(EPM) Evolution Petroleum - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 160m USD | Total Return: -0.2% in 12m

Stock Oil, Gas, Properties, Production
Total Rating 37
Risk 63
Buy Signal -0.34
Oil & Gas E&P +15.6
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production +14.7
Market Cap: 160m
Avg Trading Vol: 1.91M USD
ATR: 3.43%
Peers RS (IBD): 17.4
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility32.9%
Rel. Tail Risk2.42%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.09
Alpha-11.04
Character TTM
Beta0.874
Beta Downside1.618
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD59.45%
CAGR/Max DD-0.06
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EPM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.04, "2021-06": 0.07, "2021-09": 0.16, "2021-12": 0.2, "2022-03": 0.17, "2022-06": 0.44, "2022-09": 0.32, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.0037, "2023-09": 0.04, "2023-12": 0.03, "2024-03": 0.01, "2024-06": 0.04, "2024-09": 0.02, "2024-12": -0.03, "2025-03": 0.02, "2025-06": 0.03, "2025-09": 0.02, "2025-12": 0.03, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -50.84%
EPS Trend: -74.9%
Last SUE: 0.25
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EPM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 7.635748, 2021-06: 13.703078, 2021-09: 18.87901, 2021-12: 22.338361, 2022-03: 25.688, 2022-06: 42.019525, 2022-09: 39.797, 2022-12: 33.676, 2023-03: 36.867, 2023-06: 18.174, 2023-09: 20.601, 2023-12: 21.024, 2024-03: 23.025, 2024-06: 21.227, 2024-09: 21.896, 2024-12: 20.275, 2025-03: 22.561, 2025-06: 21.108, 2025-09: 21.288, 2025-12: 20.679, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: -5.62%
Rev. Trend: -66.7%
Last SUE: -1.09
Qual. Beats: 0
Description: EPM Evolution Petroleum March 04, 2026

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) is a US-based energy company focused on onshore oil and gas properties.

The companys business model involves developing, producing, owning, exploiting, and investing in these assets. This is a common strategy in the oil and gas exploration and production sector, which typically involves significant capital expenditure and exposure to commodity price fluctuations.

For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring the ValueRay platform.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil price fluctuations impact revenue
  • Natural gas price volatility affects profitability
  • Production costs influence operating margins
  • Regulatory changes for oil and gas pose risk
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
Net Income: 3.12m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 20.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -2.29% < 20% (prev 12.18%; Δ -14.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 30.9m > Net Income 3.12m
Net Debt (-3.38m) to EBITDA (30.6m): -0.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.0m) vs 12m ago 3.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.81% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2.26k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.98% > 50% (prev 53.94%; Δ -1.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.39 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 30.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m)
Altman Z'' 0.80
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 17.2m - Total Current Liabilities 19.1m) / Total Assets 169.3m
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 18.7m / Total Assets 169.3m)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 7.90m / Avg Total Assets 164.7m)
D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 18.7m / Total Liabilities 101.7m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.80 = B
Beneish M -3.64
DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 9.35m/10.8m, Revenue 85.6m/86.4m)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 22.81% / 19.56%)
AQI: 0.66 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 85.6m / 86.4m)
TATA: -0.16 (NI 3.12m - CFO 30.9m) / TA 169.3m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.64 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of EPM shares? As of March 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.67 with a total of 464,547 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.55%, over one month by +7.22%, over three months by +35.39% and over the past year by -0.16%.
Is EPM a buy, sell or hold? Evolution Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EPM.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EPM price?
ISSUER TARGET UP/DOWN
Wallstreet Target Price 5.1 8.4%
Analysts Target Price 5.1 8.4%
EPM Fundamental Data Overview March 28, 2026
P/E Trailing = 57.0
P/E Forward = 416.6667
P/S = 1.8639
P/B = 2.3943
P/EG = 0.687
Revenue TTM = 85.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 7.90m USD
EBITDA TTM = 30.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 54.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 386k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -3.38m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 156.2m USD (159.6m + Debt 386k - CCE 3.76m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.39 (Ebit TTM 7.90m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m)
EV/FCF = 11.89x (Enterprise Value 156.2m / FCF TTM 13.1m)
FCF Yield = 8.41% (FCF TTM 13.1m / Enterprise Value 156.2m)
FCF Margin = 15.34% (FCF TTM 13.1m / Revenue TTM 85.6m)
Net Margin = 3.65% (Net Income TTM 3.12m / Revenue TTM 85.6m)
Gross Margin = 22.81% ((Revenue TTM 85.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 66.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.72% (prev 38.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 156.2m / Total Assets 169.3m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 259.8% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 386k)
 Taxrate = 44.01% (837k / 1.90m)
NOPAT = 4.43m (EBIT 7.90m * (1 - 44.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 17.2m / Total Current Liabilities 19.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 386k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.11 (Net Debt -3.38m / EBITDA 30.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.26 (Net Debt -3.38m / FCF TTM 13.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 70.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.90% (Net Income 3.12m / Total Assets 169.3m)
RoE = 4.46% (Net Income TTM 3.12m / Total Stockholder Equity 70.0m)
RoCE = 6.35% (EBIT 7.90m / Capital Employed (Equity 70.0m + L.T.Debt 54.5m))
RoIC = 3.84% (NOPAT 4.43m / Invested Capital 115.2m)
WACC = 9.04% (E(159.6m)/V(160.0m) * Re(9.06%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.08% ; FCFF base≈13.1m ; Y1≈8.62m ; Y5≈3.94m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.98 (EV 66.1m - Net Debt -3.38m = Equity 69.4m / Shares 35.0m; r=9.04% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -74.92 | EPS CAGR: -50.84% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.66 | Revenue CAGR: -5.62% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.01 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-130.0% | Growth Revenue=-4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.090 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-233.3% | Growth Revenue=-5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.33 (1 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.3% (Discount Rate 9.1% - Earnings Yield 1.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -12.3% (Analyst -5.0% - Implied 7.3%)
Additional Sources for EPM Stock Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma · Stockcircle