(ARMN) Aris Mining - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Copper
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 82.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 3.08 |
| Alpha | 331.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.72 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.454 |
| Beta | 0.717 |
| Beta Downside | 0.432 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.57% |
| Mean DD | 14.46% |
| Median DD | 11.85% |
Description: ARMN Aris Mining November 11, 2025
Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE MKT: ARMN) is a Vancouver-based explorer and operator focused on gold assets across Canada, Colombia, and Guyana, with additional exploration for silver and copper. The company, formerly GCM Mining Corp., rebranded in September 2022.
Key metrics as of the latest filing: market capitalization around $150 million, a cash balance of roughly $30 million, and a 2024 production target of 120,000 oz of gold. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to the spot gold price, which has been trending above $2,100/oz in 2024, and to geopolitical risk in South America that can affect permitting timelines. A sector-wide driver is the continued demand for gold as an inflation hedge, supporting a long-term price floor despite short-term volatility.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ARMN’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful for your next research step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (48.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 46.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 40.86% (prev 13.26%; Δ 27.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 290.4m > Net Income 48.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (99.9m) to EBITDA (238.3m) ratio: 0.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (202.5m) change vs 12m ago 19.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 44.49% (prev 29.76%; Δ 14.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.34% (prev 26.49%; Δ 9.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.28 (EBITDA TTM 238.3m / Interest Expense TTM 39.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.28
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 535.0m - Total Current Liabilities 221.5m) / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (B) -0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -163.2m / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 205.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.11b |
| (D) 0.94 = Book Value of Equity 923.1m / Total Liabilities 977.3m |
| Total Rating: 2.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.51
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.27)% |
| 7. RoE 5.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.60% |
| 9. EPS Trend 6.28% |
What is the price of ARMN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.12%, over one month by +17.99%, over three months by +57.54% and over the past year by +353.04%.
Is ARMN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARMN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.2 | 29.5% |
ARMN Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 60.1111
P/E Forward = 7.0373
P/S = 4.294
P/B = 2.9205
Beta = 1.666
Revenue TTM = 767.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 205.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 238.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 460.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 54.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 517.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 99.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.41b USD (3.31b + Debt 517.3m - CCE 417.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.28 (Ebit TTM 205.7m / Interest Expense TTM 39.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.50% (FCF TTM 85.0m / Enterprise Value 3.41b)
FCF Margin = 11.08% (FCF TTM 85.0m / Revenue TTM 767.3m)
Net Margin = 6.35% (Net Income TTM 48.7m / Revenue TTM 767.3m)
Gross Margin = 44.49% ((Revenue TTM 767.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 426.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.45% (prev 47.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 3.41b / Total Assets 2.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.74% (Interest Expense 9.02m / Debt 517.3m)
Taxrate = 44.79% (33.7m / 75.3m)
NOPAT = 113.5m (EBIT 205.7m * (1 - 44.79%))
Current Ratio = 2.42 (Total Current Assets 535.0m / Total Current Liabilities 221.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 517.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (Net Debt 99.9m / EBITDA 238.3m)
Debt / FCF = 1.17 (Net Debt 99.9m / FCF TTM 85.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 924.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.03% (Net Income 48.7m / Total Assets 2.39b)
RoE = 5.27% (Net Income TTM 48.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 924.5m)
RoCE = 14.85% (EBIT 205.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 924.5m + L.T.Debt 460.0m))
RoIC = 7.89% (NOPAT 113.5m / Invested Capital 1.44b)
WACC = 7.62% (E(3.31b)/V(3.82b) * Re(8.66%) + D(517.3m)/V(3.82b) * Rd(1.74%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 21.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.71% ; FCFE base≈85.0m ; Y1≈55.8m ; Y5≈25.5m
Fair Price DCF = 2.23 (DCF Value 453.0m / Shares Outstanding 202.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 6.28 | EPS CAGR: 39.14% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.60 | Revenue CAGR: 30.66% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ARMN Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle