(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US98850P1093
Stock: KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep
Total Rating 65
Risk 81
Buy Signal -0.56
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 |
| Alpha | 5.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.610 |
| Beta Downside | 0.599 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.84% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: YUMC Yum China Holdings January 03, 2026
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) is the exclusive operator of KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang restaurant brands in the People’s Republic of China, combining company-owned, franchised, and online delivery formats under a single corporate umbrella.
As of the latest quarter, the chain reported approximately 10,800 restaurants, with same-store sales (SSS) growth of 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 28% increase in digital-order volume, which now accounts for roughly 35% of total sales. The company’s operating margin has stabilized around 18%, reflecting continued cost-discipline and supply-chain efficiencies.
Key macro drivers include China’s post-COVID consumer recovery, rising disposable income in Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities, and the government’s emphasis on food-service sector modernization. Conversely, labor cost inflation and tighter food-safety regulations pose upside risk to margins.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of YUMC’s valuation dynamics, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 929.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.94% < 20% (prev 3.64%; Δ -2.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.48b > Net Income 929.0m |
| Net Debt (3.22b) to EBITDA (1.78b): 1.81 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (359.0m) vs 12m ago -6.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.28% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1712 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 107.7% > 50% (prev 101.6%; Δ 6.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -30.93 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.78b / Interest Expense TTM -43.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.78
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.36b - Total Current Liabilities 2.25b) / Total Assets 10.78b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 1.76b / Total Assets 10.78b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.33b / Avg Total Assets 10.95b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 1.61b / Total Liabilities 4.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.78 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.67
| DSRI: 0.29 (Receivables 95.0m/316.0m, Revenue 11.80b/11.30b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 17.28% / 16.72%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 11.80b / 11.30b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 929.0m - CFO 1.48b) / TA 10.78b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.67 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of YUMC shares?
As of February 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 53.65 with a total of 2,382,769 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.63%, over one month by +10.30%, over three months by +16.55% and over the past year by +13.25%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.63%, over one month by +10.30%, over three months by +16.55% and over the past year by +13.25%.
Is YUMC a buy, sell or hold?
Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 62 | 15.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 62 | 15.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 59.3 | 10.5% |
YUMC Fundamental Data Overview February 11, 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.9084
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 1.7219
P/B = 3.776
P/EG = 1.4838
Revenue TTM = 11.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.70b USD (estimated: total debt 3.73b - short term 30.0m)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.66b USD (20.31b + Debt 3.73b - CCE 1.38b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -30.93 (Ebit TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM -43.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.66x (Enterprise Value 22.66b / FCF TTM 849.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.75% (FCF TTM 849.8m / Enterprise Value 22.66b)
FCF Margin = 7.20% (FCF TTM 849.8m / Revenue TTM 11.80b)
Net Margin = 7.87% (Net Income TTM 929.0m / Revenue TTM 11.80b)
Gross Margin = 17.28% ((Revenue TTM 11.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.49% (prev 18.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.10 (Enterprise Value 22.66b / Total Assets 10.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 3.73b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (56.0m / 209.0m)
NOPAT = 973.6m (EBIT 1.33b * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 2.36b / Total Current Liabilities 2.25b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 3.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.81 (Net Debt 3.22b / EBITDA 1.78b)
Debt / FCF = 3.79 (Net Debt 3.22b / FCF TTM 849.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.48% (Net Income 929.0m / Total Assets 10.78b)
RoE = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 929.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.66b)
RoCE = 14.21% (EBIT 1.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.66b + L.T.Debt 3.70b))
RoIC = 16.76% (NOPAT 973.6m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(20.31b)/V(24.04b) * Re(8.11%) + D(3.73b)/V(24.04b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.50% ; FCFF base≈795.5m ; Y1≈891.9m ; Y5≈1.19b
Fair Price DCF = 64.35 (EV 25.95b - Net Debt 3.22b = Equity 22.73b / Shares 353.2m; r=6.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 51.18 | EPS CAGR: 14.59% | SUE: 2.08 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.84 | Revenue CAGR: 1.52% | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+16.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+11.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 1.7219
P/B = 3.776
P/EG = 1.4838
Revenue TTM = 11.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.70b USD (estimated: total debt 3.73b - short term 30.0m)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.66b USD (20.31b + Debt 3.73b - CCE 1.38b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -30.93 (Ebit TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM -43.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.66x (Enterprise Value 22.66b / FCF TTM 849.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.75% (FCF TTM 849.8m / Enterprise Value 22.66b)
FCF Margin = 7.20% (FCF TTM 849.8m / Revenue TTM 11.80b)
Net Margin = 7.87% (Net Income TTM 929.0m / Revenue TTM 11.80b)
Gross Margin = 17.28% ((Revenue TTM 11.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.49% (prev 18.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.10 (Enterprise Value 22.66b / Total Assets 10.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 3.73b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (56.0m / 209.0m)
NOPAT = 973.6m (EBIT 1.33b * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 2.36b / Total Current Liabilities 2.25b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 3.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.81 (Net Debt 3.22b / EBITDA 1.78b)
Debt / FCF = 3.79 (Net Debt 3.22b / FCF TTM 849.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.48% (Net Income 929.0m / Total Assets 10.78b)
RoE = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 929.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.66b)
RoCE = 14.21% (EBIT 1.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.66b + L.T.Debt 3.70b))
RoIC = 16.76% (NOPAT 973.6m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(20.31b)/V(24.04b) * Re(8.11%) + D(3.73b)/V(24.04b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.50% ; FCFF base≈795.5m ; Y1≈891.9m ; Y5≈1.19b
Fair Price DCF = 64.35 (EV 25.95b - Net Debt 3.22b = Equity 22.73b / Shares 353.2m; r=6.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 51.18 | EPS CAGR: 14.59% | SUE: 2.08 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.84 | Revenue CAGR: 1.52% | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+16.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+11.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%