(USO) United States Oil Fund - Ratings and Ratios
Futures, Crude, Oil, Gasoline, Natural
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
| Alpha | -16.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.375 |
| Beta | 0.462 |
| Beta Downside | 0.978 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.05% |
| Mean DD | 10.48% |
| Median DD | 10.88% |
Description: USO United States Oil Fund November 17, 2025
United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is a U.S.-based commodity-focused ETF that primarily tracks the price performance of light, sweet crude oil futures, while also holding positions in other crude grades, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and related petroleum fuels.
Key operational metrics (as of Q3 2024) include an expense ratio of 0.83%, assets under management roughly $1.2 billion, and an average daily trading volume of about 10 million shares. USO’s price closely follows the front-month WTI crude contract, with a 30-day correlation of ~0.96, but its total return is materially affected by futures roll yield-especially in contango environments when near-term contracts trade at a premium to later-dated contracts. Macro drivers such as OPEC⁺ production decisions, U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and seasonal demand shifts (e.g., summer driving season gasoline demand) are the primary levers of USO’s performance.
If you’re looking for deeper quantitative analysis of USO’s risk-adjusted exposure and scenario modeling, ValueRay offers a robust toolkit that can help you evaluate the fund’s sensitivities more precisely.
What is the price of USO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.66%, over one month by -2.23%, over three months by -11.09% and over the past year by -6.36%.
Is USO a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the USO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 63.2 | -7.7% |
USO Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
Beta = 0.94
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = 0.0 USD
EBITDA TTM = 0.0 USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = unknown
Enterprise Value = 957.8m USD (957.8m + (null Debt) - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 0.0 / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 0.0% (FCF TTM 0.0 / Enterprise Value 957.8m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = unknown (Enterprise Value 957.8m / Total Assets none)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 0.0 (EBIT 0.0 * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets none / Total Current Liabilities none)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 0.0)
Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 0.0)
Total Stockholder Equity = 0.0 (from calculated bookValueOfEquity)
RoA = unknown (Net Income 0.0 / Total Assets none)
RoE = unknown (Net Income TTM 0.0 / Total Stockholder Equity 0.0)
RoCE = unknown (EBIT 0.0 / Capital Employed )
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT 0.0, Invested Capital 0.0, EBIT 0.0)
WACC = 7.72% (E(957.8m)/V(957.8m) * Re(7.72%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 7.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow 0.0)
Additional Sources for USO ETF
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle