(EPM) Evolution Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Petroleum, Energy, Hydrocarbons
EPM EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPM Revenue
Description: EPM Evolution Petroleum
Evolution Petroleum Corporation is an energy company focused on developing, producing, and exploiting onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. The companys diverse portfolio includes interests in prominent plays such as SCOOP and STACK in Oklahoma, as well as other significant fields in New Mexico, Wyoming, North Dakota, Texas, and Louisiana.
To evaluate the companys performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as production growth, reserve replacement ratio, and operating costs. A review of the companys operational data reveals that its production growth has been driven by its investments in the SCOOP and STACK plays, which are known for their high-quality resource potential. Additionally, the companys diversified portfolio across multiple basins and plays helps mitigate risk and provides opportunities for growth.
From a financial perspective, the companys market capitalization is approximately $165.71 million, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 94.34. While the return on equity (ROE) is currently negative, this metric can be influenced by various factors, including changes in commodity prices and the companys capital structure. To gain a more comprehensive understanding, it would be essential to analyze the companys debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and other relevant financial metrics.
Considering the companys operational and financial profile, potential investors may want to monitor KPIs such as production volumes, revenue growth, and operating cash flow to assess the companys progress and prospects. Furthermore, the companys ability to manage its operating costs, maintain a strong balance sheet, and navigate the complexities of the energy industry will be critical to its long-term success.
EPM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 176m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-04-10 |
EPM Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 29.9% |
| Fundamental | 48.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 93.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -6.98% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
EPM Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 9.53% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 24.49% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 22.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.0% |
EPM Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 48% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -36.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 43.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 21.46% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.41 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.20 |
| Alpha | -5.89 |
| Beta | 0.871 |
| Volatility | 34.72% |
| Current Volume | 207.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 142.1k |
| Stop Loss | 5 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.84 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-704.0k TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.16m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.17% (prev 9.14%; Δ -12.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 30.6m > Net Income -704.0k (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (30.0m) to EBITDA (23.6m) ratio: 1.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.4m) change vs 12m ago 1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.27% (prev 18.77%; Δ 0.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 53.24% (prev 49.73%; Δ 3.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.67 (EBITDA TTM 23.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.17m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.83
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 19.8m - Total Current Liabilities 22.5m) / Total Assets 156.4m |
| (B) 0.17 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 25.8m / Total Assets 156.4m |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 2.13m / Avg Total Assets 161.5m |
| (D) 0.31 = Book Value of Equity 25.9m / Total Liabilities 84.7m |
| Total Rating: 0.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.76
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.21% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.04% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.50 = 2.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.51 = 0.94 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -6.55% = -8.19 |
| 7. RoE -0.91% = -0.15 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -75.34% = -3.77 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -20.24% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend -78.26% = -1.96 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of EPM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.57%, over one month by +2.99%, over three months by +17.12% and over the past year by +8.81%.
Is Evolution Petroleum a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EPM is around 5.50 USD . This means that EPM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.59%.
Is EPM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EPM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5.1 | -1.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5.1 | -1.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.1 | 18.2% |
Last update: 2025-08-30 04:39
EPM Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 5.60m USD (last quarter)
P/E Forward = 103.0928
P/S = 2.0475
P/B = 2.456
Beta = 0.626
Revenue TTM = 86.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 2.13m USD
EBITDA TTM = 23.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 35.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 89.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 35.6m USD (Calculated: Short Term 89.0k + Long Term 35.5m)
Net Debt = 30.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 206.0m USD (176.0m + Debt 35.6m - CCE 5.60m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.67 (Ebit TTM 2.13m / Interest Expense TTM 3.17m)
FCF Yield = 14.21% (FCF TTM 29.3m / Enterprise Value 206.0m)
FCF Margin = 34.04% (FCF TTM 29.3m / Revenue TTM 86.0m)
Net Margin = -0.82% (Net Income TTM -704.0k / Revenue TTM 86.0m)
Gross Margin = 19.27% ((Revenue TTM 86.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.96 (Enterprise Value 206.0m / Book Value Of Equity 25.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.98% (Interest Expense 705.0k / Debt 35.6m)
Taxrate = 25.78% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 1.42m / 5.50m)
NOPAT = 1.58m (EBIT 2.13m * (1 - 25.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 19.8m / Total Current Liabilities 22.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 35.6m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 71.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.51 (Net Debt 30.0m / EBITDA 23.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.22 (Debt 35.6m / FCF TTM 29.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 77.2m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.45% (Net Income -704.0k, Total Assets 156.4m )
RoE = -0.91% (Net Income TTM -704.0k / Total Stockholder Equity 77.2m)
RoCE = 1.89% (Ebit 2.13m / (Equity 77.2m + L.T.Debt 35.5m))
RoIC = 1.37% (NOPAT 1.58m / Invested Capital 115.7m)
WACC = 7.92% (E(176.0m)/V(211.6m) * Re(9.22%)) + (D(35.6m)/V(211.6m) * Rd(1.98%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 20.0 | Cagr: 0.13%
Discount Rate = 9.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.32% ; FCFE base≈35.3m ; Y1≈23.2m ; Y5≈10.6m
Fair Price DCF = 5.03 (DCF Value 172.7m / Shares Outstanding 34.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -75.34 | Revenue CAGR: -20.24%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 50.42
EPS Correlation: -78.26 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -32.22
Additional Sources for EPM Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle