(GAU) Galiano Gold - Overview
Stock: Gold, Mining, Exploration, Ghana
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 70.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.72% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 103.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.603 |
| Beta Downside | 0.110 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.45% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.39 |
Description: GAU Galiano Gold December 29, 2025
Galiano Gold Inc. (NYSE MKT: GAU) is a Vancouver-based mining, development, and exploration firm that holds a 90 % interest in the Asanko Gold Mine, situated on the Asankrangwa Gold Belt in Ghana, West Africa. The company, originally incorporated as Asanko Gold Inc. in 1999, rebranded to Galiano Gold in May 2020.
Key operational metrics (2023): the Asanko Mine produced roughly 115 k oz of gold, with cash costs around $950 per ounce and a net cash flow of $45 M, reflecting a modest operating margin given the prevailing gold price of ~$1,950/oz.
Economic backdrop: Ghana’s mining sector benefits from a stable fiscal regime (30 % corporate tax plus a 5 % gold royalty) and recent infrastructure upgrades, while global gold demand remains supported by inflation-hedge demand and central-bank reserve purchases, which together drive price momentum.
Sector driver: The broader gold industry is currently sensitive to real-interest-rate movements; a 100-basis-point rise in U.S. Treasury yields historically depresses gold prices by 2-3 %, a risk factor that directly impacts GAU’s cash-flow forecasts.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of GAU’s valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: -45.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.29% < 20% (prev 53.06%; Δ -54.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 116.0m > Net Income -45.2m |
| Net Debt (-75.3m) to EBITDA (46.9m): -1.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (258.8m) vs 12m ago -1.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.71% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3436 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.75% > 50% (prev 33.45%; Δ 31.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 46.9m / Interest Expense TTM 6.53m) |
Altman Z'' -2.17
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 200.0m - Total Current Liabilities 204.6m) / Total Assets 585.2m |
| B: -0.81 (Retained Earnings -471.8m / Total Assets 585.2m) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -3.50m / Avg Total Assets 544.6m) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 201.3m / Total Liabilities 383.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.17 = D |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.35 (Receivables 13.0m/17.9m, Revenue 352.6m/168.6m) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 34.71% / 34.35%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 2.09 (Revenue 352.6m / 168.6m) |
| TATA: -0.28 (NI -45.2m - CFO 116.0m) / TA 585.2m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GAU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.87%, over one month by -1.13%, over three months by +16.96% and over the past year by +107.94%.
Is GAU a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GAU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3.2 | 22.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3.2 | 22.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.7 | 41.2% |
GAU Fundamental Data Overview February 09, 2026
P/S = 1.9435
P/B = 3.3799
Revenue TTM = 352.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -3.50m USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 23.7m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -75.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 605.6m USD (685.4m + Debt 41.1m - CCE 120.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.54 (Ebit TTM -3.50m / Interest Expense TTM 6.53m)
EV/FCF = 76.28x (Enterprise Value 605.6m / FCF TTM 7.94m)
FCF Yield = 1.31% (FCF TTM 7.94m / Enterprise Value 605.6m)
FCF Margin = 2.25% (FCF TTM 7.94m / Revenue TTM 352.6m)
Net Margin = -12.81% (Net Income TTM -45.2m / Revenue TTM 352.6m)
Gross Margin = 34.71% ((Revenue TTM 352.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 230.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.16% (prev 38.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 605.6m / Total Assets 585.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.87% (Interest Expense 1.59m / Debt 41.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.76m (EBIT -3.50m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 200.0m / Total Current Liabilities 204.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 41.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 201.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.61 (Net Debt -75.3m / EBITDA 46.9m)
Debt / FCF = -9.49 (Net Debt -75.3m / FCF TTM 7.94m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 225.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.29% (Net Income -45.2m / Total Assets 585.2m)
RoE = -20.05% (Net Income TTM -45.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 225.3m)
RoCE = -1.40% (EBIT -3.50m / Capital Employed (Equity 225.3m + L.T.Debt 23.7m))
RoIC = -1.23% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.76m / Invested Capital 225.3m)
WACC = 7.85% (E(685.4m)/V(726.5m) * Re(8.14%) + D(41.1m)/V(726.5m) * Rd(3.87%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.91% ; FCFF base≈7.94m ; Y1≈5.21m ; Y5≈2.38m
Fair Price DCF = 0.47 (EV 47.7m - Net Debt -75.3m = Equity 123.1m / Shares 259.8m; r=7.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 6.79 | EPS CAGR: 10.11% | SUE: -1.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.84 | Revenue CAGR: 182.4% | SUE: 1.36 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-0.075 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+235.2% | Growth Revenue=+68.2%