(TPIF) Timothy Plan International - Ratings and Ratios

The Timothy Plan International ETF (TPIF) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on international equities, adhering to specific investment criteria that align with Christian values. By tracking the Victory International Volatility Weighted BRI Index, the fund aims to provide investors with exposure to a diversified portfolio of international stocks while attempting to mitigate risk through volatility weighting.

The indexs methodology diverges from traditional market capitalization-weighted indices by incorporating fundamental criteria and individual security risk control. This approach allows for a more nuanced portfolio construction, potentially reducing the impact of highly volatile securities. The funds investment strategy is geared towards capturing the performance of international equities while managing risk, making it a potentially attractive option for investors seeking international exposure with a values-based approach.

From a technical analysis perspective, TPIF has shown a positive trend, with its current price of $30.50 exceeding both its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA20: $29.89, SMA50: $28.99). The Average True Range (ATR) indicates a relatively moderate level of volatility, with a current ATR of 0.55, representing 1.79% of the last price. Given the proximity to its 52-week high of $30.60 and the upward trajectory, a potential forecast could involve a continued upward trend, with a possible target near $31.50, assuming the current momentum persists and volatility remains controlled.

Fundamentally, the funds Assets Under Management (AUM) stand at $131.79 million, indicating a reasonable scale for an ETF in its category. While not exceptionally large, this AUM level suggests a viable product with some investor interest. The Foreign Large Blend category positioning indicates that TPIF competes in a space where investors seek diversified international exposure. The funds alignment with Christian values and its unique indexing strategy could attract a dedicated investor base, potentially supporting its AUM and facilitating further growth.

Combining both technical and fundamental insights, a forecast for TPIF could involve a continued appreciation in value, driven by its underlying indexs methodology and the overall trend in international equities. However, investors should remain vigilant regarding global market dynamics and potential shifts in volatility. A breach of the 52-week low of $25.39 could signal a significant change in the trend, warranting a reassessment of the investment thesis.