YPF Stock Analysis: YPF Sociedad Anonima | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 19.627m USD | 12M Return: 70% | US9842451000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 53.3M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
YPF Sociedad Anónima is an Argentine integrated energy company that operates across the full oil and gas value chain, with activities spanning exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, refining and commercialization of refined products, petrochemicals, and emerging segments in LNG and new energies. The company is organized into four reporting segments: Upstream, Midstream and Downstream, LNG and Integrated Gas, and New Energies. Beyond its core hydrocarbon operations, YPF produces fertilizers, crop protection products, grains, flours, oils, asphalts, naphtha, and petroleum coke, and operates in natural gas transportation, NGL fractionation, LNG liquefaction, and power generation.
Founded in 1977 and headquartered in Buenos Aires, YPF is listed on the NYSE under the ticker YPF and is classified within the GICS Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry. As an integrated player, it benefits from vertical control over upstream production, midstream logistics, and downstream refining and marketing, while its diversification into agribusiness inputs and new energies reflects broader industry trends toward energy transition and non-fuel revenue streams.
- Vaca Muerta shale production scales, lifting upstream volumes
- Argentine peso weakness pressures dollar-denominated debt and capex
- Government fuel price caps continue compressing downstream margins
| Net Income: 1157b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.57% < 20% (prev -15.64%; Δ 13.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 6068b > Net Income 1157b |
| Net Debt (12500b) to EBITDA (9974b): 1.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (387.5m) vs 12m ago 0.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.63% > 18% (prev 25.69%; Δ 9.94% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.32% > 50% (prev 40.71%; Δ 30.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5759b / Interest Expense TTM 1024b) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 10917b - Total Current Liabilities 11688b) / Total Assets 48386b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 9160b / Total Assets 48386b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 5759b / Avg Total Assets 42062b) |
| D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 19112b / Total Liabilities 29274b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.12 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.52 (Receivables 3128b/2906b, Revenue 29997b/14549b) |
| GMI: 0.72 (GM 25.69% / 35.63%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 2.06 (Revenue 29997b / 14549b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 1157b - CFO 6068b) / TA 48386b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.18 with a total of 475,120 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.26%, over one month by -1.43%, over three months by +5.31% and over the past year by +70.03%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 47.30 (which is 7.6% or 2 ATR below the current price).
YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 59.5 | 16.2% |
Market Cap ARS = 29431b (19.6b USD * 1499.5 USD.ARS)
P/E Trailing = 25.5408
P/E Forward = 8.1967
P/S = 0.0007
P/B = 1.5863
P/EG = 0.1007
Revenue TTM = 29997b ARS
EBIT TTM = 5759b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 9974b ARS
Long Term Debt = 8.23b ARS (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2854b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16195b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 640.0m
Net Debt = 12500b ARS (calculated: Debt 16195b - CCE 3695b)
Enterprise Value = 41931b ARS (29431b + Debt 16195b - CCE 3695b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.62 (Ebit TTM 5759b / Interest Expense TTM 1024b)
EV/FCF = 20.93x (Enterprise Value 41931b / FCF TTM 2004b)
FCF Yield = 4.78% (FCF TTM 2004b / Enterprise Value 41931b)
FCF Margin = 6.68% (FCF TTM 2004b / Revenue TTM 29997b)
Net Margin = 3.86% (Net Income TTM 1157b / Revenue TTM 29997b)
Gross Margin = 35.63% ((Revenue TTM 29997b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19308b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.98% (prev 35.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 41931b / Total Assets 48386b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.33% (Interest Expense 1024b / Debt 16195b)
Taxrate = 32.98% (628.7m / 1.91b)
NOPAT = 3860b (EBIT 5759b * (1 - 32.98%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 10917b / Total Current Liabilities 11688b)
Debt / Equity = 0.85 (Debt 16195b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19112b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.25 (Net Debt 12500b / EBITDA 9974b)
Debt / FCF = 6.24 (Net Debt 12500b / FCF TTM 2004b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16723b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.75% (Net Income 1157b / Total Assets 48386b)
RoE = 6.92% (Net Income TTM 1157b / Total Stockholder Equity 16723b)
RoCE = 34.42% (EBIT 5759b / Capital Employed (Equity 16723b + L.T.Debt 8.23b))
RoIC = 10.14% (NOPAT 3860b / Invested Capital 38052b)
WACC = 6.25% (E(29431b)/V(45627b) * Re(7.35%) + D(16195b)/V(45627b) * Rd(6.33%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 7.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -30.01 | Cagr: -0.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈2004b ; Y1≈2012b ; Y5≈2131b
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.7k (EV 33150b - Net Debt 12500b = Equity 20650b / Shares 392.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.58 | Revenue CAGR: 80.20% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.00 | Chg30d=+5.93% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.49 | Chg30d=+20.64% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+422.1% | GrowthRev=+21.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.69 | Chg30d=+1.78% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=-12.4% | GrowthRev=-4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75% (up=9, down=0)