(USO) United States Oil Fund - Ratings and Ratios
Futures Contracts, Crude Oil, Diesel, Gasoline, Natural Gas
Description: USO United States Oil Fund
The United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE ARCA:USO) is an exchange-traded fund that primarily invests in futures contracts for various petroleum-based fuels, including light, sweet crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, and natural gas. This investment strategy allows USO to track the price movements of oil and other energy commodities, providing investors with exposure to the energy market.
From a technical analysis perspective, USO has been trending upwards, with its last price of $82.27 exceeding its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $71.96 and 50-day SMA of $68.86. The 200-day SMA is at $72.72, indicating a longer-term uptrend. The Average True Range (ATR) is 2.00, representing a 2.44% daily price volatility. Given the current support levels, with the nearest being $81.6, and the overall trend, its likely that USO will continue to move upwards, potentially testing its 52-week high of $84.34.
Fundamentally, USO has a substantial Assets Under Management (AUM) of $982.22 million, indicating a significant investor base and liquidity. The funds focus on commodities, particularly oil and petroleum-based fuels, makes it sensitive to geopolitical events, supply and demand dynamics, and global economic trends. As the energy market continues to evolve, USOs investment strategy positions it to potentially benefit from fluctuations in oil prices.
Forecasting USOs future performance involves considering both technical and fundamental factors. With the current price above key moving averages and a strong AUM, the outlook is bullish. If the trend continues, USO may reach new highs, potentially exceeding $84.34. However, investors should be cautious of potential volatility, as indicated by the ATR, and be prepared for possible corrections. A break below the support level of $81.6 could signal a downturn, while sustained trading above $84.34 could lead to further gains.
Additional Sources for USO ETF
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
USO ETF Overview
Market Cap in USD | 1,095m |
Category | Commodities Focused |
TER | 0.60% |
IPO / Inception | 2006-04-10 |
USO ETF Ratings
Growth Rating | 54.1 |
Fundamental | - |
Dividend Rating | 0.0 |
Rel. Strength | -6.36 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 73.89 USD |
Fair Price DCF | - |
USO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUSO Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 79.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -24.4% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 70.3% |
CAGR 5y | 22.06% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.61 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.42 |
Alpha | -14.26 |
Beta | 0.599 |
Volatility | 33.16% |
Current Volume | 4487.1k |
Average Volume 20d | 10562.9k |
Stop Loss | 74.6 (-3.5%) |
As of July 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 77.29 with a total of 4,487,070 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.06%, over one month by +3.30%, over three months by +16.30% and over the past year by -4.51%.
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Analyses, United States Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA:USO) is currently (July 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a Growth Technical Rating of 54.07 and therefor an somewhat technical positive rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of USO is around 73.89 USD . This means that USO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.4%.
United States Oil Fund has no consensus analysts rating.
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, USO United States Oil Fund will be worth about 83.8 in July 2026. The stock is currently trading at 77.29. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +8.38%.
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 83.8 | 8.4% |