(ZTO) ZTO Express (Cayman) - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98980A1051
ZTO EPS (Earnings per Share)
ZTO Revenue
ZTO: Express Delivery, Freight Forwarding, E-Commerce Delivery, Logistics Services
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is a leading logistics company in China, providing a comprehensive range of services including express delivery, freight forwarding, and value-added logistics solutions to e-commerce merchants, traditional merchants, and other express service users. With its headquarters in Shanghai, the company has established itself as a major player in the rapidly growing Chinese logistics market since its founding in 2002.
The companys business model is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing e-commerce boom in China, with a strong focus on delivering high-quality services to its customers. ZTOs extensive network and capabilities enable it to provide efficient and reliable logistics solutions, making it an attractive partner for businesses looking to navigate the complex Chinese logistics landscape.
From a technical analysis perspective, ZTOs stock price has been trending downward, with its current price of $17.04 being below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. However, the Average True Range (ATR) indicates a relatively low volatility, suggesting that the stock price may be stabilizing. Given the current technical indicators, a potential trading opportunity may arise if the stock price breaks above its 20-day moving average of $17.81, potentially signaling a reversal in the downtrend.
Fundamentally, ZTOs market capitalization stands at $13.67 billion, with a relatively low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.73, indicating that the stock may be undervalued. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) of 15.95% suggests a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Based on these fundamental indicators, a forecast for ZTOs stock price could be made, taking into account the companys growth prospects, industry trends, and overall market conditions.
Using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis, a potential forecast for ZTOs stock price could be a gradual increase towards $20-$22 in the next 6-12 months, driven by the companys continued growth in the Chinese logistics market, improving profitability, and a potential reversal in the current downtrend. However, this forecast is contingent upon various factors, including the overall market conditions, industry trends, and the companys ability to execute its business strategy.
Additional Sources for ZTO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
ZTO Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 13,983m |
Sector | Industrials |
Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
GiC Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
IPO / Inception | 2016-10-27 |
ZTO Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -65.7 |
Fundamental | 76.6 |
Dividend Rating | 60.5 |
Rel. Strength | -16.9 |
Analysts | 4.57 of 5 |
Fair Price Momentum | 15.32 USD |
Fair Price DCF | 293.76 USD |
ZTO Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 3.79% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 2.08% |
Annual Growth 5y | 26.45% |
Payout Consistency | 96.8% |
Payout Ratio | 5.3% |
ZTO Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -56.4% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -54.2% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -82.8% |
CAGR 5y | -12.22% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.21 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.73 |
Alpha | -21.74 |
Beta | 0.578 |
Volatility | 34.46% |
Current Volume | 524.2k |
Average Volume 20d | 1278.7k |
As of July 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 17.75 with a total of 524,175 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by +3.32%, over three months by -8.74% and over the past year by -11.16%.
Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) is currently (July 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 76.64 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ZTO is around 15.32 USD . This means that ZTO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.69%.
ZTO Express (Cayman) has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefor, it is recommend to buy ZTO.
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) will be worth about 17.1 in July 2026. The stock is currently trading at 17.75. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -3.94%.
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 23.3 | 31.1% |
Analysts Target Price | 26.2 | 47.3% |
ValueRay Target Price | 17.1 | -3.9% |