(EPM) Evolution Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE MKT •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US30049A1079
Oil, Gas, Onshore
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 11.74% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 25.26% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 28.69% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 12.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -31.66 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.475 |
| Beta | 0.719 |
| Beta Downside | 1.088 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.52% |
| Mean DD | 33.01% |
| Median DD | 39.01% |
Description: EPM Evolution Petroleum October 29, 2025
Evolution Petroleum Corporation (NYSE MKT:EPM) is a Houston-based energy firm founded in 2003 that focuses on the development, production, ownership, exploitation, and investment in onshore oil and gas assets across the United States.
Key operational metrics show the company produced roughly 2.5 MMboe in Q2 2024, with a cash-flow conversion rate of about 85 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.2×, indicating moderate leverage for a small-cap E&P player. Its earnings are highly sensitive to U.S. crude price movements, and the broader sector is currently driven by the pace of shale-drill capital spending and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook, which affect both financing costs and demand for energy.
If you’re looking to dig deeper into EPM’s valuation dynamics, a quick scan of ValueRay’s analyst dashboards can help you spot any hidden upside or downside risks before making a decision.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (232.0k TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.11m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -6.30% (prev 9.80%; Δ -16.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 33.2m > Net Income 232.0k (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-714.0k) to EBITDA (25.5m) ratio: -0.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.50% (prev 21.71%; Δ -0.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.12% (prev 55.19%; Δ -3.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.06 (EBITDA TTM 25.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.05m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.57
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 12.5m - Total Current Liabilities 17.9m) / Total Assets 169.1m |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 21.8m / Total Assets 169.1m |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 3.23m / Avg Total Assets 163.5m |
| (D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 21.8m / Total Liabilities 100.0m |
| Total Rating: 0.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.21
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.38% |
| 3. FCF Margin -7.14% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.54 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.24)% |
| 7. RoE 0.32% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -55.65% |
| 9. EPS Trend -71.66% |
What is the price of EPM shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 4.09 with a total of 472,277 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.85%, over one month by -6.83%, over three months by -19.83% and over the past year by -20.78%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.85%, over one month by -6.83%, over three months by -19.83% and over the past year by -20.78%.
Is EPM a buy, sell or hold?
Evolution Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy EPM.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EPM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5.1 | 24.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5.1 | 24.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.2 | 3.2% |
EPM Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 143.0m (143.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 476.1905
P/S = 1.6774
P/B = 2.1126
Beta = 0.284
Revenue TTM = 85.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.23m USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 37.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -714.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 179.8m USD (143.0m + Debt 37.6m - CCE 714.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.06 (Ebit TTM 3.23m / Interest Expense TTM 3.05m)
FCF Yield = -3.38% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Enterprise Value 179.8m)
FCF Margin = -7.14% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Net Margin = 0.27% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Gross Margin = 21.50% ((Revenue TTM 85.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 66.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.52% (prev 18.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 179.8m / Total Assets 169.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.41% (Interest Expense 907.0k / Debt 37.6m)
Taxrate = 30.70% (365.0k / 1.19m)
NOPAT = 2.24m (EBIT 3.23m * (1 - 30.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.5m / Total Current Liabilities 17.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 37.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 69.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (Net Debt -714.0k / EBITDA 25.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -714.0k / FCF TTM -6.08m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.14% (Net Income 232.0k / Total Assets 169.1m)
RoE = 0.32% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Total Stockholder Equity 72.2m)
RoCE = 2.58% (EBIT 3.23m / Capital Employed (Equity 72.2m + L.T.Debt 53.0m))
RoIC = 1.97% (NOPAT 2.24m / Invested Capital 113.6m)
WACC = 7.21% (E(143.0m)/V(180.5m) * Re(8.66%) + D(37.6m)/V(180.5m) * Rd(2.41%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.08m)
EPS Correlation: -71.66 | EPS CAGR: -45.88% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.28% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-125.0% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+633.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
P/E Forward = 476.1905
P/S = 1.6774
P/B = 2.1126
Beta = 0.284
Revenue TTM = 85.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.23m USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 37.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -714.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 179.8m USD (143.0m + Debt 37.6m - CCE 714.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.06 (Ebit TTM 3.23m / Interest Expense TTM 3.05m)
FCF Yield = -3.38% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Enterprise Value 179.8m)
FCF Margin = -7.14% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Net Margin = 0.27% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Gross Margin = 21.50% ((Revenue TTM 85.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 66.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.52% (prev 18.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 179.8m / Total Assets 169.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.41% (Interest Expense 907.0k / Debt 37.6m)
Taxrate = 30.70% (365.0k / 1.19m)
NOPAT = 2.24m (EBIT 3.23m * (1 - 30.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.5m / Total Current Liabilities 17.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 37.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 69.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (Net Debt -714.0k / EBITDA 25.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -714.0k / FCF TTM -6.08m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.14% (Net Income 232.0k / Total Assets 169.1m)
RoE = 0.32% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Total Stockholder Equity 72.2m)
RoCE = 2.58% (EBIT 3.23m / Capital Employed (Equity 72.2m + L.T.Debt 53.0m))
RoIC = 1.97% (NOPAT 2.24m / Invested Capital 113.6m)
WACC = 7.21% (E(143.0m)/V(180.5m) * Re(8.66%) + D(37.6m)/V(180.5m) * Rd(2.41%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.08m)
EPS Correlation: -71.66 | EPS CAGR: -45.88% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.28% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-125.0% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+633.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
Additional Sources for EPM Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle