Overview Dividends

(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98850P1093

Fried Chicken, Pizza, Hot Pot, Coffee, Delivery

YUMC EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of YUMC over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.68, "2020-12": 0.35, "2021-03": 0.54, "2021-06": 0.42, "2021-09": 0.22, "2021-12": 0.03, "2022-03": 0.24, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": 0.49, "2022-12": 0.12, "2023-03": 0.69, "2023-06": 0.47, "2023-09": 0.59, "2023-12": 0.25, "2024-03": 0.71, "2024-06": 0.55, "2024-09": 0.77, "2024-12": 0.3, "2025-03": 0.77, "2025-06": 0.58, "2025-09": 0.76,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 95.66%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 48.3%

YUMC Revenue

Revenue of YUMC over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 2348, 2020-12: 2259, 2021-03: 2557, 2021-06: 2451, 2021-09: 2554, 2021-12: 2291, 2022-03: 2668, 2022-06: 2128, 2022-09: 2685, 2022-12: 2088, 2023-03: 2917, 2023-06: 2654, 2023-09: 2914, 2023-12: 2493, 2024-03: 2958, 2024-06: 2679, 2024-09: 3071, 2024-12: 2595, 2025-03: 2981, 2025-06: 2787, 2025-09: 3206,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 16.87%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 55.6%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 36.4%
Value at Risk 5%th 50.8%
Relative Tail Risk -15.12%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.05
Alpha -10.17
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.331
Beta 0.636
Beta Downside 0.724
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 53.84%
Mean DD 24.76%
Median DD 27.09%

Description: YUMC Yum China Holdings October 30, 2025

Yum China Holdings Inc. (NYSE: YUMC) owns, operates, and franchises a portfolio of quick-service restaurant brands across mainland China, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang, and it also provides online food-delivery services.

Key recent metrics show FY 2023 comparable-store sales growth of roughly 9% year-over-year, with digital orders now representing about 35% of total sales-a figure that has risen faster than the overall QSR sector. The company’s performance is closely tied to macro drivers such as China’s urban-middle-class expansion, which fuels discretionary dining spend, and the ongoing labor-cost pressure from tighter talent pools in major cities.

For a deeper, data-driven dive into Yum China’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analyses, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful.

YUMC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 15,750m
Sub-Industry Restaurants
IPO / Inception 2016-10-17
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -13.4%
Analyst Rating 4.61 of 5

YUMC Dividends

Dividend Yield 2.41%
Yield on Cost 5y 1.98%
Yield CAGR 5y 27.79%
Payout Consistency 93.9%
Payout Ratio 39.8%

YUMC Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y -2.53%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.05
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.10
Current Volume 1109k
Average Volume 1159k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (904.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 694.1m TTM)
FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 6.32% (prev 6.60%; Δ -0.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 904.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (1.19b) to EBITDA (1.75b) ratio: 0.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (368.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 17.17% (prev 16.45%; Δ 0.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 101.3% (prev 94.92%; Δ 6.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -36.14 (EBITDA TTM 1.75b / Interest Expense TTM -36.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.22

(A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 3.02b - Total Current Liabilities 2.28b) / Total Assets 11.03b
(B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.05b / Total Assets 11.03b
(C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 1.30b / Avg Total Assets 11.42b
(D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 1.81b / Total Liabilities 4.65b
Total Rating: 2.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.84

1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50
2. FCF Yield 6.13% = 3.07
3. FCF Margin 8.19% = 2.05
4. Debt/Equity 0.32 = 2.45
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.68 = 2.15
6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.58)% = 10.73
7. RoE 15.73% = 1.31
8. Rev. Trend 55.62% = 4.17
9. EPS Trend 48.29% = 2.41

What is the price of YUMC shares?

As of November 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 46.38 with a total of 1,108,986 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.55%, over one month by +5.84%, over three months by +4.78% and over the past year by -0.80%.

Is Yum China Holdings a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) is currently (November 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 80.84 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of YUMC is around 42.76 USD . This means that YUMC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.81%.

Is YUMC a buy, sell or hold?

Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
  • Strong Buy: 15
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YUMC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 58.1 25.3%
Analysts Target Price 58.1 25.3%
ValueRay Target Price 47.3 2%

YUMC Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 15.75b (15.75b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.0871
P/E Forward = 15.1976
P/S = 1.3614
P/B = 2.6885
P/EG = 1.1068
Beta = 0.137
Revenue TTM = 11.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.30b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.28b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 29.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.19b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.45b USD (15.75b + Debt 1.84b - CCE 2.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -36.14 (Ebit TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM -36.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.13% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Enterprise Value 15.45b)
FCF Margin = 8.19% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Gross Margin = 17.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.15% (prev 17.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.40 (Enterprise Value 15.45b / Total Assets 11.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 1.84b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (114.0m / 419.0m)
NOPAT = 947.0m (EBIT 1.30b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 3.02b / Total Current Liabilities 2.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.68 (Net Debt 1.19b / EBITDA 1.75b)
Debt / FCF = 1.26 (Net Debt 1.19b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.19% (Net Income 904.0m / Total Assets 11.03b)
RoE = 15.73% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.75b)
RoCE = 16.20% (EBIT 1.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.75b + L.T.Debt 2.28b))
RoIC = 16.18% (NOPAT 947.0m / Invested Capital 5.85b)
WACC = 7.60% (E(15.75b)/V(17.59b) * Re(8.37%) + D(1.84b)/V(17.59b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.76% ; FCFE base≈835.3m ; Y1≈936.7m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 56.35 (DCF Value 20.36b / Shares Outstanding 361.3m; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.29 | EPS CAGR: 95.66% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.62 | Revenue CAGR: 16.87% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for YUMC Stock

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