(YUMC) Yum China Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US98850P1093
Fried Chicken, Pizza, Hot Pot, Coffee, Delivery
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.79% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 27.79% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 39.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.02 |
| Alpha | -10.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.349 |
| Beta | 0.630 |
| Beta Downside | 0.713 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.84% |
| Mean DD | 25.15% |
| Median DD | 27.09% |
Description: YUMC Yum China Holdings October 30, 2025
Yum China Holdings Inc. (NYSE: YUMC) owns, operates, and franchises a portfolio of quick-service restaurant brands across mainland China, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang, and it also provides online food-delivery services.
Key recent metrics show FY 2023 comparable-store sales growth of roughly 9% year-over-year, with digital orders now representing about 35% of total sales-a figure that has risen faster than the overall QSR sector. The company’s performance is closely tied to macro drivers such as China’s urban-middle-class expansion, which fuels discretionary dining spend, and the ongoing labor-cost pressure from tighter talent pools in major cities.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into Yum China’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analyses, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (904.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 694.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.32% (prev 6.60%; Δ -0.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 904.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.62b) to EBITDA (1.76b) ratio: 0.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (368.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.17% (prev 16.45%; Δ 0.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 101.3% (prev 94.92%; Δ 6.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -43.57 (EBITDA TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.22
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 3.02b - Total Current Liabilities 2.28b) / Total Assets 11.03b |
| (B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.05b / Total Assets 11.03b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 1.31b / Avg Total Assets 11.42b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 1.81b / Total Liabilities 4.65b |
| Total Rating: 2.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.09
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.92 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.88)% |
| 7. RoE 15.73% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend 66.18% |
What is the price of YUMC shares?
As of December 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 46.01 with a total of 1,027,264 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.74%, over one month by +3.24%, over three months by +4.12% and over the past year by -7.89%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.74%, over one month by +3.24%, over three months by +4.12% and over the past year by -7.89%.
Is YUMC a buy, sell or hold?
Yum China Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.61.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy YUMC.
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58 | 26.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58 | 26.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.9 | 4.1% |
YUMC Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
Market Cap USD = 17.30b (17.30b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.0415
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 1.4951
P/B = 3.0286
P/EG = 1.2939
Beta = 0.137
Revenue TTM = 11.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.24b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 453.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.45b USD (17.30b + Debt 2.27b - CCE 2.12b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.57 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Enterprise Value 17.45b)
FCF Margin = 8.19% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Gross Margin = 17.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.15% (prev 17.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.58 (Enterprise Value 17.45b / Total Assets 11.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 2.27b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (114.0m / 419.0m)
NOPAT = 951.4m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 3.02b / Total Current Liabilities 2.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 1.62b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.71 (Net Debt 1.62b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.19% (Net Income 904.0m / Total Assets 11.03b)
RoE = 15.73% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.75b)
RoCE = 16.37% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.75b + L.T.Debt 2.24b))
RoIC = 16.35% (NOPAT 951.4m / Invested Capital 5.82b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(17.30b)/V(19.56b) * Re(8.34%) + D(2.27b)/V(19.56b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.87% ; FCFE base≈835.3m ; Y1≈936.7m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 57.22 (DCF Value 20.48b / Shares Outstanding 357.8m; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.18 | EPS CAGR: 136.8% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.09 | Revenue CAGR: 9.37% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.84 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
P/E Trailing = 20.0415
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 1.4951
P/B = 3.0286
P/EG = 1.2939
Beta = 0.137
Revenue TTM = 11.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.24b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 453.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.45b USD (17.30b + Debt 2.27b - CCE 2.12b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.57 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM -30.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Enterprise Value 17.45b)
FCF Margin = 8.19% (FCF TTM 947.7m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Revenue TTM 11.57b)
Gross Margin = 17.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.15% (prev 17.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.58 (Enterprise Value 17.45b / Total Assets 11.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 26.0m / Debt 2.27b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (114.0m / 419.0m)
NOPAT = 951.4m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 3.02b / Total Current Liabilities 2.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 2.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 1.62b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.71 (Net Debt 1.62b / FCF TTM 947.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.19% (Net Income 904.0m / Total Assets 11.03b)
RoE = 15.73% (Net Income TTM 904.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.75b)
RoCE = 16.37% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.75b + L.T.Debt 2.24b))
RoIC = 16.35% (NOPAT 951.4m / Invested Capital 5.82b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(17.30b)/V(19.56b) * Re(8.34%) + D(2.27b)/V(19.56b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.87% ; FCFE base≈835.3m ; Y1≈936.7m ; Y5≈1.25b
Fair Price DCF = 57.22 (DCF Value 20.48b / Shares Outstanding 357.8m; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.18 | EPS CAGR: 136.8% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.09 | Revenue CAGR: 9.37% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.84 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
Additional Sources for YUMC Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle