B platform expansion diversifies beyond airports
TSA PreCheck enrollment partnership adds recurring fee stream
Biometric data privacy regulation threatens consumer adoption

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 147.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.47 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.97% < 20% (prev -11.49%; Δ 15.46% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.34 > 3% & CFO 542.6m > Net Income 147.9m
Net Debt (-206.2m) to EBITDA (297.9m): -0.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (102.8m) vs 12m ago 8.14% < -2%
Gross Margin: 90.02% > 18% (prev 62.95%; Δ 27.06% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.56% > 50% (prev 70.81%; Δ 1.75% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)

Altman Z'' 1.94

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.02b - Total Current Liabilities 983.9m) / Total Assets 1.58b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 158.3m / Total Assets 1.58b)
C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 263.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.38b)
D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 206.2m / Total Liabilities 1.34b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.94 = BBB

Beneish M -3.30

DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.26m/1.05m, Revenue 1.00b/835.5m)
GMI: 0.70 (GM 62.95% / 90.02%)
AQI: 0.80 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.31)
SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 1.00b / 835.5m)
TATA: -0.25 (NI 147.9m - CFO 542.6m) / TA 1.58b)
Beneish M = -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of YOU shares?

As of September 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.11 with a total of 2,628,686 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.15%, over one month by -8.19%, over three months by -20.72% and over the past year by +10.70%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 37.80 (which is 5.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is YOU a buy, sell or hold?

Clear Secure has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefore, it is recommended to hold YOU.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 2
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the YOU price?

Analysts Target Price	59.7	48.8%

Clear Secure (YOU) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 September 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.52b (5.52b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.0483
P/S = 5.5186
P/B = 20.7476
Revenue TTM = 1.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 263.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 297.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 103.8m USD (estimated: total debt 109.8m - short term 5.98m)
Short Term Debt = 5.98m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 109.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 109.8m already included)
Net Debt = -206.2m USD (calculated: Debt 109.8m - CCE 316.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.32b USD (5.52b + Debt 109.8m - CCE 316.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 263.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 20.12x (Enterprise Value 5.32b / FCF TTM 264.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.97% (FCF TTM 264.2m / Enterprise Value 5.32b)
FCF Margin = 26.40% (FCF TTM 264.2m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Net Margin = 14.78% (Net Income TTM 147.9m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Gross Margin = 90.02% ((Revenue TTM 1.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 99.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.85% (prev 63.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.37 (Enterprise Value 5.32b / Total Assets 1.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 109.8m)
Taxrate = 21.25% (59.5m / 279.9m)
NOPAT = 207.1m (EBIT 263.1m * (1 - 21.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 1.02b / Total Current Liabilities 990.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 109.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 206.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -206.2m / EBITDA 297.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.78 (Net Debt -206.2m / FCF TTM 264.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 179.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.72% (Net Income 147.9m / Total Assets 1.58b)
RoE = 82.40% (Net Income TTM 147.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 179.5m)
RoCE = 92.87% (EBIT 263.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 179.5m + L.T.Debt 103.8m))
RoIC = 37.63% (NOPAT 207.1m / Invested Capital 550.4m)
WACC = 6.64% (E(5.52b)/V(5.63b) * Re(6.77%) + D(109.8m)/V(5.63b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.09 | Cagr: 4.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.95% ; FCFF base≈268.1m ; Y1≈261.2m ; Y5≈260.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 41.64 (EV 4.08b - Net Debt -206.2m = Equity 4.29b / Shares 102.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -3.54% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 80.70 | EPS CAGR: 50.22% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.42 | Revenue CAGR: 21.16% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 15
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=+2.47% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=+2.61% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+37.2% | GrowthRev=+23.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+4.35% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+24.1% | GrowthRev=+14.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)