(YUM) Yum! Brands - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 44.447m USD | Total Return: 13.3% in 12m
Chicken, Pizza, Mexican-Style, Burgers, Sandwiches
Total Rating 52
Safety 50
Buy Signal 0.56
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap:
44.4B
Avg Turnover: 237M USD
Avg Turnover: 237M USD
ATR:
2.14%
Peers RS (IBD): 82.9
Peers RS (IBD): 82.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility22.1%
Rel. Tail Risk-4.28%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Alpha4.76
Character TTM
Beta0.223
Beta Downside0.278
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD17.89%
CAGR/Max DD0.47
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -44.17%
EPS Trend: -11.1%
EPS Trend: -11.1%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 13.82%
Rev. Trend: 66.7%
Rev. Trend: 66.7%
Last SUE: 1.30
Qual. Beats: 1
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Altman Z'' -0.55 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: YUM Yum! Brands
Yum! Brands Inc. (NYSE:YUM) is a global quick-service restaurant franchisor that runs KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut and Habit Burger & Grill across the United States, China and dozens of other markets. The firm is organized into four operating divisions-KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut and Habit Burger & Grill-each focusing on distinct menu categories such as chicken, Mexican-style fare, pizza and made-to-order burgers.
As of the most recent fiscal year (FY 2025), Yum! reported a 4.2% same-store sales increase in the U.S. and a 6.8% rise in international markets, driven largely by robust digital-order volumes (now 38% of total sales) and a 12% boost in delivery partnerships. The company generated $6.1 billion in revenue, posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.5%, and maintained a dividend yield of roughly 2.3% while returning $1.4 billion to shareholders via buybacks.
Key macro-drivers include resilient consumer discretionary spending despite modest inflation, continued labor-cost pressures that favor franchised models, and the accelerating shift toward off-premise dining-trends that are shaping the broader restaurant sector.
For a deeper dive into YUM’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analysis available on ValueRay.
- Global same-store sales growth impacts royalty revenue
- Commodity price fluctuations affect food costs
- International expansion drives new unit development
- Franchisee health influences royalty and fee income
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
5.5
| Net Income: 1.56b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.27 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.38% < 20% (prev 7.97%; Δ -1.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 2.01b > Net Income 1.56b |
| Net Debt (11.20b) to EBITDA (2.78b): 4.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (278.0m) vs 12m ago -1.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.17% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4.57k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 110.1% > 50% (prev 112.2%; Δ -2.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.78b / Interest Expense TTM 500.0m) |
Altman Z''
-0.55
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 2.04b - Total Current Liabilities 1.52b) / Total Assets 8.20b |
| B: -0.86 (Retained Earnings -7.01b / Total Assets 8.20b) |
| C: 0.35 (EBIT TTM 2.58b / Avg Total Assets 7.46b) |
| D: -0.47 (Book Value of Equity -7.33b / Total Liabilities 15.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.55 = B |
Beneish M
-2.81
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 841.0m/830.0m, Revenue 8.21b/7.55b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 46.17% / 47.48%) |
| AQI: 1.40 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 8.21b / 7.55b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 1.56b - CFO 2.01b) / TA 8.20b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of YUM shares?
As of April 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 161.76 with a total of 1,065,323 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.80%, over one month by +1.61%, over three months by +3.56% and over the past year by +13.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.80%, over one month by +1.61%, over three months by +3.56% and over the past year by +13.33%.
Is YUM a buy, sell or hold?
Yum! Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold YUM.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 21
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUM price?
| Analysts Target Price | 171.8 | 6.2% |
Yum! Brands (YUM) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 11 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 28.9712 P/E Forward = 23.9234
P/S = 5.4112
P/B = 212.0838
P/EG = 1.9372
Revenue TTM = 8.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.58b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.65b USD (44.45b + Debt 11.91b - CCE 709.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.15 (Ebit TTM 2.58b / Interest Expense TTM 500.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.91x (Enterprise Value 55.65b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
FCF Yield = 2.95% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Enterprise Value 55.65b)
FCF Margin = 19.98% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 8.21b)
Net Margin = 18.98% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 8.21b)
Gross Margin = 46.17% ((Revenue TTM 8.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.42b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.51% (prev 47.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.79 (Enterprise Value 55.65b / Total Assets 8.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 133.0m / Debt 11.91b)
Taxrate = 11.86% (72.0m / 607.0m)
NOPAT = 2.27b (EBIT 2.58b * (1 - 11.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 2.04b / Total Current Liabilities 1.52b)
Debt / Equity = -1.63 (negative equity) (Debt 11.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.03 (Net Debt 11.20b / EBITDA 2.78b)
Debt / FCF = 6.83 (Net Debt 11.20b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.89% (Net Income 1.56b / Total Assets 8.20b)
RoE = -20.57% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.58b)
RoCE = 60.00% (EBIT 2.58b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.58b + L.T.Debt 11.87b))
RoIC = 57.67% (NOPAT 2.27b / Invested Capital 3.94b)
WACC = 5.55% (E(44.45b)/V(56.36b) * Re(6.77%) + D(11.91b)/V(56.36b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.09% ; FCFF base≈1.56b ; Y1≈1.69b ; Y5≈2.09b
[DCF] Fair Price = 182.7 (EV 61.66b - Net Debt 11.20b = Equity 50.46b / Shares 276.2m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.27% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -11.11 | EPS CAGR: -44.17% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 66.70 | Revenue CAGR: 13.82% | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.59 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.67 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.2% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.46 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+11.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.5% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 3.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +7.8% (Analyst 12.2% - Implied 4.5%)
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