(ZTO) ZTO Express (Cayman) - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98980A1051

ZTO EPS (Earnings per Share)

This chart shows the EPS (Earnings per Share) of ZTO over the last 5 years for every Quarter.

ZTO Revenue

This chart shows the Revenue of ZTO over the last 5 years for every Quarter.

ZTO: Express Delivery, Freight Forwarding, E-Commerce Delivery, Logistics Services

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is a leading logistics company in China, providing a comprehensive range of services including express delivery, freight forwarding, and value-added logistics solutions to e-commerce merchants, traditional merchants, and other express service users. With its headquarters in Shanghai, the company has established itself as a major player in the rapidly growing Chinese logistics market since its founding in 2002.

The companys business model is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing e-commerce boom in China, with a strong focus on delivering high-quality services to its customers. ZTOs extensive network and capabilities enable it to provide efficient and reliable logistics solutions, making it an attractive partner for businesses looking to navigate the complex Chinese logistics landscape.

From a technical analysis perspective, ZTOs stock price has been trending downward, with its current price of $17.04 being below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. However, the Average True Range (ATR) indicates a relatively low volatility, suggesting that the stock price may be stabilizing. Given the current technical indicators, a potential trading opportunity may arise if the stock price breaks above its 20-day moving average of $17.81, potentially signaling a reversal in the downtrend.

Fundamentally, ZTOs market capitalization stands at $13.67 billion, with a relatively low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.73, indicating that the stock may be undervalued. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) of 15.95% suggests a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Based on these fundamental indicators, a forecast for ZTOs stock price could be made, taking into account the companys growth prospects, industry trends, and overall market conditions.

Using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis, a potential forecast for ZTOs stock price could be a gradual increase towards $20-$22 in the next 6-12 months, driven by the companys continued growth in the Chinese logistics market, improving profitability, and a potential reversal in the current downtrend. However, this forecast is contingent upon various factors, including the overall market conditions, industry trends, and the companys ability to execute its business strategy.

Additional Sources for ZTO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle

ZTO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 13,983m
Sector Industrials
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
GiC Sub-Industry Air Freight & Logistics
IPO / Inception 2016-10-27

ZTO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -65.7
Fundamental 76.6
Dividend Rating 60.5
Rel. Strength -16.9
Analysts 4.57 of 5
Fair Price Momentum 15.32 USD
Fair Price DCF 293.76 USD

ZTO Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 3.79%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.08%
Annual Growth 5y 26.45%
Payout Consistency 96.8%
Payout Ratio 5.3%

ZTO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -56.4%
Growth Correlation 12m -54.2%
Growth Correlation 5y -82.8%
CAGR 5y -12.22%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.21
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.73
Alpha -21.74
Beta 0.578
Volatility 34.46%
Current Volume 524.2k
Average Volume 20d 1278.7k
What is the price of ZTO shares?
As of July 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 17.75 with a total of 524,175 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by +3.32%, over three months by -8.74% and over the past year by -11.16%.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) a good stock to buy?
Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) is currently (July 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 76.64 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ZTO is around 15.32 USD . This means that ZTO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.69%.
Is ZTO a buy, sell or hold?
ZTO Express (Cayman) has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefor, it is recommend to buy ZTO.
  • Strong Buy: 14
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts for ZTO share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) will be worth about 17.1 in July 2026. The stock is currently trading at 17.75. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -3.94%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 23.3 31.1%
Analysts Target Price 26.2 47.3%
ValueRay Target Price 17.1 -3.9%