Overview Dividends

(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Argentina • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9842451000

Crude, Gasoline, Diesel, Asphalt, Lubricants

YPF EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.69%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -8.7%

YPF Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 96.97%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 92.1%

Description: YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima October 31, 2025

YPF Sociedad Anónima (NYSE: YPF) is Argentina’s largest integrated energy firm, operating across the full oil-and-gas value chain. Upstream, it explores, develops and produces crude oil and natural gas; downstream, it runs refineries, petrochemical plants, and a nationwide retail network of service stations. Its gas-and-power segment handles natural-gas transport, regasification, processing, and power generation, while ancillary businesses supply diesel, fertilizers, lubricants and other specialty products.

Key recent metrics that shape YPF’s outlook include: • 2023 crude-oil production of roughly 500 k barrels per day, a modest rise from 2022 despite currency volatility. • Net profit of $1.2 bn (≈ ARS 130 bn) in 2023, driven by higher oil prices and a temporary lift in regulated gas tariffs. • Debt-to-EBITDA around 2.8×, indicating a relatively leveraged balance sheet but still within the range of regional peers. • Capital-expenditure guidance of $1.5 bn for 2024, focused on expanding the Vaca Muerta shale-oil development and modernising refinery capacity. Macro-drivers such as Argentina’s persistent peso inflation, government price-control policies on fuel, and the country’s reliance on energy imports make YPF’s cash-flow highly sensitive to fiscal and exchange-rate swings.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of YPF’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful as a next step.

YPF Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	14,939m
Sub-Industry	Integrated Oil & Gas
IPO / Inception	1993-06-28

YPF Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	47.9%
Fundamental	63.3%
Dividend Rating	17.2%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	13.2%
Analyst Rating	4.08 of 5

YPF Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

YPF Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-22.9%
Growth Correlation 12m	-63.7%
Growth Correlation 5y	92.1%
CAGR 5y	74.13%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	1.52
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	5.34
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.12
Alpha	34.91
Beta	0.428
Volatility	52.84%
Current Volume	2446.8k
Average Volume 20d	3165.1k
Stop Loss	34.8 (-6%)
Signal	0.37

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (1137.26b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1170.84b TTM)

FCFTA 11.28 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1128 pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -0.01% (prev -4.23%; Δ 4.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 112.2 (>3.0%) and CFO 3255.24b > Net Income 1137.26b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (9.78b) to EBITDA (3551.06b) ratio: 0.00 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (384.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 26.22% (prev 34.14%; Δ -7.92pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 155.5% (prev 43.50%; Δ 112.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.95 (EBITDA TTM 3551.06b / Interest Expense TTM 513.33b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.61

(A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 5.50b - Total Current Liabilities 7.35b) / Total Assets 29.02b

(B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.18b / Total Assets 29.02b

(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 11.12b / Total Liabilities 17.09b

Total Rating: 1.61 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.29

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0

2. FCF Yield 1.48% = 0.74

3. FCF Margin 1.68% = 0.42

4. Debt/Equity 0.90 = 2.11

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.00 = 2.50

7. RoE 12.57% = 1.05

8. Rev. Trend 92.09% = 6.91

9. EPS Trend -8.68% = -0.43

What is the price of YPF shares?

As of November 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 37.02 with a total of 2,446,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.86%, over one month by +50.37%, over three months by +5.47% and over the past year by +34.67%.

Is YPF Sociedad Anonima a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, YPF Sociedad Anonima is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 63.29 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of YPF is around 50.19 USD . This means that YPF is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +35.58% (Margin of Safety).

Is YPF a buy, sell or hold?

YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 3
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YPF price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	42.3	14.2%
Analysts Target Price	42.3	14.2%
ValueRay Target Price	55.5	49.9%

YPF Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025

Market Cap ARS = 22113.09b (14.94b USD * 1480.25 USD.ARS)
P/E Trailing = 11.7516
P/E Forward = 5.0277
P/S = 0.0007
P/B = 0.8008
P/EG = -0.17
Beta = 0.428
Revenue TTM = 19514.02b ARS
EBIT TTM = 1002.71b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 3551.06b ARS
Long Term Debt = 7.59b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.60b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.55b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.78b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22122.63b ARS (22113.09b + Debt 10.55b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.95 (Ebit TTM 1002.71b / Interest Expense TTM 513.33b)
FCF Yield = 1.48% (FCF TTM 327.25b / Enterprise Value 22122.63b)
FCF Margin = 1.68% (FCF TTM 327.25b / Revenue TTM 19514.02b)
Net Margin = 5.83% (Net Income TTM 1137.26b / Revenue TTM 19514.02b)
Gross Margin = 26.22% ((Revenue TTM 19514.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14398.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.27% (prev 27.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 762.5 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 22122.63b / Total Assets 29.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2644 % (Interest Expense 279.00b / Debt 10.55b)
Taxrate = 621.8% (out of range, set to none) (74.00b / 11.90b)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 5.50b / Total Current Liabilities 7.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 10.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.00 (Net Debt 9.78b / EBITDA 3551.06b)
Debt / FCF = 0.03 (Net Debt 9.78b / FCF TTM 327.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9045.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3920 % (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 12.57% (Net Income TTM 1137.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 9045.88b)
RoCE = 11.08% (EBIT 1002.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 9045.88b + L.T.Debt 7.59b))
RoIC = 4854 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 1002.71b / (Assets 29.02b - Curr.Liab 7.35b - Cash 1.01b))
WACC = 7.59% (E(22113.09b)/V(22123.64b) * Re(7.59%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.64% ; FCFE base≈197.66b ; Y1≈217.89b ; Y5≈280.89b
Fair Price DCF = 12.4k (DCF Value 4884.31b / Shares Outstanding 392.4m; 5y FCF grow 11.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.68 | EPS CAGR: -7.69% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.09 | Revenue CAGR: 96.97% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for YPF Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle