(DBO) Invesco DB Oil Fund - Ratings and Ratios
Oil Futures, WTI
Description: DBO Invesco DB Oil Fund October 29, 2025
The Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA: DBO) is a U.S.–registered exchange-traded fund that seeks to replicate the performance of a single-commodity index composed exclusively of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures. The fund holds front-month and subsequent contract months, rolling positions as contracts near expiration, in order to track the index’s total return.
Key quantitative drivers to watch include the fund’s expense ratio (0.78% p.a.), its 30-day rolling yield (often negative in contango markets), and the open-interest in WTI futures, which has averaged about 1.2 million contracts over the past year. Macro-level influences are U.S. crude inventories (EIA weekly reports), OPEC+ production adjustments, and the USD-index, since oil is priced in dollars; a 1% rise in the USD typically depresses WTI prices by roughly 0.5% ceteris paribus. Recent volatility spikes (e.g., ± 30% YTD) suggest that roll-yield risk can dominate price-return in the near term.
If you’re looking to quantify how these factors translate into expected returns for DBO, a deeper dive on ValueRay’s analytics platform can help you model scenario-based outcomes and compare them against alternative energy-exposure vehicles.
DBO ETF Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 223m |
| Category | Commodities Focused |
| TER | 0.75% |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-01-05 |
DBO ETF Ratings
| Growth Rating | -23.5% |
| Fundamental | - |
| Dividend Rating | 66.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.4% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
DBO Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 5.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.06% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 158.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 24.7% |
| Payout Ratio | % |
DBO Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -46.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -44.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 34.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.23 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.43 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.14 |
| Alpha | -19.24 |
| Beta | 1.050 |
| Volatility | 28.67% |
| Current Volume | 303.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 412k |
| Stop Loss | 12.8 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | -0.05 |
What is the price of DBO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.60%, over one month by +1.22%, over three months by -3.92% and over the past year by -6.03%.
Is Invesco DB Oil Fund a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DBO is around 12.52 USD . This means that DBO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.37%.
Is DBO a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DBO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.1 | 6.8% |
DBO Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
Beta = 1.05
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = 0.0 USD
EBITDA TTM = 0.0 USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = unknown
Enterprise Value = 222.6m USD (222.6m + (null Debt) - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 0.0 / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 0.0% (FCF TTM 0.0 / Enterprise Value 222.6m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = unknown (Enterprise Value 222.6m / Total Assets none)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 0.0 (EBIT 0.0 * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets none / Total Current Liabilities none)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 0.0)
Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 0.0)
Total Stockholder Equity = 0.0 (from calculated bookValueOfEquity)
RoA = unknown (Net Income 0.0 / Total Assets none)
RoE = unknown (Net Income TTM 0.0 / Total Stockholder Equity 0.0)
RoCE = unknown (EBIT 0.0 / Capital Employed )
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT 0.0, Invested Capital 0.0, EBIT 0.0)
WACC = 9.88% (E(222.6m)/V(222.6m) * Re(9.88%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 9.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow 0.0)
Additional Sources for DBO ETF
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle