DC Stock Analysis: Dakota Gold | NYSE MKT

Gold | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 563m USD | 12M Return: 3.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold Exploration, Gold Mining, Mineral Properties, Gold Deposits
Total Rating 16
Safety 54
Buy Signal -0.99
Gold
Industry Rotation: +9.7
Market Cap: 563M
Avg Turnover: 8.37M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility65.1%
VaR 5th Pctl10.9%
VaR vs Median1.96%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.33
Rel. Str. IBD8.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.8
Character TTM
Beta1.693
Beta Downside1.996
Hurst Exponent0.520
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.93%
CAGR/Max DD0.34
CAGR/Mean DD0.77

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.2 years of data

Jan -5.2% 35
Feb +4.5% 42
Mar -11.9% 12
Apr -0.6% 0
May +6.4% 23
Jun -9.8% 21
Jul -3.7% 16
Aug -0.0% 11
Sep +2.3% 13
Oct -5.0% 13
Nov +3.6% 14
Dec -1.6% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DC Dakota Gold

Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE MKT: DC) is a U.S.-based mineral exploration company that acquires, explores, and develops gold properties, with operations headquartered in Lead, South Dakota. The company is a single-commodity (gold) explorer and was incorporated in 2017, going public in April 2022.

As a member of the Materials sector within Diversified Metals & Mining, Dakota Gold fits the profile of a junior mining company, a business model characterized by pre-revenue or early-stage operations funded primarily through equity markets and partner agreements rather than operating cash flow. Lead, South Dakota sits within the Black Hills historic Homestake mining district, a region long associated with U.S. gold production and a common area of focus for exploration-stage companies seeking extensions of known mineralization.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price rally lifts margins across Homestake district assets
  • Richmond Hill drill results expand mineralization and resource potential
  • Capital raises dilute shareholders to fund ongoing exploration programs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.36 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.15 > 3% & CFO -29.8m > Net Income -34.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 38.50 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (123.8m) vs 12m ago 26.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 107.7m - Total Current Liabilities 2.80m) / Total Assets 193.7m
B: -0.59 (Retained Earnings -114.6m / Total Assets 193.7m)
C: -0.21 (EBIT TTM -34.8m / Avg Total Assets 163.1m)
D: 66.96 (Book Value of Equity 190.8m / Total Liabilities 2.85m)
Altman-Z'' = 70.49 = AAA
What is the price of DC shares?

As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.34 with a total of 929,176 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.77%, over one month by -15.40%, over three months by -24.78% and over the past year by +3.09%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.60 (which is 17.1% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).

Is DC a buy, sell or hold?

Dakota Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DC.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DC price?
Analysts Target Price 12 176.5%
Dakota Gold (DC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 562.5m (562.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/B = 3.1441
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -34.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -34.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.7k USD (estimated: total debt 168k - short term 115k)
Short Term Debt = 115k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 168k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 168k already included)
Net Debt = -106.7m USD (calculated: Debt 168k - CCE 106.9m)
Enterprise Value = 455.8m USD (562.5m + Debt 168k - CCE 106.9m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -34.8m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -14.71x (Enterprise Value 455.8m / FCF TTM -31.0m)
FCF Yield = -6.80% (FCF TTM -31.0m / Enterprise Value 455.8m)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 197k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.35 (Enterprise Value 455.8m / Total Assets 193.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 168k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -27.5m (EBIT -34.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 38.50 (Total Current Assets 107.7m / Total Current Liabilities 2.80m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 168k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 190.8m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 3.08 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -106.7m / EBITDA -34.7m)
 Debt / FCF = 3.44 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -106.7m / FCF TTM -31.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 136.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.98% (Net Income -34.2m / Total Assets 193.7m)
RoE = -25.17% (Net Income TTM -34.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 136.0m)
RoCE = -25.62% (EBIT -34.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 136.0m + L.T.Debt 53.7k))
 RoIC = -14.41% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -27.5m / Invested Capital 191.0m)
 WACC = 11.94% (E(562.5m)/V(562.7m) * Re(11.94%) + D(168k)/V(562.7m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 17.34%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -31.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.62 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=-6.17% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=-6.17% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.27 | Chg30d=-1.92% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+1.8% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=+0.84% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+15.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62% (up=5, down=0)