(ZGN) Ermenegildo Zegna - Ratings and Ratios
Suits, Shirts, Ties
ZGN EPS (Earnings per Share)
ZGN Revenue
Description: ZGN Ermenegildo Zegna
Ermenegildo Zegna NV (NYSE:ZGN) is an Italian luxury goods company operating in the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry. The companys stock performance is influenced by its market capitalization of $2.136 billion, indicating a mid-to-large cap status in the luxury goods sector.
The companys valuation metrics, including a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.03 and a forward P/E of 20.79, suggest that investors are willing to pay a premium for ZGNs earnings, potentially due to its strong brand presence and growth prospects in the luxury goods market. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 26.46% indicates that the company is generating strong profits from its shareholders equity.
Key economic drivers for ZGN include global demand for luxury goods, consumer spending patterns, and the overall health of the apparel and accessories market. The companys performance is also influenced by its ability to maintain brand exclusivity, manage supply chains effectively, and adapt to changing consumer preferences. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to watch include revenue growth, gross margin expansion, and operating profit margins, which can provide insights into the companys ability to maintain its pricing power and manage costs.
To evaluate ZGNs stock, investors should consider its competitive positioning within the luxury goods industry, its brand portfolio, and its geographic diversification. Additionally, monitoring the companys investments in digital marketing, e-commerce, and sustainability initiatives can provide insights into its long-term growth prospects. By analyzing these factors, investors can make informed decisions about ZGNs potential for future growth and returns.
ZGN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,129m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-12-20 |
ZGN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -12.5% |
| Fundamental | 80.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 55.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.43 of 5 |
ZGN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.41% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 11.41% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.5% |
ZGN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -43.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -5.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -10% |
| CAGR 5y | -3.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.06 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.10 |
| Alpha | -32.37 |
| Beta | 0.981 |
| Volatility | 26.79% |
| Current Volume | 754.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 649.8k |
| Stop Loss | 8.1 (-4%) |
| Signal | 0.90 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (228.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 237.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.94% (prev 11.06%; Δ -2.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 722.3m > Net Income 228.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (816.1m) to EBITDA (399.5m) ratio: 2.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.41 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (255.3m) change vs 12m ago -1.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 65.47% (prev 64.75%; Δ 0.72pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 141.0% (prev 90.02%; Δ 51.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.23 (EBITDA TTM 399.5m / Interest Expense TTM 39.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.59
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 1.21b - Total Current Liabilities 852.9m) / Total Assets 2.83b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 668.7m / Total Assets 2.83b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 286.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.80b |
| (D) 0.30 = Book Value of Equity 551.9m / Total Liabilities 1.85b |
| Total Rating: 2.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.67
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 15.40% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.99% = 2.00 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.56 = 2.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.29 = 1.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 7.19% = 8.99 |
| 7. RoE 26.46% = 2.21 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 66.87% = 3.34 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 47.67% = 2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend -0.85% = -0.02 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of ZGN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.30%, over one month by -3.43%, over three months by -0.90% and over the past year by -15.71%.
Is Ermenegildo Zegna a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ZGN is around 7.61 USD . This means that ZGN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.83%.
Is ZGN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZGN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.4 | 11% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.4 | 11% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.5 | 0.7% |
Last update: 2025-08-30 05:04
ZGN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 296.1m EUR (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 23.9429
P/E Forward = 20.79
P/S = 1.0938
P/B = 1.9821
Beta = 0.723
Revenue TTM = 3.95b EUR
EBIT TTM = 286.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 399.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 196.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 320.1m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 516.5m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 320.1m + Long Term 196.4m)
Net Debt = 816.1m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.05b EUR (1.83b + Debt 516.5m - CCE 296.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.23 (Ebit TTM 286.9m / Interest Expense TTM 39.7m)
FCF Yield = 15.40% (FCF TTM 315.5m / Enterprise Value 2.05b)
FCF Margin = 7.99% (FCF TTM 315.5m / Revenue TTM 3.95b)
Net Margin = 5.78% (Net Income TTM 228.2m / Revenue TTM 3.95b)
Gross Margin = 65.47% ((Revenue TTM 3.95b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.71 (Enterprise Value 2.05b / Book Value Of Equity 551.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.68% (Interest Expense 39.7m / Debt 516.5m)
Taxrate = 30.43% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 39.7m / 130.6m)
NOPAT = 199.6m (EBIT 286.9m * (1 - 30.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 1.21b / Total Current Liabilities 852.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 516.5m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 916.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.29 (Net Debt 816.1m / EBITDA 399.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.64 (Debt 516.5m / FCF TTM 315.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 862.3m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 8.05% (Net Income 228.2m, Total Assets 2.83b )
RoE = 26.46% (Net Income TTM 228.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 862.3m)
RoCE = 27.10% (Ebit 286.9m / (Equity 862.3m + L.T.Debt 196.4m))
RoIC = 15.88% (NOPAT 199.6m / Invested Capital 1.26b)
WACC = 8.69% (E(1.83b)/V(2.34b) * Re(9.63%)) + (D(516.5m)/V(2.34b) * Rd(7.68%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 60.0 | Cagr: 3.50%
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.52% ; FCFE base≈270.5m ; Y1≈284.0m ; Y5≈332.0m
Fair Price DCF = 17.43 (DCF Value 4.43b / Shares Outstanding 254.1m; 5y FCF grow 5.37% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 66.87 | Revenue CAGR: 47.67%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 26.75
EPS Correlation: -0.85 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -203.4
Additional Sources for ZGN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle