Overview Dividends

(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Argentina • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9842451000

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Products, Petrochemicals, Power

Integrated Oil & Gas
Market Cap in USD: 15,315m

IPO / Inception: 1993-06-28
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -31.2%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -3.25%
EPS Trend: 6.0%

Last SUE: -0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 107.96%
Rev. Trend: 97.2%

Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	44.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	64.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.77%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.06
Alpha	-34.12
CAGR/Max DD	1.17

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.439
Beta	1.170
Beta Downside	1.449

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	48.79%
Mean DD	14.70%
Median DD	12.47%

Description: YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima January 03, 2026

YPF Sociedad Anónima (NYSE: YPF) is Argentina’s largest integrated energy firm, conducting upstream activities (exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas) and downstream operations (refining, petrochemical manufacturing, and distribution of fuels and specialty products). The company also manages natural-gas transport and regasification terminals, operates power-generation assets, and runs a nationwide retail fuel-station network.

Key quantitative indicators (as of FY 2023) include an average production of roughly 350 kboe/d, a net debt of about US$7 bn (≈ 1.2 × equity), and a government stake of ~ 51 % that subjects YPF to policy-driven pricing and currency controls. Argentine macro-economic factors-high inflation, peso depreciation, and periodic energy subsidies-are the dominant drivers of YPF’s cash-flow volatility, while global oil price trends set the ceiling for upside potential.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of YPF’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore the analytics platform ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (-543.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1245.72b TTM)

FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.41pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -13.05% (prev -6.67%; Δ -6.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 2721.57b > Net Income -543.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (14898.71b) to EBITDA (3901.13b) ratio: 3.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (388.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 26.01% (prev 28.07%; Δ -2.07pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 59.21% (prev 54.45%; Δ 4.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.82 (EBITDA TTM 3901.13b / Interest Expense TTM 934.23b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.12

(A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 7996.80b - Total Current Liabilities 10706.18b) / Total Assets 42209.45b

(B) 0.23 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9858.25b / Total Assets 42209.45b

(D) 0.60 = Book Value of Equity 15472.57b / Total Liabilities 25602.03b

Total Rating: 1.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.87

1. Piotroski 3.50pt

2. FCF Yield -0.70%

3. FCF Margin -1.25%

4. Debt/Equity 0.98

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.82

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.44)%

7. RoE -3.93%

8. Rev. Trend 97.17%

9. EPS Trend 6.01%

What is the price of YPF shares?

As of January 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.29 with a total of 925,445 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.92%, over one month by +0.50%, over three months by +52.41% and over the past year by -18.63%.

Is YPF a buy, sell or hold?

YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 3
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YPF price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	46.7	28.7%
Analysts Target Price	46.7	28.7%
ValueRay Target Price	51.4	41.6%

YPF Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026

Market Cap ARS = 22229.73b (15.32b USD * 1451.5 USD.ARS)
P/E Forward = 7.77
P/S = 0.0007
P/B = 1.2386
P/EG = -0.17
Beta = 0.292
Revenue TTM = 20761.98b ARS
EBIT TTM = 768.60b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 3901.13b ARS
Long Term Debt = 7.96b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4231.08b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16039.28b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14898.71b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36818.68b ARS (22229.73b + Debt 16039.28b - CCE 1450.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.82 (Ebit TTM 768.60b / Interest Expense TTM 934.23b)
FCF Yield = -0.70% (FCF TTM -259.10b / Enterprise Value 36818.68b)
FCF Margin = -1.25% (FCF TTM -259.10b / Revenue TTM 20761.98b)
Net Margin = -2.62% (Net Income TTM -543.05b / Revenue TTM 20761.98b)
Gross Margin = 26.01% ((Revenue TTM 20761.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15362.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.52% (prev 25.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 36818.68b / Total Assets 42209.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.73% (Interest Expense 277.02b / Debt 16039.28b)
Taxrate = 158.4% (out of range, set to none) (740.90b / 467.72b)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 7996.80b / Total Current Liabilities 10706.18b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 16039.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16290.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.82 (Net Debt 14898.71b / EBITDA 3901.13b)
Debt / FCF = -57.50 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 14898.71b / FCF TTM -259.10b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13822.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.29% (Net Income -543.05b / Total Assets 42209.45b)
RoE = -3.93% (Net Income TTM -543.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 13822.02b)
RoCE = 5.56% (EBIT 768.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 13822.02b + L.T.Debt 7.96b))
RoIC = 2.56% (EBIT 768.60b / (Assets 42209.45b - Curr.Liab 10706.18b - Cash 1450.33b))
WACC = 6.00% (E(22229.73b)/V(38269.01b) * Re(10.33%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.25%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -259.10b)
EPS Correlation: 6.01 | EPS CAGR: -3.25% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.17 | Revenue CAGR: 108.0% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.66 | Chg30d=-0.340 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+56.3% | Growth Revenue=-0.7%

Additional Sources for YPF Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle