(YUM) Yum! Brands - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 41.900m USD | Total Return: 4.7% in 12m

Fried Chicken, Tacos, Pizza, Burgers, Sandwiches
Total Rating 45
Safety 24
Buy Signal -0.70
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +5.0
Market Cap: 41.9B
Avg Turnover: 253M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.1%
VaR 5th Pctl3.84%
VaR vs Median5.62%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.12
Rel. Str. IBD23.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.8
Character TTM
Beta0.125
Beta Downside0.086
Hurst Exponent0.423
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD16.10%
CAGR/Max DD0.33
CAGR/Mean DD0.87
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of YUM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.07, "2021-06": 1.16, "2021-09": 1.22, "2021-12": 1.02, "2022-03": 1.05, "2022-06": 1.05, "2022-09": 1.09, "2022-12": 1.31, "2023-03": 1.06, "2023-06": 1.41, "2023-09": 1.44, "2023-12": 1.26, "2024-03": 1.15, "2024-06": 1.35, "2024-09": 1.35, "2024-12": 1.61, "2025-03": 0.9, "2025-06": 1.44, "2025-09": 1.58, "2025-12": 1.91, "2026-03": 1.5,
EPS CAGR: 6.69%
EPS Trend: 81.0%
Last SUE: 0.66
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of YUM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1486, 2021-06: 1602, 2021-09: 1606, 2021-12: 1890, 2022-03: 1547, 2022-06: 1636, 2022-09: 1640, 2022-12: 2019, 2023-03: 1645, 2023-06: 1687, 2023-09: 1708, 2023-12: 2036, 2024-03: 1598, 2024-06: 1763, 2024-09: 1826, 2024-12: 2362, 2025-03: 1787, 2025-06: 1932, 2025-09: 1980, 2025-12: 2514, 2026-03: 2059,
Rev. CAGR: 7.69%
Rev. Trend: 96.2%
Last SUE: 0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' -1.72 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: YUM Yum! Brands

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant operator and franchisor managing four primary segments: KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company oversees a diverse portfolio specializing in chicken, Mexican-style cuisine, pizza, and burgers across domestic and international markets.

The company utilizes a capital-light business model, generating a significant portion of its revenue through franchise fees and royalties rather than direct restaurant ownership. In the global restaurant sector, this model allows for rapid geographic scaling and reduces exposure to direct labor and food commodity inflation. Examining the companys historical valuation trends on ValueRay can provide further context on its long-term growth trajectory.

Originally incorporated as TRICON Global Restaurants in 1997, the firm rebranded to Yum! Brands in 2002. It operates both traditional standalone units and non-traditional locations, such as those found in airports and shopping centers, to maximize consumer touchpoints.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global unit growth acceleration drives royalty revenue and franchise fee expansion
  • Digital sales penetration and loyalty program adoption improve operating margins
  • Persistent food and labor inflation pressure franchisee profitability and royalty stability
  • China market performance volatility impacts KFC and Pizza Hut international segment earnings
  • Taco Bell domestic market share gains offset sluggish Pizza Hut same-store sales
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 1.74b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.71 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.82% < 20% (prev 6.41%; Δ -19.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 2.02b > Net Income 1.74b
Net Debt (12.7b) to EBITDA (2.89b): 4.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (279.0m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.67% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4.52k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 114.1% > 50% (prev 116.2%; Δ -2.08% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.89b / Interest Expense TTM 508.0m)
Altman Z'' -1.72
A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 2.03b - Total Current Liabilities 3.12b) / Total Assets 8.21b
B: -0.85 (Retained Earnings -6.97b / Total Assets 8.21b)
C: 0.36 (EBIT TTM 2.67b / Avg Total Assets 7.43b)
D: -0.47 (Book Value of Equity -7.28b / Total Liabilities 15.5b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.72 = D
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 828.0m/761.0m, Revenue 8.48b/7.74b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 45.67% / 46.80%)
AQI: 1.37 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.41)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 8.48b / 7.74b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.74b - CFO 2.02b) / TA 8.21b)
Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of YUM shares?

As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 147.95 with a total of 2,247,530 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.66%, over one month by -6.99%, over three months by -11.59% and over the past year by +4.70%.

Is YUM a buy, sell or hold?

Yum! Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefore, it is recommended to hold YUM.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 21
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YUM price?
Analysts Target Price 173.9 17.5%
Yum! Brands (YUM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 41.9b (41.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.5194
P/E Forward = 23.2558
P/S = 4.9375
P/B = 212.0838
P/EG = 1.8829
Revenue TTM = 8.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.67b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.89b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.74b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.43b
Net Debt = 12.7b USD (calculated: Debt 13.4b - CCE 689.0m)
Enterprise Value = 54.6b USD (41.9b + Debt 13.4b - CCE 689.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.26 (Ebit TTM 2.67b / Interest Expense TTM 508.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.11x (Enterprise Value 54.6b / FCF TTM 1.65b)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 1.65b / Enterprise Value 54.6b)
FCF Margin = 19.43% (FCF TTM 1.65b / Revenue TTM 8.48b)
Net Margin = 20.48% (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Revenue TTM 8.48b)
Gross Margin = 45.67% ((Revenue TTM 8.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.68% (prev 44.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.65 (Enterprise Value 54.6b / Total Assets 8.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.80% (Interest Expense 508.0m / Debt 13.4b)
Taxrate = 16.28% (84.0m / 516.0m)
NOPAT = 2.24b (EBIT 2.67b * (1 - 16.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 2.03b / Total Current Liabilities 3.12b)
 Debt / Equity = -1.84 (negative equity) (Debt 13.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.28b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 4.39 (Net Debt 12.7b / EBITDA 2.89b)
Debt / FCF = 7.70 (Net Debt 12.7b / FCF TTM 1.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.38% (Net Income 1.74b / Total Assets 8.21b)
 RoE = -364.2% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.74b / Total Stockholder Equity -477.2m)
 RoCE = 27.42% (EBIT 2.67b / Capital Employed (Equity -477.2m + L.T.Debt 10.2b))
RoIC = 36.38% (NOPAT 2.24b / Invested Capital 6.14b)
WACC = 5.64% (E(41.9b)/V(55.3b) * Re(6.42%) + D(13.4b)/V(55.3b) * Rd(3.80%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 6.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.81 | Cagr: -0.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.76% ; FCFF base≈1.57b ; Y1≈1.78b ; Y5≈2.54b
[DCF] Fair Price = 93.10 (EV 38.4b - Net Debt 12.7b = Equity 25.7b / Shares 275.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.65% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.02 | EPS CAGR: 6.69% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.19 | Revenue CAGR: 7.69% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-0.91% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=23
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-0.42% | Revisions=+22% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.76 | Chg30d=+1.34% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+11.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.50 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%