(ZK) ZEEKR Intelligent - Ratings and Ratios
Battery, Electric, SUV, Sedan, Powertrain, Pack
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 |
| Alpha | 17.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.515 |
| Beta | 0.728 |
| Beta Downside | 0.967 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.44% |
| Mean DD | 20.63% |
| Median DD | 18.23% |
Description: ZK ZEEKR Intelligent November 03, 2025
ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Ltd. (NYSE: ZK) is a Geely-owned subsidiary that designs, manufactures, and sells battery-electric passenger cars and SUVs, along with electric powertrain components such as motors, controllers, and battery packs. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Hangzhou, China, the firm operates across China, Europe, and other international markets, positioning itself as an end-to-end EV player.
Key metrics to watch include ZEEKR’s 2023 vehicle deliveries-estimated at roughly 120,000 units, a 45 % YoY increase driven by strong demand for its premium “001” sedan-and its battery-pack cost trajectory, which has fallen to about $115 kWh⁻¹, aligning with the broader industry trend of sub-$100 kWh packs by 2025. The company’s growth is also tied to macro-drivers such as China’s EV subsidies (phasing out in 2027) and Europe’s tightening CO₂ emission standards, both of which could pressure margins if policy support wanes.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider reviewing ZEEKR’s data and analyst tools on ValueRay to gauge how these drivers may impact the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
ZK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,063m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-05-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 6.13% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.86 of 5 |
ZK Dividends
Currently no dividends paidZK Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 17.79% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.33 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.86 |
| Current Volume | 663.5k |
| Average Volume | 195.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-3.33b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.44b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -34.01% (prev -17.21%; Δ -16.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.20b > Net Income -3.33b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.59 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (256.1m) change vs 12m ago 11.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.91% (prev 23.60%; Δ -4.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 191.7% (prev 221.5%; Δ -29.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -14.40 (EBITDA TTM -2.85b / Interest Expense TTM 259.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.03
| (A) -0.50 = (Total Current Assets 44.61b - Total Current Liabilities 75.43b) / Total Assets 61.83b |
| (B) -0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -34.35b / Total Assets 61.83b |
| (C) -0.08 = EBIT TTM -3.74b / Avg Total Assets 47.26b |
| (D) -0.40 = Book Value of Equity -34.41b / Total Liabilities 87.09b |
| Total Rating: -6.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.59
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.64% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -9.93 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.21)% |
| 7. RoE 19.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 75.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend -30.53% |
What is the price of ZK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.07%, over one month by -9.62%, over three months by -10.49% and over the past year by +18.71%.
Is ZK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.9 | 40.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.9 | 40.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.5 | -1.9% |
ZK Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/S = 0.093
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 90.59b CNY
EBIT TTM = -3.74b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -2.85b CNY
Long Term Debt = 7.28b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.18b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 36.41b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 28.32b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 78.55b CNY (50.22b + Debt 36.41b - CCE 8.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -14.40 (Ebit TTM -3.74b / Interest Expense TTM 259.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.89% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 78.55b)
FCF Margin = 1.64% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 90.59b)
Net Margin = -3.68% (Net Income TTM -3.33b / Revenue TTM 90.59b)
Gross Margin = 18.91% ((Revenue TTM 90.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.62% (prev 19.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 78.55b / Total Assets 61.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.30% (Interest Expense 108.0m / Debt 36.41b)
Taxrate = 493.2% (out of range, set to none) (360.0m / 73.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.59 (Total Current Assets 44.61b / Total Current Liabilities 75.43b)
Debt / Equity = -1.51 (negative equity) (Debt 36.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -24.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = -9.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 28.32b / EBITDA -2.85b)
Debt / FCF = 19.09 (Net Debt 28.32b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -17.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.39% (Net Income -3.33b / Total Assets 61.83b)
RoE = 19.01% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -3.33b / Total Stockholder Equity -17.52b)
RoCE = 36.51% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -3.74b / Capital Employed (Equity -17.52b + L.T.Debt 7.28b))
RoIC = 17.25% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -3.74b / (Assets 61.83b - Curr.Liab 75.43b - Cash 8.09b))
WACC = 5.04% (E(50.22b)/V(86.63b) * Re(8.70%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.01% ; FCFE base≈1.48b ; Y1≈1.49b ; Y5≈1.60b
Fair Price DCF = 97.70 (DCF Value 25.03b / Shares Outstanding 256.2m; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -30.53 | EPS CAGR: -3.27% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 75.68 | Revenue CAGR: 45.11% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ZK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle