(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 14.985m USD | Total Return: 2.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 81.4M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: YUMC) is the largest restaurant company in China, operating and franchising quick-service and casual dining restaurants across the country. The company runs three reportable segments-KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other-and its portfolio spans multiple brands, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang.
Beyond dine-in operations, Yum China offers online food delivery services, reflecting the broader shift in Chinas restaurant industry toward digital and delivery-driven sales channels. As a multi-brand operator, it generates revenue through a mix of company-owned stores, franchise fees, and royalties. Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Shanghai, Yum China is classified within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry under Consumer Discretionary.
- KFC same-store sales growth drives consolidated revenue
- Chinese consumer spending recovery boosts average ticket size
- Local brand competition and delivery fees pressure restaurant margins
| Net Income: 946.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.12% < 20% (prev 4.94%; Δ -4.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.56b > Net Income 946.0m |
| Net Debt (886.0m) to EBITDA (1.84b): 0.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (354.0m) vs 12m ago -6.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.23% > 18% (prev 16.94%; Δ 0.28% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 110.7% > 50% (prev 102.9%; Δ 7.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 2.32b - Total Current Liabilities 2.30b) / Total Assets 10.8b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 1.79b / Total Assets 10.8b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.38b / Avg Total Assets 10.9b) |
| D: 1.15 (Book Value of Equity 5.43b / Total Liabilities 4.73b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.60 = A |
| DSRI: 0.32 (Receivables 103.0m/297.0m, Revenue 12.1b/11.3b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 16.94% / 17.23%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 12.1b / 11.3b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 946.0m - CFO 1.56b) / TA 10.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.54 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of June 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.93 with a total of 2,314,700 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.49%,
over one month by -4.67%,
over three months by -19.53% and
over the past year by +2.53%.
Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 61.2 | 42.6% |
P/E Trailing = 16.5671
P/E Forward = 14.8368
P/S = 1.2394
P/B = 2.7836
P/EG = 1.1334
Revenue TTM = 12.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.85b USD (estimated: total debt 2.31b - short term 463.0m)
Short Term Debt = 463.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.31b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 2.29b already included)
Net Debt = 886.0m USD (calculated: Debt 2.31b - CCE 1.43b)
Enterprise Value = 15.9b USD (15.0b + Debt 2.31b - CCE 1.43b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 17.05x (Enterprise Value 15.9b / FCF TTM 931.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.87% (FCF TTM 931.0m / Enterprise Value 15.9b)
FCF Margin = 7.70% (FCF TTM 931.0m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Net Margin = 7.83% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Gross Margin = 17.23% ((Revenue TTM 12.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.80% (prev 14.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 15.9b / Total Assets 10.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 2.31b)
Taxrate = 26.74% (373.0m / 1.40b)
NOPAT = 1.01b (EBIT 1.38b * (1 - 26.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 2.32b / Total Current Liabilities 2.30b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 2.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.48 (Net Debt 886.0m / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 0.95 (Net Debt 886.0m / FCF TTM 931.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.66% (Net Income 946.0m / Total Assets 10.8b)
RoE = 16.97% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.57b)
RoCE = 18.61% (EBIT 1.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.57b + L.T.Debt 1.85b))
RoIC = 12.07% (NOPAT 1.01b / Invested Capital 8.39b)
WACC = 5.73% (E(15.0b)/V(17.3b) * Re(6.61%) + D(2.31b)/V(17.3b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 6.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -6.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈869.0m ; Y1≈996.2m ; Y5≈1.47b
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.11 (EV 22.1b - Net Debt 886.0m = Equity 21.2b / Shares 346.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.40 | EPS CAGR: 14.04% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.98 | Revenue CAGR: 4.78% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=-0.77% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.89 | Chg30d=-0.46% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.93 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+16.7% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=+5.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%