(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US98850P1093
KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.76% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 39.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.39 |
| Alpha | 0.71 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.320 |
| Beta | 0.629 |
| Beta Downside | 0.621 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.84% |
| Mean DD | 25.97% |
| Median DD | 27.09% |
Description: YUMC Yum China Holdings January 03, 2026
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) is the exclusive operator of KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang restaurant brands in the People’s Republic of China, combining company-owned, franchised, and online delivery formats under a single corporate umbrella.
As of the latest quarter, the chain reported approximately 10,800 restaurants, with same-store sales (SSS) growth of 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 28% increase in digital-order volume, which now accounts for roughly 35% of total sales. The company’s operating margin has stabilized around 18%, reflecting continued cost-discipline and supply-chain efficiencies.
Key macro drivers include China’s post-COVID consumer recovery, rising disposable income in Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities, and the government’s emphasis on food-service sector modernization. Conversely, labor cost inflation and tighter food-safety regulations pose upside risk to margins.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of YUMC’s valuation dynamics, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 904.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.32% < 20% (prev 6.60%; Δ -0.28% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.52b > Net Income 904.0m |
| Net Debt (1.62b) to EBITDA (1.76b): 0.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (368.0m) vs 12m ago -4.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.17% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1700 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 101.3% > 50% (prev 94.92%; Δ 6.41% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -43.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m) |
Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) 2.22
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 3.02b - Total Current Liabilities 2.28b) / Total Assets 11.03b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 2.05b / Total Assets 11.03b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.31b / Avg Total Assets 11.42b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 1.81b / Total Liabilities 4.65b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.22 = BBB |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.27
| 1. Piotroski: 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 5.59% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 8.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.92 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 9.00% |
| 7. RoE: 15.73% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 64.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 25.24% |
What is the price of YUMC shares?
As of January 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 49.37 with a total of 1,027,556 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.45%, over one month by +1.73%, over three months by +10.26% and over the past year by +12.27%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.45%, over one month by +1.73%, over three months by +10.26% and over the past year by +12.27%.
Is YUMC a buy, sell or hold?
Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58.1 | 17.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58.1 | 17.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.8 | 6.8% |
YUMC Fundamental Data Overview January 22, 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.6846
P/E Forward = 16.7785
P/S = 1.4518
P/B = 2.9507
P/EG = 1.287
Revenue TTM = 11.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.24b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 453.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.95b USD (16.80b + Debt 2.27b - CCE 2.12b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.57 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.88x (Enterprise Value 16.95b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.59% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Enterprise Value 16.95b)
FCF Margin = 8.19% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Gross Margin = 17.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.15% (prev 17.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.54 (Enterprise Value 16.95b / Total Assets 11.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 2.27b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (114.0m / 419.0m)
NOPAT = 951.4m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 3.02b / Total Current Liabilities 2.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 1.62b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.71 (Net Debt 1.62b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.92% (Net Income 904.0m / Total Assets 11.03b)
RoE = 15.73% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.75b)
RoCE = 16.37% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.75b + L.T.Debt 2.24b))
RoIC = 16.35% (NOPAT 951.4m / Invested Capital 5.82b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(16.80b)/V(19.06b) * Re(8.23%) + D(2.27b)/V(19.06b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.98% ; FCFF base≈835.3m ; Y1≈936.5m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 65.07 (EV 24.65b - Net Debt 1.62b = Equity 23.04b / Shares 354.0m; r=7.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 25.24 | EPS CAGR: -36.88% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.09 | Revenue CAGR: 9.37% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%
P/E Forward = 16.7785
P/S = 1.4518
P/B = 2.9507
P/EG = 1.287
Revenue TTM = 11.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.24b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 453.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.95b USD (16.80b + Debt 2.27b - CCE 2.12b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.57 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.88x (Enterprise Value 16.95b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.59% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Enterprise Value 16.95b)
FCF Margin = 8.19% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Gross Margin = 17.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.15% (prev 17.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.54 (Enterprise Value 16.95b / Total Assets 11.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 2.27b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (114.0m / 419.0m)
NOPAT = 951.4m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 3.02b / Total Current Liabilities 2.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 1.62b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.71 (Net Debt 1.62b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.92% (Net Income 904.0m / Total Assets 11.03b)
RoE = 15.73% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.75b)
RoCE = 16.37% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.75b + L.T.Debt 2.24b))
RoIC = 16.35% (NOPAT 951.4m / Invested Capital 5.82b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(16.80b)/V(19.06b) * Re(8.23%) + D(2.27b)/V(19.06b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.98% ; FCFF base≈835.3m ; Y1≈936.5m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 65.07 (EV 24.65b - Net Debt 1.62b = Equity 23.04b / Shares 354.0m; r=7.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 25.24 | EPS CAGR: -36.88% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.09 | Revenue CAGR: 9.37% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%
Additional Sources for YUMC Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle