Overview Dividends

(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98850P1093

Fried Chicken, Pizza, Hot Pot, Coffee, Delivery

YUMC EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of YUMC over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.68, "2020-12": 0.35, "2021-03": 0.54, "2021-06": 0.42, "2021-09": 0.22, "2021-12": 0.03, "2022-03": 0.24, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": 0.49, "2022-12": 0.12, "2023-03": 0.69, "2023-06": 0.47, "2023-09": 0.59, "2023-12": 0.25, "2024-03": 0.71, "2024-06": 0.55, "2024-09": 0.77, "2024-12": 0.3, "2025-03": 0.77, "2025-06": 0.58, "2025-09": 0,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -33.91%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -2.3%

YUMC Revenue

Revenue of YUMC over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 2348, 2020-12: 2259, 2021-03: 2557, 2021-06: 2451, 2021-09: 2554, 2021-12: 2291, 2022-03: 2668, 2022-06: 2128, 2022-09: 2685, 2022-12: 2088, 2023-03: 2917, 2023-06: 2654, 2023-09: 2914, 2023-12: 2493, 2024-03: 2958, 2024-06: 2679, 2024-09: 3071, 2024-12: 2595, 2025-03: 2981, 2025-06: 2787, 2025-09: null,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 1.37%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 41.4%

Description: YUMC Yum China Holdings October 30, 2025

Yum China Holdings Inc. (NYSE: YUMC) owns, operates, and franchises a portfolio of quick-service restaurant brands across mainland China, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang, and it also provides online food-delivery services.

Key recent metrics show FY 2023 comparable-store sales growth of roughly 9% year-over-year, with digital orders now representing about 35% of total sales-a figure that has risen faster than the overall QSR sector. The company’s performance is closely tied to macro drivers such as China’s urban-middle-class expansion, which fuels discretionary dining spend, and the ongoing labor-cost pressure from tighter talent pools in major cities.

For a deeper, data-driven dive into Yum China’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analyses, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful.

YUMC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 15,651m
Sub-Industry Restaurants
IPO / Inception 2016-10-17

YUMC Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -32.4%
Fundamental 77.4%
Dividend Rating 68.3%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -24.6%
Analyst Rating 4.61 of 5

YUMC Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 2.03%
Yield on Cost 5y 1.78%
Annual Growth 5y 27.79%
Payout Consistency 93.9%
Payout Ratio 53.3%

YUMC Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -38.9%
Growth Correlation 12m -43.8%
Growth Correlation 5y -52.3%
CAGR 5y -3.28%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) -0.06
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) -0.13
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.29
Alpha -7.51
Beta 0.168
Volatility 31.14%
Current Volume 1973.2k
Average Volume 20d 1142.1k
Stop Loss 41.9 (-3.1%)
Signal 0.07

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (919.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 686.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.84pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 7.30% (prev 5.46%; Δ 1.84pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.44b > Net Income 919.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (1.64b) to EBITDA (1.73b) ratio: 0.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (373.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 17.09% (prev 16.43%; Δ 0.66pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 101.4% (prev 95.47%; Δ 5.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -14.24 (EBITDA TTM 1.73b / Interest Expense TTM -89.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.31

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 2.99b - Total Current Liabilities 2.16b) / Total Assets 10.98b
(B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.11b / Total Assets 10.98b
(C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 1.27b / Avg Total Assets 11.28b
(D) 0.41 = Book Value of Equity 1.85b / Total Liabilities 4.51b
Total Rating: 2.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.39

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0
2. FCF Yield 5.30% = 2.65
3. FCF Margin 7.29% = 1.82
4. Debt/Equity 0.39 = 2.43
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.95 = 1.84
6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.88)% = 12.35
7. RoE 15.77% = 1.31
8. Rev. Trend 41.38% = 3.10
9. EPS Trend -2.35% = -0.12

What is the price of YUMC shares?

As of November 04, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 43.26 with a total of 1,973,190 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.63%, over one month by +1.07%, over three months by -6.41% and over the past year by -8.70%.

Is Yum China Holdings a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 77.39 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of YUMC is around 39.91 USD . This means that YUMC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.74%.

Is YUMC a buy, sell or hold?

Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
  • Strong Buy: 15
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YUMC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 58.2 34.4%
Analysts Target Price 58.2 34.4%
ValueRay Target Price 43.5 0.5%

YUMC Fundamental Data Overview November 03, 2025

Market Cap USD = 15.65b (15.65b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.876
P/E Forward = 15.1976
P/S = 1.3688
P/B = 2.6885
P/EG = 1.1068
Beta = 0.168
Revenue TTM = 11.43b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.23b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 422.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.64b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.73b USD (15.65b + Debt 2.23b - CCE 2.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -14.24 (Ebit TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM -89.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.30% (FCF TTM 834.0m / Enterprise Value 15.73b)
FCF Margin = 7.29% (FCF TTM 834.0m / Revenue TTM 11.43b)
Net Margin = 8.04% (Net Income TTM 919.0m / Revenue TTM 11.43b)
Gross Margin = 17.09% ((Revenue TTM 11.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.08% (prev 19.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 15.73b / Total Assets 10.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 2.23b)
Taxrate = 25.56% (80.0m / 313.0m)
NOPAT = 943.2m (EBIT 1.27b * (1 - 25.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 2.99b / Total Current Liabilities 2.16b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 2.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.95 (Net Debt 1.64b / EBITDA 1.73b)
Debt / FCF = 1.96 (Net Debt 1.64b / FCF TTM 834.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.37% (Net Income 919.0m / Total Assets 10.98b)
RoE = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 919.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.83b)
RoCE = 15.72% (EBIT 1.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.83b + L.T.Debt 2.23b))
RoIC = 15.79% (NOPAT 943.2m / Invested Capital 5.97b)
WACC = 5.91% (E(15.65b)/V(17.88b) * Re(6.63%) + D(2.23b)/V(17.88b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.54% ; FCFE base≈766.7m ; Y1≈838.4m ; Y5≈1.06b
Fair Price DCF = 51.20 (DCF Value 18.52b / Shares Outstanding 361.8m; 5y FCF grow 10.68% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -2.35 | EPS CAGR: -33.91% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 41.38 | Revenue CAGR: 1.37% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for YUMC Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle