(ZK) ZEEKR Intelligent - Ratings and Ratios
Battery, Electric, SUV, Sedan, Powertrain, Pack
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 24.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.22% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 |
| Alpha | 7.17 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.450 |
| Beta | 0.723 |
| Beta Downside | 0.967 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.44% |
| Mean DD | 20.61% |
| Median DD | 18.25% |
Description: ZK ZEEKR Intelligent November 03, 2025
ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Ltd. (NYSE: ZK) is a Geely-owned subsidiary that designs, manufactures, and sells battery-electric passenger cars and SUVs, along with electric powertrain components such as motors, controllers, and battery packs. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Hangzhou, China, the firm operates across China, Europe, and other international markets, positioning itself as an end-to-end EV player.
Key metrics to watch include ZEEKR’s 2023 vehicle deliveries-estimated at roughly 120,000 units, a 45 % YoY increase driven by strong demand for its premium “001” sedan-and its battery-pack cost trajectory, which has fallen to about $115 kWh⁻¹, aligning with the broader industry trend of sub-$100 kWh packs by 2025. The company’s growth is also tied to macro-drivers such as China’s EV subsidies (phasing out in 2027) and Europe’s tightening CO₂ emission standards, both of which could pressure margins if policy support wanes.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider reviewing ZEEKR’s data and analyst tools on ValueRay to gauge how these drivers may impact the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-2.91b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.23b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -29.74% (prev -18.34%; Δ -11.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.20b > Net Income -2.91b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (257.3m) change vs 12m ago 10.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.49% (prev 23.13%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 231.1% (prev 234.2%; Δ -3.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -6.53 (EBITDA TTM -1.74b / Interest Expense TTM 386.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.38
| (A) -0.54 = (Total Current Assets 40.59b - Total Current Liabilities 71.46b) / Total Assets 57.12b |
| (B) -0.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -35.15b / Total Assets 57.12b |
| (C) -0.06 = EBIT TTM -2.52b / Avg Total Assets 44.91b |
| (D) -0.43 = Book Value of Equity -35.22b / Total Liabilities 82.65b |
| Total Rating: -6.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.15
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -14.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.55)% |
| 7. RoE 13.80% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 82.91% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.64% |
What is the price of ZK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.70%, over one month by -7.81%, over three months by -9.10% and over the past year by +19.34%.
Is ZK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38 | 41.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38 | 41.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.3 | -1.7% |
ZK Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/S = 0.0738
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 103.79b CNY
EBIT TTM = -2.52b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -1.74b CNY
Long Term Debt = 6.87b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.91b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.62b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 24.60b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.30b CNY (48.70b + Debt 31.62b - CCE 7.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -6.53 (Ebit TTM -2.52b / Interest Expense TTM 386.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 73.30b)
FCF Margin = 1.43% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 103.79b)
Net Margin = -2.80% (Net Income TTM -2.91b / Revenue TTM 103.79b)
Gross Margin = 19.49% ((Revenue TTM 103.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 83.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.16% (prev 20.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 73.30b / Total Assets 57.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 135.0m / Debt 31.62b)
Taxrate = -438.6% (out of range, set to none) (250.0m / -57.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 40.59b / Total Current Liabilities 71.46b)
Debt / Equity = -1.27 (negative equity) (Debt 31.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -24.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = -14.16 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 24.60b / EBITDA -1.74b)
Debt / FCF = 16.58 (Net Debt 24.60b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -21.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.09% (Net Income -2.91b / Total Assets 57.12b)
RoE = 13.80% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -2.91b / Total Stockholder Equity -21.07b)
RoCE = 17.77% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -2.52b / Capital Employed (Equity -21.07b + L.T.Debt 6.87b))
RoIC = 11.82% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -2.52b / (Assets 57.12b - Curr.Liab 71.46b - Cash 7.02b))
WACC = 5.26% (E(48.70b)/V(80.32b) * Re(8.68%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.08% ; FCFE base≈1.48b ; Y1≈1.49b ; Y5≈1.60b
Fair Price DCF = 98.05 (DCF Value 25.12b / Shares Outstanding 256.2m; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.64 | EPS CAGR: -32.51% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.91 | Revenue CAGR: 99.12% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ZK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle